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2022-08-22 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2499
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.1%
in alpha space · 91.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.5437-2.06%4.4-22.26%0.1064✓0.841.6M2022-09-21
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5186.5444-2.22%71.58-19.13%0.0375✗1.546.5M2022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.071295-2.51%0.06177-15.53%0.0321✗1.1929k2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.56854.4501-2.59%4.1321-9.55%0.0406✗0.78827k2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2255.7168-2.63%51.08-10.73%0.0601✗1.0013.5M2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.685145-2.68%0.542-23.01%0.0350✓1.354.8M2022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.063873-2.68%0.059212-9.78%0.0100✓0.58164k2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.058048-2.77%0.0524-12.23%0.0335✗0.92120k2022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005656-2.78%0.004956-14.80%0.0336✓0.672,6422022-09-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.390329-2.95%0.3588-10.79%0.0796✗1.1176k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003210.003114-2.99%0.00321+0.00%0.1829✗1.03537k2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.021556-3.08%0.01932-13.13%0.0106✓0.81419k2022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.378448-3.13%0.37235-4.69%0.1227✗0.9470k2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.068468-3.14%0.06031-14.68%0.0065✓0.829772022-09-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.575523-3.27%0.35-41.18%0.3154✓1.232,8642022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.211033-3.33%0.1888-13.51%0.0364✗1.0072k2022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.2521-3.44%8.775-8.42%0.0879✗0.951.9M2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.013767-3.46%0.011185-21.56%0.1125✓0.641.6M2022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.209343-3.53%0.1706-21.38%0.0049✓1.35111k2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.08595-3.54%0.0794-10.89%0.0642✗0.9711k2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.117051-3.58%0.1289+6.18%0.2455✗1.0138k2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.044504-3.67%0.03911-15.35%0.0284✓0.6816k2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03640.998265-3.68%0.8937-13.77%0.0285✓0.563.8M2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.866556-3.72%0.871-3.22%0.1847✗1.221.2M2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.025269-3.74%0.02131-18.82%0.0168✓1.273,2032022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,564.01-3.74%1,245.65-23.33%0.0307✓1.33576.1M2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.471832-3.81%0.4173-14.92%0.0416✗1.11419k2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2020,314.63-3.82%18,203.70-13.82%0.0307✓0.958,8302022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68117.9646-3.84%108.98-11.17%0.0849✗1.114.9M2022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2520,575.12-3.85%18,462.64-13.72%0.0392✗1.00469.7M2022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.263812-3.86%0.172-37.32%0.2831✓0.98118k2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.4562-3.88%1.311-13.47%0.0686✗1.18147k2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.020499-3.88%0.019175-10.09%0.0534✗0.8113k2022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.101011-3.89%0.09-14.37%0.0112✓0.713,6712022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10794.9085-3.90%4.3216-15.39%0.1060✓0.14171k2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5269-3.91%1.4095-11.30%0.0817✗1.10494k2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.877232-3.97%0.785702-13.99%0.0066✓0.7977k2022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.55e-7-3.98%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0301✓0.8218k2022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash65.0962.4878-4.00%53.54-17.74%0.0110✓1.121.9M2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.047647-4.05%0.036939-25.62%0.1750✓0.5430k2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.094099-4.08%0.0964-1.73%0.1630✗0.94430k2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.54e-7-4.08%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0149✓0.802.7M2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29153.032-4.09%47.682-13.76%0.0034✓0.74330k2022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.546266-4.11%0.44504-21.88%0.0152✓1.2945k2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.278538-4.12%0.2516-13.39%0.0383✓0.953.5M2022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.243608-4.13%0.273+7.44%0.2540✗0.9584k2022-09-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.250373-4.15%0.1218-53.37%0.7192✓0.0187k2022-09-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.151142-4.17%0.16244+2.99%0.3846✗2.126362022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.442204-4.18%0.4389-4.90%0.1467✗1.0542.0M2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase17.0616.3365-4.24%13.3-22.04%0.0429✓1.10125k2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.038873-4.25%0.035-13.79%0.0210✓0.8511k2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0067-4.26%1.583-24.48%0.0191✓1.74115k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.016993-4.26%0.01042-41.30%0.3882✓0.68167k2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.710.679493-4.30%0.63-11.27%0.0196✓0.38105k2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7397-4.30%1.458-19.80%0.0356✓0.96151k2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.13109-4.31%0.1199-12.48%0.0546✗0.972.1M2022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4548.273-4.32%58.27+15.50%0.3702✗1.2315k2022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.038186-4.34%0.03345-16.21%0.0110✓0.822,6252022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.140321-4.35%0.1248-14.93%0.0305✓1.00149k2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.008886-4.35%0.00682-26.59%0.1532✓0.756.4M2022