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2022-08-25 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1035
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 84.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1859+0.67%1.019-13.50%0.0429✗1.723.6M2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.376508+0.30%0.3397-9.51%0.0248✗1.23205k2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5758+0.19%4.3799-4.10%0.0051✓0.77827k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.069909+0.17%0.06321-9.43%0.0308✗1.112.4M2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0213.0259+0.16%2.723-9.86%0.0057✗1.584.0M2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.140986+0.13%0.1273-9.59%0.0420✗0.951.9M2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3593.468+0.13%82.72-11.39%0.0250✗1.546.7M2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5425+0.10%1.386-10.06%0.0334✗1.16138k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.069169+0.10%0.0634-8.25%0.0302✗0.90116k2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023925+0.06%0.02186-8.57%0.0362✗0.8613.4M2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero153.94154.0282+0.06%142.81-7.23%0.0129✗0.991.2M2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0043.0055+0.05%2.681-10.75%0.0743✗0.63669k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum35.2335.2477+0.05%31.1-11.72%0.0072✗1.87365k2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.075908+0.04%0.07015-7.55%0.0037✗1.1929k2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.109838+0.04%0.1012-7.83%0.0376✗0.703,6712022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana35.2535.2605+0.03%31.74-9.96%0.0325✗1.1570.1M2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.065516+0.03%0.061552-6.03%0.0257✗0.58151k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.098924+0.02%0.0887-10.31%0.0501✗0.93430k2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.84033+0.02%0.77813-7.39%0.0193✗0.91507k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.007041+0.02%0.00657-6.68%0.0289✗0.641.2M2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005857+0.01%0.005538-5.43%0.0136✗0.672,6192022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.060305+0.01%0.0574-4.81%0.0081✓0.91112k2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.307409+0.00%0.2831-7.91%0.0245✗0.927.8M2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4218.4191-0.00%17.22-6.51%0.0232✓0.701.4M2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0237.022-0.01%6.154-12.37%0.0505✓1.2910.3M2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.3511-0.01%5.748-9.51%0.0417✓0.925.2M2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0078-0.02%0.9592-4.84%0.0147✓0.553.6M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.374042-0.03%0.33605-10.18%0.0465✓0.9687k2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.495941-0.03%0.4491-9.47%0.0289✓1.11400k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.5997-0.04%52.71-6.91%0.0087✓0.9913.5M2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.410857-0.04%0.36828-10.40%0.0498✓0.9462k2022-08-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001761-0.04%0.001566-11.12%0.0607✓0.90590k2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.228786-0.05%0.2082-9.04%0.0309✓1.0070k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.048-0.05%0.9578-8.65%0.0137✓1.211.0M2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,550.55-0.05%20,240.72-6.13%0.0005✓1.00485.5M2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,694.28-0.06%1,508.02-11.05%0.0324✓1.33608.4M2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047891-0.06%0.04458-6.97%0.0288✓0.6816k2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.29582-0.06%0.274-7.43%0.0312✓0.72826k2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.743539-0.06%0.662-11.02%0.0582✓0.92322k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61555.5772-0.07%52.147-6.24%0.0171✓0.74332k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.790459-0.07%0.7053-10.83%0.0241✓1.42259k2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.364834-0.08%0.33161-9.18%0.0338✓0.98435k2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.5032-0.08%44.52-8.28%0.0235✓0.98607k2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.60798-0.08%0.55641-8.55%0.0076✓1.2845k2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.6679-0.08%2.49-6.74%0.0377✓0.5093k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.046859-0.09%0.0433-7.68%0.0174✓0.97182k2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.579485-0.09%0.517-10.86%0.0370✓1.222,3272022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.068.0528-0.09%7.32-9.18%0.0257✓1.10638k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.009132-0.09%0.00848-7.22%0.0261✓0.766.4M2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2608-0.09%1.151-8.80%0.0292✓0.982.1M2022-08-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.025475-0.10%0.0259+1.57%0.0570✗0.6442k2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.3737-0.10%4.774-11.25%0.0329✓1.3510.1M2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014468-0.10%0.01333-7.95%0.0422✓0.631.4M2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.5864-0.10%12.27-9.78%0.0315✓1.111.9M2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.143112-0.10%0.13148-8.22%0.0075✓1.22213k2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.1226-0.10%6.504-8.78%0.0239✓1.0619.5M2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.56910.568492-0.11%0.5343-6.11%0.0061✓0.881.7M2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.463685-0.11%0.4317-7.00%0.0059✓1.0440.7M2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.2689-0.11%0.2645-1.75%0.0456✗0.98109k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.808-0.11%1.632-9.83%0.0271✓1.19103k2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.1683-0.11%5.1494-0.48%0.0055✗0.14158k