8=======>

2022-08-23 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2326
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38440.377693-1.74%0.3219-16.26%0.0300✓1.25235k2022-09-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4887.8599-1.81%76.67-14.32%0.0240✗1.546.5M2022-09-22
GTGateEthereum4.52244.4396-1.83%4.2613-5.77%0.0398✗0.78827k2022-09-22
TRXTRONTron0.0662250.064921-1.97%0.060338-8.89%0.0127✓0.58179k2022-09-22
DIADIAEthereum0.40510.394221-2.69%0.38331-5.38%0.0701✗0.9470k2022-09-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.81150.4753-2.80%144.06-6.94%0.0603✗1.001.2M2022-09-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5920.574804-2.90%0.391-33.95%0.2572✓1.232,3272022-09-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22280.216041-3.03%0.1967-11.71%0.0105✓1.0072k2022-09-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,511.1020,847.10-3.09%19,424.70-9.70%0.0284✓0.9511k2022-09-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046450.044993-3.14%0.04114-11.43%0.0184✓0.6816k2022-09-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.25454.482-3.15%50.042-11.04%0.0076✓0.74330k2022-09-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.155.2335-3.27%53.56-6.20%0.0728✗1.0013.5M2022-09-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372060.359846-3.28%0.3092-16.90%0.0514✓0.9690k2022-09-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0216250.020899-3.36%0.019904-7.96%0.0360✗0.8213k2022-09-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06780.06552-3.36%0.0604-10.91%0.0140✓0.92121k2022-09-22
SOLSolanaSolana35.6734.4651-3.38%32.42-9.11%0.0594✗1.1681.1M2022-09-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.579190.559264-3.44%0.46901-19.02%0.0422✓1.2945k2022-09-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.11973-3.44%0.1352+9.03%0.2268✗1.0138k2022-09-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058890.005684-3.49%0.005037-14.48%0.0514✓0.672,6422022-09-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17270.166632-3.51%0.1485-14.01%0.0255✓1.351,9092022-09-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007080.006825-3.60%0.00496-29.94%0.2520✓0.651.3M2022-09-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25590.246539-3.66%0.2809+9.77%0.2292✗0.9584k2022-09-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.104695-3.68%0.0912-16.10%0.0643✓0.713,6712022-09-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13970.134518-3.71%0.1264-9.52%0.0392✗0.982.0M2022-09-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0485160.046683-3.78%0.038248-21.16%0.1434✓0.5430k2022-09-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26050.250622-3.79%0.1197-54.05%0.7380✓0.0187k2022-09-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30760.295917-3.80%0.3698+20.22%0.3188✗0.928.2M2022-09-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.1838-3.81%4.92-8.70%0.0368✓0.15171k2022-09-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27560.264818-3.91%0.1639-40.53%0.3777✓0.98114k2022-09-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162940.156404-4.01%0.16587+1.80%0.2792✗2.126362022-09-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.372-4.05%1.39-2.80%0.0069✓-0.06105k2022-09-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006422-4.09%0.006292-6.03%0.0257✓0.4457k2022-09-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.096677-4.09%0.1001-0.69%0.1328✗0.94447k2022-09-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.7139.3067-4.18%8.958-7.77%0.0612✗0.961.8M2022-09-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,528.3420,627.50-4.18%19,401.25-9.88%0.0427✓1.00481.2M2022-09-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.79060.757301-4.21%0.638-19.30%0.0230✓1.43287k2022-09-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.13111.0833-4.22%0.957561-15.34%0.0344✓0.8655k2022-09-22
XVGVergenative0.003240.003102-4.26%0.0033+1.85%0.1694✗1.03537k2022-09-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076450.073184-4.27%0.06228-18.53%0.0374✓1.1929k2022-09-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.003905-4.28%0.00359-12.01%0.0183✓0.99152k2022-09-22
XEMNEMnative0.0465760.044581-4.28%0.041197-11.55%0.0089✓0.8433k2022-09-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06220.059507-4.33%0.0532-14.47%0.0159✓0.92120k2022-09-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2421.1882-4.33%1.096-11.76%0.0219✓0.992.1M2022-09-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.008826-4.37%0.00722-21.78%0.1225✓0.756.4M2022-09-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9434270.901677-4.43%0.80705-14.46%0.0283✓0.7977k2022-09-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0390.037273-4.43%0.03492-10.46%0.0200✓0.822,7072022-09-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7250.692784-4.44%0.594-18.07%0.0584✓0.92322k2022-09-22