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.267755-4.37%0.246-12.14%0.0217✓0.72878k2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.035568-4.39%0.0323-13.17%0.0412✓0.9381k2022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.6006-4.39%2.02-25.74%0.1793✓0.5093k2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.088-4.40%0.916656-19.46%0.0450✓0.8655k2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.292062-4.44%0.260294-14.83%0.0444✓1.08805k2022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.160787-4.46%0.13-22.76%0.0539✓1.081,7442022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.134305-4.48%0.12-14.65%0.0696✗1.23243k2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.105643-4.48%0.098-11.39%0.0529✗0.87256k2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration50.5848.2854-4.54%40.18-20.56%0.0365✓1.00560k2022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.222125-4.54%0.208-10.61%0.0673✗0.90528k2022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.6286-4.57%8.8-12.78%0.0845✗1.18318k2022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.345297-4.57%0.28908-20.11%0.0356✓0.9690k2022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.4333.8064-4.58%30.68-13.41%0.0740✗1.1681.1M2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.088-4.61%5.909-7.41%0.1071✗0.935.3M2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.365694-4.62%0.3067-20.01%0.0083✓1.25239k2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.384582-4.63%0.38128-5.45%0.1380✗0.99435k2022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.043966-4.63%0.0411-10.85%0.0773✗0.98187k2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.793085-4.63%0.68363-17.79%0.0127✓0.92524k2022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.00391-4.63%0.00342-16.59%0.0116✓0.99152k2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0037-4.68%0.8154-22.56%0.0293✓1.211.1M2022-09-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000087224-4.70%0.0002847+211.05%1.3023✗0.81314k2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.061077-4.72%0.0454-29.17%0.1264✓1.15282k2022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000037001-4.73%0.00003771-2.91%0.1495✗0.881.8M2022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.418089-4.76%0.397-9.57%0.0959✗1.008,8922022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476312.8338-4.77%10.5504-21.71%0.0542✓0.9644k2022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.1616-4.79%1.03-15.57%0.0254✓0.992.1M2022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.202205-4.84%0.169-20.47%0.0318✓1.00152k2022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.288407-4.88%0.3352+10.55%0.2863✗0.928.2M2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.7347-4.91%2.296-20.17%0.0506✓0.84749k2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.808089-4.93%0.7438-12.49%0.0761✗1.082.2M2022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0456.6976-4.93%6.682-5.15%0.1550✗1.0719.5M2022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0837-4.94%1.682-23.27%0.0445✓1.1559k2022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006632-4.98%0.00487-30.23%0.2137✓0.641.3M2022-09-21
DASHDashDash47.2344.8523-5.03%39.84-15.65%0.0248✓0.97493k2022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.103964-5.05%0.110695+1.10%0.1896✗0.867.8M2022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3102-5.06%1.14-17.39%0.0022✓0.96182k2022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.048312-5.08%0.0371-27.11%0.1212✓0.97798k2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2015-5.11%1.92-17.24%0.0141✓0.83778k2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.156451-5.12%0.1377-16.49%0.0714✗1.351,6582022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9836.6242-5.14%5.338-23.56%0.0239✓1.3010.7M2022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1287-5.15%1.0124-14.92%0.0748✗1.241.0M2022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero153.73145.7862-5.17%135.48-11.87%0.0740✗1.001.1M2022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum27.7226.2781-5.20%22.71-18.07%0.0047✓0.968.3M2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.74305-5.22%0.598-23.72%0.0066✓1.43325k2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.2861-5.24%1.7738-26.47%0.0753✓1.2113k2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.8174-5.24%1.6506-13.94%0.0605✗1.0636k2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.357411-5.27%0.2926-22.45%0.0368✓1.11175k2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006437-5.31%0.006319-7.05%0.0472✓0.4557k2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.141355-5.32%0.1316-11.86%0.0705✗0.96614k2022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5621.3589-5.32%16.54-26.68%0.0643✓1.3024.5M2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.522584-5.33%0.455-17.57%0.0284✓1.1395k2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.105162-5.34%0.0932-16.11%0.0375✓1.073.7M2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.777584-5.36%0.8507+3.54%0.3063✗1.47205k2022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.882006-5.38%0.75889-18.58%0.0075✓0.9713k2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.7882-5.39%1.487-21.32%0.0503✓0.91718k2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55350.523669-5.39%0.4905-11.38%0.0660✗0.891.9M2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0910.4919-5.39%13.395+20.78%0.4081✗1.1110.0M2022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5135-5.41%1.39-13.13%0.0925✓-0.05105k2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0832.9158-5.42%2.88-6.58%0.0814✗0.64749k2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.064561-5.59%0.057369-16.10%0.0329✓1.021.9M2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.021268-5.60%0.02112-6.26%0.1218✗0.8713.0M2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.043074-5.66%0.038758-15.11%0.0189✓0.8432k2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.3870.364832-5.73%0.3221-16.77%0.0466✓1.16492k2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.278367-