8=======>

2022-08-24 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1658
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.370648-0.84%0.3197-14.47%0.0207✓1.24215k2022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4187.2052-1.36%77.03-12.87%0.0338✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.4253-1.49%4.233-5.77%0.0350✗0.78827k2022-09-23
TRXTRONTron0.064820.063663-1.78%0.060491-6.68%0.0084✓0.58164k2022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55147.1011-2.29%141.47-6.03%0.0629✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.573569-2.45%0.408-30.61%0.2153✓1.221,8732022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.393042-2.50%0.38048-5.62%0.0638✗0.9462k2022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,841.44-2.69%19,121.60-10.72%0.0115✓0.9511k2022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.166187-2.81%0.157-8.19%0.0817✗1.352,1742022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.357579-2.82%0.31522-14.33%0.0275✓0.9687k2022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49553.8998-2.87%49.795-10.27%0.0034✓0.74332k2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8833.8695-2.90%33.66-3.50%0.1120✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.213196-2.96%0.1977-10.01%0.0269✓1.0067k2022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.570202-2.97%0.46747-20.45%0.0673✓1.2845k2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4654.7753-2.98%55.23-2.18%0.1099✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.065567-3.01%0.0596-11.83%0.0020✓0.91113k2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005573-3.27%0.005038-12.56%0.0326✓0.672,6422022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.120802-3.28%0.132+5.68%0.1920✗1.0135k2022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.108031-3.37%0.0927-17.08%0.0810✓0.703,6712022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.247045-3.38%0.2785+8.92%0.2169✗0.9584k2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.136011-3.40%0.1288-8.52%0.0448✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.260633-3.47%0.1633-39.52%0.3670✓0.98112k2022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.291809-3.47%0.3992+32.05%0.4075✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006734-3.52%0.00501-28.22%0.2297✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058439-3.57%0.0538-11.22%0.0108✓0.91120k2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.758022-3.57%0.6373-18.93%0.0297✓1.40267k2022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.021454-3.62%0.019843-10.86%0.0052✓0.8113k2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3293-3.67%1.44+4.35%0.0740✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.095328-3.71%0.1073+8.38%0.2145✗0.94430k2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.07149-3.76%0.06183-16.76%0.0233✓1.1929k2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036277-3.77%0.0337-10.61%0.0213✓0.9381k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.046428-3.79%0.038148-20.95%0.1417✓0.5330k2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.249976-3.82%0.12-53.83%0.7329✓0.0187k2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003087-3.83%0.00331+3.12%0.1754✗1.03537k2022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.1789-3.85%4.2279-21.50%0.1876✓0.15169k2022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.04476-3.87%0.04111-11.71%0.0147✓0.6916k2022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008743-3.92%0.00719-20.99%0.1189✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,528.27-3.93%19,286.01-9.74%0.0401✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1911-3.94%1.104-10.97%0.0247✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.160273-3.96%0.16406-1.69%0.2404✗2.126042022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.044387-3.98%0.041508-10.21%0.0191✓0.8432k2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0724-4.02%0.957295-14.32%0.0263✓0.8553k2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001659-4.07%0.001612-6.77%0.0626✗0.89653k2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165454-4.08%0.1415-17.97%0.0468✓1.071,7802022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.691468-4.10%0.608-15.67%0.0350✓0.91322k2022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.044494-4.11%0.0424-8.62%0.0519✗0.98184k2022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.2343-4.12%8.985-6.71%0.0704✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000095791-4.12%0.00025656+156.79%1.0671✗0.80329k2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006404-4.13%0.00634-5.09%0.0352✓0.4457k2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.144592-4.18%0.1397-7.42%0.0645✗0.97614k2022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003918-4.20%0.00359-12.22%0.0139✓0.99152k2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000037118-4.21%0.00003923+1.24%0.1458✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.350262-4.22%0.41152+12.53%0.2620✗0.98435k2022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.104795-4.28%0.123119+12.46%0.2489✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.272745-4.30%0.253-11.23%0.0018✓0.72826k2022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.894926-4.30%0.8-14.45%0.0310✓0.7977k2022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.8053-4.32%2.361-19.47%0.0864✓0.84749k2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.905151-4.39%0.79781-15.73%0.0272✓0.9713k2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.224874-4.43%0.2263-3.82%0.0984✗0.90510k2022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.086954-4.45%0.0859-5.60%0.0875✗0.9713k2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9946.778-4.52%42.17-13.92%0.0024✓