TRX

TRON · Tron · gru_s4

token id: #23
symbol: TRX
variant: –
chain: Tron
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

36.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0540

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0167

actual +0.0098

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.330446	0.32125	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.330535	0.324114	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.33119	0.323756	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.331815	0.323363	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.33229	0.323788	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.333361	0.324726	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.335033	0.32705	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.332252	0.325321	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.332097	0.324721	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.327001	0.321518	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	0.328674	0.321799	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.329961	0.324544	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-10	oos	0.330588	0.324419	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-09	oos	0.331647	0.325276	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-08	oos	0.332454	0.325446	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-07	oos	0.335278	0.328721	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.335352	0.329693	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-05	oos	0.336077	0.329968	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.335617	0.329972	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.33543	0.329272	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.334614	0.32866	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.334643	0.32904	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.337228	0.33049	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.334363	0.328209	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.335352	0.329069	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.333425	0.328193	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.334209	0.329797	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-25	oos	0.338144	0.33496	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.340168	0.338425	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-23	oos	0.342168	0.341367	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-22	oos	0.34201	0.344653	+0.77%	0.330446	-3.38%	0.0371	✗	0.22
2026-09-21	oos	0.344652	0.348985	+1.26%	0.330535	-4.10%	0.0479	✗	0.21
2026-09-20	oos	0.342473	0.340269	-0.64%	0.33119	-3.29%	0.0321	✓	0.23
2026-09-19	oos	0.339717	0.338085	-0.48%	0.331815	-2.33%	0.0205	✓	0.24
2026-09-18	oos	0.338267	0.336778	-0.44%	0.33229	-1.77%	0.0167	✓	0.23
2026-09-17	oos	0.334636	0.330336	-1.28%	0.333361	-0.38%	0.0062	✓	0.24
2026-09-16	oos	0.335377	0.332029	-1.00%	0.335033	-0.10%	0.0074	✓	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.33273	0.330119	-0.78%	0.332252	-0.14%	0.0134	✓	0.24
2026-09-14	oos	0.338015	0.33732	-0.21%	0.332097	-1.75%	0.0249	✓	0.22
2026-09-13	oos	0.33818	0.336956	-0.36%	0.327001	-3.31%	0.0475	✓	0.22
2026-09-12	oos	0.3397	0.34012	+0.12%	0.328674	-3.25%	0.0465	✗	0.22
2026-09-11	oos	0.338558	0.339618	+0.31%	0.329961	-2.54%	0.0468	✗	0.22
2026-09-10	oos	0.33985	0.340368	+0.15%	0.330588	-2.73%	0.0472	✗	0.23
2026-09-09	oos	0.338853	0.341501	+0.78%	0.331647	-2.13%	0.0416	✗	0.23
2026-09-08	oos	0.338709	0.342563	+1.14%	0.332454	-1.85%	0.0385	✗	0.21
2026-09-07	oos	0.3345	0.340066	+1.66%	0.335278	+0.23%	0.0254	✗	0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.335129	0.342221	+2.12%	0.335352	+0.07%	0.0343	✗	0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.333838	0.342678	+2.65%	0.336077	+0.67%	0.0354	✗	0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.331466	0.342355	+3.29%	0.335617	+1.25%	0.0382	✗	0.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.33072	0.343403	+3.83%	0.33543	+1.42%	0.0329	✓	0.22
2026-09-02	oos	0.325048	0.334164	+2.80%	0.334614	+2.94%	0.0212	✓	0.25
