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2022-08-21 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0250
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.2%
in alpha space · 68.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,785.76+0.42%8,930.03+2.06%0.0239✓1.367.3M2022-08-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.068767+0.40%0.0684-0.13%0.0009✓1.122.4M2022-08-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.022697+0.30%0.02253-0.44%0.0025✓0.8813.4M2022-08-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02481.0278+0.29%1.0995+7.29%0.0757✓1.474.7M2022-08-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2117.2318+0.29%6.983-3.16%0.0277✗1.2910.7M2022-08-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1113.1199+0.29%3.003-3.47%0.0294✗1.575.0M2022-08-22
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1793+0.28%1.169-0.60%0.0009✓1.723.6M2022-08-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.5658+0.24%1.515-3.01%0.0263✗1.19156k2022-08-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.4286+0.24%6.323-1.40%0.0118✗0.8510.1M2022-08-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.38481+0.18%0.3755-2.24%0.0173✗1.28182k2022-08-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.4704+0.18%6.382-1.19%0.0086✗0.935.3M2022-08-22
FLOWFlownative2.1632.1664+0.16%2.13-1.53%0.0096✗1.311.2M2022-08-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.337119+0.15%0.3507+4.19%0.0459✓1.15110k2022-08-22
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8985.9971+0.12%88.51+3.05%0.0375✓1.556.3M2022-08-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.195.1957+0.11%5.205+0.29%0.0094✓1.3510.9M2022-08-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.07529+0.09%0.07313-2.78%0.0225✗1.1929k2022-08-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.21205+0.07%0.2125+0.28%0.0077✓1.00149k2022-08-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4789+0.06%14.28-1.31%0.0070✗1.231.4M2022-08-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.4383+0.06%7.401-0.44%0.0007✓1.0214.0M2022-08-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.2107+0.06%1.19-1.65%0.0102✗1.251.0M2022-08-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.108048+0.04%0.1111+2.87%0.0339✓1.073.7M2022-08-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.051423+0.04%0.0509-0.97%0.0048✗0.97798k2022-08-22
STXStacksnative0.3950.395158+0.04%0.387-2.03%0.0144✗1.15492k2022-08-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.873932+0.03%0.85-2.71%0.0217✗1.082.2M2022-08-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67119.6775+0.01%122.68+2.52%0.0310✓1.114.9M2022-08-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.513304+0.00%0.5031-1.99%0.0155✗0.82694k2022-08-22
GTGateEthereum4.56934.5689-0.01%4.5685-0.02%0.0043✗0.77827k2022-08-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3519-0.01%1.347-0.37%0.0033✗1.23518k2022-08-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.087.0784-0.02%7.045-0.49%0.0013✗1.0719.5M2022-08-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0717-0.03%1.053-1.77%0.0108✓1.211.1M2022-08-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9722.9641-0.03%22.56-1.78%0.0105✓1.2924.5M2022-08-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.223941-0.03%0.2183-2.54%0.0199✓1.0067k2022-08-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.7235-0.03%1.719-0.29%0.0041✗1.20121k2022-08-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.1731-0.03%3.083-2.87%0.0253✓0.63803k2022-08-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.963579-0.03%0.93212-3.29%0.0278✓0.9712k2022-08-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6855.6608-0.03%57.22+2.77%0.0332✗1.0013.1M2022-08-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.875607-0.04%0.855-2.40%0.0214✓0.434.4M2022-08-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,617.10-0.05%1,624.78+0.43%0.0122✗1.33548.6M2022-08-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.308683-0.05%0.305622-1.04%0.0039✓1.08843k2022-08-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001777-0.05%0.001746-1.80%0.0127✓0.89790k2022-08-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.139228-0.05%0.137-1.65%0.0105✓1.002.1M2022-08-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.28785-0.05%0.28-2.78%0.0235✓0.73878k2022-08-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.022557-0.06%0.02224-1.46%0.0093✓0.87444k2022-08-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.28.1948-0.06%7.79-5.00%0.0444✓1.12638k2022-08-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7634.7378-0.06%32.76-5.75%0.0481✓1.87365k2022-08-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7633.738-0.07%34.05+0.86%0.0173✗1.4416.5M2022-08-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1813.1711-0.07%13.67+3.72%0.0435✗1.132.4M2022-08-22
