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2022-08-23 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1475
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.043510.006202-85.75%–pending––0.8812k2022-09-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.22e-76.98e-7-15.07%5.35e-7-34.97%0.1859✓0.78180k2022-09-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53811.617-14.19%12.825-5.27%0.1446✓0.442.5M2022-09-22
OPTIMOptimism1.3351.1889-10.94%0.938-29.74%0.0575✓1.733.6M2022-09-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8171.621-10.79%1.268-30.21%0.1205✓1.20121k2022-09-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.91265.2869-10.58%6.0262+1.92%0.1502✗0.192.2M2022-09-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65014.1787-10.14%5.4035+16.20%0.3611✗1.00175k2022-09-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.25050.225299-10.06%0.2687+7.27%0.2617✗0.822.1M2022-09-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39020.352145-9.75%0.2895-25.81%0.0760✓1.15110k2022-09-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4294.0048-9.58%3.986-10.00%0.0957✓0.97172k2022-09-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1737.2695-9.47%15.23-63.01%0.8029✓0.881.8M2022-09-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,225.548,361.55-9.37%8,444.74-8.46%0.1516✗1.367.3M2022-09-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7631.6243-9.02%24.33-30.01%0.0667✓1.88365k2022-09-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36423.9709-9.01%3.6025-17.45%0.0411✓0.542.3M2022-09-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.498.6365-8.99%8.14-14.23%0.0140✓0.432.8M2022-09-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072890.06638-8.93%0.05865-19.54%0.0077✓1.122.4M2022-09-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8930.813763-8.87%0.898+0.56%0.1427✗0.434.4M2022-09-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0116.4885-8.45%15.3-15.05%0.0015✓0.701.7M2022-09-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008080.007426-8.10%0.00716-11.39%0.0826✓1.14503k2022-09-22
FLOWFlownative2.1431.973-7.93%1.705-20.44%0.0097✓1.311.2M2022-09-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.08845.6066-7.91%5.5103-9.50%0.0002✓0.163.7M2022-09-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.675242-7.88%0.601-18.01%0.0244✓0.88263k2022-09-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05460.050317-7.84%0.0425-22.16%0.0649✓1.00253k2022-09-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3785.8852-7.73%5.522-13.42%0.0247✓0.8510.1M2022-09-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.390.359922-7.71%0.3062-21.49%0.0282✓1.28168k2022-09-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2244.8344-7.46%3.814-26.99%0.2029✓0.331.7M2022-09-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015910.001474-7.38%0.001068-32.84%0.2402✓0.781.8M2022-09-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.3631.8542-7.29%28.61-16.73%0.0414✓1.4316.0M2022-09-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30421.2092-7.28%1.24-4.92%0.1234✗0.941.3M2022-09-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.395.9258-7.27%5.26-17.68%0.0810✓0.373.3M2022-09-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.046.5335-7.19%5.93-15.77%0.0583✓0.372.7M2022-09-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.52613.2734-7.17%2.9024-17.69%0.0169✓0.9938k2022-09-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.166.6476-7.16%6.27-12.43%0.0184✓0.381.9M2022-09-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015850.001473-7.09%0.001555-1.89%0.1278✗0.719,9742022-09-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.079257-7.04%0.07506-11.96%0.0452✓0.09854k2022-09-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.6613.6411-6.95%12.35-15.76%0.0285✓1.231.3M2022-09-22
QNTQuantEthereum109.96102.3504-6.92%104.33-5.12%0.1074✗0.853.5M2022-09-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.442.2728-6.85%1.88-22.95%0.0630✓1.22299k2022-09-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.6771-6.79%13.94+2.50%0.2130✗1.132.2M2022-09-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10150.094641-6.76%0.0978-3.65%0.1052✗0.70234k2022-09-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6170.575631-6.70%0.47-23.82%0.0893✓1.09102k2022-09-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013320.000012441-6.60%0.00001085-18.54%0.0415✓0.92864k2022-09-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18371.1061-6.56%0.9165-22.57%0.0332✓1.494.9M2022-09-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001632-6.52%0.001651-5.44%0.1042✗0.89728k2022-09-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.052.8512-6.52%2.503-17.93%0.0339✓1.584.5M2022-09-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06730.062915-6.52%0.0589-12.48%0.0608✓1.221.1M2022-09-