2026-09-01	oos	0.322146	0.331061	+2.77%	0.334643	+3.88%	0.0126	✓	0.25
2026-08-31	oos	0.332446	0.339928	+2.25%	0.337228	+1.44%	0.0219	✓	0.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.33612	0.341648	+1.64%	0.334363	-0.52%	0.0407	✗	0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.340873	0.347622	+1.98%	0.335352	-1.62%	0.0532	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.341291	0.348767	+2.19%	0.333425	-2.30%	0.0667	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.337747	0.349283	+3.42%	0.334209	-1.05%	0.0583	✗	0.28
2026-08-26	oos	0.336069	0.346605	+3.14%	0.338144	+0.62%	0.0423	✗	0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.336231	0.345264	+2.69%	0.340168	+1.17%	0.0361	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.344983	0.353307	+2.41%	0.342168	-0.82%	0.0517	✗	0.30
2026-08-23	oos	0.343915	0.351199	+2.12%	0.34201	-0.55%	0.0566	✗	0.29
2026-08-22	oos	0.344215	0.351581	+2.14%	0.344652	+0.13%	0.0541	✗	0.29
2026-08-21	oos	0.34349	0.35443	+3.19%	0.342473	-0.30%	0.0449	✗	0.30
2026-08-20	oos	0.337372	0.340456	+0.91%	0.339717	+0.70%	0.0342	✗	0.30
2026-08-19	oos	0.334401	0.331865	-0.76%	0.338267	+1.16%	0.0287	✓	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.332481	0.325125	-2.21%	0.334636	+0.65%	0.0290	✓	0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.33098	0.323324	-2.31%	0.335377	+1.33%	0.0216	✓	0.35
2026-08-16	oos	0.33078	0.321915	-2.68%	0.33273	+0.59%	0.0332	✓	0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.330907	0.322415	-2.57%	0.338015	+2.15%	0.0299	✓	0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.332395	0.324473	-2.38%	0.33818	+1.74%	0.0296	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.334274	0.326272	-2.39%	0.3397	+1.62%	0.0293	✓	0.35
2026-08-12	oos	0.335962	0.327477	-2.53%	0.338558	+0.77%	0.0357	✓	0.35
2026-08-11	oos	0.334831	0.326728	-2.42%	0.33985	+1.50%	0.0265	✓	0.35
2026-08-10	oos	0.33049	0.322141	-2.53%	0.338853	+2.53%	0.0210	✓	0.35
2026-08-09	oos	0.329642	0.321434	-2.49%	0.338709	+2.75%	0.0155	✓	0.36
2026-08-08	oos	0.328726	0.320471	-2.51%	0.3345	+1.76%	0.0275	✓	0.36
2026-08-07	oos	0.327402	0.319403	-2.44%	0.335129	+2.36%	0.0270	✓	0.35
2026-08-06	oos	0.326822	0.318557	-2.53%	0.333838	+2.15%	0.0293	✓	0.35
2026-08-05	oos	0.327089	0.318964	-2.48%	0.331466	+1.34%	0.0353	✓	0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.326906	0.318368	-2.61%	0.33072	+1.17%	0.0442	✓	0.35
2026-08-03	oos	0.328586	0.31891	-2.94%	0.325048	-1.08%	0.0499	✓	0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.326491	0.316445	-3.08%	0.322146	-1.33%	0.0519	✓	0.35
2026-08-01	oos	0.327663	0.317212	-3.19%	0.332446	+1.46%	0.0332	✓	0.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.32567	0.315488	-3.13%	0.33612	+3.21%	0.0124	✓	0.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.328323	0.318981	-2.85%	0.340873	+3.82%	0.0020	✓	0.36
2026-07-29	oos	0.325346	0.316386	-2.75%	0.341291	+4.90%	0.0064	✓	0.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.324413	0.315903	-2.62%	0.337747	+4.11%	0.0141	✓	0.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.324688	0.315994	-2.68%	0.336069	+3.51%	0.0147	✓	0.35
2026-07-26	oos	0.332125	0.323927	-2.47%	0.336231	+1.24%	0.0258	✓	0.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.331311	0.32355	-2.34%	0.344983	+4.13%	0.0058	✓	0.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.330574	0.323472	-2.15%	0.343915	+4.04%	0.0037	✓	0.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.328678	0.322203	-1.97%	0.344215	+4.73%	0.0084	✓	0.34
2026-07-22	oos	0.328782	0.323755	-1.53%	0.34349	+4.47%	0.0002	✓	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.329551	0.325548	-1.21%	0.337372	+2.37%	0.0034	✓	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.326659	0.321873	-1.47%	0.334401	+2.37%	0.0182	✗	0.33
2026-07-19	oos	0.32669	0.321414	-1.62%	0.332481	+1.77%	0.0339	✗	0.33
2026-07-18	oos	0.325597	0.32125	-1.34%	0.33098	+1.65%	0.0314	✗	0.32
2026-07-17	oos	0.322468	0.318181	-1.33%	0.33078	+2.58%	0.0441	✗	0.32
2026-07-16	oos	0.322999	0.318832	-1.29%	0.330907	+2.45%	0.0409	✗	0.31