0.99606k2022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038314-4.55%0.03513-12.48%0.0028✓0.822,7072022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.284241-4.59%0.24767-16.86%0.0307✓1.0412k2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.14128-4.60%0.1314-11.28%0.0298✓1.00149k2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013641-4.62%0.011863-17.05%0.0748✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.284502-4.63%0.2841-4.76%0.0955✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.794064-4.64%0.72024-13.51%0.0036✓0.92507k2022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.982138-4.66%0.917-10.98%0.0125✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.531697-4.66%0.5079-8.93%0.0451✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.6406-4.67%1.93-30.32%0.2623✓0.5093k2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.105218-4.69%0.1008-8.70%0.0465✓0.87255k2022-09-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.391407-4.70%0.369-10.15%0.0549✗1.1189k2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.430509-4.75%0.403-10.84%0.0358✓0.998,8922022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.462938-4.76%0.4363-10.24%0.0547✗1.11400k2022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016503-4.83%0.01061-38.81%0.3726✓0.67167k2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34124.0161-4.85%120.12-7.84%0.0824✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.134959-4.86%0.12632-10.95%0.0598✗1.23223k2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.213008-4.86%0.1776-20.68%0.0432✓1.35124k2022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.12634-4.86%0.116-12.65%0.0289✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038234-4.89%0.0398-1.00%0.1270✗0.8511k2022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5526.1896-4.94%23.88-13.32%0.0054✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3125.0497-4.94%5.681+6.95%0.2566✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.4711-4.97%1.367-11.69%0.0470✓1.17138k2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.060914-4.97%0.0481-24.96%0.1179✓1.15266k2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.063562-4.99%0.0569-14.95%0.0141✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04440.992239-4.99%0.9226-11.66%0.0513✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.434776-5.01%0.4617+0.87%0.1668✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,573.39-5.03%1,326.82-19.91%0.0340✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.702582-5.06%0.63-14.86%0.0701✓0.38105k2022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.64e-7-5.08%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0050✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.176446-5.14%0.15984-14.06%0.0103✓1.06519k2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1346.5994-5.15%42.1-14.31%0.0023✓0.97504k2022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012371-5.20%0.00001108-15.10%0.0167✓0.91864k2022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1748.5049-5.21%63.56+24.21%0.3959✗1.2315k2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.366922-5.21%0.3065-20.82%0.0676✓1.10174k2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.022566-5.26%0.02356-1.09%0.1321✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.7448-5.30%7.446+4.55%0.2080✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.2915-5.31%1.172-14.08%0.0285✓1.23534k2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6964.0827-5.33%56.05-17.20%0.0195✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.7944-5.34%8.65-6.89%0.0273✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3417.3604-5.34%15.28-16.68%0.0559✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.86-5.36%1.7684-10.02%0.0581✗1.0633k2022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.3077-5.43%1.8779-23.05%0.0828✓1.2013k2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.292032-5.44%0.279195-9.60%0.0655✗1.08778k2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.687193-5.48%0.576-20.77%0.0390✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.833-5.57%2.966-1.13%0.1106✗0.63693k2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.062-5.57%14.19-16.58%0.0109✓1.10130k2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5111-5.59%1.5171-5.22%0.1154✗1.09388k2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.108188-5.59%0.103-10.12%0.0603✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.321627-5.62%0.39482+15.86%0.2996✗0.92321k2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.566109-5.65%0.467-22.17%0.0813✓1.09102k2022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048873-5.65%0.0388-25.10%0.1328✓0.96827k2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.80947-5.67%0.7708-10.17%0.0609✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.8958-5.67%4.69-9.63%0.0016✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003232-5.67%0.002176-36.49%0.3076✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.5773-5.76%6.75-16.04%0.0011✓1.12638k2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022231-5.76%0.01977-16.19%0.0338✓0.81444k2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.900776-5.78%0.969+1.36%0.1981✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.0648-5.79%10.7456-22.51%0.0974✓0.9640k2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.67e-7-5.79%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0038✓0.8217k2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.4458-5.81%9.52-14.16%0.0279✓1.18439k2022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.8567-5.84%2.471-18.56%0.0163✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0121.6631-5.85%17.97-21.90%0.0547✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