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2022-08-23 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2199
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.043510.035008-19.54%0.06201+42.52%0.5783✗0.8812k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.22e-77.88e-7-4.13%8.05e-7-2.12%0.0266✓0.78180k2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53813.1089-3.17%14.339+5.92%0.0930✗0.442.5M2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.91265.8118-1.71%5.6172-5.00%0.0327✓0.192.2M2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.25050.246528-1.59%0.2424-3.23%0.0107✓0.822.1M2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4294.3724-1.28%4.724+6.66%0.0846✗0.97172k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36424.31-1.24%4.3422-0.50%0.0115✓0.542.3M2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2245.1689-1.06%4.876-6.66%0.0559✓0.331.7M2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.08846.0284-0.98%5.8769-3.47%0.0242✓0.163.7M2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015850.001569-0.98%0.0016+0.95%0.0246✗0.719,9742022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105830.000104858-0.92%0.00009991-5.59%0.0422✓0.82329k2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.396.3352-0.86%6.1-4.54%0.0351✓0.373.3M2022-08-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65014.6103-0.86%4.5679-1.77%0.0017✓1.00175k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4188-0.79%1.38-3.50%0.0281✓-0.06105k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1740.8758-0.71%37.33-9.33%0.0841✓0.881.8M2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1475.1103-0.71%4.9-4.80%0.0413✓0.092.4M2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015910.00158-0.71%0.001535-3.53%0.0229✓0.781.8M2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.13512.0499-0.70%13.019+7.28%0.0857✗1.1210.4M2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.167.1115-0.68%6.94-3.07%0.0215✓0.381.9M2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.499.4299-0.63%9.29-2.11%0.0117✓0.432.8M2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.90861.8972-0.60%1.8503-3.05%0.0170✓1.07862k2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.046.999-0.58%6.85-2.70%0.0187✓0.372.7M2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.070278-0.58%0.07009-0.85%0.0034✓0.819142022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.023130.022997-0.58%0.023439+1.34%0.0199✗0.11240k2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3525-0.51%5.19-3.53%0.0277✓0.421.5M2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8036.7689-0.50%6.816+0.19%0.0092✗0.315.3M2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39020.388265-0.50%0.3737-4.23%0.0296✓1.15110k2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008080.00804-0.49%0.0082+1.49%0.0283✗1.14503k2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30421.2979-0.48%1.5383+17.95%0.1770✗0.941.3M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037430.037262-0.45%0.04016+7.29%0.0823✗0.9923k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.391450.389708-0.44%0.36571-6.58%0.0561✓0.99435k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.023486-0.44%0.02359+0.00%0.0106✗0.82444k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006669-0.41%0.00668-0.24%0.0050✗0.4457k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6310.5876-0.40%11.09+4.33%0.0553✗1.19367k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9730.969265-0.38%0.956-1.75%0.0046✓1.221.3M2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum109.96109.5492-0.37%108-1.78%0.0079✓0.853.5M2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687970.06855-0.36%0.067837-1.40%0.0028✓1.021.9M2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26050.259571-0.36%0.2599-0.23%0.0013✓0.0187k2022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism1.3351.3303-0.35%1.226-8.16%0.0687✓1.733.6M2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06220.061992-0.33%0.0606-2.57%0.0158✓0.92120k2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.41132.9663-0.33%130.34-2.30%0.0115✓1.124.9M2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17270.17214-0.32%0.171-0.98%0.0035✗1.351,9092022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.084985-0.32%0.08425-1.18%0.0080✓0.09854k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15750.156995-0.32%0.1509-4.19%0.0323✓0.97614k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0465760.046428-0.32%0.046228-0.75%0.0020✓0.8433k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,511.1021,443.55-0.31%21,418.40-0.43%0.0060✗0.9511k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013320.000013279-0.31%0.00001305-2.03%0.0105✓0.92864k2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase17.4217.3661-0.31%17.01-2.35%0.0124✓1.10130k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.017307-0.31%0.01734-0.12%0.0070✗0.68167k2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero154.81154.3377-0.31%150.55-2.75%0.0173✓1.001.2M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5690.567272-0.30%0.562-1.23%0.0008✓1.1390k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6170.615169-0.30%0.6-2.76%0.0168✓1.09102k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162940.162457-0.30%0.16688+2.42%0.0428✗2.126362022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.252.2435-0.29%2.264+0.62%0.0178✗1.1559k2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18371.1803-0.28%1.1766-0.60%0.0080✗1.494.9M2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.329190.328258-0.28%0.34078+3.52%0.0444✗0.92321k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10150.101218-0.28%0.1052+3.65%0.0438✗0.70234k2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9772.9688-0.28%2.932-1.51%0.0061✓0.84749k2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.792.7823-0.28%2.77-0.72%0.0007✓0.5093k2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8171.812-0.28%1.766-2.81%0.0167✓1.20121k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1106760.110372-0.27%0.109482-1.08%0.0016✓0.867.8M2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.091149-0.27%0.091-0.44%0.0057✗0.9713k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0117.9616-0.27%18.34+1.83%0.0261✗0.701.7M2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0036250.003616-0.26%0.003426-5.49%0.0474✓0.861.1M2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.172057-0.26%0.1725+0.00%0.0107✗1.081,7802022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038103-0.25%0.0377-1.31%0.0036✓0.9381k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1850.18454-0.25%0.186+0.54%0.0159✗1.07519k2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.731194-0.25%0.727-0.82%0.0009✓0.88263k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05460.054466-0.24%0.0549+0.55%0.0154✗1.00253k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.25456.1221-0.23%55.495-1.35%0.0056✓0.74330k2022-08-24
