STEEM

Steem · native · gru_s4

token id: #558
symbol: STEEM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-04-22
predictions: 4,905

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

66.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1110

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0376

actual -0.0143

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05532	0.050172	-9.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.055205	0.050212	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-20	oos	0.054815	0.049843	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.052715	0.04802	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-18	oos	0.05174	0.047317	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-17	oos	0.0532	0.04885	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-16	oos	0.054185	0.050018	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-15	oos	0.05433	0.050404	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-14	oos	0.05566	0.051602	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-13	oos	0.05768	0.05353	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-12	oos	0.05655	0.052416	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-11	oos	0.06134	0.056922	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.061395	0.056959	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.061355	0.056938	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.060125	0.055589	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.05929	0.05472	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-06	oos	0.06176	0.056993	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-05	oos	0.063135	0.058062	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-04	oos	0.06396	0.05887	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-03	oos	0.063865	0.058638	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.06368	0.058376	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-01	oos	0.06397	0.058646	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.06506	0.059653	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06396	0.058713	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-28	oos	0.06367	0.058516	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.06753	0.061946	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.069305	0.063236	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-25	oos	0.06483	0.05936	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-24	oos	0.06295	0.057261	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.05789	0.053842	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.05947	0.055531	-6.62%	0.05532	-6.98%	0.0107	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.058035	0.054508	-6.08%	0.055205	-4.88%	0.0318	✓	0.64
2026-09-20	oos	0.05707	0.053066	-7.02%	0.054815	-3.95%	0.0173	✓	0.70
2026-09-19	oos	0.05797	0.053679	-7.40%	0.052715	-9.07%	0.0232	✓	0.69
2026-09-18	oos	0.056635	0.052408	-7.46%	0.05174	-8.64%	0.0224	✓	0.69
2026-09-17	oos	0.05423	0.050131	-7.56%	0.0532	-1.90%	0.0156	✓	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.05836	0.053144	-8.94%	0.054185	-7.15%	0.0272	✓	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.057465	0.052268	-9.04%	0.05433	-5.46%	0.0204	✓	0.71
2026-09-14	oos	0.05571	0.050995	-8.46%	0.05566	-0.09%	0.0550	✓	0.77
2026-09-13	oos	0.06011	0.053663	-10.73%	0.05768	-4.04%	0.0080	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.04948	0.046256	-6.52%	0.05655	+14.29%	0.1522	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.044845	0.042563	-5.09%	0.06134	+36.78%	0.2961	✗	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.04404	0.04192	-4.81%	0.061395	+39.41%	0.3128	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.04676	0.044611	-4.60%	0.061355	+31.21%	0.2747	✗	0.83
2026-09-08	oos	0.04577	0.043819	-4.26%	0.060125	+31.36%	0.2824	✗	0.84
2026-09-07	oos	0.04536	0.043871	-3.28%	0.05929	+30.71%	0.2575	✗	0.85