.3841-5.87%4.61-19.41%0.0689✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.719-5.91%1.424-22.06%0.0901✓0.96147k2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3361-5.91%1.2-15.49%0.0100✓0.95182k2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001505-5.91%0.001487-7.06%0.0597✓0.709,9742022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.065944-5.91%0.06346-9.46%0.0451✓0.818802022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01912.2366-6.01%14.215+9.19%0.2633✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum108101.4608-6.05%110.81+2.60%0.1747✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.5802-6.07%4.236-13.13%0.0452✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.022013-6.08%0.025913+10.56%0.1746✗0.11239k2022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.063705-6.09%0.063375-6.58%0.0994✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.6582-6.10%1.283-27.35%0.1344✓1.19114k2022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.6148-6.11%5.913-16.07%0.0205✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.0145-6.11%6.21-3.06%0.1266✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.2669-6.12%2.913-16.29%0.0132✓0.9934k2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.1045-6.13%0.9427-19.88%0.0061✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.1239-6.19%1.774-21.64%0.0627✓1.1560k2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.1927-6.29%1.97-15.81%0.0241✓0.81636k2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8139-6.31%1.627-15.96%0.0159✓0.91782k2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.206119-6.35%0.1731-21.35%0.0721✓1.00152k2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8312.9461-6.39%13.99+1.16%0.1927✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.025196-6.40%0.02202-18.20%0.0048✓1.273,2032022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.525274-6.53%0.485-13.70%0.0358✓1.1388k2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.0334-6.55%1.654-23.99%0.0291✓1.73114k2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.051262-6.63%0.042-23.50%0.0975✓0.99256k2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.827135-6.64%0.894+0.90%0.1213✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.678684-6.65%0.595-18.16%0.0417✓0.88253k2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.0601-6.67%6.433-14.96%0.0115✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.36061-6.75%0.3371-12.83%0.0508✓1.15487k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.7237-6.84%1.2188-34.13%0.2374✓1.07862k2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.6805-6.88%5.7-6.56%0.0405✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.078453-6.88%0.07819-7.19%0.0059✓0.09737k2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.114-6.94%1.0827-9.56%0.0984✗1.24981k2022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.4572-6.96%6.74-2.88%0.0818✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.3344-7.07%5.77-15.35%0.0628✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.0336-7.11%3.8939-10.32%0.0195✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.75532-7.33%0.8521+4.54%0.2709✗1.47205k2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.3314-7.57%6.37-7.01%0.0435✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.007573-7.65%0.00707-13.78%0.0482✓1.14513k2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2252-7.67%1.86-22.82%0.0552✓1.21299k2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.3673-8.13%13.17-9.48%0.1108✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.1248-8.26%0.949-22.59%0.0072✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.4099-8.35%1.2661-17.69%0.0120✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,568.43-8.35%8,416.07-9.98%0.1211✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1471.9659-8.44%1.708-20.45%0.0069✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.4843-8.48%4.117-15.98%0.0768✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7632.6381-8.73%24.57-31.29%0.0920✓1.87365k2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.464229-8.78%0.4301-15.48%0.0062✓0.81625k2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.036529-9.04%0.03075-23.43%0.0715✓0.9825k2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.219511-9.44%0.2705+11.59%0.2928✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.095246-9.46%0.092-12.55%0.0365✓0.69247k2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.6751-9.55%5.695-9.23%0.0902✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001386-9.72%0.001069-30.38%0.1802✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.336893-9.85%0.2839-24.03%0.0536✓1.15111k2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3333.5924-10.01%15.34-58.91%0.6934✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.1009-10.22%6.0773+33.04%0.4958✗1.00173k2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4531.8181-10.25%28.88-18.53%0.0491✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.063568-10.48%0.06473-8.84%0.1320✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.2242-10.58%4.075-13.74%0.0625✓0.96172k2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.366215-10.64%0.3044-25.72%0.0545✓1.27152k2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.1819-11.83%6.3531+8.10%0.2201✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61724.9301-12.23%7.2387+28.87%0.4028✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-76.82e-7-15.27%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2121✓0.77180k2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33911.9208-16.86%19.032+32.73%0.5117✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.003087-99.75%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.