8=======>

2022-08-19 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2456
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 88.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum83.3781.953-1.70%73.06-12.37%0.0079✓1.526.4M2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.3734.2889-1.92%4.1187-5.82%0.0130✓0.76847k2022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.360.351774-2.28%0.3151-12.47%0.0226✓1.24208k2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.386730.375788-2.83%0.37245-3.69%0.0575✗0.9470k2022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero142.31138.2228-2.87%140.49-1.28%0.0863✗0.991.2M2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06180.059973-2.96%0.0619+0.16%0.0948✗0.90130k2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044520.043201-2.96%0.04034-9.39%0.0151✓0.7616k2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639770.062016-3.07%0.060789-4.98%0.0221✓0.60179k2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22090.214072-3.09%0.1954-11.54%0.0193✓1.0277k2022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007030.006775-3.62%0.00503-28.45%0.2525✓0.641.4M2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0252.0407-3.66%52.65-2.54%0.0818✗1.0013.1M2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12930.124559-3.67%0.1208-6.57%0.0387✗0.982.0M2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.242315-3.69%0.2724+8.27%0.1843✗0.9681k2022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.30249.4043-3.70%48.437-5.58%0.0322✓0.74354k2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.7760.747039-3.73%0.6036-22.22%0.1129✓1.42433k2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.8234.4665-3.78%31.1-13.18%0.0206✓1.1775.2M2022-09-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12210.117486-3.78%0.1267+3.77%0.1485✗1.0439k2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361490.347739-3.80%0.30461-15.73%0.0635✓0.9890k2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.291299-3.86%0.293-3.30%0.0711✗0.938.2M2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.048250.046368-3.90%0.039181-18.80%0.1310✓0.5330k2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10650.102336-3.91%0.0931-12.58%0.0437✓0.724,2082022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210660.02023-3.97%0.020014-4.99%0.0475✗0.8312k2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0452650.043448-4.01%0.039656-12.39%0.0299✓0.8735k2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,334.3020,471.84-4.04%19,440.70-8.88%0.0156✓0.957,5932022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.0681.0237-4.15%0.954978-10.59%0.0069✓0.8956k2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,834.9419,964.51-4.18%19,417.64-6.80%0.0427✓1.00472.7M2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000085910.0000823-4.20%0.00027312+217.91%1.2683✗0.98336k2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074290.071118-4.27%0.06225-16.21%0.0504✓1.1829k2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008663-4.28%0.00752-16.91%0.0895✓0.745.8M2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000038430.000036759-4.35%0.00003918+1.95%0.1260✗0.881.9M2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.20714.979-4.38%4.6704-10.31%0.0538✓0.14190k2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.3598.9483-4.39%8.956-4.31%0.0683✗0.961.9M2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.033172-4.40%0.0332-4.32%0.0681✗0.9576k2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5740.548707-4.41%0.384-33.10%0.2731✓1.192,9182022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.132256-4.47%0.12379-10.58%0.0204✓1.23250k2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066910.00639-4.50%0.0063-5.84%0.0185✓0.4657k2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.543897-4.53%0.4662-18.17%0.0628✓1.3046k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15130.144443-4.53%0.1381-8.72%0.0256✓1.00586k2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004120.003931-4.58%0.00356-13.59%0.0278✓1.01152k2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058610.005593-4.58%0.005544-5.41%0.0402✓0.703,0362022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37240.355349-4.58%0.3025-18.77%0.0850✓1.08176k2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09750.093033-4.58%0.0912-6.46%0.0468✓0.95430k2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017170.001638-4.63%0.001548-9.84%0.0142✓1.00871k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1080670.103034-4.66%0.1072-0.80%0.1009✗0.877.5M2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.259318-4.66%0.254-6.62%0.0296✓0.71878k2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8840250.842741-4.67%0.785842-11.11%0.0153✓0.7777k2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04470.042612-4.67%0.0427-4.47%0.0699✗0.96201k2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05620.053569-4.68%0.0557-0.89%0.1046✗0.93112k2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.00320.003049-4.73%0.00322+0.62%0.1281✗1.04508k2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.941750.896849-4.77%0.78032-17.14%0.0694✓0.9912k2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.822.685-4.79%2.396-15.04%0.0553✓0.83734k2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28280.269108-4.84%0.2517-11.00%0.0007✓0.963.6M2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47540.452262-4.87%0.4415-7.13%0.0541✗1.11386k2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2556-4.88%1.17-11.36%0.0036✓0.95182k2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2061.1469-4.90%1.065-11.69%0.0050✓0.982.3M2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.49108.8724-4.91%111.83-2.32%0.1047✗1.115.0M2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.721,529.41-4.93%1,334.72-17.03%0.0424✓1.33528.6M2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10850.103148-4.93%0.0991-8.66%0.0205✓0.86274k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.293330.278845-4.94%0.25124-14.35%0.0291✓1.0713k2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.176787-4.95%0.14138-23.99%0.1485✓1.06657k2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.23040.21897-4.96%0.2197-4.64%0.0676✗0.91550k2