2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.183483-0.12%0.1619-11.87%0.0392✓1.362,2552022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.371253-0.12%0.3323-10.60%0.0393✓1.13111k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.11576-0.12%0.1024-11.65%0.0550✓1.073.7M2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4734-0.12%2.1662-12.53%0.0567✓1.2013k2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.39980.399309-0.12%0.3612-9.65%0.0273✓1.15470k2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1785-0.13%1.0529-10.77%0.0188✓1.484.9M2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.13%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0044✓0.792.4M2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.172278-0.13%0.1562-9.45%0.0308✓1.061,7802022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.7504-0.13%9.232-5.44%0.0057✗0.951.8M2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.9496-0.13%20.68-10.01%0.0228✓1.2924.1M2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.379596-0.13%0.3983+4.79%0.1277✗1.26152k2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.165107-0.14%0.15418-6.74%0.0652✗2.116042022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003280.003276-0.14%0.00303-7.62%0.0127✓1.03537k2022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.241473-0.14%0.2213-8.48%0.0306✓0.90510k2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.457373-0.14%0.431-5.90%0.0034✗0.998,8922022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016637-0.14%0.01586-4.80%0.0056✓0.67173k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.110247-0.14%0.103859-5.93%0.0056✓0.857.8M2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.119.0973-0.14%8.31-8.78%0.0634✓0.432.4M2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1326-0.14%1.0508-7.35%0.0213✓0.8553k2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.438-0.14%1.36-5.56%0.0596✓-0.06115k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative2.1372.134-0.14%1.851-13.38%0.0601✓1.301.2M2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038845-0.14%0.0358-7.97%0.0233✓0.9286k2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum106.79106.6375-0.14%98.23-8.02%0.0290✓0.843.5M2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.260398-0.15%0.2611+0.12%0.0033✗0.0187k2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.305127-0.15%0.2792-8.64%0.0290✓0.953.4M2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.722871-0.16%0.647-10.64%0.0558✓0.87253k2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.09e-7-0.16%8.60e-7-5.49%0.0033✓0.8217k2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.949911-0.16%0.86751-8.82%0.0299✓0.9613k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.303629-0.16%0.28099-7.60%0.0116✓1.0413k2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4851.3985-0.16%45.92-10.80%0.0356✓1.2215k2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.090754-0.16%0.0857-5.72%0.0032✗0.9613k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039403-0.17%0.00003668-7.07%0.0155✓0.891.7M2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.111408-0.17%0.1029-7.80%0.0251✓0.86255k2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.4711-0.17%3.1205-10.26%0.0440✓0.9930k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.921394-0.17%0.928+0.54%0.0342✗0.434.2M2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase17.1917.1599-0.18%15.52-9.71%0.0309✓1.10130k2022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash67.7567.6307-0.18%61.1-9.82%0.0310✓1.122.0M2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.8896-0.18%25.97-7.05%0.0112✓0.957.5M2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3805-0.18%1.223-11.57%0.0440✓1.22534k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69130.4498-0.18%116.16-11.12%0.0456✓1.114.9M2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.040624-0.19%0.0378-7.13%0.0191✓0.8411k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.047294-0.20%0.045497-3.99%0.0056✓0.5233k2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.864105-0.20%0.7751-10.48%0.0406✓1.082.2M2022-08-26
DASHDashDash49.1849.0832-0.20%44.3-9.92%0.0417✓0.96504k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.047721-0.20%0.043805-8.39%0.0325✓0.8432k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003488-0.20%0.00312-10.73%0.0570✓0.861.1M2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9869-0.20%1.7741-10.89%0.0462✓1.0633k2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.130631-0.21%0.1207-7.79%0.0149✓1.0135k2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.154675-0.21%0.1396-9.94%0.0416✓0.96668k2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137508-0.21%0.1246-9.58%0.0638✓0.553.9M2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.3425-0.21%5.671-10.78%0.0587✓0.8410.1M2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.063465-0.21%0.0599-5.82%0.0150✗1.15258k2022-08-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.217437-0.21%0.1973-9.45%0.0340✓1.00149k2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.4327-0.21%12.1201-9.96%0.0429✓0.9539k2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.423773-0.22%0.3879-8.66%0.0180✓1.1189k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.067451-0.22%0.0626-7.40%0.0025✗1.221.0M2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.055.0387-0.22%4.47-11.49%0.0935✓0.411.3M2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.956712-0.23%0.8801-8.22%0.0331✓0.8084k2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006785-0.23%0.006665-1.99%0.0101✗0.4457k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.598631-0.23%0.546-9.00%0.0232✓1.09102k2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.9392-0.23%2.7-8.35%0.0317✓0.84749k2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1978-0.23%1.0685-11.00%0.0361✓1.24981k2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.022458-0.23%0.020726-7.93%0.0288