2026-09-06	oos	0.04602	0.044725	-2.81%	0.06176	+34.20%	0.2687	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.04626	0.045183	-2.33%	0.063135	+36.48%	0.2732	✗	0.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.044815	0.044379	-0.97%	0.06396	+42.72%	0.2959	✗	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.044555	0.0444	-0.35%	0.063865	+43.34%	0.3275	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.04263	0.041809	-1.93%	0.06368	+49.38%	0.3402	✗	0.91
2026-09-01	oos	0.042745	0.042036	-1.66%	0.06397	+49.65%	0.3364	✗	0.91
2026-08-31	oos	0.04312	0.042727	-0.91%	0.06506	+50.88%	0.3684	✗	0.85
2026-08-30	oos	0.0429	0.042624	-0.64%	0.06396	+49.09%	0.3414	✗	0.87
2026-08-29	oos	0.04576	0.045484	-0.60%	0.06367	+39.14%	0.2812	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	0.04582	0.045878	+0.13%	0.06753	+47.38%	0.3172	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	0.04507	0.046188	+2.48%	0.069305	+53.77%	0.3613	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.045655	0.046415	+1.67%	0.06483	+42.00%	0.2786	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.04334	0.044482	+2.64%	0.06295	+45.25%	0.2832	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.04452	0.045755	+2.77%	0.05789	+30.03%	0.1772	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.04415	0.045054	+2.05%	0.05947	+34.70%	0.1857	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.04412	0.04484	+1.63%	0.058035	+31.54%	0.1539	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.04245	0.043676	+2.89%	0.05707	+34.44%	0.2351	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.03886	0.039002	+0.37%	0.05797	+49.18%	0.3026	✓	0.88
2026-08-19	oos	0.03661	0.036054	-1.52%	0.056635	+54.70%	0.3180	✗	0.87
2026-08-18	oos	0.034745	0.033769	-2.81%	0.05423	+56.08%	0.3285	✗	0.88
2026-08-17	oos	0.034945	0.033983	-2.75%	0.05836	+67.01%	0.3957	✗	0.87
2026-08-16	oos	0.03495	0.033944	-2.88%	0.057465	+64.42%	0.3618	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.03522	0.034183	-2.95%	0.05571	+58.18%	0.2963	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.035005	0.033945	-3.03%	0.06011	+71.72%	0.3940	✗	0.89
2026-08-13	oos	0.03621	0.034875	-3.69%	0.04948	+36.65%	0.1746	✗	0.89
2026-08-12	oos	0.035705	0.034603	-3.09%	0.044845	+25.60%	0.0852	✗	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.03619	0.035154	-2.86%	0.04404	+21.69%	0.0611	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.036795	0.035745	-2.85%	0.04676	+27.08%	0.0899	✗	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.03712	0.036039	-2.91%	0.04577	+23.30%	0.0706	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.036595	0.035497	-3.00%	0.04536	+23.95%	0.0707	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.036145	0.035187	-2.65%	0.04602	+27.32%	0.0795	✗	0.88
2026-08-06	oos	0.03644	0.03538	-2.91%	0.04626	+26.95%	0.0761	✗	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.036075	0.035079	-2.76%	0.044815	+24.23%	0.0579	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.03611	0.035175	-2.59%	0.044555	+23.39%	0.0243	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.03682	0.035706	-3.03%	0.04263	+15.78%	0.0018	✓	0.89
2026-08-02	oos	0.03635	0.035269	-2.97%	0.042745	+17.59%	0.0084	✓	0.93
2026-08-01	oos	0.03682	0.035575	-3.38%	0.04312	+17.11%	0.0172	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.03668	0.035375	-3.56%	0.0429	+16.96%	0.0049	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.03654	0.035217	-3.62%	0.04576	+25.23%	0.0794	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.03593	0.034532	-3.89%	0.04582	+27.53%	0.0952	✗	0.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.037405	0.036041	-3.65%	0.04507	+20.49%	0.0067	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.0374	0.035997	-3.75%	0.045655	+22.07%	0.0336	✓	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.04009	0.038479	-4.02%	0.04334	+8.11%	0.0471	✓	0.90
2026-07-25	oos	0.03937	0.037813	-3.95%	0.04452	+13.08%	0.0224	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.039155	0.037615	-3.93%	0.04415	+12.76%	0.0126	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.039225	0.037666	-3.98%	0.04412	+12.48%	0.0055	✓	0.90
2026-07-22	oos	0.03986	0.038275	-3.98%	0.04245	+6.50%	0.0488	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.04037	0.038803	-3.88%	0.03886	-3.74%	0.0820	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.03972	0.038151	-3.95%	0.03661	-7.83%	0.0944	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.03926	0.037706	-3.96%	0.034745	-11.50%	0.0818	✓	0.87
