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2022-08-19 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0863
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.1%
in alpha space · 50.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.2221.2353+1.09%1.131-7.45%0.1134✗1.733.7M2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31030.312992+0.87%0.3105+0.06%0.0247✗1.15110k2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8012.8214+0.73%2.746-1.96%0.0498✗1.565.2M2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum32.432.6082+0.64%32.45+0.15%0.0319✗1.87391k2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6611.6707+0.59%1.596-3.91%0.0631✗1.20133k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum83.3783.7993+0.51%82.79-0.70%0.0341✗1.526.4M2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.12930.129916+0.48%0.131+1.31%0.0060✗0.982.0M2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02240.022504+0.47%0.02152-3.93%0.0575✗0.8813.9M2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8956.9256+0.44%7.004+1.58%0.0073✗1.2810.7M2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,613.218,647.84+0.40%8,539.61-0.85%0.0323✗1.367.3M2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05041.0545+0.39%0.9995-4.85%0.0748✗1.475.6M2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5061.5115+0.37%1.525+1.26%0.0084✗1.19150k2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.360.361242+0.34%0.3699+2.75%0.0057✓1.24208k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06180.062012+0.34%0.0659+6.63%0.0478✓0.90130k2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.8433+0.34%12.68-0.94%0.0288✗1.102.6M2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.3734.386+0.30%4.4355+1.43%0.0002✓0.76847k2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37960.380707+0.29%0.3838+1.11%0.0106✗1.29197k2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1065.1182+0.24%5.036-1.37%0.0356✗1.3411.8M2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.272639+0.23%0.29+6.62%0.0514✓0.71878k2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9833.0568+0.23%32.83-0.45%0.0275✗1.4216.5M2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071730.071889+0.22%0.06829-4.80%0.0676✗1.122.4M2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum33.0065+0.22%3.057+1.90%0.0075✓0.63803k2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8470.848652+0.20%0.843-0.47%0.0131✗0.444.4M2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47540.476307+0.19%0.4742-0.25%0.0205✗1.11386k2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero142.31142.5717+0.18%149.22+4.86%0.0312✓0.991.2M2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.105682+0.17%0.1029-2.46%0.0422✗1.073.7M2022-08-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20540.205752+0.17%0.2023-1.51%0.0314✗1.00128k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.721,611.47+0.17%1,575.76-2.05%0.0417✗1.33528.6M2022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4617.4869+0.15%18.41+5.44%0.0413✓0.702.0M2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.39090.39149+0.15%0.3896-0.33%0.0210✗1.12512k2022-08-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017170.001719+0.15%0.001726+0.52%0.0107✗1.00871k2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.007030.00704+0.14%0.00713+1.42%0.0034✓0.641.4M2022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum99.2899.4104+0.13%104.84+5.60%0.0412✓0.833.4M2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative2.1212.1235+0.12%2.124+0.14%0.0187✗1.311.0M2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.138601+0.12%0.13909+0.47%0.0143✗1.23250k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.49114.6162+0.11%114.78+0.25%0.0146✗1.115.0M2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana35.8235.8586+0.11%35.29-1.48%0.0329✗1.1775.2M2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.303321+0.11%0.3003-0.89%0.0234✗0.938.2M2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074290.074368+0.11%0.07704+3.70%0.0183✓1.1829k2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4096.4156+0.10%6.305-1.62%0.0310✗0.945.3M2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044520.044563+0.10%0.04516+1.44%0.0023✓0.7616k2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0451.046+0.09%1.04-0.48%0.0233✗1.211.1M2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,834.9420,850.89+0.08%21,139.23+1.46%0.0008✗1.00472.7M2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04470.044732+0.07%0.0458+2.46%0.0096✓0.96201k2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22090.221047+0.07%0.2207-0.09%0.0164✗1.0277k2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5740.57438+0.07%0.569-0.87%0.0267✗1.192,9182022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10650.10657+0.07%0.1064-0.09%0.0121✗0.724,2082022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05620.056236+0.06%0.0602+7.12%0.0546✓0.93112k2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12790.127981+0.06%0.1226-4.14%0.0514✗0.584.1M2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.677.6747+0.06%8.12+5.87%0.0404✓1.10592k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28280.282969+0.06%0.2842+0.50%0.0096✗0.963.6M2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.386730.386942+0.05%0.39983+3.39%0.0191✓0.9470k2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12210.122165+0.05%0.1223+0.16%0.0139✗1.0439k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.844510.844956+0.05%0.83183-1.50%0.0291✗0.93538k2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.3257+0.05%1.299-1.96%0.0385✗1.25491k2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.7760.776363+0.05%0.799+2.96%0.0081✓1.42433k2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase16.1716.1764+0.04%15.84-2.04%0.0371✗1.11125k2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8996.9017+0.04%6.902+0.04%0.0155✗1.0720.0M2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.09750.097536+0.04%0.0956-1.95%0.0338✗0.95430k2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.0681.0684+0.03%1.0708+0.26%0.0106✗0.8956k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.009053+0.03%0.00924+2.10%0.0098✓0.745.8M2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