2026-07-15	oos	0.324321	0.321198	-0.96%	0.332395	+2.49%	0.0426	✗	0.31
2026-07-14	oos	0.325675	0.322589	-0.95%	0.334274	+2.64%	0.0430	✗	0.31
2026-07-13	oos	0.323934	0.318761	-1.60%	0.335962	+3.71%	0.0467	✗	0.32
2026-07-12	oos	0.331243	0.325741	-1.66%	0.334831	+1.08%	0.0285	✗	0.31
2026-07-11	oos	0.329608	0.324586	-1.52%	0.33049	+0.27%	0.0174	✗	0.28
2026-07-10	oos	0.330283	0.326037	-1.29%	0.329642	-0.19%	0.0081	✓	0.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.331937	0.326596	-1.61%	0.328726	-0.97%	0.0007	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	0.328199	0.323171	-1.53%	0.327402	-0.24%	0.0022	✓	0.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.33143	0.326443	-1.50%	0.326822	-1.39%	0.0027	✓	0.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.329427	0.324615	-1.46%	0.327089	-0.71%	0.0052	✓	0.26
2026-07-05	oos	0.329027	0.323974	-1.54%	0.326906	-0.64%	0.0073	✓	0.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.324947	0.319986	-1.53%	0.328586	+1.12%	0.0251	✗	0.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.323195	0.318759	-1.37%	0.326491	+1.02%	0.0204	✗	0.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.317229	0.312497	-1.49%	0.327663	+3.29%	0.0427	✗	0.23
2026-07-01	oos	0.315691	0.310366	-1.69%	0.32567	+3.16%	0.0375	✗	0.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.31495	0.309375	-1.77%	0.328323	+4.25%	0.0365	✗	0.23
2026-06-29	oos	0.320879	0.315233	-1.76%	0.325346	+1.39%	0.0184	✗	0.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.3217	0.31603	-1.76%	0.324413	+0.84%	0.0118	✓	0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.320827	0.315514	-1.66%	0.324688	+1.20%	0.0165	✓	0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.320055	0.314583	-1.71%	0.332125	+3.77%	0.0374	✗	0.20
2026-06-25	oos	0.323441	0.317142	-1.95%	0.331311	+2.43%	0.0289	✗	0.20
2026-06-24	oos	0.327041	0.320493	-2.00%	0.330574	+1.08%	0.0215	✗	0.19
2026-06-23	oos	0.328831	0.321949	-2.09%	0.328678	-0.05%	0.0134	✓	0.19
2026-06-22	oos	0.333735	0.326505	-2.17%	0.328782	-1.48%	0.0005	✓	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.327378	0.320372	-2.14%	0.329551	+0.66%	0.0186	✓	0.19
2026-06-20	oos	0.326381	0.319888	-1.99%	0.326659	+0.09%	0.0183	✓	0.17
2026-06-19	oos	0.323618	0.317215	-1.98%	0.32669	+0.95%	0.0262	✗	0.17
2026-06-18	oos	0.320497	0.314573	-1.85%	0.325597	+1.59%	0.0295	✗	0.16
2026-06-17	oos	0.321564	0.315261	-1.96%	0.322468	+0.28%	0.0240	✗	0.17
2026-06-16	oos	0.316718	0.311209	-1.74%	0.322999	+1.98%	0.0422	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.318097	0.312415	-1.79%	0.324321	+1.96%	0.0416	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	0.321611	0.315274	-1.97%	0.325675	+1.26%	0.0343	✗	0.17
2026-06-13	oos	0.317191	0.311172	-1.90%	0.323934	+2.13%	0.0454	✗	0.15
2026-06-12	oos	0.315238	0.309813	-1.72%	0.331243	+5.08%	0.0664	✗	0.15
2026-06-11	oos	0.31668	0.311016	-1.79%	0.329608	+4.08%	0.0576	✗	0.15
2026-06-10	oos	0.320766	0.314457	-1.97%	0.330283	+2.97%	0.0417	✗	0.17
2026-06-09	oos	0.322665	0.315746	-2.14%	0.331937	+2.87%	0.0459	✗	0.17
2026-06-08	oos	0.326604	0.31911	-2.29%	0.328199	+0.49%	0.0303	✗	0.17
2026-06-07	oos	0.326696	0.319359	-2.25%	0.33143	+1.45%	0.0370	✗	0.16
2026-06-06	oos	0.324237	0.317621	-2.04%	0.329427	+1.60%	0.0292	✗	0.14
2026-06-05	oos	0.319993	0.313903	-1.90%	0.329027	+2.82%	0.0413	✗	0.14
2026-06-04	oos	0.332188	0.324105	-2.43%	0.324947	-2.18%	0.0037	✓	0.10
2026-06-03	oos	0.33273	0.324376	-2.51%	0.323195	-2.87%	0.0013	✓	0.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.3322	0.323685	-2.56%	0.317229	-4.51%	0.0117	✓	0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.343145	0.333515	-2.81%	0.315691	-8.00%	0.0413	✓	0.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.350985	0.340869	-2.88%	0.31495	-10.27%	0.0652	✓	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.347681	0.338428	-2.66%	0.320879	-7.71%	0.0397	✓	0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.343942	0.335206	-2.54%	0.3217	-6.47%	0.0269	✓	0.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.352531	0.342688	-2.79%	0.320827	-8.99%	0.0531	✓	0.06