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037702-4.48%0.00003923-0.61%0.1318✗0.891.7M2022-09-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1106760.105684-4.51%0.122951+11.09%0.2408✗0.867.8M2022-09-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.274014-4.52%0.255-11.15%0.0033✓0.72878k2022-09-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15750.150365-4.53%0.1393-11.56%0.0240✓0.97614k2022-09-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.04487-4.53%0.0431-8.30%0.0619✗0.98187k2022-09-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036465-4.54%0.0339-11.26%0.0241✓0.9381k2022-09-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.940890.897849-4.57%0.79949-15.03%0.0153✓0.9713k2022-09-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001666-4.60%0.001651-5.44%0.0838✗0.89728k2022-09-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23430.223466-4.62%0.2202-6.02%0.0790✗0.90528k2022-09-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.087141-4.66%0.083-9.19%0.0526✗0.9713k2022-09-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105830.000100877-4.68%0.00027642+161.19%1.0933✗0.82329k2022-09-22
KSMKusamaHydration49.5447.2121-4.70%41.75-15.72%0.0193✓1.00606k2022-09-22
FISStafiEthereum0.3010.286776-4.73%–pending––0.911502022-09-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02510.97637-4.75%0.9326-9.02%0.0119✓0.553.8M2022-09-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.164269-4.77%0.1386-19.65%0.0579✓1.081,7802022-09-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49330.469761-4.77%0.4377-11.27%0.0453✓1.11417k2022-09-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9772.8344-4.79%2.383-19.95%0.0857✓0.84749k2022-09-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.299120.284729-4.81%0.24837-16.97%0.0278✓1.0513k2022-09-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29770.283335-4.83%0.2721-8.60%0.0584✗0.953.5M2022-09-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.422535-4.83%0.42-5.41%0.0980✗1.008,8922022-09-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14880.141568-4.86%0.1324-11.02%0.0372✓1.00149k2022-09-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.016516-4.86%0.01075-38.08%0.3585✓0.68167k2022-09-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11170.106254-4.88%0.1009-9.67%0.0385✓0.87256k2022-09-22
HIVEHivenative0.55720.529991-4.88%0.5088-8.69%0.0518✗0.891.9M2022-09-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142750.135691-4.95%0.12523-12.27%0.0483✓1.24235k2022-09-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.410.389512-5.00%0.3861-5.83%0.1068✗1.1180k2022-09-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014470.013739-5.05%0.011386-21.31%0.1207✓0.651.5M2022-09-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21920.208107-5.06%0.1748-20.26%0.0336✓1.35117k2022-09-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.391450.371562-5.08%0.39165+0.05%0.1557✗0.99435k2022-09-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1850.175568-5.10%0.14774-20.14%0.0612✓1.07519k2022-09-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2454.9763-5.12%5.905+12.58%0.3129✗1.3610.1M2022-09-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.834690.791874-5.13%0.72039-13.69%0.0012✓0.92523k2022-09-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.792.6463-5.15%2.01-27.96%0.2231✓0.5093k2022-09-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04080.03869-5.17%0.04-1.96%0.1221✗0.8511k2022-09-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.061812-5.20%0.0465-28.68%0.1646✓1.15273k2022-09-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06730.0638-5.20%0.0589-12.48%0.0468✓1.221.1M2022-09-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12940.122619-5.24%0.1154-10.82%0.0027✓0.564.2M2022-09-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,665.931,578.46-5.25%1,326.43-20.38%0.0350✓1.34597.1M2022-09-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.571.4874-5.26%1.36-13.38%0.0331✓1.18138k2022-09-22
PROPropyEthereum0.740.701059-5.26%0.65-12.16%0.0358✓0.38105k2022-09-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.62e-7-5.27%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0086✓0.802.6M2022-09-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7826.3155-5.27%23.73-14.58%0.0039✓0.967.9M2022-09-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38510.364777-5.28%0.3086-19.86%0.0520✓1.11175k2022-09-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.41126.3075-5.32%116.62-12.59%0.0365✓1.124.9M2022-09-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.7448.0271-5.35%61.38+20.97%0.3736✗1.2315k2022-09-22
DASHDashDash48.545.9007-5.36%41.89-13.63%0.0097✓0.97504k2022-09-22
ADACardanoCardano0.4660.44071-5.43%0.4583-1.65%0.1479✗1.0542.0M2022-09-22
