8=======>

2022-08-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0172
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.0%
in alpha space · 89.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.049795-1.10%0.04315-14.30%0.0404✓0.7216k2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.072949-1.15%0.0666-9.76%0.0277✗0.83130k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.180863-1.33%0.1664-9.22%0.1207✗1.431,3972022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.387322-1.39%0.32877-16.30%0.0223✓1.0090k2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.402524-1.49%0.357-12.63%0.0598✗1.26223k2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.2474-1.49%4.9846-6.42%0.0322✓0.14204k2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006193-1.51%0.005888-6.35%0.0494✗0.703,0362022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017418-1.76%0.01249-29.55%0.2425✓0.63153k2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4022,700.22-1.95%19,985.60-13.68%0.0111✓0.977,5932022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.065904-2.25%0.062299-7.59%0.0306✗0.61179k2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007467-2.27%0.00543-28.93%0.2279✓0.641.4M2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.022934-2.32%0.020559-12.43%0.0060✓0.8112k2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1616-2.34%1.0116-14.96%0.0135✓0.8855k2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.84824.7279-2.48%4.2761-11.80%0.0051✓0.74847k2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.051679-2.52%0.040142-24.28%0.1817✓0.5030k2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.006881-2.59%0.006354-10.05%0.0137✓0.4655k2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.132559-2.60%0.1447+6.32%0.2357✗1.0441k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8692.3335-2.66%81.44-14.15%0.0939✗1.546.4M2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.514948-2.75%0.4774-9.84%0.0847✗1.13376k2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.091758-2.80%0.0897-4.98%0.1158✗0.9712k2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.116126-2.82%0.0988-17.32%0.0637✓0.694,2082022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.330962-2.90%0.27068-20.58%0.0519✓1.0513k2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.387565-2.94%0.3309-17.13%0.0011✓1.12176k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041435-2.96%0.038-11.01%0.0459✗0.9311k2022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.241009-3.05%0.21-15.53%0.0064✓1.0177k2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.745867-3.13%0.7-9.09%0.0057✓0.4186k2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.048620.047091-3.15%0.042628-12.32%0.0270✓0.8937k2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.644932-3.16%0.443-33.48%0.2036✓1.212,9182022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6058.0663-3.22%57.82-3.63%0.1376✗1.0013.1M2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.437477-3.24%0.38033-15.88%0.0130✓0.8970k2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.286232-3.30%0.266-10.14%0.0282✓0.71972k2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037497-3.36%0.0359-7.47%0.0908✗0.9476k2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.060758-3.41%0.0563-10.49%0.0546✗0.92112k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0625-3.41%0.8328-24.29%0.1089✓0.9512k2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.252244-3.43%0.1166-55.36%0.7699✓0.0174k2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.614047-3.46%0.50943-19.91%0.0008✓1.3246k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero160.98155.2854-3.54%147.56-8.34%0.0883✗0.981.2M2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.704785-3.59%0.629-13.95%0.0215✓0.95333k2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.047628-3.59%0.0461-6.68%0.1049✗0.97207k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.073355-3.61%0.0594-21.94%0.0423✓1.191.4M2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.5912-3.63%1.9947-25.82%0.0912✓1.2013k2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50255.4123-3.63%52.371-8.92%0.0434✗0.70354k2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.848713-3.66%0.947+7.49%0.1739✗0.454.4M2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004478-3.69%0.00378-18.71%0.0269✓1.00152k2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.278271-3.78%0.304+5.12%0.2193✗0.9281k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.119.7253-3.80%9.254-8.47%0.0903✗0.981.9M2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.152441-3.82%0.13742-13.29%0.0711✗1.23250k2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.952193-3.83%0.865587-12.58%0.0117✓0.7577k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000041201-3.85%0.00004289+0.09%0.1639✗0.871.9M2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003660.003517-3.91%0.00337-7.92%0.1030✗1.02508k2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.150373-3.92%0.1591+1.66%0.2077✗1.06586k2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.7015-3.93%1.403-20.78%0.0134✓1.26142k2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.139759-4.01%0.1276-12.36%0.0471✗0.972.0M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.5137.9229-4.02%33.69-14.73%0.0511✗1.1975.2M2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.009756-4.07%0.00859-15.54%0.0249✓0.725.8M2022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.022998-4.17%0.02052-14.50%0.0128✓0.89369k2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.1377-4.21%14.92-16.60%0.0210✓1.12130k2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.159613-4.31%0.1415-15.17%0.0259✓1.03140k2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12123.4796-4.37%122.08-5.45%0.1460✗1.115.1M2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.17333-4.41%0.16418-9.46%0.2636✗2.236712022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00660.96181-4.45%0.9979-0.86%0.1235✗0.613.9M2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