8=======>

2022-08-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0547
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.0%
in alpha space · 89.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25710.9789-17.18%11.72-11.59%0.1314✓0.461.3M2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49494.7497-13.56%4.9164-10.53%0.1768✗1.00169k2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.33e-7-11.88%6.21e-7-13.51%0.0730✓0.64164k2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.828.8396-9.98%8.49-13.54%0.0213✓0.431.9M2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1437.0379-9.97%17.07-58.51%0.6289✓1.021.8M2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.0825-9.49%1.133-5.27%0.3202✗1.933.6M2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4416.7653-9.08%5.727-23.03%0.1556✓0.083.9M2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.5351-8.89%3.732-3.81%0.1302✗0.531.3M2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3917.6807-8.82%16.36-15.63%0.0176✓0.672.2M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.6813-8.59%6.1857+53.59%0.5692✗0.352.0M2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.336169-8.48%0.2713-26.14%0.0555✓1.12105k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.919,364.02-8.34%9,343.58-8.54%0.1880✗1.346.8M2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.627-8.13%1.403-20.78%0.0314✓1.26142k2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.636.4847-7.87%34.42-13.08%0.1389✗1.3916.0M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.6215-7.84%5.4-11.48%0.0153✓0.392.6M2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.19231-7.81%0.2252+7.96%0.2787✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001772-7.71%0.001621-15.57%0.0533✓1.00901k2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.2056-7.61%5.798+27.38%0.3938✗0.512.0M2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.2908-7.54%1.2443-10.87%0.0978✗0.951.0M2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum108.5100.3831-7.48%109.47+0.89%0.2040✗0.823.4M2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.1367-7.33%6.96-20.73%0.0020✓1.08523k2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum3835.2188-7.32%25.23-33.61%0.0544✓1.96391k2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.5282.3447-7.25%1.839-27.25%0.0615✓1.281.0M2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.4581-7.08%5.91-14.96%0.0323✓0.401.8M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.071494-6.98%0.06229-18.96%0.0277✓1.162.3M2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.2367-6.82%4.45-20.82%0.1065✓0.401.1M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001431-6.79%0.001205-21.54%0.0592✓0.791.6M2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.692688-6.77%0.621-16.42%0.0223✓0.92274k2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.214916-6.68%0.191-17.06%0.0243✓1.00111k2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.3995-6.63%4.009+10.11%0.2855✗0.85127k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.071064-6.62%0.0594-21.94%0.0105✓1.191.4M2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.125263-6.59%0.1254-6.49%0.0865✗0.604.1M2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.106352-6.54%0.1045-8.17%0.0921✗0.77215k2022-09-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.1318-6.47%–pending––1.1512k2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.527-6.41%1.99-26.30%0.0695✓1.19259k2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.3488-6.40%3.989-14.14%0.0392✓0.331.5M2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.041652-6.38%0.03442-22.63%0.0515✓0.9821k2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1413.2452-6.33%14.56+2.97%0.2531✗1.112.6M2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1922.6803-6.24%18.48-23.60%0.0101✓1.3725.9M2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.5321-6.24%3.0761-18.34%0.0005✓0.9848k2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.4124-6.21%5.627-2.50%0.2328✗1.3611.8M2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007339-6.15%0.00773-1.15%0.2119✗1.12420k2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003518-6.12%0.002846-24.07%0.0988✓0.801.0M2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.077936-6.09%0.06385-23.06%0.1640✓0.25959k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.4332-6.08%6.35-7.30%0.0424✓0.391.1M2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.313956-5.99%0.40106+20.10%0.3702✗0.88383k2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.022086-5.98%0.02103-10.47%0.0871✗0.9613.9M2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.0342-5.94%5.909-20.98%0.0586✓0.819.9M2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1315.1791-5.89%13.21-18.10%0.0360✓1.231.5M2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.0502-5.78%1.0832-2.82%0.2518✗1.555.0M2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.830118-5.78%0.947+7.49%0.1960✗0.454.4M2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.1607-5.74%3.983-9.76%0.0171✓0.192.1M2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000012713-5.69%0.00001197-11.20%0.0777✗0.97827k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.605578-5.67%0.516-19.63%0.0096✓1.19114k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0837.6282-5.63%7.059-12.67%0.0687✗1.0314.0M2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.108456-5.61%0.1088-5.31%0.1602✗1.103.7M2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.048620.045932-5.53%0.042628-12.32%0.0519✓0.8937k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.054796-5.52%0.0492-15.17%0.0378✓1.02253k2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.0696-5.52%2.735-15.82%0.1087✗1.575.2M2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.021783-5.51%0.025798+11.91%0.2027✗0.24232k2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44610.8302-5.38%16.412+43.39%0.5795✗1.1511.4M2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.58580.554286-5.38%0.5649-3.57%0.1536✗0