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000039523-0.07%0.00003884-1.80%0.0124✓0.891.8M2022-08-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.108917-0.08%0.1051-3.58%0.0317✓0.713,8252022-08-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.428269-0.08%0.4022-6.16%0.0566✓1.1175k2022-08-22
SOLSolanaSolana36.4836.4498-0.08%35.43-2.88%0.0219✓1.1675.2M2022-08-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.101014-0.09%0.0981-2.97%0.0240✓0.94414k2022-08-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3888-0.09%1.38-0.72%0.0010✓0.95182k2022-08-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6221,499.59-0.09%21,398.25-0.56%0.0009✓1.00463.8M2022-08-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.149767-0.09%0.1467-2.13%0.0151✓1.00149k2022-08-22
KSMKusamaHydration50.6450.5941-0.09%50.58-0.12%0.0053✗0.99543k2022-08-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.489156-0.09%0.4905+0.18%0.0090✗1.11400k2022-08-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.294619-0.10%0.2905-1.49%0.0088✓0.953.5M2022-08-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.007173-0.10%0.00698-2.79%0.0237✓0.651.3M2022-08-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0902-0.10%1.1382+4.30%0.0479✗0.8655k2022-08-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.1679-0.10%2.096-3.41%0.0241✓1.72115k2022-08-22
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.99e-7-0.10%8.90e-7-1.11%0.0057✓0.803.0M2022-08-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.926859-0.10%0.913455-1.54%0.0102✓0.7970k2022-08-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.9041-0.10%5.66-4.23%0.0375✓0.841.6M2022-08-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.143705-0.10%0.1406-2.26%0.0149✓1.24246k2022-08-22
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.631-0.10%1.589-2.68%0.0199✓1.11494k2022-08-22
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.412884-0.11%0.39068-5.48%0.0501✓0.9370k2022-08-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.699208-0.11%0.701+0.14%0.0077✗0.92324k2022-08-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.4651-0.12%3.4703+0.03%0.0071✗0.9943k2022-08-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.384341-0.12%0.3773-1.95%0.0123✓1.10175k2022-08-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.124142-0.13%0.1214-2.33%0.0167✓1.0139k2022-08-22
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.461794-0.13%0.4615-0.19%0.0052✗1.0442.0M2022-08-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.9115-0.13%1.89-1.25%0.0062✓0.90657k2022-08-22
ZENHorizenBase16.7316.7079-0.13%17.06+1.97%0.0271✗1.11125k2022-08-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.046678-0.13%0.0462-1.16%0.0065✓0.6816k2022-08-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005907-0.13%0.005817-1.65%0.0115✓0.672,6422022-08-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.6151-0.13%9.582-0.48%0.0019✗0.951.9M2022-08-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9150.8416-0.13%50.45-0.90%0.0008✓1.2315k2022-08-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.305778-0.14%0.3032-0.98%0.0033✓0.928.2M2022-08-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.726981-0.14%0.713-2.06%0.0144✓0.89263k2022-08-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.270118-0.14%0.2744+1.44%0.0212✗0.98132k2022-08-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.802858-0.14%0.784-2.49%0.0158✓1.43373k2022-08-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95854.8794-0.14%55.291+0.61%0.0117✗0.75340k2022-08-22
DASHDashDash46.846.7325-0.14%47.23+0.92%0.0161✗0.98493k2022-08-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.720937-0.15%0.704-2.49%0.0161✓1.364.8M2022-08-22
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.065826-0.15%0.065631-0.44%0.0003✓0.59179k2022-08-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.069496-0.15%0.0685-1.58%0.0093✓0.91121k2022-08-22
XVGVergenative0.003260.003255-0.15%0.00321-1.53%0.0081✓1.04537k2022-08-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.014637-0.15%0.01426-2.72%0.0224✓0.651.8M2022-08-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047227-0.15%0.0461-2.54%0.0187✓0.98192k2022-08-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.301522-0.16%0.29531-2.21%0.0150✓1.0413k2022-08-22