2026-05-27	oos	0.367571	0.356224	-3.09%	0.320055	-12.93%	0.0950	✓	0.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.375186	0.363983	-2.99%	0.323441	-13.79%	0.1076	✓	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	0.371457	0.361338	-2.72%	0.327041	-11.96%	0.0884	✓	0.05
2026-05-24	oos	0.365216	0.354999	-2.80%	0.328831	-9.96%	0.0670	✓	0.05
2026-05-23	oos	0.362559	0.352479	-2.78%	0.333735	-7.95%	0.0400	✓	0.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.361787	0.351326	-2.89%	0.327378	-9.51%	0.0563	✓	0.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.36504	0.355867	-2.51%	0.326381	-10.59%	0.0725	✓	0.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.358858	0.350347	-2.37%	0.323618	-9.82%	0.0647	✓	0.07
2026-05-19	oos	0.355896	0.346896	-2.53%	0.320497	-9.95%	0.0640	✓	0.08
2026-05-18	oos	0.355383	0.346258	-2.57%	0.321564	-9.52%	0.0596	✓	0.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.355186	0.346517	-2.44%	0.316718	-10.83%	0.0758	✓	0.09
2026-05-16	oos	0.355016	0.347348	-2.16%	0.318097	-10.40%	0.0740	✓	0.09
2026-05-15	oos	0.351988	0.346039	-1.69%	0.321611	-8.63%	0.0564	✓	0.09
2026-05-14	oos	0.353739	0.350196	-1.00%	0.317191	-10.33%	0.0791	✓	0.09
2026-05-13	oos	0.349463	0.344775	-1.34%	0.315238	-9.79%	0.0707	✓	0.09
2026-05-12	oos	0.349142	0.346336	-0.80%	0.31668	-9.30%	0.0698	✓	0.08
2026-05-11	oos	0.351123	0.349792	-0.38%	0.320766	-8.65%	0.0637	✓	0.08
2026-05-10	oos	0.350665	0.348697	-0.56%	0.322665	-7.98%	0.0539	✓	0.08
2026-05-09	oos	0.350228	0.34813	-0.60%	0.326604	-6.75%	0.0433	✓	0.08
2026-05-08	oos	0.350468	0.34924	-0.35%	0.326696	-6.78%	0.0473	✓	0.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.349003	0.348334	-0.19%	0.324237	-7.10%	0.0509	✓	0.08
2026-05-06	oos	0.346266	0.34807	+0.52%	0.319993	-7.59%	0.0576	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.34474	0.345971	+0.36%	0.332188	-3.64%	0.0013	✓	0.17
2026-05-04	oos	0.341036	0.341711	+0.20%	0.33273	-2.44%	0.0103	✓	0.17
2026-05-03	oos	0.338568	0.337068	-0.44%	0.3322	-1.88%	0.0118	✗	0.16
2026-05-02	oos	0.330066	0.32887	-0.36%	0.343145	+3.96%	0.0580	✗	0.16
2026-05-01	oos	0.326899	0.326022	-0.27%	0.350985	+7.37%	0.0835	✗	0.16
2026-04-30	oos	0.32652	0.323924	-0.79%	0.347681	+6.48%	0.0766	✗	0.17
2026-04-29	oos	0.323033	0.32086	-0.67%	0.343942	+6.47%	0.0750	✗	0.17
2026-04-28	oos	0.323197	0.321966	-0.38%	0.352531	+9.08%	0.0970	✗	0.17
2026-04-27	oos	0.325382	0.324341	-0.32%	0.367571	+12.97%	0.1319	✗	0.17
2026-04-26	oos	0.323432	0.322556	-0.27%	0.375186	+16.00%	0.1573	✗	0.17
2026-04-25	oos	0.323999	0.322889	-0.34%	0.371457	+14.65%	0.1410	✗	0.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.323383	0.321112	-0.70%	0.365216	+12.94%	0.1297	✗	0.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.328929	0.326483	-0.74%	0.362559	+10.22%	0.1083	✗	0.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.329709	0.328085	-0.49%	0.361787	+9.73%	0.1037	✗	0.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.332838	0.328729	-1.23%	0.36504	+9.67%	0.1021	✗	0.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.329101	0.324533	-1.39%	0.358858	+9.04%	0.0970	✗	0.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.329075	0.32233	-2.05%	0.355896	+8.15%	0.0915	✗	0.19
2026-04-18	oos	0.329641	0.324384	-1.59%	0.355383	+7.81%	0.0882	✗	0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.327881	0.324915	-0.90%	0.355186	+8.33%	0.0883	✗	0.20
2026-04-16	oos	0.327047	0.322608	-1.36%	0.355016	+8.55%	0.0881	✗	0.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.327196	0.322554	-1.42%	0.351988	+7.58%	0.0765	✗	0.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.323865	0.319132	-1.46%	0.353739	+9.22%	0.0858	✗	0.19
2026-04-13	oos	0.320439	0.315571	-1.52%	0.349463	+9.06%	0.0900	✗	0.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.321245	0.31382	-2.31%	0.349142	+8.68%	0.0800	✗	0.21
2026-04-11	oos	0.318839	0.313659	-1.62%	0.351123	+10.13%	0.0893	✗	0.21
2026-04-10	oos	0.319373	0.313575	-1.82%	0.350665	+9.80%	0.0869	✗	0.21
2026-04-09	oos	0.320455	0.31332	-2.23%	0.350228	+9.29%	0.0867	✗	0.21