.951.9M2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.9528.3395-5.38%24.62-17.80%0.0087✓0.938.9M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.5137.4033-5.33%33.69-14.73%0.0649✗1.1975.2M2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.5462-5.31%1.9947-25.82%0.0737✓1.2013k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.6701-5.26%1.9045+8.04%0.3035✗1.21598k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0428-5.19%0.8328-24.29%0.0902✓0.9512k2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.2481-5.19%8.09+5.82%0.2636✗1.0820.0M2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.866629-5.18%0.6797-25.63%0.0415✓1.42433k2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2327-5.18%1.1798-9.25%0.1348✗1.261.1M2022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.3957-5.12%1.293-12.10%0.1055✗1.28518k2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.589284-5.11%0.515-17.07%0.0301✓1.1695k2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.693815-5.09%0.629-13.95%0.0372✓0.95333k2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.353542-4.95%0.31645-14.93%0.0466✓1.11426k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.051706-4.95%0.042-22.79%0.0623✓1.02877k2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.379336-4.93%0.3548-11.08%0.0623✗0.911922022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.148788-4.93%0.1591+1.66%0.2183✗1.06586k2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.891057-4.92%0.8495-9.36%0.1734✗1.55244k2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.399471-4.87%0.3183-24.20%0.0286✓1.39203k2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.324283-4.86%0.27068-20.58%0.0316✓1.0513k2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.1858-4.85%3.155-5.76%0.0747✗0.59853k2022-09-17
DASHDashDash50.3647.9374-4.81%44.59-11.46%0.0658✗0.97521k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.455044-4.80%0.464-2.93%0.1604✗0.999,5622022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0431.945-4.80%1.489-27.12%0.1261✓0.99170k2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001619-4.79%0.001493-12.18%0.0150✓0.679,7092022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.2852-4.78%2.19-8.75%0.0835✗0.89726k2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.44530.424106-4.76%0.3564-19.96%0.0159✓1.11628k2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.022366-4.74%0.020559-12.43%0.0312✓0.8112k2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.487845-4.74%0.486-5.10%0.1430✗1.0342.0M2022-09-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000088793-4.71%0.00030987+232.55%1.3917✗1.00336k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero160.98153.4371-4.69%147.56-8.34%0.1003✗0.981.2M2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.25232-4.64%0.2267-14.32%0.0176✓0.88550k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.110585-4.61%0.11336-2.22%0.1516✗0.897.5M2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.2979-4.57%1.805-25.04%0.0087✓1.76132k2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.881019-4.57%0.7528-18.46%0.0241✓0.94574k2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.5555-4.56%6.285-8.50%0.0952✗0.975.3M2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.19375-4.56%0.1593-21.53%0.0409✓1.09657k2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.318447-4.54%0.3108-6.83%0.1078✗0.938.2M2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.0171-4.54%1.609-23.85%0.0954✓0.92680k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.7362-4.45%1.46-19.65%0.0110✓1.14150k2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0553.5584-4.45%54.2-3.30%0.1891✗1.2517k2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.860372-4.42%0.8104-9.98%0.1077✗1.182.2M2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.113953-4.40%0.1051-11.83%0.0410✓0.86300k2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1005-4.39%0.9111-20.84%0.0124✓1.241.1M2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.608196-4.38%0.50943-19.91%0.0103✓1.3246k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497613.8631-4.38%11.819-18.48%0.0243✓0.9551k2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.2604-4.37%1.179-10.55%0.0756✗1.002.4M2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.3867-4.37%1.33-8.28%0.0973✗0.98182k2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.065374-4.28%0.0511-25.18%0.0811✓1.16329k2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4622,201.10-4.26%20,113.37-13.27%0.0436✗1.00472.7M2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.042-4.24%1.8165-14.81%0.0328✓1.0533k2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.139459-4.22%0.1276-12.36%0.0493✗0.972.0M2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration51.6949.5206-4.20%44.64-13.64%0.0399✓1.01543k2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.2895-4.16%2.022-15.36%0.0430✗1.1862k2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.320579-4.11%0.291502-12.81%0.0614✗1.10884k2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.070788-4.08%0.0666-9.76%0.0578✗0.83130k2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.277995-4.07%0.1876-35.27%0.2410✓1.07151k2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50255.1613-4.07%52.371-8.92%0.0480✗0.70354k2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.2661-4.07%6.014-20.60%0.0027✓1.3110.3M2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,770.96-4.06%1,468.97-20.42%0.0026✓1.33528.6M2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.392088-4.04%0.357-12.63%0.0861✗1.26223k2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004463-4.01%0.00378-18.71%0.0235✓1.00152k2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.0113-4.01%2.603-17.02%0.0282✓0.83719k2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.22e-7-3.98%8.40e-7-12.50%0.0197✓0.794.6M2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3831-3.95%1.45+0.69%0.0362✓-0.08115k2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