2026-07-18	oos	0.039965	0.038355	-4.03%	0.034945	-12.56%	0.0888	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.040115	0.038489	-4.05%	0.03495	-12.88%	0.0816	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.03988	0.038292	-3.98%	0.03522	-11.69%	0.0731	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.04051	0.03892	-3.92%	0.035005	-13.59%	0.0820	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.04028	0.038813	-3.64%	0.03621	-10.10%	0.0478	✓	0.89
2026-07-13	oos	0.03952	0.038077	-3.65%	0.035705	-9.65%	0.0810	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.040685	0.039058	-4.00%	0.03619	-11.05%	0.0733	✓	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	0.041745	0.040109	-3.92%	0.036795	-11.86%	0.0881	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.04083	0.039284	-3.79%	0.03712	-9.09%	0.0662	✓	0.86
2026-07-09	oos	0.04022	0.038716	-3.74%	0.036595	-9.01%	0.0795	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.03999	0.038512	-3.70%	0.036145	-9.61%	0.0989	✓	0.85
2026-07-07	oos	0.040365	0.038852	-3.75%	0.03644	-9.72%	0.0767	✓	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.04201	0.040286	-4.10%	0.036075	-14.13%	0.1184	✓	0.85
2026-07-05	oos	0.0425	0.040675	-4.29%	0.03611	-15.04%	0.1253	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.042585	0.040752	-4.31%	0.03682	-13.54%	0.1066	✓	0.85
2026-07-03	oos	0.04211	0.040303	-4.29%	0.03635	-13.68%	0.1162	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.04088	0.039217	-4.07%	0.03682	-9.93%	0.0800	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.04059	0.038982	-3.96%	0.03668	-9.63%	0.0997	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.03974	0.038246	-3.76%	0.03654	-8.05%	0.1299	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.04106	0.03941	-4.02%	0.03593	-12.49%	0.1426	✓	0.83
2026-06-28	oos	0.04065	0.039055	-3.92%	0.037405	-7.98%	0.1006	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	0.0402	0.038679	-3.78%	0.0374	-6.97%	0.0833	✓	0.82
2026-06-26	oos	0.03971	0.038328	-3.48%	0.04009	+0.96%	0.0244	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.03852	0.037311	-3.14%	0.03937	+2.21%	0.0062	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.0397	0.038461	-3.12%	0.039155	-1.37%	0.0224	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.04059	0.03931	-3.15%	0.039225	-3.36%	0.0333	✓	0.83
2026-06-22	oos	0.04213	0.040752	-3.27%	0.03986	-5.39%	0.0487	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.042895	0.041426	-3.42%	0.04037	-5.89%	0.0668	✓	0.81
2026-06-20	oos	0.04333	0.041883	-3.34%	0.03972	-8.33%	0.0651	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.042835	0.041597	-2.89%	0.03926	-8.35%	0.0727	✓	0.79
2026-06-18	oos	0.04292	0.041762	-2.70%	0.039965	-6.88%	0.0678	✓	0.79
2026-06-17	oos	0.04516	0.043844	-2.91%	0.040115	-11.17%	0.0822	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.04539	0.044088	-2.87%	0.03988	-12.14%	0.0771	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.04584	0.044451	-3.03%	0.04051	-11.63%	0.0728	✓	0.84
2026-06-14	oos	0.04489	0.043524	-3.04%	0.04028	-10.27%	0.0686	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.04466	0.043356	-2.92%	0.03952	-11.51%	0.0651	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.04422	0.043079	-2.58%	0.040685	-7.99%	0.0597	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.04449	0.043341	-2.58%	0.041745	-6.17%	0.0402	✓	0.81
2026-06-10	oos	0.04313	0.042075	-2.45%	0.04083	-5.33%	0.0641	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.04445	0.0432	-2.81%	0.04022	-9.52%	0.0906	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.04614	0.044673	-3.18%	0.03999	-13.33%	0.1003	✓	0.79
2026-06-07	oos	0.04556	0.044173	-3.04%	0.040365	-11.40%	0.0904	✓	0.77
2026-06-06	oos	0.04468	0.043416	-2.83%	0.04201	-5.98%	0.0703	✓	0.74
2026-06-05	oos	0.04436	0.04319	-2.64%	0.0425	-4.19%	0.0444	✓	0.69
2026-06-04	oos	0.04793	0.046265	-3.47%	0.042585	-11.15%	0.0758	✓	0.63