PROPropyEthereum0.730.72886-0.16%0.71-2.74%0.0241✓0.38105k2022-08-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.067393-0.16%0.0655-2.96%0.0217✓1.211.2M2022-08-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.476-0.16%2.41-2.82%0.0202✓1.22281k2022-08-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3778-0.16%1.6+15.94%0.1492✗-0.05105k2022-08-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.855496-0.16%0.8216-4.12%0.0322✓1.47214k2022-08-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11855.1097-0.17%5.1079-0.21%0.0005✓0.14171k2022-08-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.262334-0.18%0.2541-3.31%0.0266✓0.9584k2022-08-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.851006-0.18%0.83161-2.46%0.0179✓0.92524k2022-08-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.2407-0.18%1.22-1.85%0.0113✓0.982.2M2022-08-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111289-0.19%0.1106-0.81%0.0014✓0.86259k2022-08-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.3755-0.19%2.32-2.52%0.0189✓0.84833k2022-08-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.041122-0.19%0.0406-1.46%0.0077✓0.9011k2022-08-22
ZECZcashZcash64.6264.4961-0.19%65.09+0.73%0.0155✗1.122.0M2022-08-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.065274-0.19%0.0641-1.99%0.0117✓1.15289k2022-08-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.9082-0.20%2.876-1.30%0.0064✓0.84749k2022-08-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.6648-0.20%27.72+0.00%0.0073✗0.958.5M2022-08-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.021865-0.20%0.021328-2.66%0.0203✓0.8213k2022-08-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.370096-0.21%0.36185-2.43%0.0171✓0.9690k2022-08-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.4728-0.21%2.4125-2.64%0.0179✓1.2113k2022-08-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.053884-0.22%0.0533-1.30%0.0053✓1.00253k2022-08-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.163733-0.22%0.15772-3.88%0.0255✓2.126362022-08-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.18659-0.22%0.184-1.60%0.0080✓1.07608k2022-08-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.050936-0.22%0.04966-2.72%0.0224✓0.5330k2022-08-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.587544-0.22%0.5697-3.25%0.0236✓1.2945k2022-08-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.8719-0.22%1.818-3.09%0.0239✓0.95151k2022-08-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.28e-7-0.22%8.90e-7-4.30%0.0372✓0.8218k2022-08-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.009429-0.22%0.00929-1.69%0.0106✓0.756.4M2022-08-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.0896-0.22%0.0891-0.78%0.0001✓0.989,9252022-08-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.319286-0.23%0.32171+0.53%0.0127✗0.92353k2022-08-22
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.046128-0.23%0.045657-1.25%0.0056✓0.8333k2022-08-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.2239-0.23%2.192-1.66%0.0080✓1.1560k2022-08-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.0042-0.23%0.0041-2.61%0.0186✓0.99152k2022-08-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.4110.3858-0.23%10.09-3.07%0.0223✓1.17318k2022-08-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.0754-0.23%1.0364-3.85%0.0338✓0.553.9M2022-08-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.369894-0.24%0.40324+8.75%0.0921✗1.02418k2022-08-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.027035-0.24%0.02625-3.14%0.0224✓1.273,2032022-08-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.23693-0.24%0.2327-2.02%0.0130✓0.90528k2022-08-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.100358-0.24%0.1-0.60%0.0003✓0.69234k2022-08-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.229245-0.24%0.217-5.57%0.0473✓1.35111k2022-08-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.56154.1856-0.24%153.73-0.54%0.0027✗1.001.1M2022-08-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.7533-0.24%2.72-1.45%0.0094✓0.5093k2022-08-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.6175-0.25%11.09+4.19%0.0497✗1.1110.4M2022-08-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.176359-0.25%0.1683-4.81%0.0409✓1.051,7442022-08-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.000090145-0.26%0.00009153+1.27%0.0199✗0.83327k2022-08-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.155194-0.26%0.1493-4.05%0.0333✓0.97616k2022-08-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.110682-0.27%0.109492-1.34%0.0060✓0.867.4M2022-08-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.9431-0.27%1.918-1.56%0.0070✓1.0636k2022-08-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.634223-0.28%0.623-2.04%0.0116✓1.1296k2022-08-22