DASHDashDash48.548.3888-0.23%49.13+1.30%0.0225✗0.97504k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash66.3566.1979-0.23%67.69+2.02%0.0307✗1.121.9M2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.3767-0.23%5.386-0.06%0.0028✗0.15171k2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004071-0.22%0.00409+0.25%0.0121✗0.99152k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372060.371226-0.22%0.36794-1.11%0.0016✓0.9690k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.442.4346-0.22%2.41-1.23%0.0010✓1.22299k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.7827.7192-0.22%27.55-0.83%0.0011✓0.967.9M2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0390.038916-0.22%0.04014+2.92%0.0371✗0.822,7072022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23430.233795-0.22%0.2353+0.43%0.0132✗0.90528k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12940.129121-0.22%0.1328+2.63%0.0323✗0.564.2M2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.55720.556016-0.21%0.5577+0.09%0.0097✗0.891.9M2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04080.040714-0.21%0.0402-1.47%0.0063✓0.8511k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9621.958-0.21%1.936-1.33%0.0044✓0.91785k2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8471.8432-0.20%1.827-1.08%0.0017✓0.96147k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11170.111475-0.20%0.1104-1.16%0.0032✓0.87256k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3731.3702-0.20%1.364-0.66%0.0047✗1.23534k2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.784213.7567-0.20%13.8671+0.60%0.0152✗0.9644k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.740.73853-0.20%0.74+0.00%0.0049✗0.38105k2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.573-0.20%13.83+1.69%0.0273✗1.132.2M2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.443124-0.20%0.452+1.80%0.0274✗1.008,8922022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009212-0.20%0.0091-1.41%0.0065✓0.756.4M2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0662250.066097-0.19%0.06482-2.12%0.0151✓0.58179k2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49330.492364-0.19%0.4861-1.46%0.0044✓1.11417k2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum34.7634.6941-0.19%35.76+2.88%0.0444✗1.88365k2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7250.723627-0.19%0.721-0.55%0.0033✗0.92322k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2421.2396-0.19%1.24-0.16%0.0077✗0.992.1M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.52613.5196-0.19%3.4798-1.31%0.0039✓0.9938k2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38440.383692-0.18%0.3738-2.76%0.0167✓1.25235k2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.579190.578141-0.18%0.58763+1.46%0.0259✗1.2945k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.3010.300464-0.18%–pending––0.911502022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.046917-0.18%0.0464-1.28%0.0037✓0.98187k2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.4660.465181-0.18%0.4577-1.78%0.0084✓1.0542.0M2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0216250.021588-0.17%0.022261+2.94%0.0368✗0.8213k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8930.891483-0.17%0.886-0.78%0.0030✓0.434.4M2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06730.067186-0.17%0.0669-0.59%0.0049✗1.221.1M2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.79060.789263-0.17%0.7861-0.57%0.0067✗1.43287k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30760.307087-0.17%0.3023-1.72%0.0088✓0.928.2M2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96431.9611-0.17%1.9654+0.05%0.0102✗1.0636k2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02511.0234-0.17%1.0301+0.49%0.0107✗0.553.8M2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06780.06769-0.16%0.0676-0.29%0.0056✗0.92121k2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7139.6972-0.16%9.631-0.84%0.0003✓0.961.8M2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.43592.432-0.16%2.4403+0.18%0.0125✗1.2113k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.065095-0.16%0.0641-1.69%0.0067✓1.15273k2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9434270.941935-0.16%0.935146-0.88%0.0013✓0.7977k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29770.297242-0.15%0.2983+0.20%0.0107✗0.953.5M2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38510.384512-0.15%0.3871+0.52%0.0150✗1.11175k2022-08-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22090.220564-0.15%0.2201-0.36%0.0054✗1.00160k2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.834690.83343-0.15%0.8327-0.24%0.0060✗0.92523k2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.99e-7-0.15%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0297✗0.8218k2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27560.275188-0.15%0.27-2.03%0.0117✓0.98114k2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058890.005881-0.15%0.005761-2.17%0.0155✓0.672,6422022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82050.819282-0.15%0.8151-0.66%0.0059✗1.47205k2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003240.003235-0.15%0.00321-0.93%0.0001✓1.03537k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13111.1295-0.14%1.1172-1.22%0.0044✓0.8655k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.3634.3106-0.14%35.45+3.17%0.0434✗1.4316.0M2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