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2022-08-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1281
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.4%
in alpha space · 85.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7981.379-1.70%76.38-7.74%0.0559✗1.526.4M2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.7779-1.74%4.59-21.94%0.1630✓0.851.6M2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.43554.3302-2.37%4.2119-5.04%0.0326✗0.77836k2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.152.8047-2.39%52.89-2.24%0.0798✗0.9913.1M2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.064171-2.56%0.060295-8.45%0.0158✓0.59179k2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.703012-2.63%0.572-20.78%0.0977✓1.384.8M2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.021812-2.80%0.01974-12.03%0.0316✓0.87444k2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005695-2.92%0.005618-4.23%0.0405✗0.692,6422022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.06685-2.95%0.06161-10.55%0.0176✓0.819772022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.074731-3.00%0.06261-18.73%0.0835✓1.1929k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.551667-3.05%0.391-31.28%0.2475✓1.232,9182022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78111.1649-3.15%112.05-2.38%0.0948✗1.105.0M2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058287-3.18%0.0547-9.14%0.0121✓0.96112k2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003280.003175-3.21%0.00326-0.61%0.1086✗1.04520k2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.0691-3.23%9.098-2.92%0.0776✗0.951.9M2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.102905-3.28%0.0949-10.81%0.0248✓0.713,9702022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.386442-3.35%0.38968-2.54%0.0826✗0.9470k2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.213083-3.45%0.1992-9.74%0.0121✓1.0172k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.081947-3.48%0.0828-2.47%0.0868✗0.979,9252022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.4714-3.52%1.365-10.49%0.0198✓1.21156k2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.395804-3.56%0.3928-4.29%0.0793✗1.1074k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014161-3.59%0.011897-19.00%0.1269✓0.601.9M2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,518.84-3.61%1,376.17-12.67%0.0057✓1.33534.1M2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.038843-3.62%0.0357-11.41%0.0131✓0.9111k2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.117859-3.63%0.1327+8.50%0.1990✗1.0239k2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.258-3.67%13.84-12.63%0.0108✓1.10125k2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.141599-3.67%0.1312-10.75%0.0035✓1.01149k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.043478-3.72%0.04122-8.72%0.0021✓0.7116k2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2320,342.22-3.77%19,540.38-7.56%0.0384✓1.00469.5M2022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.836134-3.78%0.902+3.80%0.1707✗1.211.1M2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.456255-3.78%0.4467-5.80%0.0658✗1.11386k2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5032-3.82%1.4887-4.75%0.0778✗1.11494k2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.862179-3.83%0.816606-8.91%0.0069✓0.7877k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9260.499-3.85%55.26-12.17%0.0020✓1.132.0M2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0238-3.89%0.9446-11.32%0.0370✓0.554.3M2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.025392-3.89%0.02205-16.54%0.0414✓1.273,2032022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.25718-3.89%0.1798-32.81%0.2808✓0.98145k2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07694.8789-3.90%4.6593-8.23%0.0349✓0.14171k2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3356-3.92%1.44+3.60%0.0723✗-0.04105k2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.433588-3.92%0.4526+0.29%0.1253✗1.0542.0M2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.047183-3.95%0.039404-19.79%0.1387✓0.5330k2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.125779-3.99%0.1251-4.50%0.0721✗0.992.1M2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.0523-4.01%6.057-3.93%0.0742✗0.935.3M2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.244662-4.02%0.2908+14.08%0.2474✗0.9583k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.272778-4.02%0.2595-8.69%0.0249✓0.953.6M2022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.6298-4.02%2.28-16.79%0.1037✓0.5093k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.35e-7-4.07%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0206✓0.803.3M2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0450.8796-4.07%49.657-6.38%0.0336✓0.74349k2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.700075-4.10%0.66-9.59%0.0283✓0.39105k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.091678-4.10%0.0944-1.26%0.1026✗0.93430k2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0091-4.15%1.699-18.94%0.0334✓1.71122k2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.008856-4.15%0.00746-19.26%0.1125✓0.756.2M2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.133312-4.15%0.12606-9.37%0.0403✓1.22250k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.354773-4.16%0.38357+3.61%0.1646✗1.10426k2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.150303-4.18%0.15899+1.36%0.2227✗2.126672022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.491-4.22%40.04-17.51%0.0732✓0.97560k2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.42e-7-4.28%8.10e-7-7.95%0.0237✓0.8018k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.020635-4.29%0.020248-6.09%0.0456✗0.8213k2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0248-4.29%0.962594-10.11%0.0055✓0.8756k2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2347.1083-4.31%52.16+5.95%0.1982✗1.2316k2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.104957-4.32%0.1003-8.57%0.0219✓0.86274k