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2022-08-22 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2153
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.3%
in alpha space · 38.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.181+1.03%1.335+14.20%0.1122✓1.723.5M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum32.7632.917+0.48%34.76+6.11%0.0431✓1.87365k2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.0125+0.32%3.05+1.57%0.0028✓1.585.0M2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068598+0.29%0.07289+6.56%0.0539✓1.112.4M2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022592+0.27%0.02356+4.57%0.0367✓0.8713.0M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5186+0.24%1.57+3.63%0.0262✓1.18147k2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5188.7038+0.22%89.48+1.10%0.0006✓1.546.5M2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.137267+0.19%0.1397+1.97%0.0117✓0.972.1M2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5772+0.19%4.5224-1.01%0.0168✗0.78827k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.351327+0.18%0.3902+11.26%0.0980✓1.15110k2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9836.9941+0.16%7.109+1.80%0.0084✓1.3010.7M2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.7216+0.15%1.817+5.70%0.0467✓1.20121k2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.383941+0.14%0.3844+0.26%0.0064✗1.25239k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.280273+0.10%0.287+2.50%0.0193✓0.72878k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006985+0.07%0.00708+1.43%0.0096✓0.641.3M2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.0852+0.07%3.142+1.91%0.0144✓0.64749k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.068547+0.07%0.0678-1.02%0.0165✗0.92121k2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,935.25+0.06%9,225.54+3.31%0.0237✓1.367.3M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.375686+0.05%0.39+3.86%0.0296✓1.28182k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.85537+0.04%0.893+4.44%0.0405✓0.424.4M2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0534.0632+0.04%34.36+0.91%0.0000✓1.4316.0M2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.303304+0.03%0.3076+1.45%0.0085✓0.928.2M2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.439+0.03%35.67+0.68%0.0005✗1.1681.1M2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.218355+0.03%0.2228+2.06%0.0141✓1.0072k2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.073148+0.02%0.07645+4.54%0.0369✓1.1929k2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,625.17+0.02%1,665.93+2.53%0.0167✓1.33576.1M2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.2062+0.02%5.245+0.77%0.0008✗1.3610.1M2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.04621+0.02%0.04645+0.54%0.0010✓0.6816k2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.390747+0.02%0.4051+3.69%0.0304✓0.9470k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.361911+0.02%0.37206+2.82%0.0218✓0.9690k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero153.73153.7548+0.02%154.81+0.70%0.0008✓1.001.1M2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1918.1929+0.02%18.01-0.99%0.0144✗0.711.7M2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.490577+0.02%0.4933+0.57%0.0012✗1.11419k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.105115+0.01%0.1087+3.43%0.0293✓0.713,6712022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0996+0.01%1.1837+7.66%0.0647✓1.484.7M2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.7908+0.01%7.88+1.16%0.0046✓1.11638k2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.121412+0.01%0.124+2.14%0.0150✓1.0138k2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.3826+0.01%6.378-0.06%0.0063✗0.935.3M2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.3870.387011+0.00%0.3899+0.75%0.0004✓1.16492k2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001746-0.00%0.001746+0.00%0.0053✓0.89766k2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.098091-0.01%0.1008+2.75%0.0215✗0.94430k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.065622-0.01%0.066225+0.91%0.0056✗0.58164k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.140566-0.02%0.14275+1.53%0.0079✗1.23243k2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.849762-0.03%0.8686+2.19%0.0154✗1.082.2M2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005816-0.03%0.005889+1.23%0.0085✗0.672,6422022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.132.1292-0.04%2.143+0.61%0.0015✓1.311.2M2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.6644-0.04%13.6-0.51%0.0116✓1.142.2M2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,388.73-0.04%21,528.34+0.61%0.0004✓1.00469.7M2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.831207-0.05%0.83469+0.37%0.0014✓0.92524k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0525-0.05%1.067+1.33%0.0064✗1.211.1M2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.438766-0.05%0.444+1.14%0.0058✗1.008,8922022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.700587-0.06%0.725+3.42%0.0287✗0.92322k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.111033-0.06%0.1138+2.43%0.0181✗1.073.7M2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.046072-0.06%0.047+1.95%0.0140✗0.98187k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.5461-0.06%23.51+4.21%0.0340✗1.3024.5M2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0357-0.07%1.0251-1.09%0.0137✓0.563.8M2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.232543-0.07%0.2343+0.69%0.0021✗0.90528k2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.569234-0.08%0.57919+1.67%0.0095✗1.2945k2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.55350.553045-0.08%0.5572+0.67%0.0021✗0.891.9M2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.290252-0.09%0.2977+2.48%0.0196✗0.953.5M2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.0385-0.09%7.241+2.78%0.0219✗1.0719.5M2