.099513-3.94%0.096-7.34%0.1038✗0.98430k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000041165-3.93%0.00004289+0.09%0.1648✗0.871.9M2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.293577-3.90%0.2704-11.49%0.0575✗0.983.6M2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.043154-3.89%0.03601-19.80%0.0662✓0.812,5822022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.6027-3.87%9.64-12.60%0.0721✗1.18305k2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.174312-3.87%0.16418-9.46%0.2580✗2.236712022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.047489-3.87%0.0461-6.68%0.1078✗0.97207k2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.048403-3.87%0.04315-14.30%0.0120✓0.7216k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.176341-3.80%0.1664-9.22%0.1460✗1.431,3972022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.084605-3.77%0.06678-24.04%0.0750✓1.1429k2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.006798-3.77%0.006354-10.05%0.0015✓0.4655k2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.641018-3.75%0.443-33.48%0.1975✓1.212,9182022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash70.0967.4651-3.75%58.71-16.24%0.0210✓1.122.0M2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7231-3.71%1.5518-13.28%0.0553✗1.12470k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.435394-3.70%0.38033-15.88%0.0083✓0.8970k2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.421379-3.68%0.4523+3.38%0.2339✗1.1564k2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.009797-3.67%0.00859-15.54%0.0291✓0.725.8M2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4022,304.57-3.66%19,985.60-13.68%0.0287✓0.977,5932022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.37848-3.65%0.32877-16.30%0.0008✓1.0090k2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.24-3.63%14.92-16.60%0.0150✓1.12130k2022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.239582-3.63%0.21-15.53%0.0123✓1.0177k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.7468-3.62%2.69-5.61%0.0533✗0.5296k2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.15276-3.62%0.13742-13.29%0.0690✗1.23250k2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00660.970323-3.60%0.9979-0.86%0.1147✗0.613.9M2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.278889-3.57%0.304+5.12%0.2171✗0.9281k2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.051125-3.56%0.040142-24.28%0.1709✓0.5030k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.027595-3.51%0.02341-18.15%0.0205✓1.302,9402022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.179184-3.51%0.1487-19.92%0.0350✓1.061,7402022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.5208-3.50%0.4808-10.91%0.0367✗0.82750k2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007376-3.46%0.00543-28.93%0.2157✓0.641.4M2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.890285-3.44%0.932+1.08%0.2203✗1.231.0M2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.072083-3.42%0.062199-16.66%0.0008✓1.031.9M2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.27e-7-3.41%8.50e-7-11.46%0.0227✓0.7720k2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037499-3.35%0.0359-7.47%0.0908✗0.9476k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014221-3.26%0.012503-14.95%0.0432✓0.602.1M2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.131693-3.24%0.1447+6.32%0.2422✗1.0441k2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.226637-3.19%0.201-14.14%0.0770✗1.38110k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.119.7898-3.17%9.254-8.47%0.0837✗0.981.9M2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.072615-3.10%0.0662-11.66%0.0181✓0.788802022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.959779-3.07%0.865587-12.58%0.0037✓0.7577k2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003660.003549-3.03%0.00337-7.92%0.0939✗1.02508k2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.115911-3.00%0.0988-17.32%0.0618✓0.694,2082022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.161799-3.00%0.1415-15.17%0.0123✓1.03140k2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12125.2616-2.99%122.08-5.45%0.1317✗1.115.1M2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.287237-2.96%0.266-10.14%0.0247✓0.71972k2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.253568-2.92%0.1166-55.36%0.7751✓0.0174k2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.387765-2.89%0.3309-17.13%0.0006✓1.12176k2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.720366-2.78%0.617-16.73%0.0466✗1.424.6M2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.061158-2.77%0.0563-10.49%0.0481✗0.92112k2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.515219-2.70%0.4774-9.84%0.0841✗1.13376k2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1574-2.70%1.0116-14.96%0.0099✓0.8855k2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.1898-2.57%4.9846-6.42%0.0211✓0.14204k2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017276-2.56%0.01249-29.55%0.2343✓0.63153k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8692.5278-2.46%81.44-14.15%0.0918✗1.546.4M2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.84824.7298-2.44%4.2761-11.80%0.0047✓0.74847k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041657-2.44%0.038-11.01%0.0406✗0.9311k2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6058.5954-2.34%57.82-3.63%0.1286✗1.0013.1M2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.752115-2.32%0.7-9.09%0.0140✓0.4186k2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006163-1.99%0.005888-6.35%0.0542✗0.703,0362022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023526-1.97%0.02052-14.50%0.0099✓0.89369k2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.066204-1.80%0.062299-7.59%0.0260✗0.61179k2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.1744-1.68%4.54-27.71%0.1854✓0.861.6M2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.093092-1.39%0.0897-4.98%0.1014✗0.9712k2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.