2026-04-08	oos	0.317958	0.310385	-2.38%	0.350468	+10.22%	0.0960	✗	0.21
2026-04-07	oos	0.315415	0.308369	-2.23%	0.349003	+10.65%	0.1012	✗	0.21
2026-04-06	oos	0.316487	0.307668	-2.79%	0.346266	+9.41%	0.0822	✗	0.21
2026-04-05	oos	0.318802	0.309665	-2.87%	0.34474	+8.14%	0.0731	✗	0.21
2026-04-04	oos	0.317518	0.30752	-3.15%	0.341036	+7.41%	0.0673	✗	0.21
2026-04-03	oos	0.315196	0.305283	-3.15%	0.338568	+7.42%	0.0700	✗	0.21
2026-04-02	oos	0.315276	0.305452	-3.12%	0.330066	+4.69%	0.0431	✗	0.21
2026-04-01	oos	0.31553	0.306125	-2.98%	0.326899	+3.60%	0.0362	✗	0.21
2026-03-31	oos	0.313148	0.304073	-2.90%	0.32652	+4.27%	0.0473	✗	0.21
2026-03-30	oos	0.319664	0.309644	-3.13%	0.323033	+1.05%	0.0142	✓	0.22
2026-03-29	oos	0.32155	0.311173	-3.23%	0.323197	+0.51%	0.0053	✓	0.22
2026-03-28	oos	0.316456	0.306665	-3.09%	0.325382	+2.82%	0.0247	✓	0.22
2026-03-27	oos	0.311108	0.30211	-2.89%	0.323432	+3.96%	0.0301	✗	0.22
2026-03-26	oos	0.311383	0.303308	-2.59%	0.323999	+4.05%	0.0384	✗	0.23
2026-03-25	oos	0.314411	0.307825	-2.09%	0.323383	+2.85%	0.0306	✗	0.23
2026-03-24	oos	0.30588	0.300187	-1.86%	0.328929	+7.54%	0.0682	✗	0.22
2026-03-23	oos	0.308089	0.302631	-1.77%	0.329709	+7.02%	0.0639	✗	0.22
2026-03-22	oos	0.310198	0.303311	-2.22%	0.332838	+7.30%	0.0655	✗	0.23
2026-03-21	oos	0.312069	0.305124	-2.23%	0.329101	+5.46%	0.0534	✗	0.23
2026-03-20	oos	0.309621	0.303595	-1.95%	0.329075	+6.28%	0.0697	✗	0.24
2026-03-19	oos	0.303613	0.297762	-1.93%	0.329641	+8.57%	0.0830	✗	0.23
2026-03-18	oos	0.30451	0.298895	-1.84%	0.327881	+7.67%	0.0743	✗	0.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.306848	0.302658	-1.37%	0.327047	+6.58%	0.0737	✗	0.23
2026-03-16	oos	0.295785	0.292341	-1.16%	0.327196	+10.62%	0.1128	✗	0.24
2026-03-15	oos	0.298774	0.293841	-1.65%	0.323865	+8.40%	0.0928	✗	0.24
2026-03-14	oos	0.297873	0.292633	-1.76%	0.320439	+7.58%	0.0801	✗	0.24
2026-03-13	oos	0.293445	0.288921	-1.54%	0.321245	+9.47%	0.1067	✗	0.23
2026-03-12	oos	0.289091	0.284885	-1.45%	0.318839	+10.29%	0.1043	✗	0.23
2026-03-11	oos	0.29103	0.286837	-1.44%	0.319373	+9.74%	0.0981	✗	0.24
2026-03-10	oos	0.285816	0.282409	-1.19%	0.320455	+12.12%	0.1202	✗	0.24
2026-03-09	oos	0.285638	0.28121	-1.55%	0.317958	+11.32%	0.1137	✗	0.24
2026-03-08	oos	0.289157	0.283324	-2.02%	0.315415	+9.08%	0.0857	✗	0.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.286621	0.281238	-1.88%	0.316487	+10.42%	0.1122	✗	0.25
2026-03-06	oos	0.28455	0.279955	-1.61%	0.318802	+12.04%	0.1267	✗	0.25
2026-03-05	oos	0.285213	0.281521	-1.29%	0.317518	+11.33%	0.1336	✗	0.25
2026-03-04	oos	0.286996	0.283827	-1.10%	0.315196	+9.83%	0.1256	✗	0.25
2026-03-03	oos	0.280472	0.27637	-1.46%	0.315276	+12.41%	0.1369	✗	0.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.283225	0.278665	-1.61%	0.31553	+11.41%	0.1268	✗	0.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.280685	0.275564	-1.82%	0.313148	+11.57%	0.1190	✗	0.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.281852	0.276908	-1.75%	0.319664	+13.42%	0.1444	✗	0.25
2026-02-27	oos	0.282805	0.277539	-1.86%	0.32155	+13.70%	0.1468	✗	0.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.28562	0.280408	-1.82%	0.316456	+10.80%	0.1252	✗	0.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.285221	0.280447	-1.67%	0.311108	+9.08%	0.1098	✗	0.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.283598	0.27859	-1.77%	0.311383	+9.80%	0.0931	✗	0.26
2026-02-23	oos	0.281643	0.277048	-1.63%	0.314411	+11.63%	0.1014	✗	0.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.290484	0.285526	-1.71%	0.30588	+5.30%	0.0586	✗	0.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.288988	0.283559	-1.88%	0.308089	+6.61%	0.0728	✗	0.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.285275	0.279977	-1.86%	0.310198	+8.74%	0.1030	✗	0.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.284766	0.278879	-2.07%	0.312069	+9.59%	0.1056	✗	0.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.27861	0.272999	-2.01%	0.309621	+11.13%	0.1116	✗	0.24
2026-02-17	oos	0.282089	0.276002	-2.16%	0.303613	+7.63%	0.0866	✗	0.25
2026-02-16	oos	0.284367	0.277755	-2.32%	0.30451	+7.08%	0.0836	✗	0.25
