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2022-08-20 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2463
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 39.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1453+1.26%1.176+3.98%0.0041✓1.723.7M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.312999+0.80%0.3366+8.41%0.0525✓1.14110k2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.7663+0.74%3.111+13.29%0.0898✓1.565.1M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6059+0.62%1.724+8.02%0.0496✓1.20126k2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum32.4532.6435+0.60%34.76+7.12%0.0298✓1.86383k2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.0045+0.50%1.0248+2.53%0.0058✗1.455.0M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.021625+0.49%0.02263+5.16%0.0293✓0.9013.9M2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7983.1845+0.48%85.89+3.74%0.0050✓1.526.4M2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,571.88+0.38%8,749.39+2.46%0.0037✓1.367.3M2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.131493+0.38%0.1393+6.34%0.0401✓0.992.1M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068547+0.38%0.06849+0.29%0.0207✗1.122.4M2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.7197+0.31%13.18+3.94%0.0158✓1.112.6M2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.0254+0.31%7.211+2.96%0.0034✓1.2810.7M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5293+0.28%1.562+2.43%0.0003✓1.21156k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.370826+0.25%0.3918+5.92%0.0326✓1.26223k2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4464+0.25%4.5693+3.02%0.0136✓0.77836k2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.9087+0.24%33.76+2.83%0.0003✓1.4216.5M2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.0461+0.20%5.19+3.06%0.0042✓1.3510.9M2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.103105+0.20%0.108+4.96%0.0274✓1.073.8M2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,578.44+0.17%1,617.84+2.67%0.0011✓1.33534.1M2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.475003+0.17%0.4896+3.25%0.0106✓1.11386k2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.844372+0.16%0.876+3.91%0.0288✓0.454.4M2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.384421+0.16%0.3841+0.08%0.0237✗1.28190k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.066006+0.16%0.0696+5.61%0.0365✓0.93126k2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.122773+0.14%0.1381+12.64%0.1075✓0.574.1M2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0609+0.13%3.174+3.83%0.0250✓0.64803k2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.202537+0.12%0.2119+4.75%0.0274✓1.00146k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.3112+0.10%6.459+2.44%0.0066✓0.935.3M2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.38960.389972+0.10%0.395+1.39%0.0069✗1.11493k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.300562+0.09%0.3062+1.96%0.0021✓0.938.2M2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.569482+0.08%0.611+7.38%0.0485✓1.232,9182022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007136+0.08%0.00718+0.70%0.0054✗0.651.3M2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.3182+0.08%36.48+3.37%0.0117✓1.1675.2M2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.22149.3195+0.07%154.56+3.58%0.0169✓0.991.2M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001727+0.06%0.001778+3.01%0.0136✓0.87806k2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.095651+0.05%0.1011+5.75%0.0388✓0.93430k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.139161+0.05%0.14385+3.42%0.0114✓1.22250k2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.106454+0.05%0.109+2.44%0.0109✓0.713,9702022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.1242.125+0.05%2.163+1.84%0.0056✗1.311.2M2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.252+0.05%6.413+2.62%0.0103✓0.8510.1M2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.04518+0.04%0.04674+3.50%0.0214✓0.7116k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78114.8275+0.04%119.67+4.26%0.0217✓1.105.0M2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0404+0.04%1.072+3.08%0.0084✓1.211.1M2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.22078+0.04%0.224+1.50%0.0035✗1.0172k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.356148+0.03%0.37086+4.17%0.0233✓0.9795k2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.8448+0.03%16.73+5.62%0.0347✓1.10125k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.83201+0.02%0.85255+2.49%0.0079✓0.93560k2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.007251+0.02%0.00947+30.62%0.2478✓1.07435k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2321,142.05+0.01%21,518.62+1.79%0.0001✗1.00469.5M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.122315+0.01%0.1243+1.64%0.0021✗1.0239k2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.077049+0.01%0.07522-2.36%0.0452✗1.1929k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.676067+0.01%0.7+3.55%0.0184✓0.92333k2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.3021+0.01%22.97+3.00%0.0064✓1.3024.7M2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2991+0.01%1.352+4.08%0.0179✓1.24518k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.284208+0.00%0.2949+3.76%0.0200✓0.953.6M2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.902-0.00%7.08+2.58%0.0065✗1.0719.5M2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0707-0.01%1.0912+1.90%0.0035✗0.8756k2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.399768-0.02%0.41334+3.38%0.0166✗0.9470k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.154.0876-0.02%55.68+2.92%0.0113✗0.9913.1M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.050288-0.02%0.0514+2.19%0.0045✗0.97827k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.045072-0.03%0.046233+2.55%0.0104✗0.8534k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1697-0.03%1.21+3.42%0