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.037822-4.97%0.0363-8.79%0.0229✓0.9111k2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15020.142674-5.01%0.129-14.11%0.0285✓1.03149k2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039630.037637-5.03%0.03461-12.67%0.0245✓0.842,6002022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5061.4297-5.07%1.336-11.29%0.0161✓1.19150k2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash62.2359.0682-5.08%53.33-14.30%0.0229✓1.132.0M2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.160550.152362-5.10%0.16044-0.07%0.2015✗2.136672022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6611.5761-5.11%1.197-27.93%0.1909✓1.20133k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.740.702139-5.12%0.69-6.76%0.0109✓0.4086k2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3093-5.12%1.42+2.90%0.0785✗-0.04115k2022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum26.4125.0571-5.12%23.45-11.21%0.0007✓0.958.9M2022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.8459-5.14%2.925-2.50%0.0720✗0.63803k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1064.8436-5.14%5.086-0.39%0.1434✗1.3411.8M2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06350.06023-5.15%0.0491-22.68%0.1253✓1.12322k2022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.247716-5.16%0.1131-56.70%0.7833✓0.0181k2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06570.062291-5.19%0.0565-14.00%0.0127✓1.201.3M2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6780.642716-5.20%0.572-15.63%0.0514✓0.93333k2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048329-5.24%0.037-27.45%0.1978✓0.98827k2022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.016174-5.25%0.01153-32.45%0.2951✓0.61153k2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.44970.426071-5.25%0.4478-0.42%0.1236✗1.0542.0M2022-09-18
DASHDashDash44.8642.5014-5.26%40.12-10.57%0.0116✓0.98521k2022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.080333-5.27%0.0811-4.36%0.0779✗0.9712k2022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8996.5349-5.28%7.523+9.04%0.2163✗1.0720.0M2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88251.7828-5.29%1.6754-11.00%0.0125✓1.0636k2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.2548-5.30%1.165-12.08%0.0139✓1.25491k2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02240.021207-5.33%0.01917-14.42%0.0387✓0.8813.9M2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.6346.0143-5.38%39.58-18.61%0.0826✓0.97560k2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.256856-5.39%0.1846-32.01%0.2610✓0.98149k2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.338310.319987-5.42%0.43553+28.74%0.3826✗1.05426k2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30442.1792-5.43%1.7772-22.88%0.1190✓1.2113k2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21250.200942-5.44%0.1831-13.84%0.0015✓1.34110k2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.099751-5.45%0.1-5.21%0.0781✗1.073.7M2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3022980.285683-5.50%0.266614-11.80%0.0076✓1.09884k2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02210.965913-5.50%0.9352-8.50%0.0063✓0.553.9M2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013810.013048-5.52%0.011882-13.96%0.0517✓0.591.9M2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17220.162691-5.52%0.1496-13.12%0.0114✓1.351,3132022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.295510.27919-5.52%0.38485+30.23%0.3844✗0.90383k2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.1715.2725-5.55%13.34-17.50%0.0573✓1.11125k2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.21e-7-5.60%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0176✓0.803.6M2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4290.404992-5.60%0.426-0.70%0.1203✗0.999,8012022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.677.2388-5.62%6.16-19.69%0.0836✓1.10592k2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.75910.1527-5.64%14.707+36.69%0.4486✗1.1111.4M2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57821.4892-5.64%1.4386-8.85%0.0449✓1.13494k2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.779.2187-5.64%8.65-11.46%0.0192✓1.18313k2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12790.120682-5.64%0.1145-10.48%0.0115✓0.584.1M2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9147.0893-5.65%47.61-4.61%0.0977✗1.2317k2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033210.003133-5.66%0.002574-22.49%0.1388✓0.821.0M2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001395-5.67%0.001429-3.38%0.0745✗0.729,5772022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.637632-5.68%0.552-18.34%0.0476✓1.374.6M2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8790.829024-5.69%0.7498-14.70%0.0236✓1.092.2M2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0450.985483-5.70%0.8289-20.68%0.0877✓1.211.1M2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8470.798233-5.76%0.864+2.01%0.1102✗0.444.4M2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.844510.795879-5.76%0.70221-16.85%0.0600✓0.93538k2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4616.4541-5.76%15.52-11.11%0.0090✓0.702.0M2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40430.380848-5.80%0.3859-4.55%0.0910✗1.1066k2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8012.6382-5.81%2.44-12.89%0.0321✓1.565.2M2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8956.4932-5.83%5.466-20.73%0.0821✓1.2810.7M2022-09-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11771.0525-5.84%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1121.9882-5.86%1.646-22.06%0.0681✓1.71131k2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8340.784591-5.92%0.879+5.40%0.1982✗1.201.0M2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.55690.523764-5.95%0.512-8.06%0.0413✓0.911.9M2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.037-5.96%12.84+0.31%0.1423✗1.102.6M2022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.665364-6.02%0.592-16.38%0.0547✓0.88271k2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.4421.0799-6.06%16.72-25.49%0.1394✓1.3125.9M2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35990.338034-6.08%0.3429-4.72%0.0785✗0.911922022