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2022-08-18 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1011
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.6%
in alpha space · 84.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.208+1.01%1.222+2.17%0.2181✓1.933.6M2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.073962+0.22%0.0618-16.26%0.0903✗0.83130k2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.530346+0.16%0.4754-10.22%0.0113✓1.13376k2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.409109+0.12%0.36-11.89%0.0074✓1.26223k2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.7732+0.12%1.661-6.21%0.0696✓1.26142k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.393236+0.11%0.36149-7.97%0.0224✓1.0090k2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8694.9599+0.11%83.37-12.11%0.0349✓1.546.4M2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.02351+0.08%0.0224-4.64%0.0541✓0.9613.9M2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.84824.8521+0.08%4.373-9.80%0.0246✗0.74847k2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.2516+0.08%2.801-13.79%0.0195✓1.575.2M2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007645+0.06%0.00703-7.98%0.0156✗0.641.4M2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.145675+0.05%0.1293-11.20%0.0153✗0.972.0M2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.00629+0.04%0.005861-6.79%0.0044✓0.703,0362022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.183349+0.03%0.1722-6.06%0.0908✓1.431,3972022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.050357+0.01%0.04452-11.58%0.0458✗0.7216k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.1147+0.01%1.0504-5.76%0.1068✓1.555.0M2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.119503+0.00%0.1065-10.88%0.0415✗0.694,2082022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.3268+0.00%5.2071-2.25%0.0083✗0.14204k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.73085-0.02%0.678-7.25%0.0267✗0.95333k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.062882-0.03%0.0562-10.65%0.0139✓0.92112k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.067398-0.03%0.063977-5.10%0.0132✗0.61179k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero160.98160.9118-0.04%142.31-11.60%0.0180✓0.981.2M2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1888-0.05%1.068-10.21%0.0132✓0.8855k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.295826-0.06%0.272-8.11%0.0076✓0.71972k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017718-0.07%0.01707-3.72%0.0305✗0.63153k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.248383-0.09%0.2209-11.14%0.0089✓1.0177k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.340521-0.09%0.29333-13.94%0.0370✓1.0513k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00661.0056-0.10%1.0221+1.54%0.0814✗0.613.9M2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.635422-0.10%0.5697-10.43%0.0319✗1.3246k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.398903-0.10%0.3724-6.74%0.0510✗1.12176k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1498-0.10%1.045-9.21%0.0372✗1.241.1M2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.13596-0.10%0.1221-10.29%0.0038✗1.0441k2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.049349-0.10%0.0447-9.51%0.0045✗0.97207k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.880072-0.11%0.847-3.86%0.0101✗0.454.4M2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.686-0.11%2.3044-14.30%0.0251✓1.2013k2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6059.9356-0.11%54.02-9.97%0.0028✗1.0013.1M2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana39.5139.4645-0.12%35.82-9.34%0.0306✗1.1975.2M2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.8687-0.12%16.17-9.61%0.0201✗1.12130k2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.103467-0.13%0.0975-5.89%0.0457✗0.98430k2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.094279-0.13%0.0848-10.17%0.0018✓0.9712k2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.665055-0.14%0.574-13.81%0.0178✓1.212,9182022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.1110.0956-0.14%9.359-7.43%0.0295✗0.981.9M2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.010155-0.15%0.00905-11.01%0.0382✓0.725.8M2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.023443-0.15%0.021066-10.27%0.0201✓0.8112k2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.15%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0144✓0.7720k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042635-0.15%0.0398-6.79%0.0309✗0.9311k2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013459-0.15%0.00001317-2.30%0.0820✗0.97827k2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.1289-0.16%1.8825-11.72%0.0103✓1.0533k2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.451402-0.16%0.38673-14.46%0.0591✓0.8970k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.264175-0.16%0.2304-12.93%0.0430✓0.88550k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.305003-0.16%0.2828-7.43%0.0296✗0.983.6M2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.3425-0.16%3-10.39%0.0446✓0.59853k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50257.4075-0.16%51.302-10.78%0.0373✓0.70354k2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.333048-0.17%0.303-9.17%0.0049✗0.938.2M2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.057904-0.17%0.0532-8.28%0.0247✗1.02253k2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003660.003654-0.17%0.0032-12.57%0.0231✓1.02508k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.052924-0.17%0.04825-8.99%0.0391✓0.5030k2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.58e-7-0.17%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0120✓0.794.6M2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.5608-0.17%6.895-8.96%0.0481✗1.3110.3M2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.156223-0.18%0.1513-3.32%0.0818✗1.06586k2022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12128.89-0.18%114.49-11.33%0.0000