✓0.8113k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.039836-0.24%0.03783-5.26%0.0001✓0.822,7072022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6764-0.24%5.13-9.84%0.0483✓0.841.6M2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.261974-0.24%0.2433-7.35%0.0139✓0.9583k2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8515-0.24%1.773-4.47%0.0173✗0.96146k2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.73223-0.24%0.67-8.72%0.0045✓1.335.0M2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.320857-0.24%0.289082-10.12%0.0362✓1.08743k2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3142-0.25%2.25-3.02%0.0222✗0.80520k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.569572-0.25%0.509-10.86%0.0414✓1.1288k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6648-0.25%1.4828-11.16%0.0469✓1.09355k2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007989-0.27%0.00765-4.49%0.0285✗1.14513k2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,547.77-0.27%20,587.80-4.71%0.0145✗0.9512k2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.508412-0.27%0.4773-6.38%0.0116✓0.81625k2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013892-0.27%0.00001243-10.77%0.0532✓0.92900k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.054647-0.28%0.0498-9.12%0.0303✓0.99256k2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.083814-0.28%0.08526+1.44%0.0228✗0.09637k2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.39388-0.28%0.3556-9.97%0.0332✓1.09174k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001592-0.28%0.001486-6.95%0.0242✓0.719,9742022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.81-0.29%11.554-10.06%0.0336✓1.1010.4M2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4259-0.29%1.29-9.79%0.0401✓0.95182k2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.237706-0.29%0.2245-5.83%0.0282✗1.35133k2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.5605-0.30%6.922-8.72%0.0237✓1.0214.0M2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004188-0.30%0.00391-6.90%0.0061✓0.99152k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.02296-0.30%0.02334+1.35%0.0672✗0.80419k2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.994958-0.30%0.925-7.31%0.0044✗1.221.3M2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.6749-0.31%13.3-9.65%0.0212✓1.221.3M2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.5288-0.31%5.692-13.09%0.1172✓0.325.3M2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.190401-0.31%0.17-10.99%0.0462✓1.06500k2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.052734-0.31%0.0472-10.78%0.0507✓0.95877k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2817-0.32%2.035-11.10%0.0422✓1.1460k2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1828-0.33%1.942-11.32%0.0082✓1.72114k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.6667-0.33%4.124-11.92%0.1034✓0.321.9M2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.8407-0.33%5.23-10.75%0.0867✓0.382.9M2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9365-0.34%1.683-13.38%0.0830✓0.91782k2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.8042-0.35%1.7235-4.81%0.0211✗1.06980k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.068932-0.35%0.063531-8.16%0.0165✓1.031.7M2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.3402-0.35%10.53-7.47%0.0006✓1.18439k2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.816765-0.36%0.8001-2.39%0.0718✗1.46205k2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727255-0.38%0.73+0.00%0.0268✗0.36105k2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1436.9975-0.38%33.91-8.70%0.0034✓1.4316.0M2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.023253-0.39%0.023198-0.62%0.0043✗0.11250k2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,755.89-0.40%8,981.54-8.31%0.0030✓1.367.3M2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3838-0.41%1.2489-10.11%0.0445✓0.921.5M2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4697-0.42%2.16-12.90%0.0574✓1.21299k2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.8109-0.43%6.04-11.70%0.0963✓0.382.1M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.156791-0.45%0.143-9.21%0.0289✓1.00178k2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.7688-0.46%5.97-12.21%0.1020✓0.372.7M2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.6892-0.46%4.149-11.93%0.1170✓0.092.4M2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027192-0.47%0.0246-9.96%0.0200✓1.273,4352022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.2293-0.55%3.69-13.23%0.1025✓0.542.9M2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8937.6726-0.57%37.39-1.32%0.0480✗0.881.8M2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.069892-0.60%0.06625-5.77%0.0020✓0.819142022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001516-0.60%0.001375-9.87%0.0490✓0.772.0M2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.372158-0.62%0.34-9.21%0.0319✓0.93321k2022-08-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.2802-0.64%4.3027-0.12%0.0685✗1.00171k2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.222956-0.69%0.2077-7.48%0.0200✓0.802.6M2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.040806-0.74%0.03689-10.27%0.0388✓0.9828k2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.111557-0.75%0.1006-10.50%0.0592✓0.70250k2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.6792-0.89%4.225-10.51%0.0419✓0.95225k2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.6669-0.92%5.0866-11.07%0.0983✓0.155.0M2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000130106-0.92%0.00012306-6.29%0.0041✓0.82340k2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.5203-1.01%4.7881-14.14%0.1309✓0.183.5M2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.90e-7-1.76%7.57e-7-5.85%0.0083✓0.80192k2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.5901-1.96%11.744-15.28%0.1194✓0.423.8M2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.