HIVEHivenative0.56380.562212-0.28%0.5535-1.83%0.0106✓0.891.9M2022-08-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001497-0.30%0.001778+18.45%0.1764✗0.729,7092022-08-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.916225-0.30%0.9-2.07%0.0111✓1.211.2M2022-08-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.468563-0.31%0.439-6.60%0.0595✓1.009,5622022-08-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.570175-0.32%0.552-3.50%0.0261✓1.1390k2022-08-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.069048-0.33%0.068381-1.30%0.0040✓1.021.9M2022-08-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0476-0.34%1.0344-1.59%0.0065✓1.1112k2022-08-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003729-0.35%0.003502-6.41%0.0580✓0.851.0M2022-08-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.175271-0.36%0.1649-6.25%0.0534✓1.351,5232022-08-22
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107114.056-0.36%13.4763-4.47%0.0367✓0.9644k2022-08-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9718.8965-0.39%18.19-4.11%0.0342✓0.701.7M2022-08-22
QNTQuantEthereum110.77110.3398-0.39%107.36-3.08%0.0226✓0.843.4M2022-08-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013427-0.39%0.00001316-2.37%0.0149✓0.91827k2022-08-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.356.3249-0.40%7.03+10.71%0.1078✗0.382.1M2022-08-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.07029-0.40%0.07069+0.17%0.0103✗0.829772022-08-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.60857-0.40%0.595-2.62%0.0157✓1.223,1462022-08-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.040037-0.41%0.03992-0.70%0.0017✓0.832,6252022-08-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.017289-0.41%0.01775+2.25%0.0301✗0.67159k2022-08-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.001512-0.42%0.001485-2.20%0.0137✓0.771.6M2022-08-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.259996-0.42%0.2612+0.04%0.0047✗0.0187k2022-08-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.390139-0.42%0.3834-2.14%0.0104✓1.25239k2022-08-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.045.0183-0.43%5.41+7.34%0.0775✗0.431.3M2022-08-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006741-0.44%0.006798+0.40%0.0109✗0.4555k2022-08-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3021,531.62-0.46%21,122.20-2.35%0.0139✓0.957,5932022-08-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.2958-0.47%1.3574+4.26%0.0518✗0.951.2M2022-08-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.186316-0.47%0.2228+19.02%0.1834✗0.821.5M2022-08-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.5274-0.50%6.95+5.95%0.0649✗0.381.5M2022-08-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.8854-0.50%9.64+7.95%0.0839✗0.432.4M2022-08-22
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.369567-0.52%–pending––0.911922022-08-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.090571-0.54%0.0872-4.24%0.0374✓0.09972k2022-08-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.7808-0.56%1.9268+7.59%0.0848✗1.07698k2022-08-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.037963-0.57%0.03687-3.43%0.0237✓0.9923k2022-08-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037482-0.58%0.0372-1.33%0.0022✓0.9581k2022-08-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.5539-0.61%7.119+7.96%0.0842✗0.274.9M2022-08-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.023284-0.61%0.023564+0.58%0.0126✗0.11240k2022-08-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059318-0.64%0.0597+0.00%0.0116✗0.92112k2022-08-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.4503-0.64%4.978+11.14%0.1138✗0.321.6M2022-08-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13534.1063-0.70%4.3949+6.28%0.0735✗1.00171k2022-08-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.8979-0.71%6.52+9.76%0.1024✗0.373.1M2022-08-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3644.0011-0.81%45.2+1.89%0.0319✗0.891.8M2022-08-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.136915-0.86%0.1283-7.10%0.0618✓0.584.4M2022-08-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.6447-0.99%4.4842+21.81%0.2104✗0.551.8M2022-08-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1015.0394-1.21%5.285+3.61%0.0480✗0.082.2M2022-08-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.8297-1.52%6.4198+8.45%0.0973✗0.172.4M2022-08-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.8865-1.65%6.1535+23.85%0.2316✗0.192.1M2022-08-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.009268-2.13%0.00844-10.88%0.0872✓1.14456k2022-08-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-76.95e-7-2.49%6.81e-7-4.37%0.0153✓0.76170k2022-08-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.9134-3.54%4.77-6.36%0.0242✓0.97133k2022-08-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73812.1489-4.63%14.607+14.67%0.1867✗0.441.6M2022-08-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.