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022510.02114-6.09%0.01968-12.57%0.0109✓0.86419k2022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.17e-7-6.10%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0353✓0.8020k2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.752.581-6.14%2.25-18.18%0.1023✓0.5096k2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05040.985806-6.15%0.935-10.99%0.0503✓1.475.6M2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679370.063731-6.19%0.0573-15.66%0.0346✓1.021.9M2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.578.9767-6.20%7.93-17.14%0.0943✓0.422.0M2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7014.4075-6.24%3.699-21.31%0.1544✓0.301.6M2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum99.2892.9812-6.34%104.08+4.83%0.1712✗0.833.4M2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066430.062204-6.36%0.06413-3.46%0.0876✗0.819142022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.17670.165385-6.40%0.1415-19.92%0.0843✓1.021,7442022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.049785-6.42%0.042-21.05%0.0996✓1.00253k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4095.9975-6.42%5.851-8.71%0.0413✓0.945.3M2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3036.8327-6.44%6.443-11.78%0.0131✓1.0214.0M2022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.525769-6.45%0.468-16.73%0.0362✓1.1495k2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.1513-6.46%1.79-22.17%0.0989✓1.21259k2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.569562-6.48%0.473-22.33%0.1064✓1.13112k2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20540.192076-6.49%0.1768-13.92%0.0124✓1.00128k2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39090.365415-6.52%0.3266-16.45%0.0337✓1.12512k2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.34773.1291-6.53%2.8489-14.90%0.0243✓0.9948k2022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1512.01-6.56%1.808-15.95%0.0244✓1.1660k2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013170.000012304-6.58%0.00001061-19.44%0.0841✓0.91827k2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78251.663-6.70%1.4393-19.25%0.0673✓1.10598k2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.85.4099-6.73%4.63-20.17%0.0954✓0.861.6M2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1211.9764-6.82%1.653-22.07%0.0866✓1.311.0M2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.0991-6.86%1.0284-12.85%0.0194✓1.221.1M2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.0203-6.86%4.22-21.71%0.1451✓0.401.1M2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.72553.4692-6.88%3.63-2.56%0.0825✗0.531.4M2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,613.218,017.44-6.92%8,342.07-3.15%0.1356✗1.367.3M2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.975512.0732-6.95%11.3049-12.88%0.0011✓0.9548k2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.7805-6.98%1.433-25.13%0.1528✓0.91657k2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum32.430.115-7.05%23.19-28.43%0.1298✓1.87391k2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259670.024129-7.08%0.026132+0.64%0.0881✗0.12233k2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86980.808204-7.08%0.8499-2.29%0.1552✗1.49224k2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.871.7358-7.17%1.531-18.13%0.0578✓0.96156k2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025810.023951-7.20%0.02202-14.68%0.0052✓1.272,9912022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.235.7796-7.23%5.19-16.69%0.0829✓0.352.8M2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.292.1229-7.30%2.09-8.73%0.0440✓0.85798k2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31030.287613-7.31%0.2612-15.82%0.0150✓1.15110k2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.132.9009-7.32%3.847+22.91%0.3455✗0.90127k2022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49670.460208-7.35%0.4395-11.52%0.0110✓0.81713k2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.006874-7.49%0.00744+0.13%0.1543✗1.07435k2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2313.1292-7.74%12.03-15.46%0.0012✓1.221.4M2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.026.4758-7.75%6.01-14.39%0.0507✓0.341.1M2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.3349-7.79%5.56-19.07%0.1036✓0.381.8M2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.9276.3801-7.90%5.554-19.82%0.1283✓0.154.4M2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4665.954-7.92%5.265-18.57%0.0625✓0.8610.1M2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.23261.1337-8.02%1.2237-0.72%0.1448✗0.971.0M2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.2221.1231-8.10%0.929-23.98%0.0676✓1.733.7M2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.19610.179619-8.40%0.2313+17.95%0.3115✗0.831.3M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087410.07989-8.60%0.06377-27.04%0.2201✓0.08959k2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9830.0906-8.76%29.61-10.22%0.0841✓1.4216.5M2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37960.345271-9.04%0.299-21.23%0.0532✓1.29197k2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.9724.5216-9.06%3.731-24.96%0.1862✓0.092.1M2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071730.065112-9.23%0.05724-20.20%0.0499✓1.122.4M2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10960.099133-9.55%0.1002-8.58%0.0616✓0.72220k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03860.03482-9.79%0.03069-20.49%0.0553✓1.0121k2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014410.001296-10.04%0.001075-25.36%0.1322✓0.771.6M2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.09543.6777-10.20%4.9458+20.76%0.3667✗1.00171k2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.7536.8496-11.74%14.09-66.25%0.8954✓0.941.8M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.08e-75.34e-7-12.08%5.65e-7-6.99%0.1075✓0.73164k2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.04224.4117-12.50%6.0254+19.50%0.3228✗0.162.1M2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.75715.7588-14.77%5.6084-17.00%0.0147✓0.172.1M2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.48811.0924-17.76%12.26-9.10%0.1306✓0.431.4M2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.