2026-06-03	oos	0.04904	0.047191	-3.77%	0.04211	-14.13%	0.0983	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.04824	0.046432	-3.75%	0.04088	-15.26%	0.0705	✓	0.70
2026-06-01	oos	0.05192	0.049486	-4.69%	0.04059	-21.82%	0.0876	✓	0.64
2026-05-31	oos	0.05316	0.050348	-5.29%	0.03974	-25.24%	0.0890	✓	0.65
2026-05-30	oos	0.05059	0.048402	-4.33%	0.04106	-18.84%	0.0509	✓	0.56
2026-05-29	oos	0.05057	0.048457	-4.18%	0.04065	-19.62%	0.0736	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.051145	0.048918	-4.35%	0.0402	-21.40%	0.1049	✓	0.45
2026-05-27	oos	0.05224	0.049936	-4.41%	0.03971	-23.99%	0.0991	✓	0.61
2026-05-26	oos	0.05245	0.050142	-4.40%	0.03852	-26.56%	0.1335	✓	0.54
2026-05-25	oos	0.05441	0.052207	-4.05%	0.0397	-27.04%	0.1098	✓	0.69
2026-05-24	oos	0.05319	0.051051	-4.02%	0.04059	-23.69%	0.0926	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.05515	0.052575	-4.67%	0.04213	-23.61%	0.0953	✓	0.70
2026-05-22	oos	0.05186	0.049723	-4.12%	0.042895	-17.29%	0.0277	✓	0.68
2026-05-21	oos	0.054185	0.052112	-3.83%	0.04333	-20.03%	0.0595	✓	0.66
2026-05-20	oos	0.05406	0.052021	-3.77%	0.042835	-20.76%	0.0637	✓	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.05444	0.0523	-3.93%	0.04292	-21.16%	0.0695	✓	0.64
2026-05-18	oos	0.05526	0.053015	-4.06%	0.04516	-18.28%	0.0528	✓	0.61
2026-05-17	oos	0.05578	0.053442	-4.19%	0.04539	-18.63%	0.0629	✓	0.61
2026-05-16	oos	0.057255	0.054921	-4.08%	0.04584	-19.94%	0.0818	✓	0.60
2026-05-15	oos	0.05763	0.055308	-4.03%	0.04489	-22.11%	0.0951	✓	0.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.059	0.057053	-3.30%	0.04466	-24.31%	0.1041	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.058195	0.0559	-3.94%	0.04422	-24.01%	0.0971	✓	0.62
2026-05-12	oos	0.05911	0.057026	-3.53%	0.04449	-24.73%	0.1046	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.06026	0.058554	-2.83%	0.04313	-28.43%	0.1377	✓	0.59
2026-05-10	oos	0.06032	0.058847	-2.44%	0.04445	-26.31%	0.1067	✓	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.05928	0.057615	-2.81%	0.04614	-22.17%	0.0741	✓	0.60
2026-05-08	oos	0.06016	0.058282	-3.12%	0.04556	-24.27%	0.1065	✓	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.05847	0.05666	-3.10%	0.04468	-23.58%	0.0790	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.05928	0.057746	-2.59%	0.04436	-25.17%	0.0829	✓	0.63
2026-05-05	oos	0.06141	0.059312	-3.42%	0.04793	-21.95%	0.0424	✓	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.05632	0.054671	-2.93%	0.04904	-12.93%	0.0466	✗	0.70
2026-05-03	oos	0.05611	0.054198	-3.41%	0.04824	-14.03%	0.0028	✓	0.69
2026-05-02	oos	0.05647	0.054688	-3.16%	0.05192	-8.06%	0.0155	✓	0.69
2026-05-01	oos	0.05674	0.054936	-3.18%	0.05316	-6.31%	0.0089	✓	0.68
2026-04-30	oos	0.05608	0.053892	-3.90%	0.05059	-9.79%	0.0396	✓	0.70
2026-04-29	oos	0.05712	0.054713	-4.21%	0.05057	-11.47%	0.0563	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.05747	0.055122	-4.09%	0.051145	-11.01%	0.0477	✓	0.73
2026-04-27	oos	0.05707	0.054961	-3.70%	0.05224	-8.46%	0.0215	✓	0.73
2026-04-26	oos	0.058385	0.056418	-3.37%	0.05245	-10.17%	0.0461	✓	0.73
2026-04-25	oos	0.05857	0.056337	-3.81%	0.05441	-7.10%	0.0310	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.0585	0.056206	-3.92%	0.05319	-9.08%	0.0505	✓	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.05819	0.056122	-3.55%	0.05515	-5.22%	0.0020	✓	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.0583	0.056142	-3.70%	0.05186	-11.05%	0.0528	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.05854	0.055939	-4.44%	0.054185	-7.44%	0.0434	✓	0.74
2026-04-20	oos	0.05884	0.05633	-4.27%	0.05406	-8.12%	0.0568	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	0.057255	0.054611	-4.62%	0.05444	-4.92%	0.0326	✓	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.05909	0.056843	-3.80%	0.05526	-6.48%	0.0401	✓	0.75
2026-04-17	oos	0.060225	0.058313	-3.18%	0.05578	-7.38%	0.0474	✓	0.75
2026-04-16	oos	0.05955	0.057166	-4.00%	0.057255	-3.85%	0.0275	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	0.057685	0.055305	-4.13%	0.05763	-0.10%	0.0002	✓	0.75
2026-04-14	oos	0.05739	0.05495	-4.25%	0.059	+2.81%	0.0036	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.05874	0.056237	-4.26%	0.058195	-0.93%	0.0133	✓	0.75