2026-02-15	oos	0.280362	0.273877	-2.31%	0.306848	+9.45%	0.0960	✗	0.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.282454	0.275477	-2.47%	0.295785	+4.72%	0.0540	✗	0.24
2026-02-13	oos	0.282159	0.275512	-2.36%	0.298774	+5.89%	0.0672	✗	0.24
2026-02-12	oos	0.279819	0.273581	-2.23%	0.297873	+6.45%	0.0670	✗	0.25
2026-02-11	oos	0.278169	0.272119	-2.18%	0.293445	+5.49%	0.0617	✗	0.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.277897	0.271616	-2.26%	0.289091	+4.03%	0.0563	✗	0.24
2026-02-09	oos	0.278944	0.272647	-2.26%	0.29103	+4.33%	0.0649	✗	0.24
2026-02-08	oos	0.277615	0.271685	-2.14%	0.285816	+2.95%	0.0518	✗	0.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.27799	0.272783	-1.87%	0.285638	+2.75%	0.0490	✗	0.25
2026-02-06	oos	0.2739	0.269184	-1.72%	0.289157	+5.57%	0.0880	✗	0.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.268957	0.266424	-0.94%	0.286621	+6.57%	0.0547	✗	0.27
2026-02-04	oos	0.282744	0.276215	-2.31%	0.28455	+0.64%	0.0467	✗	0.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.285687	0.278681	-2.45%	0.285213	-0.17%	0.0394	✗	0.25
2026-02-02	oos	0.283137	0.27632	-2.41%	0.286996	+1.36%	0.0591	✗	0.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.284476	0.277426	-2.48%	0.280472	-1.41%	0.0399	✗	0.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.286334	0.278874	-2.61%	0.283225	-1.09%	0.0532	✗	0.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.293825	0.285967	-2.67%	0.280685	-4.47%	0.0481	✗	0.27
2026-01-29	oos	0.294557	0.286359	-2.78%	0.281852	-4.31%	0.0473	✗	0.27
2026-01-28	oos	0.29498	0.287848	-2.42%	0.282805	-4.13%	0.0707	✗	0.29
2026-01-27	oos	0.294262	0.286727	-2.56%	0.28562	-2.94%	0.0780	✗	0.29
2026-01-26	oos	0.29622	0.288435	-2.63%	0.285221	-3.71%	0.0651	✗	0.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.295318	0.287353	-2.70%	0.283598	-3.97%	0.0760	✗	0.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.294967	0.287841	-2.42%	0.281643	-4.52%	0.0754	✗	0.30
2026-01-23	oos	0.297478	0.290825	-2.24%	0.290484	-2.35%	0.0839	✗	0.30
2026-01-22	oos	0.304863	0.297429	-2.44%	0.288988	-5.21%	0.0538	✗	0.30
2026-01-21	oos	0.299019	0.292556	-2.16%	0.285275	-4.60%	0.0536	✗	0.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.296446	0.289857	-2.22%	0.284766	-3.94%	0.0551	✗	0.26
2026-01-19	oos	0.31167	0.305358	-2.03%	0.27861	-10.61%	0.0201	✓	0.22
2026-01-18	oos	0.317729	0.310992	-2.12%	0.282089	-11.22%	0.0287	✓	0.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.318409	0.312731	-1.78%	0.284367	-10.69%	0.0266	✓	0.21
2026-01-16	oos	0.308971	0.304761	-1.36%	0.280362	-9.26%	0.0105	✓	0.22
2026-01-15	oos	0.31254	0.307951	-1.47%	0.282454	-9.63%	0.0157	✓	0.22
2026-01-14	oos	0.30475	0.301274	-1.14%	0.282159	-7.41%	0.0177	✗	0.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.306904	0.301694	-1.70%	0.279819	-8.83%	0.0163	✓	0.25
2026-01-12	oos	0.299488	0.291686	-2.61%	0.278169	-7.12%	0.0221	✓	0.23
2026-01-11	oos	0.299182	0.291355	-2.62%	0.277897	-7.11%	0.0175	✓	0.23
2026-01-10	oos	0.301929	0.294082	-2.60%	0.278944	-7.61%	0.0069	✓	0.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.298112	0.291472	-2.23%	0.277615	-6.88%	0.0156	✓	0.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.294641	0.289278	-1.82%	0.27799	-5.65%	0.0321	✗	0.26
2026-01-07	oos	0.29789	0.292931	-1.66%	0.2739	-8.05%	0.0127	✓	0.31
2026-01-06	oos	0.294014	0.291563	-0.83%	0.268957	-8.52%	0.0492	✗	0.32
2026-01-05	oos	0.292094	0.290458	-0.56%	0.282744	-3.20%	0.0555	✗	0.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.293936	0.290209	-1.27%	0.285687	-2.81%	0.0500	✗	0.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.295483	0.290964	-1.53%	0.283137	-4.18%	0.0224	✗	0.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.288826	0.284345	-1.55%	0.284476	-1.51%	0.0548	✗	0.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.286529	0.281184	-1.87%	0.286334	-0.07%	0.0597	✗	0.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.284106	0.279079	-1.77%	0.293825	+3.42%	0.0649	✗	0.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.286045	0.281033	-1.75%	0.294557	+2.98%	0.0622	✗	0.34
