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2022-08-25 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0931
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.7%
in alpha space · 94.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.4904-2.68%11.744-15.28%0.1121✓0.423.8M2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.84e-7-2.50%7.57e-7-5.85%0.0159✓0.80192k2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000128424-2.21%0.00012306-6.29%0.0089✓0.82340k2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.6519-1.46%4.225-10.51%0.0360✓0.95225k2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.370835-0.97%0.34-9.21%0.0283✓0.93321k2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.040717-0.96%0.03689-10.27%0.0366✓0.9828k2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.5238-0.95%4.7881-14.14%0.1315✓0.183.5M2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.069738-0.81%0.06625-5.77%0.0002✓0.819142022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.023172-0.73%0.023198-0.62%0.0078✗0.11250k2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3795-0.71%1.2489-10.11%0.0414✓0.921.5M2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.7555-0.71%11.554-10.06%0.0293✓1.1010.4M2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.2228-0.70%3.69-13.23%0.1010✓0.542.9M2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.222995-0.67%0.2077-7.48%0.0202✓0.802.6M2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.6833-0.64%5.0866-11.07%0.1012✓0.155.0M2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,472.27-0.62%20,587.80-4.71%0.0181✗0.9512k2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013845-0.61%0.00001243-10.77%0.0498✓0.92900k2022-08-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.2829-0.58%4.3027-0.12%0.0678✗1.00171k2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.8271-0.56%5.23-10.75%0.0843✓0.382.9M2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8937.6783-0.56%37.39-1.32%0.0479✗0.881.8M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.156635-0.55%0.143-9.21%0.0279✓1.00178k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.6569-0.54%4.124-11.92%0.1013✓0.321.9M2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.111815-0.52%0.1006-10.50%0.0615✓0.70250k2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.7651-0.51%5.97-12.21%0.1014✓0.372.7M2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001589-0.50%0.001486-6.95%0.0221✓0.719,9742022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.8064-0.49%6.04-11.70%0.0957✓0.382.1M2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.119.0661-0.48%8.31-8.78%0.0600✓0.432.4M2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027193-0.47%0.0246-9.96%0.0200✓1.273,4352022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1436.9717-0.45%33.91-8.70%0.0041✓1.4316.0M2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001518-0.45%0.001375-9.87%0.0506✓0.772.0M2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.13034-0.43%0.1207-7.79%0.0127✓1.0135k2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.993805-0.42%0.925-7.31%0.0055✗1.221.3M2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.8029-0.42%1.7235-4.81%0.0218✗1.06980k2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006772-0.41%0.006665-1.99%0.0120✗0.4457k2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.3329-0.41%10.53-7.47%0.0012✓1.18439k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.370207-0.40%0.3323-10.60%0.0364✓1.13111k2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4342-0.40%1.36-5.56%0.0570✓-0.06115k2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.6923-0.40%4.149-11.93%0.1177✓0.092.4M2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.5238-0.38%5.692-13.09%0.1164✓0.325.3M2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero153.94153.3557-0.38%142.81-7.23%0.0085✓0.991.2M2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.15442-0.37%0.1396-9.94%0.0399✓0.96668k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum35.2335.0991-0.37%31.1-11.72%0.0029✓1.87365k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.04764-0.37%0.043805-8.39%0.0308✓0.8432k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.068919-0.37%0.063531-8.16%0.0163✓1.031.7M2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.259846-0.37%0.2611+0.12%0.0054✗0.0187k2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.456354-0.36%0.431-5.90%0.0056✗0.998,8922022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.05271-0.36%0.0472-10.78%0.0502✓0.95877k2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.606278-0.36%0.55641-8.55%0.0048✓1.2845k2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.577987-0.35%0.517-10.86%0.0344✓1.222,3272022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.240962-0.35%0.2213-8.48%0.0285✓0.90510k2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007983-0.34%0.00765-4.49%0.0293✗1.14513k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.569102-0.33%0.509-10.86%0.0406✓1.1288k2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.18309-0.33%0.1619-11.87%0.0371✓1.362,2552022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137346-0.33%0.1246-9.58%0.0627✓0.553.9M2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.237623-0.33%0.2245-5.83%0.0285✗1.35133k2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum106.79106.4429-0.33%98.23-8.02%0.0271✓0.843.5M2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9845-0.32%1.7741-10.89%0.0450✓1.0633k2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004187-0.32%0.00391-6.90%0.0059✓0.99152k2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.083785-0.32%0.08526+1.44%0.0231✗0.09637k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.8044-0.31%1.632-9.83%0.0251✓1.19103k2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.055.0344-0.31%4.47-11.49%0.0927✓0.411.3M2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4218