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3731.2842-6.47%1.18-14.06%0.0434✓1.23534k2022-09-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.887.3849-6.28%6.74-14.47%0.0244✓1.11638k2022-09-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51390.481681-6.27%0.4348-15.39%0.0183✓0.81625k2022-09-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.023130.021685-6.25%0.025846+11.74%0.1874✗0.11240k2022-09-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.90861.79-6.22%1.2577-34.10%0.2416✓1.07862k2022-09-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023560.022101-6.19%0.02213-6.07%0.0923✗0.8813.4M2022-09-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1474.8316-6.13%3.786-26.44%0.2342✓0.092.4M2022-09-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6357.1697-6.09%6.442-15.63%0.0005✓1.0214.0M2022-09-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2454.9258-6.09%5.905+12.58%0.3231✗1.3610.1M2022-09-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0036250.003406-6.04%0.002218-38.81%0.3395✓0.861.1M2022-09-22
STXStacksnative0.38990.366603-5.98%0.3369-13.59%0.0362✓1.16487k2022-09-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.0595-5.96%4.46-17.10%0.0829✓0.421.5M2022-09-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037430.035206-5.94%0.03064-18.14%0.0361✓0.9923k2022-09-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12940.121757-5.91%0.1154-10.82%0.0043✓0.564.2M2022-09-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.13511.4185-5.90%14.626+20.53%0.3637✗1.1210.4M2022-09-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1850.174095-5.89%0.14774-20.14%0.0527✓1.07519k2022-09-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7250.68248-5.86%0.594-18.07%0.0434✓0.92322k2022-09-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06780.063868-5.80%0.0604-10.91%0.0396✓0.92121k2022-09-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1422.9612-5.75%2.993-4.74%0.0769✗0.64708k2022-09-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.329190.310304-5.74%0.40249+22.27%0.3563✗0.92321k2022-09-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11380.1073-5.71%0.1002-11.95%0.0433✓1.073.7M2022-09-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.299120.282102-5.69%0.24837-16.97%0.0185✓1.0513k2022-09-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15750.148582-5.66%0.1393-11.56%0.0360✓0.97614k2022-09-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.1096.7075-5.65%5.733-19.36%0.0216✓1.3010.7M2022-09-22
XEMNEMnative0.0465760.043952-5.63%0.041197-11.55%0.0231✓0.8433k2022-09-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105830.000099874-5.63%0.00027642+161.19%1.1033✗0.82329k2022-09-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82050.774372-5.62%0.8513+3.75%0.2472✗1.47205k2022-09-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687970.064952-5.59%0.059585-13.39%0.0202✓1.021.9M2022-09-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5122.2068-5.54%17.7-24.71%0.0917✓1.3024.5M2022-09-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05170.048844-5.52%0.039-24.56%0.1242✓0.97798k2022-09-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9621.8539-5.51%1.615-17.69%0.0431✓0.91785k2022-09-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86860.820817-5.50%0.7866-9.44%0.0696✗1.082.2M2022-09-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.79060.747295-5.48%0.638-19.30%0.0097✓1.43287k2022-09-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5690.537905-5.46%0.482-15.29%0.0081✓1.1390k2022-09-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96431.8572-5.46%1.762-10.30%0.0580✗1.0636k2022-09-22
FISStafiEthereum0.3010.284649-5.43%–pending––0.911502022-09-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38510.364389-5.38%0.3086-19.86%0.0509✓1.11175k2022-09-22
HIVEHivenative0.55720.527306-5.37%0.5088-8.69%0.0569✗0.891.9M2022-09-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3251-5.35%1.2-14.29%0.0006✓0.96182k2022-09-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8036.4413-5.32%5.329-21.67%0.1578✓0.315.3M2022-09-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21211.148-5.29%1.088-10.24%0.0758✗1.241.0M2022-09-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2416.8603-5.26%7.121-1.66%0.1483✗1.0719.5M2022-09-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.43592.3079-5.25%1.8808-22.79%0.0789✓1.2113k2022-09-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7826.3257-5.24%23.73-14.58%0.0043✓0.967.9M2022-09-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.81146.768-5.19%144.06-6.94%0.0853✗1.001.2M2022-09-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007080.006714-5.17%0.00496-29.94%0.2356✓0.651.3M2022-09-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.32.1812-5.16%1.99-13.48%0.0051✓0.83762k2022-09-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22090.209525-5.15%0.1749-20.82%0.0766✓1.00160k2022-09-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006356-5.07%0.006292-6.03%0.0360✓0.4457k2022-09-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.940890.893223-5.07%0.79949-15.03%0.0101✓0.9713k2022-09-22