2025-12-29	oos	0.284662	0.279413	-1.84%	0.29498	+3.62%	0.0461	✗	0.35
2025-12-28	oos	0.284792	0.279439	-1.88%	0.294262	+3.33%	0.0468	✗	0.35
2025-12-27	oos	0.284672	0.27939	-1.86%	0.29622	+4.06%	0.0567	✗	0.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.27948	0.274721	-1.70%	0.295318	+5.67%	0.0752	✗	0.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.278629	0.274032	-1.65%	0.294967	+5.86%	0.0663	✗	0.34
2025-12-24	oos	0.280091	0.275648	-1.59%	0.297478	+6.21%	0.0690	✗	0.34
2025-12-23	oos	0.283332	0.278391	-1.74%	0.304863	+7.60%	0.0828	✗	0.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.284362	0.279006	-1.88%	0.299019	+5.15%	0.0661	✗	0.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.288295	0.282337	-2.07%	0.296446	+2.83%	0.0501	✗	0.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.281751	0.27606	-2.02%	0.31167	+10.62%	0.1051	✗	0.35
2025-12-19	oos	0.279735	0.274448	-1.89%	0.317729	+13.58%	0.1254	✗	0.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.27906	0.273682	-1.93%	0.318409	+14.10%	0.1138	✗	0.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.279462	0.274144	-1.90%	0.308971	+10.56%	0.0833	✗	0.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.280111	0.274915	-1.86%	0.31254	+11.58%	0.0979	✗	0.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.278264	0.272956	-1.91%	0.30475	+9.52%	0.0688	✗	0.36
2025-12-14	oos	0.277233	0.272073	-1.86%	0.306904	+10.70%	0.0921	✗	0.36
2025-12-13	oos	0.271099	0.266641	-1.64%	0.299488	+10.47%	0.1123	✗	0.37
2025-12-12	oos	0.273737	0.269109	-1.69%	0.299182	+9.30%	0.1035	✗	0.38
2025-12-11	oos	0.280524	0.27578	-1.69%	0.301929	+7.63%	0.0993	✗	0.37
2025-12-10	oos	0.280078	0.275277	-1.71%	0.298112	+6.44%	0.0859	✗	0.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.282207	0.277103	-1.81%	0.294641	+4.41%	0.0682	✗	0.38
2025-12-08	oos	0.28129	0.275655	-2.00%	0.29789	+5.90%	0.0749	✗	0.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.286865	0.280278	-2.30%	0.294014	+2.49%	0.0340	✗	0.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.28706	0.280403	-2.32%	0.292094	+1.75%	0.0215	✓	0.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.2856	0.279281	-2.21%	0.293936	+2.92%	0.0417	✗	0.40
2025-12-04	oos	0.286256	0.280121	-2.14%	0.295483	+3.22%	0.0600	✗	0.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.280513	0.274785	-2.04%	0.288826	+2.96%	0.0656	✗	0.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.281119	0.275294	-2.07%	0.286529	+1.92%	0.0520	✗	0.42
2025-12-01	oos	0.276879	0.271463	-1.96%	0.284106	+2.61%	0.0394	✗	0.43
2025-11-30	oos	0.281467	0.275538	-2.11%	0.286045	+1.63%	0.0471	✗	0.44
2025-11-29	oos	0.280838	0.275029	-2.07%	0.284662	+1.36%	0.0526	✗	0.43
2025-11-28	oos	0.281041	0.275041	-2.13%	0.284792	+1.33%	0.0495	✗	0.43
2025-11-27	oos	0.28023	0.274336	-2.10%	0.284672	+1.59%	0.0540	✗	0.43
2025-11-26	oos	0.276462	0.270988	-1.98%	0.27948	+1.09%	0.0462	✗	0.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.274472	0.269323	-1.88%	0.278629	+1.51%	0.0347	✗	0.44
2025-11-24	oos	0.274774	0.269486	-1.92%	0.280091	+1.94%	0.0419	✗	0.44
2025-11-23	oos	0.274848	0.269474	-1.96%	0.283332	+3.09%	0.0469	✗	0.45
2025-11-22	oos	0.274051	0.269173	-1.78%	0.284362	+3.76%	0.0331	✗	0.49
2025-11-21	oos	0.276358	0.271443	-1.78%	0.288295	+4.32%	0.0403	✗	0.48
2025-11-20	oos	0.280079	0.274223	-2.09%	0.281751	+0.60%	0.0172	✓	0.48
2025-11-19	oos	0.286625	0.279764	-2.39%	0.279735	-2.40%	0.0191	✓	0.51
2025-11-18	oos	0.290133	0.282893	-2.50%	0.27906	-3.82%	0.0288	✗	0.51
2025-11-17	oos	0.291427	0.283908	-2.58%	0.279462	-4.11%	0.0183	✓	0.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.292042	0.284432	-2.61%	0.280111	-4.09%	0.0206	✓	0.52
2025-11-15	oos	0.294634	0.286935	-2.61%	0.278264	-5.56%	0.0212	✓	0.52
2025-11-14	oos	0.29229	0.284991	-2.50%	0.277233	-5.15%	0.0082	✓	0.52
2025-11-13	oos	0.293002	0.285644	-2.51%	0.271099	-7.48%	0.0024	✓	0.55
2025-11-12	oos	0.294589	0.287095	-2.54%	0.273737	-7.08%	0.0187	✓	0.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.296631	0.288997	-2.57%	0.280524	-5.43%	0.0288	✗	0.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.296365	0.288531	-2.64%	0.280078	-5.50%	0.0509	✗	0.57