.291878-4.46%0.2704-11.49%0.0634✗0.983.6M2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.055403-4.48%0.0492-15.17%0.0268✓1.02253k2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.3851-4.48%1.33-8.28%0.0984✗0.98182k2022-09-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.1556-4.49%–pending––1.1512k2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.1372.9958-4.50%2.603-17.02%0.0231✓0.83719k2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.113791-4.54%0.1051-11.83%0.0425✓0.86300k2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.0353-4.55%1.8165-14.81%0.0361✓1.0533k2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.318385-4.56%0.3108-6.83%0.1080✗0.938.2M2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.1944-4.59%3.155-5.76%0.0720✗0.59853k2022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.177177-4.59%0.1487-19.92%0.0237✓1.061,7402022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.098835-4.60%0.096-7.34%0.1106✗0.98430k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.7185-4.61%2.69-5.61%0.0637✗0.5296k2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.5931-4.62%3.0761-18.34%0.0166✓0.9848k2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.071173-4.64%0.062199-16.66%0.0119✓1.031.9M2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.15e-7-4.66%8.40e-7-12.50%0.0267✓0.794.6M2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.85828-4.66%0.8104-9.98%0.1101✗1.182.2M2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.193494-4.68%0.1593-21.53%0.0396✓1.09657k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.110422-4.75%0.11336-2.22%0.1531✗0.897.5M2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.2553-4.76%1.179-10.55%0.0797✗1.002.4M2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.251962-4.78%0.2267-14.32%0.0190✓0.88550k2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0553.2872-4.93%54.2-3.30%0.1942✗1.2517k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497613.7826-4.93%11.819-18.48%0.0185✓0.9551k2022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.083574-4.94%0.06678-24.04%0.0627✓1.1429k2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.064917-4.95%0.0511-25.18%0.0740✓1.16329k2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.379164-4.97%0.3548-11.08%0.0627✗0.911922022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.3976-4.99%1.293-12.10%0.1041✗1.28518k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.013967-4.99%0.012503-14.95%0.0251✓0.602.1M2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.042656-5.00%0.03601-19.80%0.0546✓0.812,5822022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.071191-5.00%0.0662-11.66%0.0379✓0.788802022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.4768-5.02%9.64-12.60%0.0841✗1.18305k2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.12e-7-5.03%8.50e-7-11.46%0.0397✓0.7720k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.7247-5.08%1.46-19.65%0.0043✓1.14150k2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000012792-5.10%0.00001197-11.20%0.0714✗0.97827k2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration51.6949.052-5.10%44.64-13.64%0.0494✓1.01543k2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001613-5.11%0.001493-12.18%0.0184✓0.679,7092022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.408-5.12%3.989-14.14%0.0527✓0.331.5M2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.051611-5.13%0.042-22.79%0.0604✓1.02877k2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.0822-5.13%2.735-15.82%0.1046✗1.575.2M2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.44530.422364-5.15%0.3564-19.96%0.0118✓1.11628k2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.221934-5.20%0.201-14.14%0.0980✗1.38110k2022-09-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000088333-5.20%0.00030987+232.55%1.3969✗1.00336k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.608498-5.22%0.516-19.63%0.0048✓1.19114k2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.3032-5.26%8.49-13.54%0.0299✓0.431.9M2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.316624-5.29%0.291502-12.81%0.0738✗1.10884k2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3636-5.31%1.45+0.69%0.0504✓-0.08115k2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.078582-5.31%0.06385-23.06%0.1723✓0.25959k2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.108793-5.32%0.1088-5.31%0.1571✗1.103.7M2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.126959-5.33%0.1254-6.49%0.0731✗0.604.1M2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.865085-5.35%0.6797-25.63%0.0397✓1.42433k2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash70.0966.3296-5.37%58.71-16.24%0.0380✓1.122.0M2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.089-5.39%0.9111-20.84%0.0018✓1.241.1M2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3918.341-5.41%16.36-15.63%0.0190✓0.672.2M2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44610.8217-5.45%16.412+43.39%0.5803✗1.1511.4M2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.4519-5.46%0.464-2.93%0.1674✗0.999,5622022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.413378-5.51%0.4523+3.38%0.2531✗1.1564k2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.701815-5.54%0.621-16.42%0.0093✓0.92274k2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.2205-5.55%8.09+5.82%0.2674✗1.0820.0M2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.87074-5.56%0.932+1.08%0.2424✗1.231.0M2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.2561-5.56%2.022-15.36%0.0577✗1.1862k2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.9528.2771-5.59%24.62-17.80%0.0065✓0.938.9M2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.285.9291-5.59%4.54-27.71%0.1449✓0.861.6M2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.586212-5.60%0.515-17.07%0.0354✓1.1695k2022-09-17