.0121✗1.221.1M2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.861448-0.03%0.8737+1.39%0.0051✓1.082.2M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045786-0.03%0.0473+3.28%0.0152✗0.97201k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.289909-0.03%0.288-0.69%0.0196✓0.73878k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3132-0.03%2.478+7.09%0.0471✗1.2213k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.707748-0.04%0.728+2.82%0.0125✗0.88271k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005864-0.04%0.005915+0.83%0.0035✓0.692,6422022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.232995-0.05%0.2375+1.89%0.0031✗0.90550k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065826-0.05%0.065924+0.10%0.0090✓0.59179k2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.8863-0.05%64.62+2.70%0.0072✗1.132.0M2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.451043-0.06%0.4624+2.46%0.0062✗1.0542.0M2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009235-0.06%0.00945+2.27%0.0097✗0.756.2M2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.3994-0.06%18.97+3.04%0.0180✗0.701.8M2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.798517-0.06%0.804+0.63%0.0185✓1.42398k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0947-0.06%2.17+3.53%0.0050✗1.71122k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2349.1987-0.06%50.91+3.41%0.0124✗1.2316k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum104.84104.7682-0.07%110.77+5.66%0.0408✗0.843.4M2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.2289-0.07%10.644+3.99%0.0202✗1.1010.8M2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.9999-0.08%54.958+3.62%0.0232✗0.74349k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.371016-0.08%0.3848+3.64%0.0174✗1.07175k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.567021-0.08%0.58884+3.77%0.0149✗1.2946k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.69e-7-0.08%9.00e-7+3.45%0.0205✗0.803.3M2022-08-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.025678-0.09%0.0259+0.78%0.0026✓0.6337k2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060146-0.09%0.0597-0.83%0.0245✓0.96112k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2189-0.09%1.243+1.89%0.0021✗0.982.2M2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.54280.542296-0.09%0.5638+3.87%0.0230✗0.891.9M2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001445-0.10%0.001501+3.80%0.0257✗0.719,7092022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.363-0.10%9.628+2.73%0.0111✗0.951.9M2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.149155-0.10%0.1556+4.22%0.0246✗0.99616k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3387-0.10%1.39+3.73%0.0204✗0.97182k2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.79e-7-0.10%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0420✗0.8018k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.4909-0.10%50.64+4.33%0.0261✗0.97560k2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3427-0.10%3.4692+3.68%0.0197✗0.9848k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.940475-0.10%0.96387+2.38%0.0073✗0.9712k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8626-0.10%1.9484+4.50%0.0262✗1.0636k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.296924-0.11%0.30199+1.60%0.0018✓1.0513k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.108901-0.11%0.110977+1.80%0.0035✗0.877.4M2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038947-0.11%0.00003955+1.44%0.0003✓0.881.8M2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1314.1144-0.11%14.47+2.41%0.0031✗1.221.4M2022-08-21
DASHDashDash45.7545.6978-0.11%46.8+2.30%0.0066✗0.97521k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0705-0.13%5.1185+0.82%0.0069✗0.14171k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.6564-0.13%27.72+3.86%0.0222✗0.958.6M2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000087958-0.13%0.00009038+2.62%0.0116✗0.88327k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.167077-0.13%0.1759+5.14%0.0276✗1.341,3642022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.049057-0.13%0.051048+3.92%0.0304✗0.5330k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.2182-0.14%7.434+2.85%0.0113✗1.0214.0M2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003388-0.14%0.003742+10.29%0.0845✗0.831.0M2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.254539-0.14%0.2628+3.10%0.0151✗0.9583k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3566-0.14%2.48+5.08%0.0292✗1.23259k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003280.003275-0.15%0.00326-0.61%0.0232✓1.04520k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.556171-0.15%0.572+2.69%0.0079✗1.1390k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.14678-0.15%0.1499+1.97%0.0030✗1.01149k2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3879-0.15%1.38-0.72%0.0050✓-0.04105k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.180728-0.15%0.187+3.31%0.0152✗1.06608k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8763-0.15%8.93+0.45%0.0018✓0.442.2M2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0635-0.16%1.0779+1.19%0.0036✗0.554.3M2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5605-0.16%1.6327+4.47%0.0255✗1.11494k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.1072-0.16%8.2+0.99%0.0085✓1.12638k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.409748-0.16%0.4286+4.43%0.0253✗1.1074k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.052215-0.16%0.054+3.25%0.0157✗1.00253k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.109519-0.16%0.1115+1.64%0.0027✗0.86274k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0582-0.17%1.0512-0.83%0.0265✓1.1112k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.30118-0.17%0.308829+2.37%0.0057✗1.09884k2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.304618-0.17%0.32001+4.87%0.0332✗0.90366k2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.9928-0.17%