DASHDashDash48.546.0582-5.03%41.89-13.63%0.0063✓0.97504k2022-09-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1106760.105203-4.95%0.122951+11.09%0.2454✗0.867.8M2022-09-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372060.353712-4.93%0.3092-16.90%0.0342✓0.9690k2022-09-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.252.139-4.93%1.793-20.31%0.0567✓1.1559k2022-09-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.044693-4.91%0.0431-8.30%0.0658✗0.98187k2022-09-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9772.8309-4.91%2.383-19.95%0.0844✓0.84749k2022-09-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30760.292575-4.88%0.3698+20.22%0.3302✗0.928.2M2022-09-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2421.1819-4.84%1.096-11.76%0.0273✓0.992.1M2022-09-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.784213.1184-4.83%10.9372-20.65%0.0818✓0.9644k2022-09-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17270.164364-4.83%0.1485-14.01%0.0392✓1.351,9092022-09-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3786.071-4.81%6.074-4.77%0.0969✗0.935.3M2022-09-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0671.0157-4.81%0.8935-16.26%0.0023✓1.211.1M2022-09-22
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037585-4.78%0.00003923-0.61%0.1350✗0.891.7M2022-09-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.003886-4.77%0.00359-12.01%0.0234✓0.99152k2022-09-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.422873-4.76%0.42-5.41%0.0972✗1.008,8922022-09-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142750.13598-4.74%0.12523-12.27%0.0462✓1.24235k2022-09-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14880.141817-4.69%0.1324-11.02%0.0355✓1.00149k2022-09-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.062159-4.66%0.0465-28.68%0.1702✓1.15273k2022-09-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6310.1393-4.62%9.47-10.91%0.0550✗1.19367k2022-09-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.273755-4.61%0.255-11.15%0.0042✓0.72878k2022-09-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38440.366672-4.61%0.3219-16.26%0.0003✓1.25235k2022-09-22
SOLSolanaSolana35.6734.0422-4.56%32.42-9.11%0.0717✗1.1681.1M2022-09-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11170.106609-4.56%0.1009-9.67%0.0352✓0.87256k2022-09-22
PROPropyEthereum0.740.706335-4.55%0.65-12.16%0.0433✓0.38105k2022-09-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23430.223666-4.54%0.2202-6.02%0.0781✗0.90528k2022-09-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13970.133373-4.53%0.1264-9.52%0.0478✗0.982.0M2022-09-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.834690.796941-4.52%0.72039-13.69%0.0052✓0.92523k2022-09-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.792.6639-4.52%2.01-27.96%0.2297✓0.5093k2022-09-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.008813-4.52%0.00722-21.78%0.1209✓0.756.4M2022-09-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3105870.296668-4.48%0.276025-11.13%0.0404✓1.08792k2022-09-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.571.5004-4.43%1.36-13.38%0.0244✓1.18138k2022-09-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8471.7656-4.41%1.453-21.33%0.0953✓0.96147k2022-09-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.41127.5653-4.38%116.62-12.59%0.0266✓1.124.9M2022-09-22
ADACardanoCardano0.4660.445655-4.37%0.4583-1.65%0.1367✗1.0542.0M2022-09-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036537-4.35%0.0339-11.26%0.0221✓0.9381k2022-09-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162940.155866-4.34%0.16587+1.80%0.2827✗2.126362022-09-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1532.0605-4.30%1.639-23.87%0.0480✓1.74115k2022-09-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04080.039052-4.28%0.04-1.96%0.1128✗0.8511k2022-09-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165116-4.28%0.1386-19.65%0.0631✓1.081,7802022-09-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.13111.0828-4.27%0.957561-15.34%0.0339✓0.8655k2022-09-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.7448.5824-4.25%61.38+20.97%0.3621✗1.2315k2022-09-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.104116-4.22%0.0912-16.10%0.0588✓0.713,6712022-09-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0390.03736-4.21%0.03492-10.46%0.0177✓0.822,7072022-09-22
