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2022-08-22 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3331
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.8%
in alpha space · 35.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068656+0.37%0.07289+6.56%0.0531✓1.112.4M2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.013+0.33%3.05+1.57%0.0027✓1.585.0M2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9837.0044+0.31%7.109+1.80%0.0069✓1.3010.7M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5195+0.30%1.57+3.63%0.0256✓1.18147k2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,955.20+0.28%9,225.54+3.31%0.0215✓1.367.3M2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022589+0.26%0.02356+4.57%0.0368✓0.8713.0M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.172+0.25%1.335+14.20%0.1198✓1.723.5M2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.3383+0.24%6.378+0.87%0.0011✓0.8510.1M2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.3931+0.17%6.378-0.06%0.0080✗0.935.3M2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.132.1337+0.17%2.143+0.61%0.0036✗1.311.2M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.37613+0.17%0.39+3.86%0.0285✓1.28182k2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.798+0.10%7.88+1.16%0.0037✓1.11638k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1909+0.07%1.2121+1.86%0.0101✓1.241.0M2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.2087+0.07%5.245+0.77%0.0013✗1.3610.1M2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.850595+0.07%0.8686+2.19%0.0144✓1.082.2M2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.402464+0.07%0.41+1.94%0.0118✓1.1176k2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2893+0.07%14.66+2.66%0.0182✓1.231.3M2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.4056+0.06%7.635+3.16%0.0243✓1.0214.0M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum32.7632.7779+0.05%34.76+6.11%0.0473✓1.87365k2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.3870.3872+0.05%0.3899+0.75%0.0001✓1.16492k2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.05092+0.04%0.0517+1.57%0.0093✓0.97798k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.28009+0.03%0.287+2.50%0.0200✓0.72878k2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.93236+0.03%0.94089+0.94%0.0032✓0.9713k2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5188.5297+0.02%89.48+1.10%0.0013✓1.546.5M2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.0836+0.02%3.142+1.91%0.0149✓0.64749k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.5644+0.02%23.51+4.21%0.0332✓1.3024.5M2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0996+0.01%1.1837+7.66%0.0647✓1.484.7M2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.503113+0.00%0.5139+2.15%0.0163✓0.81661k2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.390677-0.00%0.4051+3.69%0.0305✗0.9470k2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.073125-0.01%0.07645+4.54%0.0373✗1.1929k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.350669-0.01%0.3902+11.26%0.0999✗1.15110k2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001746-0.01%0.001746+0.00%0.0053✓0.89766k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5676-0.02%4.5224-1.01%0.0147✓0.78827k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0528-0.02%1.067+1.33%0.0061✗1.211.1M2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.0434-0.02%7.241+2.78%0.0212✗1.0719.5M2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.854787-0.02%0.893+4.44%0.0412✗0.424.4M2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.218242-0.03%0.2228+2.06%0.0146✗1.0072k2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3466-0.03%1.373+1.93%0.0119✗1.23518k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.6584-0.03%5.74+1.41%0.0092✗0.841.6M2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.09807-0.03%0.1008+2.75%0.0218✗0.94430k2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.305525-0.03%0.310587+1.62%0.0099✗1.08805k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.111057-0.04%0.1138+2.43%0.0179✗1.073.7M2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.416-0.04%35.67+0.68%0.0001✓1.1681.1M2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.136944-0.04%0.1397+1.97%0.0140✗0.972.1M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5883-0.05%1.5941+0.32%0.0030✓1.10494k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.10505-0.05%0.1087+3.43%0.0299✗0.713,6712022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000038819-0.05%0.00003947+1.62%0.0113✗0.881.8M2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.718-0.06%1.817+5.70%0.0487✗1.20121k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022227-0.06%0.02359+6.07%0.0546✗0.81419k2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.014251-0.06%0.01447+1.47%0.0114✗0.641.6M2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.140503-0.07%0.14275+1.53%0.0084✗1.23243k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0945-0.07%2.153+2.72%0.0170✗1.74115k2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.290284-0.07%0.2977+2.48%0.0195✗0.953.5M2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.89e-7-0.08%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0181✗0.802.7M2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3789-0.08%1.4+1.45%0.0094✗0.96182k2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,623.49-0.08%1,665.93+2.53%0.0177✗1.33576.1M2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.146581-0.08%0.1488+1.43%0.0090✗1.00149k2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.121299-0.08%0.124+2.14%0.0159✗1.0138k2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.5765-0.08%133.41+8.75%0.0780✗1.114.9M2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.216816-0.08%0.2192+1.01%0.0027✗1.35111k2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0534.0203-0.09%34.36+0.91%0.0013✗1.4316.0M2