2026-04-12	oos	0.05736	0.054483	-5.02%	0.05911	+3.05%	0.0198	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	0.057815	0.055303	-4.35%	0.06026	+4.23%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-04-10	oos	0.05853	0.055902	-4.49%	0.06032	+3.06%	0.0174	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	0.05886	0.055994	-4.87%	0.05928	+0.71%	0.0350	✓	0.79
2026-04-08	oos	0.058485	0.055631	-4.88%	0.06016	+2.86%	0.0171	✓	0.79
2026-04-07	oos	0.06026	0.057269	-4.96%	0.05847	-2.97%	0.0635	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	0.05834	0.055204	-5.37%	0.05928	+1.61%	0.0608	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	0.05847	0.055372	-5.30%	0.06141	+5.03%	0.0217	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	0.05871	0.055412	-5.62%	0.05632	-4.07%	0.1206	✓	0.80
2026-04-03	oos	0.05933	0.055904	-5.77%	0.05611	-5.43%	0.1245	✓	0.80
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.053969	-5.65%	0.05647	-1.28%	0.0850	✓	0.80
2026-04-01	oos	0.05917	0.055697	-5.87%	0.05674	-4.11%	0.0923	✓	0.80
2026-03-31	oos	0.05845	0.055014	-5.88%	0.05608	-4.05%	0.0706	✓	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.05936	0.055744	-6.09%	0.05712	-3.77%	0.0789	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	0.05845	0.054749	-6.33%	0.05747	-1.68%	0.0685	✓	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.05739	0.054084	-5.76%	0.05707	-0.56%	0.0695	✓	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.05606	0.05286	-5.71%	0.058385	+4.15%	0.0369	✓	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.05837	0.055328	-5.21%	0.05857	+0.34%	0.0404	✓	0.80
2026-03-25	oos	0.06112	0.058164	-4.84%	0.0585	-4.29%	0.0600	✓	0.79
2026-03-24	oos	0.062585	0.059758	-4.52%	0.05819	-7.02%	0.1098	✓	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	0.05997	0.057663	-3.85%	0.0583	-2.78%	0.0678	✓	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.05921	0.056985	-3.76%	0.05854	-1.13%	0.0690	✓	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.06062	0.058514	-3.47%	0.05884	-2.94%	0.0724	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.06216	0.060126	-3.27%	0.057255	-7.89%	0.0861	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.06104	0.05907	-3.23%	0.05909	-3.19%	0.0640	✓	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.065885	0.063219	-4.05%	0.060225	-8.59%	0.1120	✓	0.80
2026-03-17	oos	0.07013	0.066735	-4.84%	0.05955	-15.09%	0.1269	✓	0.79
2026-03-16	oos	0.06463	0.062321	-3.57%	0.057685	-10.75%	0.0768	✓	0.81
2026-03-15	oos	0.06408	0.061603	-3.87%	0.05739	-10.44%	0.0858	✓	0.82
2026-03-14	oos	0.06369	0.060906	-4.37%	0.05874	-7.77%	0.0725	✓	0.82
2026-03-13	oos	0.05895	0.05692	-3.44%	0.05736	-2.70%	0.0099	✓	0.82
2026-03-12	oos	0.0603	0.058038	-3.75%	0.057815	-4.12%	0.0332	✓	0.83
2026-03-11	oos	0.05837	0.056374	-3.42%	0.05853	+0.27%	0.0055	✓	0.82
2026-03-10	oos	0.0595	0.057375	-3.57%	0.05886	-1.08%	0.0043	✓	0.82
2026-03-09	oos	0.0609	0.058386	-4.13%	0.058485	-3.97%	0.0301	✓	0.83
2026-03-08	oos	0.06144	0.058341	-5.04%	0.06026	-1.92%	0.0416	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.0565	0.054274	-3.94%	0.05834	+3.26%	0.0517	✗	0.88
2026-03-06	oos	0.05531	0.053299	-3.64%	0.05847	+5.71%	0.0812	✗	0.87
2026-03-05	oos	0.05819	0.055922	-3.90%	0.05871	+0.89%	0.0937	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.0597	0.057361	-3.92%	0.05933	-0.62%	0.1044	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.0579	0.055871	-3.50%	0.0572	-1.21%	0.0423	✗	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.0607	0.058252	-4.03%	0.05917	-2.52%	0.0249	✓	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.0638	0.060556	-5.08%	0.05845	-8.39%	0.0695	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0564	0.054718	-2.98%	0.05936	+5.25%	0.0847	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.0614	0.058838	-4.17%	0.05845	-4.80%	0.0081	✓	0.99
2026-02-26	oos	0.0793	0.071727	-9.55%	0.05739	-27.63%	0.2068	✓	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.059	0.056472	-4.29%	0.05606	-4.98%	0.0156	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.0511	0.049722	-2.70%	0.05837	+14.23%	0.0990	✗	0.87
2026-02-23	oos	0.046	0.045318	-1.48%	0.06112	+32.87%	0.2148	✗	0.86