.3637-0.31%17.22-6.51%0.0202✓0.701.4M2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038785-0.30%0.0358-7.97%0.0217✓0.9286k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.920266-0.30%0.928+0.54%0.0354✗0.434.2M2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.190449-0.29%0.17-10.99%0.0464✓1.06500k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.054642-0.29%0.0498-9.12%0.0302✓0.99256k2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1766-0.29%1.0529-10.77%0.0172✓1.484.9M2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016613-0.28%0.01586-4.80%0.0041✓0.67173k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2826-0.28%2.035-11.10%0.0425✓1.1460k2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.373106-0.28%0.33605-10.18%0.0439✓0.9687k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.110095-0.28%0.103859-5.93%0.0043✓0.857.8M2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.742-0.27%0.662-11.02%0.0562✓0.92322k2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.56910.567585-0.27%0.5343-6.11%0.0045✓0.881.7M2022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash67.7567.5712-0.26%61.1-9.82%0.0301✓1.122.0M2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.9383-0.26%2.7-8.35%0.0314✓0.84749k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.047263-0.26%0.045497-3.99%0.0050✓0.5233k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.068922-0.26%0.0634-8.25%0.0266✓0.90116k2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.5651-0.26%12.27-9.78%0.0299✓1.111.9M2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,770.44-0.26%8,981.54-8.31%0.0015✓1.367.3M2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.115607-0.25%0.1024-11.65%0.0537✓1.073.7M2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.03983-0.25%0.03783-5.26%0.0000✓0.822,7072022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4738-0.25%2.16-12.90%0.0591✓1.21299k2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.8707-0.25%25.97-7.05%0.0105✓0.957.5M2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.956549-0.24%0.8801-8.22%0.0329✓0.8084k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69130.3731-0.24%116.16-11.12%0.0450✓1.114.9M2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.090684-0.24%0.0857-5.72%0.0039✗0.9613k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.26199-0.23%0.2433-7.35%0.0139✓0.9583k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022977-0.23%0.02334+1.35%0.0665✗0.80419k2022-08-26
DASHDashDash49.1849.0661-0.23%44.3-9.92%0.0414✓0.96504k2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8517-0.23%1.773-4.47%0.0172✗0.96146k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.046792-0.23%0.0433-7.68%0.0160✓0.97182k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase17.1917.1512-0.23%15.52-9.71%0.0304✓1.10130k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.46316-0.22%0.4317-7.00%0.0047✓1.0440.7M2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.00912-0.22%0.00848-7.22%0.0248✓0.766.4M2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.022461-0.22%0.020726-7.93%0.0290✓0.8113k2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.364309-0.22%0.33161-9.18%0.0324✓0.98435k2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.172123-0.22%0.1562-9.45%0.0299✓1.061,7802022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4711-0.21%2.1662-12.53%0.0558✓1.2013k2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728442-0.21%0.73+0.00%0.0252✗0.36105k2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.040614-0.21%0.0378-7.13%0.0189✓0.8411k2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2593-0.21%1.151-8.80%0.0281✓0.982.1M2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.394167-0.21%0.3556-9.97%0.0339✓1.09174k2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.111365-0.21%0.1029-7.80%0.0247✓0.86255k2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.722498-0.21%0.647-10.64%0.0553✓0.87253k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003488-0.21%0.00312-10.73%0.0570✓0.861.1M2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.060176-0.21%0.0574-4.81%0.0102✗0.91112k2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.495077-0.21%0.4491-9.47%0.0271✓1.11400k2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003280.003273-0.20%0.00303-7.62%0.0120✓1.03537k2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.164997-0.20%0.15418-6.74%0.0659✗2.116042022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.303505-0.20%0.28099-7.60%0.0112✓1.0413k2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.304995-0.20%0.2792-8.64%0.0286✓0.953.4M2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1857-0.20%1.942-11.32%0.0095✓1.72114k2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.4703-0.19%3.1205-10.26%0.0438✓0.9930k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6658-0.19%1.4828-11.16%0.0475✓1.09355k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.598851-0.19%0.546-9.00%0.0236✓1.09102k2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4273-0.19%1.29-9.79%0.0411✓0.95182k2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3804-0.19%1.223-11.57%0.0440✓1.22534k2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.818191-0.18%0.8001-2.39%0.0701✗1.46205k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.789544-0.18%0.7053-10.83%0.0230✓1.42259k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.067476-0.18%0.0626-7.40%0.0021✗1.221.0M2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.142998-0.18%0.13148-8.22%0.0067✓1.22213k2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.6651-0.18%2.49-6.74%0.0367✓0.5093k2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.109601-0.18%0.1012-7.83%0.0355✓0.703,6712022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.306844-0.18%0.2831-7.91%0.0227✓0.927.8M2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3158-0.18%2.25-3.02%0.0215✗0.80520k