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006974-0.09%0.00708+1.43%0.0112✗0.641.3M2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046155-0.10%0.04645+0.54%0.0022✗0.6816k2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.295024-0.10%0.29912+1.29%0.0075✗1.0413k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.594422-0.10%0.592-0.50%0.0116✓1.232,8642022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.703301-0.10%0.722+2.56%0.0180✗1.354.8M2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.712268-0.10%0.733+2.81%0.0233✗0.88263k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.376903-0.11%0.3851+2.07%0.0148✗1.11175k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003207-0.11%0.00324+0.93%0.0041✗1.03537k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.253831-0.11%0.2559+0.71%0.0024✗0.9584k2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,375.24-0.11%21,528.34+0.61%0.0011✓1.00469.7M2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.912416-0.11%0.943427+3.28%0.0286✗0.7977k2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.1539-0.12%57.1-0.21%0.0070✓1.0013.5M2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.046046-0.12%0.047+1.95%0.0146✗0.98187k2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.820612-0.12%0.8205-0.13%0.0090✓1.47205k2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.4661-0.12%3.5261+1.61%0.0112✗0.9938k2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8877-0.12%1.962+3.81%0.0331✗0.91718k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.78303-0.12%0.7906+0.84%0.0010✓1.43325k2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.30282-0.13%0.3076+1.45%0.0101✗0.928.2M2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.70009-0.13%0.725+3.42%0.0294✗0.92322k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.3841-0.13%50.74+0.57%0.0004✓1.2315k2022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.21221-0.14%0.2209+3.95%0.0341✗1.00152k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.5689-0.14%9.713+1.37%0.0092✗0.951.9M2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.064012-0.14%0.0652+1.72%0.0114✗1.15282k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3168-0.14%2.3-0.86%0.0123✓0.83778k2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021298-0.14%0.021625+1.39%0.0103✗0.8113k2022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.157498-0.14%0.16294+3.31%0.0211✗2.126362022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4066-0.14%2.44+1.24%0.0064✗1.22281k2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.9152-0.14%1.9643+2.42%0.0189✗1.0636k2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.409-0.14%2.4359+0.97%0.0038✗1.2113k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.710.708975-0.14%0.74+4.23%0.0405✗0.38105k2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005809-0.15%0.005889+1.23%0.0097✗0.672,6422022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.460817-0.15%0.466+0.98%0.0049✗1.0542.0M2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.026211-0.15%0.02647+0.84%0.0022✗1.273,2032022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29155.207-0.15%56.254+1.74%0.0143✗0.74330k2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.273978-0.15%0.2756+0.44%0.0000✓0.98118k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash47.2347.1563-0.16%48.5+2.69%0.0222✗0.97493k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2181-0.16%1.242+1.80%0.0135✗0.992.1M2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.438303-0.16%0.444+1.14%0.0069✗1.008,8922022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.830258-0.16%0.83469+0.37%0.0003✓0.92524k2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0617.0321-0.16%17.42+2.11%0.0158✗1.10125k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.068387-0.17%0.0678-1.02%0.0142✓0.92121k2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0347-0.17%1.0251-1.09%0.0127✓0.563.8M2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049578-0.17%0.048516-2.30%0.0249✓0.5430k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.065522-0.17%0.066225+0.91%0.0072✗0.58164k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.065391-0.17%0.0673+2.75%0.0214✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003496-0.17%0.003625+3.51%0.0310✗0.861.1M2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.361232-0.17%0.37206+2.82%0.0237✗0.9690k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.6465-0.17%13.6-0.51%0.0103✓1.142.2M2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.88e-7-0.17%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0079✗0.8218k2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.4918-0.17%49.54-2.06%0.0251✓1.00560k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.0988-0.18%5.389+5.50%0.0545✗0.14171k2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.56868-0.18%0.57919+1.67%0.0105✗1.2945k2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.009273-0.18%0.00923-0.65%0.0093✓0.756.4M2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8147-0.18%1.847+1.60%0.0118✗0.96151k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1361-0.18%1.1311-0.62%0.0096✓0.8655k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.1104-0.18%0.1117+0.99%0.0065✗0.87256k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1879-0.19%2.25+2.65%0.0210✗1.1559k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.088931-0.19%0.0914+2.58%0.0215✗0.9711k2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.053198-0.19%0.0546+2.44%0.0200✗1.00253k2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.167973-0.19%0.1725+2.50%0.0201✗1.081,7442022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040521-0.20%0.0408+0.49%0.0017✓0.8511k2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.489533-0.20%0.4933+0.57%0.0009✓1.11419k2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0701-0.20%10.63+5.35%0.0469✗1.18318k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash65.0964.9596-0.20%66.35+1.94%0.0144✗1.121.9M2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.4491-0.20%13.7842+2.28%0.0188✗0.9644k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.148998-0.20%0.1575+5.49%0.0497✗0.96614k2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004092-0.20%0.00408-0.49%0.0088✓0.99152k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8702-0.20%2.977+3.51%0.0314✗0.84749k2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.232227-0.20%0.2343+0.69%0.0034✗0.90528k2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.55350.552362-0.21%0.5572+0.67%0.0033✗0.891.9M2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.6619-0.21%27.78+0.22%0.0015✓0.968.3M2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.7141-0.22%2.79+2.57%0.0246✗0.5093k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.183598-0.22%0.185+0.54%0.0011✓1.07608k2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.099779-0.22%0.1015+1.50%0.0129✗0.69234k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2021,074.36-0.23%21,511.10+1.84%0.0147✗0.958,8302022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045553-0.23%0.046576+2.01%0.0171✗0.8432k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.621517-0.24%0.617-0.96%0.0139✓1.0996k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.320944-0.24%0.32919+2.33%0.0198✗0.92342k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero153.73153.3626-0.24%154.81+0.70%0.0033✗1.001.1M2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.89776-0.25%0.973+8.11%0.0731✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.382441-0.25%0.3844+0.26%0.0025✓1.25239k2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.550601-0.25%0.569+3.08%0.0260✗1.1395k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.109204-0.26%0.110676+1.08%0.0082✗0.867.8M2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1918.1399-0.28%18.01-0.99%0.0115✓0.711.7M2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.039809-0.28%0.039-2.30%0.0255✓0.822,6252022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000091275-0.28%0.00010583+15.62%0.1431✗0.81314k2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.127937-0.28%0.1294+0.86%0.0080✗0.564.2M2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum107.36107.0537-0.29%109.96+2.42%0.0217✗0.853.4M2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037089-0.30%0.0382+2.69%0.0239✗0.9381k2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0312-0.31%0.04351-95.79%3.1723✓1.1112k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000013117-0.33%0.00001332+1.22%0.0098✗0.92864k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.16435-0.33%0.1727+4.73%0.0414✗1.351,6582022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0911.0526-0.34%12.135+9.42%0.0867✗1.1110.0M2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.068143-0.35%0.068797+0.61%0.0033✓1.021.9M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001479-0.37%0.001591+7.15%0.0681✗0.781.6M2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059472-0.38%0.0622+4.19%0.0393✗0.92120k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.086861-0.39%0.08526-2.22%0.0192✓0.09916k2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260172-0.39%0.2605-0.27%0.0012✓0.0187k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.036713-0.43%0.03743+1.52%0.0134✗0.9923k2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017665-0.48%0.01736-2.20%0.0216✓0.68167k2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006765-0.48%0.006696-1.50%0.0130✓0.4557k2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.3494-0.59%1.3042-3.92%0.0398✓0.951.3M2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.023421-0.61%0.02313-1.84%0.0132✓0.12240k2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3764-0.62%5.38-0.55%0.0018✓0.411.5M2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.9841-0.65%7.04+0.14%0.0057✓0.372.4M2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.904-0.66%7.16+3.02%0.0341✗0.381.6M2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.5656-0.77%9.49-1.56%0.0106✓0.442.6M2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1197.0641-0.77%6.803-4.44%0.0395✓0.315.3M2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.3607-0.78%4.6501+5.81%0.0582✗1.00173k2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.9112-0.81%1.9086-0.94%0.0078✓1.07781k2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.399905-0.83%0.39145-2.92%0.0274✓0.99435k2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.244.8254-0.83%41.17-8.92%0.0905✓0.891.8M2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.070052-0.90%0.07069+0.00%0.0041✓0.829772022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008357-0.99%0.00808-4.27%0.0406✓1.15477k2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.2293-1.05%5.147-2.61%0.0164✓0.102.3M2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.9182-1.20%5.224+4.94%0.0583✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.219977-1.27%0.2505+12.43%0.1250✗0.811.8M2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4349-1.30%6.39-1.99%0.0092✓0.373.3M2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5748-1.58%1.43-10.63%0.0961✓-0.05105k2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.69e-7-1.80%8.22e-7+20.67%0.2014✗0.77180k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.3009-1.85%6.0884-5.16%0.0353✓0.173.1M2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001737-2.30%0.001585-10.85%0.0959✓0.729,7092022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.6549-2.41%4.429-7.15%0.0556✓0.97139k2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.3735-2.47%4.3642-2.68%0.0054✓0.542.1M2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.9505-3.30%5.9126-3.91%0.0075✓0.192.1M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60713.8818-4.96%13.538-7.32%0.0278✓0.452.0M2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.