2026-02-22	oos	0.0487	0.047774	-1.90%	0.062585	+28.51%	0.2344	✗	0.84
2026-02-21	oos	0.0491	0.04818	-1.87%	0.05997	+22.14%	0.1832	✗	0.85
2026-02-20	oos	0.0503	0.049288	-2.01%	0.05921	+17.71%	0.1852	✗	0.85
2026-02-19	oos	0.0511	0.049914	-2.32%	0.06062	+18.63%	0.1700	✗	0.85
2026-02-18	oos	0.0559	0.053786	-3.78%	0.06216	+11.20%	0.0929	✗	0.87
2026-02-17	oos	0.052	0.050719	-2.46%	0.06104	+17.38%	0.1540	✗	0.88
2026-02-16	oos	0.0528	0.051363	-2.72%	0.065885	+24.78%	0.2192	✗	0.88
2026-02-15	oos	0.05245	0.050986	-2.79%	0.07013	+33.71%	0.2557	✗	0.88
2026-02-14	oos	0.05455	0.052742	-3.31%	0.06463	+18.48%	0.1419	✗	0.87
2026-02-13	oos	0.0534	0.051768	-3.06%	0.06408	+20.00%	0.1640	✗	0.87
2026-02-12	oos	0.0517	0.050379	-2.55%	0.06369	+23.19%	0.1707	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0507	0.049499	-2.37%	0.05895	+16.27%	0.1269	✗	0.84
2026-02-10	oos	0.0503	0.049122	-2.34%	0.0603	+19.88%	0.1836	✗	0.87
2026-02-09	oos	0.0526	0.051083	-2.88%	0.05837	+10.97%	0.1321	✗	0.86
2026-02-08	oos	0.0515	0.050126	-2.67%	0.0595	+15.53%	0.1753	✗	0.85
2026-02-07	oos	0.05305	0.05146	-3.00%	0.0609	+14.80%	0.1786	✗	0.86
2026-02-06	oos	0.0523	0.050707	-3.05%	0.06144	+17.48%	0.2494	✗	0.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.0477	0.047063	-1.33%	0.0565	+18.45%	0.1229	✗	0.87
2026-02-04	oos	0.0549	0.0527	-4.01%	0.05531	+0.75%	0.1106	✗	0.90
2026-02-03	oos	0.0559	0.053342	-4.58%	0.05819	+4.10%	0.1450	✗	0.89
2026-02-02	oos	0.0559	0.052993	-5.20%	0.0597	+6.80%	0.1934	✗	0.94
2026-02-01	oos	0.05635	0.05338	-5.27%	0.0579	+2.75%	0.1936	✗	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.0561	0.053155	-5.25%	0.0607	+8.20%	0.2690	✗	1.02
2026-01-30	oos	0.06015	0.056783	-5.60%	0.0638	+6.07%	0.3675	✗	1.02
2026-01-29	oos	0.0598	0.056471	-5.57%	0.0564	-5.69%	0.2370	✗	1.02
2026-01-28	oos	0.06475	0.06116	-5.54%	0.0614	-5.17%	0.3049	✗	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.066	0.062147	-5.84%	0.0793	+20.15%	0.5251	✗	1.01
2026-01-26	oos	0.0657	0.062073	-5.52%	0.059	-10.20%	0.2092	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.0637	0.060333	-5.29%	0.0511	-19.78%	0.1331	✗	0.99
2026-01-24	oos	0.0656	0.062266	-5.08%	0.046	-29.88%	0.0165	✓	0.99
2026-01-23	oos	0.06565	0.06241	-4.94%	0.0487	-25.82%	0.0319	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.0646	0.061554	-4.72%	0.0491	-23.99%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.06535	0.0623	-4.67%	0.0503	-23.03%	0.0588	✗	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.0637	0.060749	-4.63%	0.0511	-19.78%	0.0965	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.0672	0.063937	-4.86%	0.0559	-16.82%	0.1868	✗	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.0685	0.065062	-5.02%	0.052	-24.09%	0.0931	✗	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0712	0.067669	-4.96%	0.0528	-25.84%	0.0588	✗	0.95
2026-01-16	oos	0.0718	0.068199	-5.02%	0.05245	-26.95%	0.0501	✓	0.95
2026-01-15	oos	0.071	0.067483	-4.95%	0.05455	-23.17%	0.0870	✗	0.95
2026-01-14	oos	0.07465	0.071121	-4.73%	0.0534	-28.47%	0.0364	✓	0.94
2026-01-13	oos	0.07535	0.071717	-4.82%	0.0517	-31.39%	0.0239	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.06985	0.066444	-4.88%	0.0507	-27.42%	0.0134	✓	0.92
2026-01-11	oos	0.0719	0.068452	-4.80%	0.0503	-30.04%	0.0482	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.07405	0.070287	-5.08%	0.0526	-28.97%	0.0489	✓	0.95
2026-01-09	oos	0.07605	0.071833	-5.55%	0.0515	-32.28%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.07755	0.072702	-6.25%	0.05305	-31.59%	0.0480	✓	0.98
2026-01-07	oos	0.0741	0.069848	-5.74%	0.0523	-29.42%	0.0531	✓	1.33
2026-01-06	oos	0.0745	0.070351	-5.57%	0.0477	-35.97%	0.1503	✗	1.35
2026-01-05	oos	0.0732	0.069129	-5.56%	0.0549	-25.00%	0.1086	✗	1.35
2026-01-04	oos	0.0707	0.066845	-5.45%	0.0559	-20.93%	0.0784	✗	1.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.0695	0.06585	-5.25%	0.0559	-19.57%	0.0273	✓	1.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.0678	0.06436	-5.07%	0.05635	-16.89%	0.0784	✗	1.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.0667	0.063527	-4.76%	0.0561	-15.89%	0.0378	✓	1.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.0654	0.062617	-4.25%	0.06015	-8.03%	0.0127	✓	1.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.0689	0.065783	-4.52%	0.0598	-13.21%	0.0358	✓	1.33
2025-12-29	oos	0.0722	0.068438	-5.21%	0.06475	-10.32%	0.0871	✓	1.36
2025-12-28	oos	0.07	0.066395	-5.15%	0.066	-5.71%	0.0251	✓	1.37
2025-12-27	oos	0.0685	0.065392	-4.54%	0.0657	-4.09%	0.0021	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.06445	0.061889	-3.97%	0.0637	-1.16%	0.0401	✓	1.33
2025-12-25	oos	0.0647	0.06206	-4.08%	0.0656	+1.39%	0.0267	✓	1.33
2025-12-24	oos	0.0644	0.062121	-3.54%	0.06565	+1.94%	0.0271	✓	1.33
2025-12-23	oos	0.06405	0.061925	-3.32%	0.0646	+0.86%	0.0114	✓	1.34
2025-12-22	oos	0.06415	0.062128	-3.15%	0.06535	+1.87%	0.0384	✗	1.34
2025-12-21	oos	0.0632	0.061286	-3.03%	0.0637	+0.79%	0.0436	✗	1.34
2025-12-20	oos	0.0645	0.062524	-3.06%	0.0672	+4.19%	0.0085	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.0646	0.062609	-3.08%	0.0685	+6.04%	0.0070	✓	1.36
2025-12-18	oos	0.0611	0.059207	-3.10%	0.0712	+16.53%	0.0404	✗	1.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.06245	0.060469	-3.17%	0.0718	+14.97%	0.0337	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.06615	0.063838	-3.49%	0.071	+7.33%	0.0067	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	0.066	0.063642	-3.57%	0.07465	+13.11%	0.0046	✓	1.35
2025-12-14	oos	0.06825	0.065673	-3.78%	0.07535	+10.40%	0.0319	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	0.07075	0.068033	-3.84%	0.06985	-1.27%	0.0126	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	0.0698	0.06729	-3.60%	0.0719	+3.01%	0.0575	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	0.07115	0.068677	-3.48%	0.07405	+4.08%	0.1074	✗	1.35
2025-12-10	oos	0.07295	0.070296	-3.64%	0.07605	+4.25%	0.1013	✗	1.36
2025-12-09	oos	0.0745	0.07165	-3.83%	0.07755	+4.09%	0.1037	✗	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	0.0725	0.069766	-3.77%	0.0741	+2.21%	0.0510	✗	1.34
2025-12-07	oos	0.0723	0.069657	-3.66%	0.0745	+3.04%	0.0188	✓	1.34
2025-12-06	oos	0.07495	0.072043	-3.88%	0.0732	-2.33%	0.0524	✓	1.36
2025-12-05	oos	0.0741	0.07128	-3.81%	0.0707	-4.59%	0.0405	✓	1.36
2025-12-04	oos	0.07555	0.072726	-3.74%	0.0695	-8.01%	0.0228	✓	1.38
2025-12-03	oos	0.0772	0.074392	-3.64%	0.0678	-12.18%	0.0402	✓	1.38
2025-12-02	oos	0.0759	0.0733	-3.43%	0.0667	-12.12%	0.0548	✓	1.39
2025-12-01	oos	0.0728	0.070531	-3.12%	0.0654	-10.16%	0.0957	✓	1.44
2025-11-30	oos	0.0765	0.07403	-3.23%	0.0689	-9.93%	0.0397	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.0779	0.075342	-3.28%	0.0722	-7.32%	0.0179	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.0773	0.07481	-3.22%	0.07	-9.44%	0.0175	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.0784	0.075779	-3.34%	0.0685	-12.63%	0.0442	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.07625	0.073872	-3.12%	0.06445	-15.48%	0.0854	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.0766	0.074284	-3.02%	0.0647	-15.54%	0.1355	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.0744	0.072283	-2.85%	0.0644	-13.44%	0.1043	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.0723	0.070415	-2.61%	0.06405	-11.41%	0.1054	✓	1.49
2025-11-22	oos	0.0716	0.069861	-2.43%	0.06415	-10.41%	0.1527	✓	1.51
2025-11-21	oos	0.07155	0.069815	-2.42%	0.0632	-11.67%	0.1613	✓	1.50
2025-11-20	oos	0.0737	0.071627	-2.81%	0.0645	-12.48%	0.1355	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.0766	0.074138	-3.21%	0.0646	-15.67%	0.0785	✓	1.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.0769	0.07444	-3.20%	0.0611	-20.55%	0.0652	✓	1.58
2025-11-17	oos	0.0759	0.073478	-3.19%	0.06245	-17.72%	0.0573	✓	1.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.077	0.074498	-3.25%	0.06615	-14.09%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2025-11-15	oos	0.07925	0.076567	-3.39%	0.066	-16.72%	0.0124	✓	1.60
2025-11-14	oos	0.07825	0.075891	-3.01%	0.06825	-12.78%	0.0050	✓	1.60
2025-11-13	oos	0.07785	0.075649	-2.83%	0.07075	-9.12%	0.1049	✗	1.74
2025-11-12	oos	0.0851	0.082209	-3.40%	0.0698	-17.98%	0.0387	✗	1.71
2025-11-11	oos	0.0839	0.081084	-3.36%	0.07115	-15.20%	0.0541	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	0.0852	0.082519	-3.15%	0.07295	-14.38%	0.1206	✗	1.73