✓1.115.1M2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.098-0.18%0.94175-14.38%0.0522✓0.9512k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.3156-0.19%1.206-8.50%0.0202✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038727-0.19%0.0347-10.57%0.0087✓0.9476k2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048620.048527-0.19%0.045265-6.90%0.0257✗0.8937k2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.087752-0.19%0.07429-15.50%0.0450✓1.1429k2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.185331-0.20%0.1767-4.85%0.0663✗1.061,7402022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.447-0.20%1.32-8.97%0.0127✗0.98182k2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.468-0.20%1.325-9.93%0.0344✗1.28518k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000042761-0.21%0.00003843-10.32%0.0137✓0.871.9M2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.114661-0.21%0.1055-8.18%0.0349✗1.103.7M2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.074477-0.21%0.067937-8.97%0.0185✗1.031.9M2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.44530.444369-0.21%0.3909-12.22%0.0093✓1.11628k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.158158-0.21%0.13844-12.65%0.0016✓1.23250k2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.366521-0.21%0.3103-15.52%0.0470✓1.12105k2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.8544-0.21%6.409-6.70%0.0362✗0.975.3M2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.007049-0.21%0.006691-5.28%0.0025✓0.4655k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.054282-0.22%0.051-6.25%0.0472✗1.02877k2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202556-0.22%0.186-8.37%0.0313✗1.09657k2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3919.3475-0.22%17.46-9.95%0.0310✓0.672.2M2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3837.9166-0.22%32.4-14.74%0.0528✗1.96391k2022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001696-0.22%0.001479-13.00%0.0650✓0.679,7092022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.7587-0.22%3.3477-11.13%0.0114✓0.9848k2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.133801-0.22%0.1279-4.62%0.0192✗0.604.1M2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.115669-0.22%0.108067-6.78%0.0274✗0.897.5M2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.8129-0.22%1.506-17.12%0.0634✓1.14150k2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.26061-0.23%0.2612+0.00%0.0036✗0.0174k2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014666-0.23%0.01381-6.05%0.0042✗0.602.1M2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration51.6951.5719-0.23%48.63-5.92%0.0493✗1.01543k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.538439-0.23%0.4967-7.97%0.0070✗0.82750k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.92106-0.23%0.84451-8.53%0.0134✗0.94574k2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.6267-0.24%6.899-9.76%0.0154✗1.0820.0M2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.075918-0.24%0.0657-13.67%0.0176✓1.191.4M2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.74119-0.24%0.708-4.71%0.0532✗0.92274k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.074757-0.24%0.06643-11.36%0.0349✓0.788802022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0555.9132-0.24%49.91-10.95%0.0197✗1.2517k2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007801-0.24%0.00743-4.99%0.0716✗1.12420k2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4623,132.52-0.25%20,834.94-10.15%0.0025✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.233521-0.25%0.2125-9.23%0.0539✗1.38110k2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.911731-0.25%0.776-15.10%0.0096✓1.42433k2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.118902-0.25%0.1085-8.98%0.0002✓0.86300k2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4363-0.25%1.38-4.17%0.0483✓-0.08115k2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4023,093.51-0.25%21,334.30-7.85%0.0249✗0.977,5932022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,841.19-0.26%1,608.72-12.85%0.0076✗1.33528.6M2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000092942-0.26%0.00008591-7.80%0.0281✗1.00336k2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.166371-0.26%0.1502-9.95%0.0079✗1.03140k2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497614.4598-0.26%12.9755-10.50%0.0066✓0.9551k2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.7559-0.26%5.106-11.52%0.0261✗1.3611.8M2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.476732-0.27%0.429-10.25%0.0005✓0.999,5622022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023936-0.27%0.02251-6.21%0.0340✗0.89369k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.640282-0.27%0.609-5.14%0.0776✗1.19114k2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.370971-0.27%0.33831-9.05%0.0263✗1.11426k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44611.4151-0.27%10.759-6.00%0.0641✗1.1511.4M2022-08-19
DASHDashDash50.3650.223-0.27%44.86-10.92%0.0089✓0.97521k2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.619307-0.27%0.562-9.50%0.0269✗1.1695k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash70.0969.8987-0.27%62.23-11.21%0.0042✗1.122.0M2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.897735-0.27%0.879-2.36%0.1049✗1.182.2M2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.068112-0.27%0.0635-7.03%0.0542✗1.16329k2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.418738-0.28%0.3796-9.60%0.0512✗1.39203k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.987378-0.28%0.884025-10.72%0.0300✓0.7577k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.333374-0.28%0.302298-9.58%0.0199✗1.10884k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1924.1205-0.29%22.44-7.23%0.0743✗1.3725.9M2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2962-0.29%1.18-9.23%0.0404✗1.261.1M2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.1279-0.29%2.82-10.11%0.0152✓0.83719k2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.510