,665.931,663.58-0.14%1,656.74-0.55%0.0059✗1.34597.1M2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.14880.148591-0.14%0.1481-0.47%0.0042✗1.00149k2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0485160.048448-0.14%0.048259-0.53%0.0001✓0.5430k2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.720996-0.14%0.727+0.69%0.0185✗1.354.8M2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration49.5449.472-0.14%48.99-1.11%0.0023✓1.00606k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11380.113644-0.14%0.1146+0.70%0.0165✗1.073.7M2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.32.2968-0.14%2.34+1.74%0.0249✗0.83762k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.108551-0.14%0.1118+2.85%0.0348✗0.713,6712022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.25590.255552-0.14%0.2557-0.08%0.0077✗0.9584k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007080.007071-0.13%0.00698-1.41%0.0080✓0.651.3M2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026470.026435-0.13%0.02692+1.70%0.0277✗1.273,2032022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3982-0.13%1.42+1.43%0.0227✗0.96182k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,528.3421,500.30-0.13%21,367.12-0.75%0.0013✓1.00481.2M2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.7450.6757-0.13%51.17+0.85%0.0190✗1.2315k2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142750.142573-0.12%0.14186-0.62%0.0043✗1.24235k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.299120.298749-0.12%0.2979-0.41%0.0050✗1.0513k2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2417.2323-0.12%7.122-1.64%0.0074✓1.0719.5M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.123853-0.12%0.1249+0.73%0.0160✗1.0138k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1532.1505-0.12%2.176+1.07%0.0248✗1.74115k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.09e-7-0.11%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0072✗0.802.6M2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039429-0.10%0.00003875-1.82%0.0107✓0.891.7M2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.157.041-0.10%56.46-1.12%0.0028✓1.0013.5M2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5123.4864-0.10%23.01-2.13%0.0107✓1.3024.5M2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046450.046404-0.10%0.04656+0.24%0.0085✗0.6816k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.745.7343-0.10%5.72-0.35%0.0039✗0.841.6M2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21920.218987-0.10%0.2239+2.14%0.0324✗1.35117k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014470.014457-0.09%0.014302-1.16%0.0059✓0.651.5M2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.100709-0.09%0.099-1.79%0.0100✓0.94447k2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.13970.139575-0.09%0.1408+0.79%0.0161✗0.982.0M2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51390.513462-0.09%0.5089-0.97%0.0028✓0.81625k2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.40510.404777-0.08%0.40312-0.49%0.0030✗0.9470k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3105870.310357-0.07%0.308844-0.56%0.0032✗1.08792k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0671.0662-0.07%1.0444-2.12%0.0116✓1.211.1M2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22280.222657-0.06%0.2197-1.39%0.0058✓1.0072k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.59411.5931-0.06%1.6006+0.41%0.0129✗1.10450k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.6735.6486-0.06%34.88-2.21%0.0131✓1.1681.1M2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076450.076406-0.06%0.07428-2.84%0.0193✓1.1929k2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5920.591766-0.04%0.588-0.68%0.0029✗1.232,3272022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1423.1408-0.04%3-4.52%0.0411✓0.64708k2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05170.05168-0.04%0.0518+0.19%0.0096✗0.97798k2022-08-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001745-0.04%0.001729-0.97%0.0027✓0.89728k2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.286906-0.03%0.285-0.70%0.0012✓0.72878k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21211.2117-0.03%1.1971-1.24%0.0028✓1.241.0M2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.6614.6558-0.03%14.55-0.75%0.0020✗1.231.3M2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6357.6328-0.03%7.565-0.92%0.0012✓1.0214.0M2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86860.868421-0.02%0.8581-1.21%0.0038✓1.082.2M2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.410.409954-0.01%0.4107+0.17%0.0102✗1.1180k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.390.390003+0.00%0.4098+5.08%0.0592✓1.28168k2022-08-24
GTGateEthereum4.52244.5225+0.00%4.4922-0.67%0.0009✗0.78827k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4889.4828+0.00%88.41-1.20%0.0005✗1.546.5M2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2455.2458+0.02%5.312+1.28%0.0228✓1.3610.1M2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.38990.389996+0.02%0.3867-0.82%0.0002✓1.16487k2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.940890.941148+0.03%0.94669+0.62%0.0132✓0.9713k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.887.8833+0.04%8.04+2.03%0.0280✓1.11638k2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023560.023574+0.06%0.02382+1.10%0.0170✓0.8813.4M2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative2.1432.1449+0.09%2.147+0.19%0.0108✓1.311.2M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,225.549,234.42+0.10%9,349.19+1.34%0.0226✓1.367.3M2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3786.3857+0.12%6.406+0.44%0.0101✓0.935.3M2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072890.072988+0.13%0.07101-2.58%0.0191✗1.122.4M2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3786.3879+0.16%6.274-1.63%0.0116✗0.8510.1M2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.571.5728+0.18%1.548-1.40%0.0070✗1.18138k2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.1097.1222+0.19%7.045-0.90%0.0011✓1.3010.7M2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.053.0565+0.21%3.034-0.52%0.0045✓1.584.5M2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.