.4422.446+0.03%22.3-0.62%0.0255✗1.3125.9M2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30442.305+0.03%2.314+0.42%0.0136✗1.2113k2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361490.361558+0.02%0.35603-1.51%0.0296✗0.9890k2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3202+0.02%1.34+1.52%0.0011✓0.95182k2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6780.678107+0.02%0.676-0.29%0.0165✗0.93333k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash62.2362.2363+0.01%62.92+1.11%0.0054✗1.132.0M2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.1801+0.01%1.17-0.85%0.0263✗1.221.1M2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4666.4664+0.01%6.249-3.36%0.0467✗0.8610.1M2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.708041+0.01%0.708+0.00%0.0128✗0.88271k2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0254.0229+0.01%54.1+0.15%0.0130✗1.0013.1M2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.051003+0.01%0.0503-1.37%0.0281✗0.98827k2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.00743+0.00%0.00725-2.42%0.0400✗1.07435k2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4290.429007+0.00%0.463+7.93%0.0619✓0.999,8012022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.3+0.00%2.36+2.61%0.0082✓1.21259k2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37240.37239-0.00%0.3713-0.30%0.0186✓1.08176k2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.30251.3006-0.00%53.04+3.39%0.0227✗0.74354k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1122.1118-0.01%2.096-0.76%0.0324✓1.71131k2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.44970.449665-0.01%0.4513+0.36%0.0116✓1.0542.0M2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.23040.23038-0.01%0.2331+1.17%0.0015✓0.91550k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0452650.045257-0.02%0.045083-0.40%0.0165✓0.8735k2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033210.00332-0.02%0.003393+2.17%0.0098✗0.821.0M2022-08-20
DASHDashDash44.8644.8493-0.02%45.75+1.98%0.0056✗0.98521k2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0639770.063959-0.03%0.065857+2.94%0.0206✗0.60179k2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.00320.003199-0.03%0.00328+2.50%0.0099✗1.04508k2022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058610.005859-0.04%0.005866+0.09%0.0088✓0.703,0362022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49670.496518-0.04%0.5172+4.13%0.0291✗0.81713k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000038430.000038415-0.04%0.00003899+1.46%0.0021✗0.881.9M2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.295510.295383-0.04%0.30514+3.26%0.0194✗0.90383k2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2061.2054-0.05%1.22+1.16%0.0022✓0.982.3M2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013810.013803-0.05%0.014688+6.36%0.0535✗0.591.9M2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2314.2227-0.05%14.13-0.70%0.0243✓1.221.4M2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.70e-7-0.06%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0111✓0.803.6M2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.569371-0.06%0.56747-0.39%0.0221✓1.3046k2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9149.8807-0.06%49.23-1.36%0.0310✓1.2317k2022-08-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001478-0.06%0.001446-2.23%0.0324✓0.729,5772022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.293330.293154-0.06%0.29724+1.33%0.0016✓1.0713k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1080670.108-0.06%0.109019+0.88%0.0032✓0.877.5M2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88251.8813-0.06%1.8646-0.95%0.0243✓1.0636k2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8790.878443-0.06%0.8617-1.97%0.0351✓1.092.2M2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251439-0.06%0.2549+1.31%0.0002✓0.9681k2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration48.6348.5978-0.07%48.54-0.19%0.0152✓0.97560k2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.941750.941115-0.07%0.94144-0.03%0.0140✓0.9912k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.34773.3453-0.07%3.3461-0.05%0.0141✓0.9948k2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.034675-0.07%0.0394+13.54%0.1139✗0.9576k2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum26.4126.3907-0.07%26.69+1.06%0.0025✓0.958.9M2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.779.7628-0.07%10.01+2.46%0.0080✗1.18313k2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40430.404003-0.07%0.4104+1.51%0.0003✓1.1066k2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.69e-7-0.07%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0006✓0.8020k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15130.151183-0.08%0.1493-1.32%0.0270✓1.00586k2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.3599.3517-0.08%9.372+0.14%0.0117✓0.961.9M2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.048250.048207-0.09%0.049123+1.81%0.0111✗0.5330k2022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000085910.000085832-0.09%0.00008807+2.51%0.0116✗0.98336k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3037.2957-0.10%7.228-1.03%0.0241✓1.0214.0M2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053145-0.10%0.0523-1.69%0.0305✓1.00253k2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.039758-0.11%0.0403+1.26%0.0004✓0.9111k2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02211.021-0.11%1.0652+4.22%0.0344✗0.553.9M2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.338310.337934-0.11%0.37019+9.42%0.0759✗1.05426k2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.561365-0.11%0.557-0.89%0.0243✓1.1495k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21250.212257-0.11%0.239+12.47%0.0992✗1.34110k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10850.108371-0.12%0.1097+1.11%0.0003✓0.86274k2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.15020.150016-0.12%0.147-2.13%0.0352✓1.03149k2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.57821.5762-0.13%1.5629-0.97%0.0248✓1.13494k2022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.08469-0.13%0.0849+0.12%0.0116✓0.9712k2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3022980.301905-0.13%0.301686-0.20%0