611-0.29%0.4497-12.19%0.0166✓1.0342.0M2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.770.767739-0.29%0.74-3.90%0.0067✗0.4186k2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.58580.584079-0.29%0.5569-4.93%0.0537✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.9974-0.30%9.77-11.42%0.0075✗1.18305k2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.738768-0.30%0.676-8.77%0.0628✗1.424.6M2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004636-0.31%0.00412-11.40%0.0107✓1.00152k2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.9529.8585-0.31%26.41-11.82%0.0234✓0.938.9M2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum108.5108.1662-0.31%99.28-8.50%0.0025✓0.823.4M2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.436151-0.31%0.4043-7.59%0.0469✗1.1564k2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.2063-0.31%1.1177-7.63%0.0467✗1.1512k2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7838-0.32%1.5782-11.81%0.0021✓1.12470k2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.91906-0.32%0.834-9.54%0.0341✗1.231.0M2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1414.0945-0.32%12.8-9.48%0.0229✗1.112.6M2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.082722-0.32%0.08741+5.33%0.0817✗0.25959k2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.39771-0.32%0.3599-9.80%0.0027✓0.911922022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.288236-0.33%0.2516-13.00%0.0375✓0.9281k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003735-0.33%0.003321-11.39%0.0324✓0.801.0M2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.332833-0.33%0.29551-11.51%0.0247✓0.88383k2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.1059-0.34%1.914-9.42%0.0027✓0.92680k2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.044748-0.34%0.03963-11.74%0.0351✓0.812,5822022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.028503-0.34%0.02581-9.76%0.0399✗1.302,9402022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.3805-0.35%2.151-9.96%0.0245✗1.1862k2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.7487-0.36%7.67-12.64%0.0156✓1.08523k2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.180683-0.36%0.16055-11.46%0.1210✗2.236712022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001913-0.36%0.001717-10.57%0.0011✓1.00901k2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.022965-0.38%0.025967+12.64%0.1481✗0.24232k2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6897-0.38%2.3-14.81%0.0291✓1.19259k2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.3985-0.39%2.112-12.29%0.0610✗1.76132k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.2548-0.40%5.8-7.64%0.0164✗0.861.6M2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.288623-0.41%0.2715-6.31%0.0534✗1.07151k2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.933364-0.41%0.8698-7.19%0.0959✗1.55244k2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1316.0633-0.41%14.23-11.78%0.0104✗1.231.5M2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.7555-0.42%1.7825+1.12%0.1448✗1.21598k2022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.229273-0.45%0.2054-10.81%0.0029✓1.00111k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.3892-0.45%2.29-4.58%0.0524✗0.89726k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0838.0464-0.45%7.303-9.65%0.0131✗1.0314.0M2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0432.0335-0.47%1.87-8.47%0.0223✗0.99170k2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.6236-0.48%3.13-14.03%0.0557✓0.85127k2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.076451-0.53%0.07173-6.67%0.0608✗1.162.3M2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.3885-0.54%1.2326-11.70%0.0179✓0.951.0M2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.9110,159.87-0.55%8,613.21-15.69%0.0221✓1.346.8M2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.4361-0.56%6.466-13.53%0.0527✓0.819.9M2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.5282.5129-0.60%2.121-16.10%0.0330✓1.281.0M2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.8323-0.62%2.75-3.51%0.0263✗0.5296k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.207249-0.65%0.1961-5.99%0.0356✗0.851.2M2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.8034-0.68%7.02+2.48%0.0730✗0.391.1M2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001525-0.69%0.001441-6.18%0.0281✗0.791.6M2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.6124-0.72%4.701+1.18%0.0545✗0.331.5M2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.7483-0.73%9.57-2.55%0.0279✗0.431.9M2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.044146-0.77%0.0386-13.24%0.0295✓0.9821k2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.16.0516-0.79%6.23+2.13%0.0708✗0.392.6M2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8934-0.81%6.87-1.15%0.0390✗0.401.8M2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.639.2742-0.82%32.98-16.72%0.0264✓1.3916.0M2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.376-0.86%4.972+12.64%0.1477✗0.192.1M2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.112747-0.93%0.1096-3.69%0.0542✗0.77215k2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1440.7566-0.93%41.75+1.48%0.1337✗1.021.8M2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5597-1.07%5.39-4.09%0.0113✗0.401.1M2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.9778-1.23%5.0422+25.20%0.2749✗0.352.0M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.4872-1.42%6.7571+48.45%0.4641✗0.512.0M2022-08-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49495.409-1.56%4.0954-25.47%0.1711✓1.00169k2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.819-1.57%3.7255-3.98%0.0324✗0.531.3M2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4417.316-1.68%6.927-6.91%0.0463✓0.083.9M2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-77.00e-7-2.51%6.08e-7-15.38%0.0726✓0.64164k2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25712.4087-6.40%13.488+1.74%0.1331✗0.461.3M2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.