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.007027-0.18%0.00657-6.68%0.0270✓0.641.2M2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,692.25-0.18%1,508.02-11.05%0.0312✓1.33608.4M2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.295473-0.18%0.274-7.43%0.0300✓0.72826k2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1985-0.18%1.0685-11.00%0.0366✓1.24981k2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.7457-0.18%9.232-5.44%0.0062✗0.951.8M2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0062-0.18%0.9592-4.84%0.0131✓0.553.6M2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9397-0.17%1.683-13.38%0.0846✓0.91782k2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.1654-0.17%5.1494-0.48%0.0061✗0.14158k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1323-0.17%1.0508-7.35%0.0210✓0.8553k2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.17%8.60e-7-5.49%0.0033✓0.8217k2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047841-0.16%0.04458-6.97%0.0277✓0.6816k2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.838848-0.16%0.77813-7.39%0.0176✓0.91507k2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.4402-0.16%12.1201-9.96%0.0434✓0.9539k2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.732849-0.16%0.67-8.72%0.0053✓1.335.0M2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.140581-0.16%0.1273-9.59%0.0392✓0.951.9M2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4851.3999-0.16%45.92-10.80%0.0356✓1.2215k2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,528.61-0.15%20,240.72-6.13%0.0015✓1.00485.5M2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.228549-0.15%0.2082-9.04%0.0298✓1.0070k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61555.5325-0.15%52.147-6.24%0.0163✓0.74332k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.15%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0042✓0.792.4M2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6818-0.14%5.13-9.84%0.0493✓0.841.6M2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.065405-0.14%0.061552-6.03%0.0240✓0.58151k2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.374872-0.14%0.3397-9.51%0.0204✓1.23205k2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005848-0.14%0.005538-5.43%0.0122✓0.672,6192022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.321217-0.13%0.289082-10.12%0.0373✓1.08743k2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.1209-0.13%6.504-8.78%0.0236✓1.0619.5M2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.50916-0.13%0.4773-6.38%0.0131✓0.81625k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.268868-0.12%0.2645-1.75%0.0457✗0.98109k2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3593.2352-0.12%82.72-11.39%0.0225✓1.546.7M2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039422-0.12%0.00003668-7.07%0.0160✓0.891.7M2022-08-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.00176-0.12%0.001566-11.12%0.0599✓0.90590k2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.410509-0.12%0.36828-10.40%0.0489✓0.9462k2022-08-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.217635-0.12%0.1973-9.45%0.0349✓1.00149k2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.3726-0.12%4.774-11.25%0.0327✓1.3510.1M2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014466-0.11%0.01333-7.95%0.0420✓0.631.4M2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.06353-0.11%0.0599-5.82%0.0140✗1.15258k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0474-0.10%0.9578-8.65%0.0131✓1.211.0M2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.068.0517-0.10%7.32-9.18%0.0256✓1.10638k2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.864921-0.10%0.7751-10.48%0.0416✓1.082.2M2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.4935-0.10%44.52-8.28%0.0233✓0.98607k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.566-0.10%52.71-6.91%0.0081✓0.9913.5M2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.39980.399444-0.09%0.3612-9.65%0.0277✓1.15470k2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.424323-0.09%0.3879-8.66%0.0193✓1.1189k2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana35.2535.2202-0.08%31.74-9.96%0.0314✓1.1570.1M2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023893-0.07%0.02186-8.57%0.0348✓0.8613.4M2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.9636-0.07%20.68-10.01%0.0234✓1.2924.1M2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.7098-0.07%13.3-9.65%0.0236✓1.221.3M2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.098831-0.07%0.0887-10.31%0.0492✓0.93430k2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.5791-0.05%6.922-8.72%0.0261✓1.0214.0M2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5648-0.05%4.3799-4.10%0.0075✗0.77827k2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.075851-0.04%0.07015-7.55%0.0030✓1.1929k2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.37998-0.03%0.3983+4.79%0.1267✗1.26152k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative2.1372.1364-0.03%1.851-13.38%0.0612✓1.301.2M2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0043.0035-0.02%2.681-10.75%0.0736✓0.63669k2022-08-26
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1778-0.02%1.019-13.50%0.0360✓1.723.6M2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.951312-0.01%0.86751-8.82%0.0314✓0.9613k2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.3583+0.04%5.671-10.78%0.0612✗0.8410.1M2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.3551+0.05%5.748-9.51%0.0424✗0.925.2M2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0237.0289+0.08%6.154-12.37%0.0515✗1.2910.3M2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0213.024+0.10%2.723-9.86%0.0051✗1.584.0M2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5432+0.14%1.386-10.06%0.0338✗1.16138k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.069914+0.18%0.06321-9.43%0.0309✗1.112.4M2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.