DASHDashDash50.3647.5077-5.66%44.59-11.46%0.0749✗0.97521k2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.315018-5.67%0.40106+20.10%0.3668✗0.88383k2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.870689-5.69%0.7528-18.46%0.0123✓0.94574k2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.1422-5.70%6.014-20.60%0.0145✓1.3110.3M2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.508513-5.78%0.4808-10.91%0.0605✗0.82750k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.58580.551785-5.81%0.5649-3.57%0.1582✗0.951.9M2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4621,830.46-5.86%20,113.37-13.27%0.0604✗1.00472.7M2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.021699-5.87%0.025798+11.91%0.2065✗0.24232k2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.6842-5.88%1.5518-13.28%0.0781✗1.12470k2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.697294-5.90%0.617-16.73%0.0792✗1.424.6M2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.2659-5.90%1.805-25.04%0.0227✓1.76132k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.6585-5.91%1.9045+8.04%0.3105✗1.21598k2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.0484-5.94%1.0832-2.82%0.2535✗1.555.0M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.731-6.05%5.4-11.48%0.0040✓0.392.6M2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.1131.9847-6.07%1.609-23.85%0.0792✓0.92680k2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.022058-6.09%0.02103-10.47%0.0884✗0.9613.9M2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.272076-6.12%0.1876-35.27%0.2195✓1.07151k2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.4169-6.14%5.627-2.50%0.2320✗1.3611.8M2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.639-6.21%3.732-3.81%0.1013✗0.531.3M2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1413.2601-6.22%14.56+2.97%0.2520✗1.112.6M2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.4233-6.23%6.35-7.30%0.0439✓0.391.1M2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.026818-6.23%0.02341-18.15%0.0490✓1.302,9402022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.34852-6.30%0.31645-14.93%0.0609✓1.11426k2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003511-6.31%0.002846-24.07%0.0968✓0.801.0M2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1922.6479-6.37%18.48-23.60%0.0087✓1.3725.9M2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.877225-6.40%0.8495-9.36%0.1890✗1.55244k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.2461-6.41%2.19-8.75%0.1007✗0.89726k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,726.05-6.49%1,468.97-20.42%0.0283✓1.33528.6M2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2147-6.56%1.1798-9.25%0.1495✗1.261.1M2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.2009-6.60%6.96-20.73%0.0098✓1.08523k2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007304-6.60%0.00773-1.15%0.2166✗1.12420k2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.47827-6.61%0.486-5.10%0.1628✗1.0342.0M2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.4081-6.71%6.285-8.50%0.1180✗0.975.3M2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.1172-6.72%3.983-9.76%0.0066✓0.192.1M2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.2395-6.77%4.45-20.82%0.1070✓0.401.1M2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0837.5339-6.79%7.059-12.67%0.0811✗1.0314.0M2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum3835.343-6.99%25.23-33.61%0.0579✓1.96391k2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.4576-7.08%5.91-14.96%0.0322✓0.401.8M2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0431.8982-7.09%1.489-27.12%0.1017✓0.99170k2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum108.5100.7649-7.13%109.47+0.89%0.2002✗0.823.4M2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.507-7.15%1.99-26.30%0.0616✓1.19259k2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.2891-7.65%1.2443-10.87%0.0991✗0.951.0M2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.3608-7.70%4.009+10.11%0.2969✗0.85127k2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001772-7.73%0.001621-15.57%0.0535✓1.00901k2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1314.8752-7.78%13.21-18.10%0.0562✓1.231.5M2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4786.8857-7.92%5.909-20.98%0.0372✓0.819.9M2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.338035-7.97%0.2713-26.14%0.0610✓1.12105k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.919,400.17-7.98%9,343.58-8.54%0.1841✗1.346.8M2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.211463-8.18%0.191-17.06%0.0405✓1.00111k2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.5282.315-8.43%1.839-27.25%0.0487✓1.281.0M2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.0944-8.50%1.133-5.27%0.3093✗1.933.6M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.6685-8.91%6.1857+53.59%0.5727✗0.352.0M2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4416.7774-8.92%5.727-23.03%0.1574✓0.083.9M2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.189872-8.98%0.2252+7.96%0.2915✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.10354-9.02%0.1045-8.17%0.1189✗0.77215k2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.040286-9.45%0.03442-22.63%0.0181✓0.9821k2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.069556-9.50%0.06229-18.96%0.0551✓1.162.3M2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.379769-9.56%0.3183-24.20%0.0219✓1.39203k2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.0873-10.21%5.798+27.38%0.4223✗0.512.0M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001376-10.40%0.001205-21.54%0.0197✓0.791.6M2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.635.2054-11.10%34.42-13.08%0.1745✗1.3916.0M2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1436.0432-12.39%17.07-58.51%0.6017✓1.021.8M2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.23e-7-13.23%6.21e-7-13.51%0.0884✓0.64164k2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49494.7113-14.26%4.9164-10.53%0.1849✗1.00169k2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25710.6741-19.48%11.72-11.59%0.1595✓0.461.3M2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.