ZECZcashZcash66.3562.7345-5.45%56.76-14.45%0.0167✓1.121.9M2022-09-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0117.0225-5.48%15.3-15.05%0.0334✓0.701.7M2022-09-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0671.008-5.53%0.8935-16.26%0.0053✓1.211.1M2022-09-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.43592.3008-5.55%1.8808-22.79%0.0758✓1.2113k2022-09-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3105870.293341-5.55%0.276025-11.13%0.0517✓1.08792k2022-09-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023560.022251-5.56%0.02213-6.07%0.0856✗0.8813.4M2022-09-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2416.837-5.58%7.121-1.66%0.1517✗1.0719.5M2022-09-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.329190.310681-5.62%0.40249+22.27%0.3550✗0.92321k2022-09-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96431.8537-5.63%1.762-10.30%0.0599✗1.0636k2022-09-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86860.81924-5.68%0.7866-9.44%0.0715✗1.082.2M2022-09-22
XTZTezosTezos1.59411.5032-5.70%1.5113-5.19%0.1193✗1.10450k2022-09-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3198-5.73%1.2-14.29%0.0046✓0.96182k2022-09-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013320.000012557-5.73%0.00001085-18.54%0.0507✓0.92864k2022-09-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.498.9459-5.73%8.14-14.23%0.0492✓0.432.8M2022-09-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015850.001494-5.74%0.001555-1.89%0.1133✗0.719,9742022-09-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3731.2942-5.74%1.18-14.06%0.0357✓1.23534k2022-09-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.13511.437-5.75%14.626+20.53%0.3620✗1.1210.4M2022-09-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6170.581494-5.75%0.47-23.82%0.0994✓1.09102k2022-09-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.48e-7-5.77%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0274✓0.8218k2022-09-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022221-5.80%0.01926-18.36%0.0580✓0.82444k2022-09-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.887.4204-5.83%6.74-14.47%0.0196✓1.11638k2022-09-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05170.048679-5.84%0.039-24.56%0.1209✓0.97798k2022-09-22
ZENHorizenBase17.4216.4018-5.84%14.19-18.54%0.0300✓1.10130k2022-09-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11380.107146-5.85%0.1002-11.95%0.0447✓1.073.7M2022-09-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.679496-5.89%0.576-20.22%0.0246✓1.354.8M2022-09-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6310.0028-5.90%9.47-10.91%0.0686✗1.19367k2022-09-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1422.9554-5.94%2.993-4.74%0.0788✗0.64708k2022-09-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.066485-5.95%0.06306-10.79%0.0319✓0.819142022-09-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0036250.003406-6.03%0.002218-38.81%0.3396✓0.861.1M2022-09-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.023130.02173-6.05%0.025846+11.74%0.1854✗0.11240k2022-09-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9730.914061-6.06%0.947-2.67%0.1626✗1.221.3M2022-09-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.745.3921-6.06%4.58-20.21%0.0753✓0.841.6M2022-09-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.052.8639-6.10%2.503-17.93%0.0294✓1.584.5M2022-09-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5122.0693-6.13%17.7-24.71%0.0855✓1.3024.5M2022-09-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.784212.9384-6.14%10.9372-20.65%0.0680✓0.9644k2022-09-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8471.733-6.17%1.453-21.33%0.0767✓0.96147k2022-09-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.1096.666-6.23%5.733-19.36%0.0154✓1.3010.7M2022-09-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3785.977-6.29%6.074-4.77%0.1125✗0.935.3M2022-09-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.52613.303-6.33%2.9024-17.69%0.0259✓0.9938k2022-09-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.0388-6.34%4.46-17.10%0.0788✓0.421.5M2022-09-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687970.064415-6.37%0.059585-13.39%0.0285✓1.021.9M2022-09-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1532.0144-6.44%1.639-23.87%0.0254✓1.74115k2022-09-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.32.1513-6.47%1.99-13.48%0.0087✓0.83762k2022-09-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.7204-6.47%13.94+2.50%0.2096✗1.132.2M2022-09-22