5.74%0.23945-18.92%0.0036✓1.0413k2022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.173407-5.76%0.13996-23.93%0.0562✓1.07608k2022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.303175-5.76%0.3965+23.25%0.4046✗0.92342k2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.034736-5.79%0.02917-20.88%0.0288✓0.9923k2022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.473905-5.80%0.4207-16.38%0.0000✓0.81661k2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.064523-5.81%0.0569-16.93%0.0097✓0.92121k2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003298-5.82%0.002142-38.83%0.3050✓0.861.1M2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4016.9685-5.84%6.125-17.24%0.0219✓1.0214.0M2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1196.7016-5.86%4.929-30.76%0.2615✓0.315.3M2022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.659746-5.88%0.563-19.69%0.0235✓0.92322k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2054.8975-5.91%5.793+11.30%0.3691✗1.3610.1M2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.3295-5.91%6.28-19.38%0.0097✓1.11638k2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0341-5.95%0.8625-21.56%0.0374✓1.484.7M2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0032.8217-6.04%2.286-23.88%0.0223✓1.585.0M2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.0752-6.19%4.2-22.37%0.1281✓0.411.5M2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.120313-6.23%0.1083-15.59%0.0230✓0.564.2M2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.06142-6.23%0.055-16.03%0.0692✗1.221.2M2022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.2631-6.23%1.098-18.49%0.0415✓1.23518k2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.022066-6.36%0.026042+10.52%0.1828✗0.12240k2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001634-6.43%0.001531-12.31%0.0661✓0.89766k2022-09-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03440.967448-6.48%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2854.9419-6.49%3.59-32.07%0.3055✓0.102.3M2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.8014-6.51%1.216-36.89%0.2348✓1.07781k2022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.093467-6.53%0.0951-4.90%0.1198✗0.69234k2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6712.7621-6.64%13.46-1.54%0.2208✗1.142.2M2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000012284-6.66%0.00001039-21.05%0.0322✓0.92864k2022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.581426-6.67%0.445-28.57%0.1063✓1.0996k2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001385-6.70%0.001013-31.75%0.1980✓0.781.6M2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.3173-6.74%11.82-17.23%0.0620✓1.231.3M2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2464-6.79%1.8-25.31%0.0419✓1.22281k2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum107.36100.0697-6.79%100.7-6.20%0.1313✗0.853.4M2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.34968-6.88%0.2884-23.20%0.0038✓1.28182k2022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.4712-6.89%5.89-15.25%0.0376✓0.381.6M2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.2266-7.02%2.7487-20.79%0.0137✓0.9938k2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3235.8783-7.03%5.248-17.00%0.0119✓0.8510.1M2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0531.6242-7.12%27.69-18.68%0.0783✗1.4316.0M2022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.5209-7.24%5.55-21.05%0.1064✓0.372.4M2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.080874-7.25%0.0672-22.94%0.1718✓0.09916k2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative2.131.9747-7.29%1.622-23.85%0.0034✓1.311.2M2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.6135-7.32%3.588-27.92%0.2034✓0.331.7M2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.659844-7.46%0.573-19.64%0.0108✓0.88263k2022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.2537-7.64%1.2073-11.06%0.1022✗0.951.3M2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.049112-7.86%0.0405-24.02%0.0456✓1.00253k2022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.525.9938-8.07%4.93-24.39%0.1410✓0.373.3M2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum32.7630.1108-8.09%23.03-29.70%0.0086✓1.87365k2022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.062834-8.14%0.05474-19.97%0.0262✓1.112.4M2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.321939-8.20%0.2521-28.12%0.0756✓1.15110k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.783168-8.40%0.868+1.52%0.1652✗0.424.4M2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1916.6574-8.43%15.17-16.60%0.0106✓0.711.7M2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,160.53-8.62%7,985.43-10.58%0.1791✗1.367.3M2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.007702-8.74%0.00702-16.82%0.0767✓1.15477k2022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41985.8572-8.76%5.2376-18.41%0.0869✓0.173.1M2022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.0605-9.28%0.892-23.70%0.0802✓1.723.5M2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.201998-9.34%0.2287+2.65%0.2443✗0.811.8M2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.648.7371-9.37%7.72-19.92%0.0594✓0.442.6M2022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.240.8861-9.54%13.34-70.49%0.9882✓0.891.8M2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001607-9.63%0.001377-22.55%0.0487✓0.729,7092022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39493.9606-9.88%5.3357+21.41%0.4456✗1.00173k2022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.5463-10.05%1.186-31.01%0.0884✓1.20121k2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.10e-7-10.52%5.15e-7-24.36%0.0550✓0.77180k2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48423.9985-10.83%3.3008-26.39%0.1115✓0.542.1M2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.2191-11.55%3.91-18.03%0.0674✓0.97139k2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.3669-12.78%5.7947-5.83%0.1046✓0.192.1M2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60712.1544-16.79%12.016-17.74%0.0543✓0.452.0M2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.