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.783236-0.10%0.7906+0.84%0.0007✓1.43325k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2188-0.10%1.242+1.80%0.0129✗0.992.1M2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.712255-0.10%0.733+2.81%0.0234✗0.88263k2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.3161-0.11%6.378+0.87%0.0046✗0.8510.1M2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.00928-0.11%0.00923-0.65%0.0100✓0.756.4M2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003206-0.12%0.00324+0.93%0.0042✗1.03537k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.594302-0.12%0.592-0.50%0.0114✓1.232,8642022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29155.2249-0.12%56.254+1.74%0.0140✗0.74330k2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045602-0.12%0.046576+2.01%0.0160✗0.8432k2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.89e-7-0.12%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0186✗0.802.7M2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.050838-0.12%0.0517+1.57%0.0110✗0.97798k2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.1496-0.12%57.1-0.21%0.0069✓1.0013.5M2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.014242-0.13%0.01447+1.47%0.0120✗0.641.6M2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.5696-0.13%9.713+1.37%0.0091✗0.951.9M2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.401679-0.13%0.41+1.94%0.0138✗1.1176k2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059622-0.13%0.0622+4.19%0.0367✗0.92120k2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum107.36107.2177-0.13%109.96+2.42%0.0201✗0.853.4M2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.460882-0.13%0.466+0.98%0.0047✗1.0542.0M2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.89e-7-0.13%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0075✗0.8218k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.149097-0.14%0.1575+5.49%0.0490✗0.96614k2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000091405-0.14%0.00010583+15.62%0.1416✗0.81314k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.1008-0.14%5.389+5.50%0.0541✗0.14171k2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.4091-0.14%2.4359+0.97%0.0037✗1.2113k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1883-0.14%1.2121+1.86%0.0123✗1.241.0M2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.930786-0.14%0.94089+0.94%0.0049✗0.9713k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.3769-0.14%50.74+0.57%0.0003✓1.2315k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.10933-0.15%0.110676+1.08%0.0070✗0.867.8M2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.294865-0.15%0.29912+1.29%0.0080✗1.0413k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000038781-0.15%0.00003947+1.62%0.0122✗0.881.8M2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049582-0.16%0.048516-2.30%0.0250✓0.5430k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash65.0964.9882-0.16%66.35+1.94%0.0139✗1.121.9M2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3449-0.16%1.373+1.93%0.0132✗1.23518k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.164627-0.17%0.1727+4.73%0.0397✗1.351,6582022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.157458-0.17%0.16294+3.31%0.0214✗2.126362022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1363-0.17%1.1311-0.62%0.0098✓0.8655k2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0327-0.17%0.04351-95.79%3.1737✓1.1112k2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.216633-0.17%0.2192+1.01%0.0036✗1.35111k2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.9146-0.18%1.9643+2.42%0.0192✗1.0636k2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.128073-0.18%0.1294+0.86%0.0069✗0.564.2M2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0617.0296-0.18%17.42+2.11%0.0160✗1.10125k2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.550965-0.19%0.569+3.08%0.0254✗1.1395k2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260708-0.19%0.2605-0.27%0.0009✓0.0187k2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.273877-0.19%0.2756+0.44%0.0003✓0.98118k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.253613-0.19%0.2559+0.71%0.0032✗0.9584k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.110388-0.19%0.1117+0.99%0.0066✗0.87256k2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021286-0.20%0.021625+1.39%0.0109✗0.8113k2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5858-0.20%1.5941+0.32%0.0014✓1.10494k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash47.2347.1357-0.20%48.5+2.69%0.0226✗0.97493k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.376546-0.20%0.3851+2.07%0.0158✗1.11175k2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.434-0.20%133.41+8.75%0.0791✗1.114.9M2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.4633-0.20%3.5261+1.61%0.0120✗0.9938k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2021,079.25-0.20%21,511.10+1.84%0.0145✗0.958,8302022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.502062-0.21%0.5139+2.15%0.0184✗0.81661k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.6614-0.21%27.78+0.22%0.0015✓0.968.3M2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.304973-0.21%0.310587+1.62%0.0117✗1.08805k2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003494-0.22%0.003625+3.51%0.0315✗0.861.1M2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.6478-0.22%5.74+1.41%0.0111✗0.841.6M2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0911.0658-0.22%12.135+9.42%0.0855✗1.1110.0M2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.167925-0.22%0.1725+2.50%0.0204✗1.081,7442022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3769-0.22%1.4+1.45%0.0108✗0.96182k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.146369-0.23%0.1488+1.43%0.0104✗1.00149k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.00001313-0.23%0.00001332+1.22%0.0088✗0.92864k2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