2025-11-09	oos	0.08535	0.082576	-3.25%	0.0745	-12.71%	0.1094	✗	1.74
2025-11-08	oos	0.08555	0.082764	-3.26%	0.0725	-15.25%	0.0819	✗	1.78
2025-11-07	oos	0.0872	0.08414	-3.51%	0.0723	-17.09%	0.0799	✗	1.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.07805	0.076036	-2.58%	0.07495	-3.97%	0.1991	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.077	0.075214	-2.32%	0.0741	-3.77%	0.2450	✗	1.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.07335	0.071972	-1.88%	0.07555	+3.00%	0.2154	✗	1.72
2025-11-03	oos	0.0765	0.074858	-2.15%	0.0772	+0.92%	0.2656	✗	1.79
2025-11-02	oos	0.0856	0.083392	-2.58%	0.0759	-11.33%	0.2392	✗	1.74
2025-11-01	oos	0.08575	0.083717	-2.37%	0.0728	-15.10%	0.2865	✗	1.75
2025-10-31	oos	0.08415	0.082283	-2.22%	0.0765	-9.09%	0.2627	✗	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.0826	0.08082	-2.15%	0.0779	-5.69%	0.2698	✗	1.74
2025-10-29	oos	0.08805	0.085796	-2.56%	0.0773	-12.21%	0.2238	✗	1.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.088	0.085766	-2.54%	0.0784	-10.91%	0.2849	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.0911	0.088339	-3.03%	0.07625	-16.30%	0.2614	✗	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.09295	0.089806	-3.38%	0.0766	-17.59%	0.3186	✗	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.0902	0.087161	-3.37%	0.0744	-17.52%	0.2604	✗	1.78
2025-10-24	oos	0.0905	0.087312	-3.52%	0.0723	-20.11%	0.2508	✗	1.79
2025-10-23	oos	0.08985	0.086427	-3.81%	0.0716	-20.31%	0.2806	✗	1.79
2025-10-22	oos	0.09025	0.0867	-3.93%	0.07155	-20.72%	0.2339	✗	1.81
2025-10-21	oos	0.0916	0.087757	-4.20%	0.0737	-19.54%	0.2340	✗	1.82
2025-10-20	oos	0.09385	0.089473	-4.66%	0.0766	-18.38%	0.1941	✗	1.84
2025-10-19	oos	0.09405	0.089782	-4.54%	0.0769	-18.23%	0.1346	✗	1.85
2025-10-18	oos	0.09235	0.088412	-4.26%	0.0759	-17.81%	0.1284	✗	1.85
2025-10-17	oos	0.09185	0.088125	-4.06%	0.077	-16.17%	0.0912	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.0938	0.089882	-4.18%	0.07925	-15.51%	0.1044	✗	1.85
2025-10-15	oos	0.0974	0.093359	-4.15%	0.07825	-19.66%	0.1176	✗	1.85
2025-10-14	oos	0.1006	0.096622	-3.95%	0.07785	-22.61%	0.0186	✓	1.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.1041	0.100321	-3.63%	0.0851	-18.25%	0.0694	✗	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.0988	0.095532	-3.31%	0.0839	-15.08%	0.0722	✗	1.82
2025-10-11	oos	0.0914	0.088753	-2.90%	0.0852	-6.78%	0.0389	✗	1.80
2025-10-10	oos	0.0898	0.087256	-2.83%	0.08535	-4.96%	0.1185	✗	1.84
2025-10-09	oos	0.11885	0.116081	-2.33%	0.08555	-28.02%	0.0704	✓	1.35
2025-10-08	oos	0.12145	0.119049	-1.98%	0.0872	-28.20%	0.0711	✓	1.35
2025-10-07	oos	0.11815	0.115444	-2.29%	0.07805	-33.94%	0.1563	✓	1.30
2025-10-06	oos	0.1242	0.122118	-1.68%	0.077	-38.00%	0.2265	✓	1.28
2025-10-05	oos	0.12215	0.120043	-1.73%	0.07335	-39.95%	0.2404	✓	1.28
2025-10-04	oos	0.12205	0.120042	-1.65%	0.0765	-37.32%	0.2733	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.12595	0.123835	-1.68%	0.0856	-32.04%	0.2403	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1248	0.122345	-1.97%	0.08575	-31.29%	0.2383	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.12445	0.121534	-2.34%	0.08415	-32.38%	0.2640	✓	1.30
2025-09-30	oos	0.1172	0.114127	-2.62%	0.0826	-29.52%	0.2572	✓	1.28
2025-09-29	oos	0.11775	0.114454	-2.80%	0.08805	-25.22%	0.2109	✓	1.33
2025-09-28	oos	0.1185	0.114671	-3.23%	0.088	-25.74%	0.2734	✓	1.38
2025-09-27	oos	0.1174	0.113212	-3.57%	0.0911	-22.40%	0.2724	✓	1.40
2025-09-26	oos	0.11805	0.113665	-3.71%	0.09295	-21.26%	0.2622	✓	1.41
2025-09-25	oos	0.1149	0.110516	-3.82%	0.0902	-21.50%	0.2366	✓	1.41
2025-09-24	oos	0.12285	0.117772	-4.13%	0.0905	-26.33%	0.2350	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.12205	0.116963	-4.17%	0.08985	-26.38%	0.2399	✓	1.39
2025-09-22	oos	0.12175	0.116465	-4.34%	0.09025	-25.87%	0.1907	✓	1.38
2025-09-21	oos	0.1298	0.123694	-4.70%	0.0916	-29.43%	0.2173	✓	1.34
2025-09-20	oos	0.1324	0.125883	-4.92%	0.09385	-29.12%	0.2304	✓	1.38
2025-09-19	oos	0.13165	0.125208	-4.89%	0.09405	-28.56%	0.1997	✓	1.38
2025-09-18	oos	0.1366	0.129672	-5.07%	0.09235	-32.39%	0.2171	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.