.0165✓1.09884k2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.18575-0.13%0.181-2.69%0.0413✓1.06657k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.8840250.882817-0.14%0.896517+1.41%0.0042✗0.7777k2022-08-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039630.039575-0.14%0.03956-0.18%0.0126✓0.842,6002022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.75910.7436-0.14%10.236-4.86%0.0645✓1.1111.4M2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17220.171953-0.14%0.1673-2.85%0.0470✓1.351,3132022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.674966-0.15%0.722+6.80%0.0475✗1.374.6M2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.20715.1989-0.16%5.0769-2.50%0.0258✓0.14190k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.822.8155-0.16%2.824+0.14%0.0090✓0.83734k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06350.063395-0.16%0.0617-2.83%0.0434✓1.12322k2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06570.06559-0.17%0.0668+1.67%0.0008✓1.201.3M2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210660.021031-0.17%0.02156+2.35%0.0129✗0.8312k2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.017041-0.17%0.0177+3.69%0.0290✗0.61153k2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3776-0.18%1.39+0.72%0.0095✗-0.04115k2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679370.067815-0.18%0.069428+2.20%0.0087✗1.021.9M2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.160550.160262-0.18%0.15686-2.30%0.0523✓2.136672022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004120.004112-0.19%0.00415+0.73%0.0056✓1.01152k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1512.1469-0.19%2.152+0.05%0.0144✓1.1660k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8340.832389-0.19%0.869+4.20%0.0256✗1.201.0M2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.607729-0.21%0.611+0.33%0.0110✓1.13112k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.85.7873-0.22%5.88+1.38%0.0035✗0.861.6M2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022510.02246-0.22%0.02244-0.31%0.0134✓0.86419k2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.9098-0.22%1.86-2.82%0.0396✓0.91657k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066910.006676-0.23%0.006855+2.45%0.0198✗0.4657k2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013170.00001314-0.23%0.00001291-1.97%0.0308✓0.91827k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11771.115-0.24%1.06-5.16%0.0668✓1.1112k2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.270811-0.25%0.2676-1.44%0.0262✓0.98149k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.17670.176251-0.25%0.1683-4.75%0.0609✓1.021,7442022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.55690.555472-0.26%0.5428-2.53%0.0363✓0.911.9M2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260486-0.27%0.2613+0.04%0.0030✗0.0181k2022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase12.975512.939-0.28%13.7071+5.64%0.0439✗0.9548k2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86980.867297-0.29%0.8612-0.99%0.0286✓1.49224k2022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,334.3021,270.07-0.30%21,129.20-0.96%0.0205✓0.957,5932022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.871.8643-0.30%1.857-0.70%0.0179✓0.96156k2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737572-0.33%0.73-1.35%0.0162✓0.4086k2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.133.1197-0.33%3.919+25.21%0.2151✗0.90127k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.292.2822-0.34%2.41+5.24%0.0422✗0.85798k2022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066430.066196-0.35%0.06888+3.69%0.0280✗0.819142022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.752.7402-0.36%2.74-0.36%0.0073✓0.5096k2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025810.025717-0.36%0.02642+2.36%0.0086✗1.272,9912022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.23261.2277-0.40%1.3649+10.73%0.0918✗0.971.0M2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78251.775-0.42%1.7871+0.26%0.0091✓1.10598k2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.579.5267-0.45%8.89-7.11%0.0753✓0.422.0M2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.35990.358164-0.48%0.3666+1.86%0.0101✗0.911922022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087410.086983-0.49%0.09157+4.76%0.0503✗0.08959k2022-08-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.09544.0742-0.52%3.8115-6.93%0.0812✓1.00171k2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.19610.195081-0.52%0.1832-6.58%0.0749✓0.831.3M2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7014.6749-0.56%4.487-4.55%0.0453✓0.301.6M2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.3581-0.59%5.07-5.94%0.0611✓0.401.1M2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03860.038371-0.59%0.03745-2.98%0.0389✓1.0121k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.8285-0.60%6.33-7.86%0.0813✓0.381.8M2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014410.001432-0.62%0.001507+4.60%0.0400✗0.771.6M2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259670.025794-0.67%0.022499-13.36%0.1384✓0.12233k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.236.1877-0.68%5.82-6.58%0.0663✓0.352.8M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.9276.8788-0.70%6.408-7.49%0.0730✓0.154.4M2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10960.108806-0.72%0.1034-5.66%0.0614✓0.72220k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.026.9658-0.77%6.52-7.12%0.0711✓0.341.1M2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.7541.4072-0.82%41.66-0.22%0.0075✓0.941.8M2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.72553.6894-0.97%3.4859-6.43%0.0644✓0.531.4M2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.9724.914-1.17%5.051+1.59%0.0262✗0.092.1M2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.08e-75.97e-7-1.67%7.06e-7+16.23%0.1567✗0.73164k2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.04224.9407-2.01%4.3606-13.52%0.1272✓0.162.1M2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.75716.5532-3.02%5.6922-15.76%0.1433✓0.172.1M2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.48812.9633-3.89%10.894-19.23%0.1802✓0.431.4M2022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.