.4645-0.23%49.54-2.06%0.0245✓1.00560k2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0668-0.23%10.63+5.35%0.0473✗1.18318k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0912-0.23%2.153+2.72%0.0186✗1.74115k2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2468-0.23%14.66+2.66%0.0211✗1.231.3M2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037112-0.24%0.0382+2.69%0.0232✗0.9381k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.183564-0.24%0.185+0.54%0.0013✓1.07608k2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.911276-0.24%0.943427+3.28%0.0299✗0.7977k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8136-0.24%1.847+1.60%0.0124✗0.96151k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.088876-0.25%0.0914+2.58%0.0221✗0.9711k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040498-0.25%0.0408+0.49%0.0023✓0.8511k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063937-0.25%0.0652+1.72%0.0126✗1.15282k2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.3819-0.26%7.635+3.16%0.0275✗1.0214.0M2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017703-0.26%0.01736-2.20%0.0237✓0.68167k2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.00678-0.26%0.006696-1.50%0.0152✓0.4557k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3139-0.26%2.3-0.86%0.0110✓0.83778k2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004089-0.27%0.00408-0.49%0.0082✓0.99152k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.7126-0.27%2.79+2.57%0.0251✗0.5093k2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.039808-0.28%0.039-2.30%0.0255✓0.822,6252022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.62124-0.28%0.617-0.96%0.0135✓1.0996k2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.701995-0.28%0.722+2.56%0.0199✗1.354.8M2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.897415-0.29%0.973+8.11%0.0735✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8677-0.29%2.977+3.51%0.0323✗0.84749k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022175-0.29%0.02359+6.07%0.0569✗0.81419k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.320764-0.29%0.32919+2.33%0.0203✗0.92342k2022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.211875-0.29%0.2209+3.95%0.0357✗1.00152k2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.053142-0.30%0.0546+2.44%0.0210✗1.00253k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.065296-0.31%0.0673+2.75%0.0229✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.4343-0.31%13.7842+2.28%0.0199✗0.9644k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1851-0.31%2.25+2.65%0.0223✗1.1559k2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.818993-0.32%0.8205-0.13%0.0071✓1.47205k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.710.707545-0.35%0.74+4.23%0.0425✗0.38105k2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4017-0.35%2.44+1.24%0.0085✗1.22281k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.086895-0.35%0.08526-2.22%0.0196✓0.09916k2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8831-0.36%1.962+3.81%0.0355✗0.91718k2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.068129-0.37%0.068797+0.61%0.0036✓1.021.9M2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.026153-0.37%0.02647+0.84%0.0044✗1.273,2032022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.6042-0.37%9.49-1.56%0.0146✓0.442.6M2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.02347-0.40%0.02313-1.84%0.0153✓0.12240k2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.09951-0.49%0.1015+1.50%0.0156✗0.69234k2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1197.084-0.49%6.803-4.44%0.0423✓0.315.3M2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3833-0.49%5.38-0.55%0.0031✓0.411.5M2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.401195-0.51%0.39145-2.92%0.0306✓0.99435k2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.9162-0.55%1.9086-0.94%0.0105✓1.07781k2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.3493-0.59%1.3042-3.92%0.0398✓0.951.3M2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.9084-0.60%7.16+3.02%0.0335✗0.381.6M2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008387-0.62%0.00808-4.27%0.0443✓1.15477k2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001475-0.63%0.001591+7.15%0.0707✗0.781.6M2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.036626-0.66%0.03743+1.52%0.0157✗0.9923k2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.9448-0.67%5.224+4.94%0.0530✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.9816-0.69%7.04+0.14%0.0061✓0.372.4M2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4719-0.74%6.39-1.99%0.0150✓0.373.3M2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.3618-0.75%4.6501+5.81%0.0579✗1.00173k2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.2443-0.77%5.147-2.61%0.0193✓0.102.3M2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.244.7985-0.89%41.17-8.92%0.0899✓0.891.8M2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5855-0.90%1.43-10.63%0.1030✓-0.05105k2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.069997-0.98%0.07069+0.00%0.0049✓0.829772022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.22034-1.10%0.2505+12.43%0.1233✗0.811.8M2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.7123-1.21%4.429-7.15%0.0679✓0.97139k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.3296-1.40%6.0884-5.16%0.0399✓0.173.1M2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.71e-7-1.47%8.22e-7+20.67%0.1980✗0.77180k2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001751-1.54%0.001585-10.85%0.1037✓0.729,7092022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.4036-1.80%4.3642-2.68%0.0123✓0.542.1M2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.9992-2.51%5.9126-3.91%0.0157✓0.192.1M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60714.0616-3.73%13.538-7.32%0.0406✓0.452.0M2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.