QNTQuantEthereum109.96102.8421-6.47%104.33-5.12%0.1026✗0.853.5M2022-09-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8171.6993-6.48%1.268-30.21%0.1677✓1.20121k2022-09-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.252.1031-6.53%1.793-20.31%0.0398✓1.1559k2022-09-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8930.834646-6.53%0.898+0.56%0.1174✗0.434.4M2022-09-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026470.02474-6.54%0.02212-16.43%0.0200✓1.273,2032022-09-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9621.8324-6.60%1.615-17.69%0.0315✓0.91785k2022-09-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18371.1051-6.64%0.9165-22.57%0.0324✓1.494.9M2022-09-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2244.8718-6.74%3.814-26.99%0.2106✓0.331.7M2022-09-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.683529-6.75%0.601-18.01%0.0366✓0.88263k2022-09-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5690.530597-6.75%0.482-15.29%0.0218✓1.1390k2022-09-22
STXStacksnative0.38990.363432-6.79%0.3369-13.59%0.0449✓1.16487k2022-09-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22090.205605-6.92%0.1749-20.82%0.0577✓1.00160k2022-09-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6357.1059-6.93%6.442-15.63%0.0085✓1.0214.0M2022-09-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05460.050767-7.02%0.0425-22.16%0.0738✓1.00253k2022-09-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.079228-7.07%0.07506-11.96%0.0448✓0.09854k2022-09-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8036.3178-7.13%5.329-21.67%0.1384✓0.315.3M2022-09-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21211.1253-7.16%1.088-10.24%0.0958✗1.241.0M2022-09-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.90861.7702-7.25%1.2577-34.10%0.2305✓1.07862k2022-09-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36424.0443-7.33%3.6025-17.45%0.0594✓0.542.3M2022-09-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30421.208-7.38%1.24-4.92%0.1244✗0.941.3M2022-09-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82050.759623-7.42%0.8513+3.75%0.2664✗1.47205k2022-09-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.166.6286-7.42%6.27-12.43%0.0156✓0.381.9M2022-09-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.395.9152-7.43%5.26-17.68%0.0792✓0.373.3M2022-09-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008080.007453-7.76%0.00716-11.39%0.0790✓1.14503k2022-09-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.442.249-7.83%1.88-22.95%0.0525✓1.22299k2022-09-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.046.4762-8.01%5.93-15.77%0.0495✓0.372.7M2022-09-22
FLOWFlownative2.1431.9654-8.29%1.705-20.44%0.0059✓1.311.2M2022-09-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,225.548,451.88-8.39%8,444.74-8.46%0.1408✗1.367.3M2022-09-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.6613.4209-8.45%12.35-15.76%0.0448✓1.231.3M2022-09-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7631.7791-8.58%24.33-30.01%0.0716✓1.88365k2022-09-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037430.034196-8.64%0.03064-18.14%0.0070✓0.9923k2022-09-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51390.469352-8.67%0.4348-15.39%0.0076✓0.81625k2022-09-22
OPTIMOptimism1.3351.2134-9.11%0.938-29.74%0.0778✓1.733.6M2022-09-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1474.6764-9.14%3.786-26.44%0.2015✓0.092.4M2022-09-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10150.091966-9.39%0.0978-3.65%0.1339✗0.70234k2022-09-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3785.7774-9.42%5.522-13.42%0.0432✓0.8510.1M2022-09-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.25050.226419-9.61%0.2687+7.27%0.2567✗0.822.1M2022-09-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4294.002-9.64%3.986-10.00%0.0964✓0.97172k2022-09-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015910.001434-9.87%0.001068-32.84%0.2130✓0.781.8M2022-09-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.3630.96-9.90%28.61-16.73%0.0698✓1.4316.0M2022-09-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.390.348952-10.53%0.3062-21.49%0.0028✓1.28168k2022-09-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39020.349086-10.54%0.2895-25.81%0.0673✓1.15110k2022-09-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65014.1551-10.65%5.4035+16.20%0.3667✗1.00175k2022-09-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072890.065121-10.66%0.05865-19.54%0.0114✓1.122.4M2022-09-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1736.6008-11.10%15.23-63.01%0.7848✓0.881.8M2022-09-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.08845.3707-11.79%5.5103-9.50%0.0428✓0.163.7M2022-09-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.91265.1735-12.50%6.0262+1.92%0.1719✗0.192.2M2022-09-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53811.4003-15.79%12.825-5.27%0.1634✓0.442.5M2022-09-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.22e-76.82e-7-17.02%5.35e-7-34.97%0.1627✓0.78180k2022-09-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.043510.002166-99.85%–pending––0.8812k2022-09-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.