ZENHorizenBase17.4216.6877-4.20%14.19-18.54%0.0473✓1.10130k2022-09-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.391450.375036-4.19%0.39165+0.05%0.1464✗0.99435k2022-09-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.016636-4.17%0.01075-38.08%0.3657✓0.68167k2022-09-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29770.285339-4.15%0.2721-8.60%0.0513✗0.953.5M2022-09-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.72e-7-4.15%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0031✓0.802.6M2022-09-22
KSMKusamaHydration49.5447.4922-4.13%41.75-15.72%0.0252✓1.00606k2022-09-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25590.245374-4.11%0.2809+9.77%0.2339✗0.9584k2022-09-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9434270.904648-4.11%0.80705-14.46%0.0316✓0.7977k2022-09-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.096658-4.11%0.1001-0.69%0.1330✗0.94447k2022-09-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26050.249924-4.06%0.1197-54.05%0.7352✓0.0187k2022-09-22
ZECZcashZcash66.3563.6575-4.06%56.76-14.45%0.0021✓1.121.9M2022-09-22
XTZTezosTezos1.59411.5299-4.03%1.5113-5.19%0.1017✗1.10450k2022-09-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.1731-4.01%4.92-8.70%0.0347✓0.15171k2022-09-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.25454.0192-3.97%50.042-11.04%0.0009✓0.74330k2022-09-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.65e-7-3.93%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0080✓0.8218k2022-09-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0485160.046631-3.88%0.038248-21.16%0.1423✓0.5430k2022-09-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9730.935262-3.88%0.947-2.67%0.1397✗1.221.3M2022-09-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.119191-3.88%0.1352+9.03%0.2313✗1.0138k2022-09-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0216250.02079-3.86%0.019904-7.96%0.0412✗0.8213k2022-09-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,511.1020,681.00-3.86%19,424.70-9.70%0.0364✓0.9511k2022-09-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,528.3420,697.98-3.86%19,401.25-9.88%0.0393✓1.00481.2M2022-09-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27560.265045-3.83%0.1639-40.53%0.3786✓0.98114k2022-09-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,665.931,602.57-3.80%1,326.43-20.38%0.0502✓1.34597.1M2022-09-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3761-3.77%1.39-2.80%0.0040✓-0.06105k2022-09-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49330.474972-3.72%0.4377-11.27%0.0342✓1.11417k2022-09-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.579190.557803-3.69%0.46901-19.02%0.0396✓1.2945k2022-09-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046450.044744-3.67%0.04114-11.43%0.0129✓0.6816k2022-09-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026470.025507-3.64%0.02212-16.43%0.0105✓1.273,2032022-09-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02510.987905-3.63%0.9326-9.02%0.0001✓0.553.8M2022-09-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014470.013954-3.56%0.011386-21.31%0.1362✓0.651.5M2022-09-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.7139.3718-3.51%8.958-7.77%0.0542✗0.961.8M2022-09-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.088198-3.50%0.083-9.19%0.0405✗0.9713k2022-09-22
DIADIAEthereum0.40510.390914-3.50%0.38331-5.38%0.0785✗0.9470k2022-09-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22280.215085-3.46%0.1967-11.71%0.0149✓1.0072k2022-09-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21920.211652-3.44%0.1748-20.26%0.0505✓1.35117k2022-09-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022784-3.42%0.01926-18.36%0.0831✓0.82444k2022-09-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.068281-3.41%0.06306-10.79%0.0052✓0.819142022-09-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5920.571895-3.40%0.391-33.95%0.2521✓1.232,3272022-09-22
XVGVergenative0.003240.003131-3.35%0.0033+1.85%0.1600✗1.03537k2022-09-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06220.060302-3.05%0.0532-14.47%0.0291✓0.92120k2022-09-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.410.397962-2.94%0.3861-5.83%0.0854✗1.1180k2022-09-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076450.074227-2.91%0.06228-18.53%0.0515✓1.1929k2022-09-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.702151-2.75%0.576-20.22%0.0574✓1.354.8M2022-09-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058890.005728-2.75%0.005037-14.48%0.0590✓0.672,6422022-09-22
TRXTRONTron0.0662250.064441-2.69%0.060338-8.89%0.0053✓0.58179k2022-09-22
GTGateEthereum4.52244.4058-2.58%4.2613-5.77%0.0474✗0.78827k2022-09-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.155.6299-2.57%53.56-6.20%0.0656✗1.0013.5M2022-09-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.745.5987-2.46%4.58-20.21%0.1129✓0.841.6M2022-09-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4887.4805-2.23%76.67-14.32%0.0283✗1.546.5M2022-09-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.