2025-11-09	oos	0.290575	0.282683	-2.72%	0.282207	-2.88%	0.0680	✗	0.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.291511	0.283487	-2.75%	0.28129	-3.51%	0.0624	✗	0.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.292117	0.284053	-2.76%	0.286865	-1.80%	0.0870	✗	0.58
2025-11-06	oos	0.283691	0.276303	-2.60%	0.28706	+1.19%	0.1099	✗	0.57
2025-11-05	oos	0.288884	0.281102	-2.69%	0.2856	-1.14%	0.1010	✗	0.57
2025-11-04	oos	0.285515	0.277683	-2.74%	0.286256	+0.26%	0.0848	✗	0.56
2025-11-03	oos	0.281171	0.273761	-2.64%	0.280513	-0.23%	0.1069	✗	0.63
2025-11-02	oos	0.298079	0.289608	-2.84%	0.281119	-5.69%	0.0823	✗	0.59
2025-11-01	oos	0.297298	0.289229	-2.71%	0.276879	-6.87%	0.0998	✗	0.59
2025-10-31	oos	0.296177	0.28872	-2.52%	0.281467	-4.97%	0.0888	✗	0.59
2025-10-30	oos	0.292489	0.285957	-2.23%	0.280838	-3.98%	0.0859	✗	0.59
2025-10-29	oos	0.296	0.290302	-1.93%	0.281041	-5.05%	0.0791	✗	0.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.295542	0.291319	-1.43%	0.28023	-5.18%	0.0878	✗	0.60
2025-10-27	oos	0.298196	0.294196	-1.34%	0.276462	-7.29%	0.0762	✗	0.60
2025-10-26	oos	0.300314	0.296743	-1.19%	0.274472	-8.60%	0.0834	✗	0.59
2025-10-25	oos	0.2972	0.293509	-1.24%	0.274774	-7.55%	0.0735	✗	0.59
2025-10-24	oos	0.303657	0.298498	-1.70%	0.274848	-9.49%	0.0640	✗	0.60
2025-10-23	oos	0.313922	0.307022	-2.20%	0.274051	-12.70%	0.0460	✗	0.61
2025-10-22	oos	0.322692	0.314348	-2.59%	0.276358	-14.36%	0.0214	✓	0.64
2025-10-21	oos	0.321808	0.313576	-2.56%	0.280079	-12.97%	0.0309	✗	0.64
2025-10-20	oos	0.322529	0.313786	-2.71%	0.286625	-11.13%	0.0330	✗	0.65
2025-10-19	oos	0.320288	0.311556	-2.73%	0.290133	-9.41%	0.0301	✗	0.65
2025-10-18	oos	0.313074	0.304975	-2.59%	0.291427	-6.91%	0.0517	✗	0.64
2025-10-17	oos	0.309091	0.301945	-2.31%	0.292042	-5.52%	0.0449	✗	0.64
2025-10-16	oos	0.316132	0.3087	-2.35%	0.294634	-6.80%	0.0320	✗	0.63
2025-10-15	oos	0.319408	0.31249	-2.17%	0.29229	-8.49%	0.0322	✗	0.62
2025-10-14	oos	0.316831	0.311381	-1.72%	0.293002	-7.52%	0.0202	✗	0.64
2025-10-13	oos	0.322877	0.317472	-1.67%	0.294589	-8.76%	0.0059	✓	0.64
2025-10-12	oos	0.323061	0.317273	-1.79%	0.296631	-8.18%	0.0035	✓	0.64
2025-10-11	oos	0.314601	0.30841	-1.97%	0.296365	-5.80%	0.0117	✓	0.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.321239	0.314507	-2.10%	0.290575	-9.55%	0.0315	✓	0.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.336897	0.331354	-1.65%	0.291511	-13.47%	0.0207	✓	0.62
2025-10-08	oos	0.342116	0.337686	-1.29%	0.292117	-14.61%	0.0347	✓	0.62
2025-10-07	oos	0.337962	0.333023	-1.46%	0.283691	-16.06%	0.0524	✓	0.60
2025-10-06	oos	0.346205	0.342745	-1.00%	0.288884	-16.56%	0.0649	✓	0.58
2025-10-05	oos	0.341514	0.33719	-1.27%	0.285515	-16.40%	0.0529	✓	0.58
2025-10-04	oos	0.340574	0.335836	-1.39%	0.281171	-17.44%	0.0975	✓	0.58
2025-10-03	oos	0.342132	0.337997	-1.21%	0.298079	-12.88%	0.0670	✓	0.58
2025-10-02	oos	0.342871	0.337896	-1.45%	0.297298	-13.29%	0.0743	✓	0.59
2025-10-01	oos	0.34193	0.336342	-1.63%	0.296177	-13.38%	0.0795	✓	0.60
2025-09-30	oos	0.333724	0.327201	-1.95%	0.292489	-12.36%	0.0811	✓	0.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.337011	0.32951	-2.23%	0.296	-12.17%	0.0841	✓	0.60
2025-09-28	oos	0.335778	0.328212	-2.25%	0.295542	-11.98%	0.1087	✓	0.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.336785	0.328821	-2.36%	0.298196	-11.46%	0.1221	✓	0.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.338557	0.330426	-2.40%	0.300314	-11.30%	0.1222	✓	0.62
2025-09-25	oos	0.332085	0.324093	-2.41%	0.2972	-10.50%	0.1012	✓	0.61
2025-09-24	oos	0.338299	0.330178	-2.40%	0.303657	-10.24%	0.0710	✓	0.62
2025-09-23	oos	0.335859	0.327608	-2.46%	0.313922	-6.53%	0.0320	✓	0.62
2025-09-22	oos	0.340247	0.331735	-2.50%	0.322692	-5.16%	0.0010	✓	0.61
2025-09-21	oos	0.342575	0.333629	-2.61%	0.321808	-6.06%	0.0021	✓	0.62
2025-09-20	oos	0.346775	0.33766	-2.63%	0.322529	-6.99%	0.0171	✓	0.63
2025-09-19	oos	0.343863	0.335415	-2.46%	0.320288	-6.86%	0.0060	✓	0.64
2025-09-18	oos	0.350477	0.341757	-2.49%	0.313074	-10.67%	0.0317	✓	0.63

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.