10.41+4.00%0.0199✗1.18318k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084751-0.18%0.0898+5.77%0.0406✗0.979,9252022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.040228-0.18%0.0412+2.23%0.0078✗0.9111k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.061589-0.18%0.0654+6.00%0.0401✗1.12303k2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.156575-0.18%0.16409+4.61%0.0092✗2.126672022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.516235-0.19%0.5133-0.75%0.0205✓0.83713k2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012885-0.20%0.00001348+4.42%0.0290✗0.91827k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.894739-0.20%0.927762+3.49%0.0224✗0.7877k2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.167953-0.21%0.1768+5.05%0.0334✗1.011,7442022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.267047-0.21%0.2705+1.08%0.0046✓0.98145k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.8178-0.22%2.914+3.19%0.0188✗0.83749k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021512-0.22%0.02191+1.62%0.0037✗0.8213k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260703-0.23%0.2611-0.08%0.0013✓0.0181k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8556-0.24%1.914+2.90%0.0147✗0.92657k2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.00414-0.24%0.00421+1.45%0.0010✓1.00152k2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.461869-0.24%0.47+1.51%0.0004✓1.019,8012022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.369281-0.25%0.37078+0.16%0.0155✓1.10426k2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1467-0.25%2.229+3.58%0.0171✗1.1660k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.609473-0.25%0.636+4.09%0.0227✗1.12103k2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.066633-0.25%0.0675+1.05%0.0086✓1.211.3M2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.022383-0.25%0.02257+0.58%0.0071✓0.87444k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.864-0.27%5.91+0.51%0.0074✓0.851.6M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.866627-0.27%0.919+5.75%0.0372✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006836-0.27%0.006771-1.23%0.0179✓0.4757k2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8515-0.30%1.876+1.02%0.0038✓0.96156k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.7319-0.30%2.76+0.73%0.0014✓0.5093k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.022432-0.30%0.023427+4.12%0.0411✗0.13240k2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.069221-0.30%0.069279-0.21%0.0173✓1.021.9M2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0548-0.30%5.04-0.59%0.0104✓0.421.1M2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.858463-0.32%0.8569-0.50%0.0283✓1.49224k2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727652-0.32%0.73+0.00%0.0037✓0.39105k2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.719632-0.33%0.722+0.00%0.0213✓1.384.8M2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014639-0.34%0.014659-0.20%0.0093✓0.601.9M2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.3854-0.35%6.594+2.90%0.0299✗0.134.5M2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.4707-0.36%4.479-0.18%0.0045✓0.361.6M2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.6568-0.37%14.1071+2.92%0.0155✗0.9544k2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7805-0.37%1.7908+0.21%0.0140✓1.11667k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017634-0.37%0.01736-1.92%0.0271✓0.64155k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.7983-0.37%5.94+2.06%0.0178✗0.362.9M2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.4007-0.39%2.38-1.24%0.0239✓0.86833k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.3052-0.39%6.35+0.32%0.0003✓0.381.9M2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.365122-0.40%0.3715+1.34%0.0011✓0.911922022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.182425-0.42%0.1872+2.18%0.0112✗0.821.3M2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2021,036.02-0.44%21,631.30+2.38%0.0110✗0.957,5932022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.4911-0.44%6.56+0.61%0.0036✓0.391.3M2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.068557-0.47%0.07057+2.45%0.0145✗0.819772022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.039373-0.47%0.0402+1.62%0.0061✗0.832,6252022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.4687-0.49%3.6812+5.60%0.0501✗0.531.5M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.026286-0.51%0.0271+2.57%0.0080✗1.273,2032022-08-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.7916-0.52%4.1353+8.50%0.0690✗1.00169k2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.23775-0.52%0.2298-3.85%0.0583✓1.36110k2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.102838-0.54%0.1006-2.71%0.0348✓0.72220k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.091071-0.55%0.09106-0.56%0.0017✓0.09959k2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3564-0.62%1.3019-4.62%0.0584✓0.981.2M2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039151-0.63%0.0377-4.31%0.0550✓0.9777k2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001497-0.68%0.001518+0.74%0.0004✓0.781.6M2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.3291-0.72%4.9686+13.94%0.1352✗0.142.1M2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6641.3404-0.77%44.36+6.48%0.0539✗0.931.8M2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.037142-0.82%0.03818+1.95%0.0099✗1.0023k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.8814-0.96%5.094+29.98%0.2554✗0.92127k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0515.0015-0.98%5.101+0.99%0.0187✗0.062.1M2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.6341-1.02%5.9198+4.00%0.0466✗0.162.1M2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.7153-1.64%12.738+16.93%0.1655✗0.421.4M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.86e-7-2.89%7.12e-7+0.88%0.0246✓0.76164k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.