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.353744-4.37%0.3256-11.98%0.0161✓1.26223k2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.288483-4.38%0.271513-10.00%0.0249✓1.09884k2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0046.6974-4.38%5.479-21.77%0.1004✓1.2810.7M2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.599-4.39%7.3+5.77%0.1850✗1.0719.5M2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.003968-4.39%0.00357-13.98%0.0269✓1.00152k2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.249824-4.39%0.1112-57.44%0.8087✓0.0181k2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.228485-4.40%0.1842-22.93%0.1082✓1.36110k2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.048081-4.41%0.0393-21.87%0.1250✓0.97827k2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.043779-4.41%0.0432-5.68%0.0632✗0.97201k2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.5679-4.42%9.08-9.29%0.0404✓1.18318k2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000037258-4.44%0.0000394+1.05%0.1251✗0.881.8M2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.040.993587-4.46%0.8565-17.64%0.0534✓1.211.1M2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.823226-4.46%0.7721-10.40%0.0210✓1.082.2M2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.098301-4.47%0.1014-1.46%0.1150✗1.073.8M2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2020,179.07-4.50%19,581.40-7.33%0.0447✓0.957,5932022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.541914-4.50%0.47873-15.64%0.0228✓1.2946k2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.016901-4.51%0.01128-36.27%0.3538✓0.64155k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.037766-4.53%0.03487-11.86%0.0147✓0.832,6252022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.354361-4.56%0.3113-16.16%0.0453✓1.07175k2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000084029-4.59%0.00031125+253.41%1.3784✗0.88327k2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.160577-4.59%0.1389-17.47%0.0657✓1.011,7442022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.006802-4.60%0.00502-29.59%0.2527✓0.651.3M2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.49324-4.63%0.4508-12.84%0.0247✓0.83713k2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.020519-4.65%0.0223+3.62%0.1542✗0.9013.9M2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.7705-4.66%1.485-20.03%0.1007✓0.96156k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.2775-4.67%1.19-11.19%0.0053✓0.97182k2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.339411-4.67%0.30629-13.97%0.0265✓0.9795k2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.276424-4.68%0.256-11.72%0.0195✓0.73878k2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.192829-4.68%0.1786-11.72%0.0020✓1.00146k2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero149.22142.2209-4.69%140.37-5.93%0.0648✗0.991.2M2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana35.2933.6292-4.71%32.65-7.48%0.0617✗1.1675.2M2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.222125-4.71%0.2188-6.13%0.0560✗0.90550k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.691-4.71%2.425-14.13%0.0387✓0.83749k2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.058794-4.71%0.0498-19.29%0.0780✓1.12303k2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.285967-4.77%0.3172+5.63%0.1764✗0.938.2M2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.6148-4.78%2.506-8.74%0.0800✗1.565.1M2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.791758-4.82%0.72902-12.36%0.0096✓0.93560k2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99950.951207-4.83%0.9829-1.66%0.1471✗1.455.0M2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.037484-4.86%0.034-13.71%0.0213✓0.9777k2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1128-4.88%1.0665-8.85%0.0537✗1.221.1M2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.81882-4.92%0.8509-1.20%0.1556✗1.49224k2022-09-19
DASHDashDash45.7543.4962-4.93%40.74-10.95%0.0109✓0.97521k2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.2369.7281-4.96%15.618+52.58%0.5598✗1.1010.8M2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.141858-4.98%0.1384-7.30%0.0534✗0.99616k2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.759173-4.98%0.6251-21.76%0.0823✓1.42398k2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.0437-5.03%1.845-14.27%0.0114✓1.1660k2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.103529-5.04%0.111743+2.50%0.1445✗0.877.4M2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum26.6925.3444-5.04%24.19-9.37%0.0282✓0.958.6M2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0572.9025-5.05%2.975-2.68%0.0747✗0.64803k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.1581-5.08%1.092-10.49%0.0186✓0.982.2M2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.364117-5.13%0.3026-21.16%0.0840✓1.28190k2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.1952-5.13%1.8797-18.77%0.0592✓1.2213k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.7688-5.13%1.7159-7.98%0.0526✓1.0636k2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.065849-5.16%0.05866-15.51%0.0352✓1.021.9M2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707112.9915-5.22%11.4637-16.37%0.0503✓0.9544k2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.321.1347-5.23%17.28-22.51%0.0990✓1.3024.7M2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38960.368923-5.31%0.3301-15.27%0.0241✓1.11493k2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.171388-5.31%0.145-19.89%0.0835✓1.06608k2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.437958-5.41%0.437-5.62%0.0769✗1.019,8012022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.062332-5.41%0.0609-7.59%0.0497✓0.93126k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.526799-5.42%0.485-12.93%0.0065✓1.1390k2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006483-5.42%0.006367-7.12%0.0189✓0.4757k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.7591-5.43%1.496-19.57%0.0897✓0.92657k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.042636-5.43%0.040881-9.32%0.0245✓0.8534k2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.0581-5.46%5.296-17.35%0.1244✓0.134.5M2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.281002-5.46%0.25224-15.14%0.0251✓1.0513k2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.889523-5.51%0.77846-17.31%0.0570✓0.9712k2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.54280.512768-5.53%0.5271-2.89%0.0979✗0.891.9M2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.2765-5.54%2.07-14.11%0.0276✓0.86833k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2265-5.58%1.167-10.16%0.0477✓1.24518k2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2286.8238-5.59%6.385-11.66%0.0137✓1.0214.0M2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0364.752-5.64%5.865+16.46%0.3164✗1.3510.9M2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.021213-5.71%0.027182+20.81%0.2579✗0.13240k2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.287691-5.72%0.4068+33.32%0.4175✗0.90366k2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.292686-5.74%0.2802-9.76%0.0459✓1.14110k2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003198-5.75%0.002524-25.61%0.1712✓0.831.0M2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.157635-5.78%0.1539-8.01%0.0817✗1.341,3642022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.6832-5.82%1.4112-21.03%0.0888✓1.11667k2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7742-5.83%4.26-15.98%0.0811✓0.421.1M2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.636556-5.83%0.596-11.83%0.0065✓0.92333k2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2495.8782-5.93%5.478-12.34%0.0037✓0.8510.1M2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.2196-5.95%1.88-20.34%0.0695✓1.23259k2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.1264-6.04%6.05-7.21%0.0182✓0.391.3M2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1313.2711-6.08%12.27-13.16%0.0177✓1.221.4M2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6811.9087-6.08%13.68+7.89%0.2261✗1.112.6M2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001358-6.11%0.001428-1.24%0.1063✗0.719,7092022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.343821-6.21%0.3044-16.97%0.0500✓0.911922022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.127.6111-6.27%6.52-19.70%0.0667✓1.12638k2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.335.9325-6.28%5.75-9.16%0.0014✓0.381.9M2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.114888-6.29%0.1151-6.12%0.0465✓0.574.1M2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.062579-6.32%0.0563-15.72%0.0106✓1.211.3M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.2033-6.32%3.746-16.51%0.0873✓0.361.6M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.035079-6.33%0.03126-16.53%0.0370✓1.0023k2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001617-6.34%0.001532-11.24%0.0144✓0.87806k2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.57153-6.46%0.473-22.59%0.1011✓1.12103k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1241.9867-6.46%1.696-20.15%0.0553✓1.311.2M2022-09-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.060.9906-6.55%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.096599-6.58%0.0903-12.67%0.0111✓0.72220k2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.661195-6.61%0.598-15.54%0.0309✓0.88271k2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum32.4530.2586-6.75%24.04-25.92%0.0839✓1.86383k2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.00676-6.76%0.0074+2.07%0.1748✗1.07435k2022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012028-6.83%0.00001097-15.03%0.0208✓0.91827k2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.1172-6.84%2.9221-12.67%0.0123✓0.9848k2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8330.5822-6.85%30.44-7.28%0.1071✗1.4216.5M2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.063612-6.85%0.05812-14.89%0.0023✓1.122.4M2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum104.8497.6565-6.85%107.75+2.78%0.1642✗0.843.4M2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.7028-6.89%3.728-26.19%0.2279✓0.062.1M2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.2444-6.93%3.5781+2.64%0.1394✗0.531.5M2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001402-6.98%0.0011-27.02%0.1816✓0.781.6M2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.4105-7.04%5.15-11.51%0.0211✓0.362.9M2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.617,921.71-7.24%8,481.63-0.68%0.1754✗1.367.3M2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.781286-7.32%0.893+5.93%0.1687✗0.454.4M2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.169221-7.63%0.2531+38.16%0.4672✗0.821.3M2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.048276-7.69%0.0433-17.21%0.0298✓1.00253k2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.2574-7.88%1.1772-13.75%0.0110✓0.981.2M2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.084335-7.90%0.0621-32.18%0.2991✓0.09959k2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.2299-8.12%5.54-2.67%0.0700✓0.162.1M2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36063.999-8.29%5.92+35.76%0.4037✗0.142.1M2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.0369-8.32%0.955-15.56%0.0526✓1.723.7M2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.4606-8.49%1.258-21.18%0.0549✓1.20126k2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.1309-8.54%8-10.01%0.0182✓0.442.2M2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4116.8377-8.54%15.52-15.70%0.0261✓0.701.8M2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.5635-9.07%4.135+5.51%0.2214✗0.92127k2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.465-9.09%5.2403+37.49%0.4923✗1.00169k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6637.7677-9.34%14.77-64.55%0.8657✓0.931.8M2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.8949.5547-12.29%12.487+14.62%0.3004✗0.421.4M2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.18e-7-12.48%5.57e-7-21.08%0.0438✓0.76164k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.