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2022-08-17 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0430
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.1%
in alpha space · 78.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3288+0.59%1.196-9.46%0.0927✗1.933.6M2022-08-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.079446+0.18%0.0738-6.94%0.0686✗0.79130k2022-08-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.541005+0.17%0.5295-1.96%0.0142✗1.12388k2022-08-18
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8508+0.12%4.8482+0.07%0.0042✓0.73882k2022-08-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.419301+0.12%0.4086-2.44%0.0176✗1.26239k2022-08-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.410345+0.12%0.3928-4.16%0.0372✗0.9995k2022-08-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007945+0.06%0.00764-3.78%0.0349✗0.641.6M2022-08-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.3038+0.05%5.3268+0.48%0.0052✓0.14217k2022-08-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.120952+0.04%0.1195-1.16%0.0075✗0.714,2082022-08-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.19548+0.04%0.1833-6.19%0.0550✗1.431,3972022-08-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006521+0.02%0.006288-3.56%0.0319✗0.703,0362022-08-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.050736+0.01%0.05035-0.75%0.0029✗0.7216k2022-08-18
AAVEAaveEthereum100.14100.136-0.00%94.86-5.27%0.0441✓1.536.4M2022-08-18
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.068103-0.03%0.067418-1.04%0.0061✓0.61182k2022-08-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8982-0.04%1.771-6.74%0.0613✓1.25142k2022-08-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.066172-0.04%0.0629-4.98%0.0456✓0.78116k2022-08-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.2113-0.05%1.1895-1.85%0.0125✓0.8855k2022-08-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.77253-0.06%0.731-5.43%0.0491✓0.94344k2022-08-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.34469-0.06%0.34084-1.18%0.0045✓1.0413k2022-08-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.652375-0.07%0.63604-2.57%0.0168✓1.3147k2022-08-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.302774-0.07%0.296-2.31%0.0179✓0.721.0M2022-08-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.13799-0.08%0.1361-1.45%0.0070✓1.0441k2022-08-18
XMRMoneroMonero168.3168.1571-0.08%160.98-4.35%0.0374✓0.951.2M2022-08-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.4613-0.10%60-0.86%0.0011✓1.0013.5M2022-08-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.253238-0.10%0.2486-1.93%0.0119✓1.0183k2022-08-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.025723-0.10%0.02349-8.78%0.0851✓0.8814.3M2022-08-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042655-0.11%0.0427+0.00%0.0072✗0.9411k2022-08-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.907993-0.11%0.881-3.08%0.0272✓0.464.4M2022-08-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.158818-0.11%0.1456-8.43%0.0805✓0.982.1M2022-08-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.69e-7-0.12%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0041✓0.7721k2022-08-18
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.4989-0.13%39.51-2.56%0.0169✓1.1981.1M2022-08-18
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.2421-0.14%10.11-1.42%0.0067✓0.971.9M2022-08-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.158514-0.14%0.15849-0.15%0.0079✗1.24250k2022-08-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.5002-0.14%3.249-7.30%0.0642✓1.575.2M2022-08-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.9221-0.14%2.6889-8.11%0.0753✓1.2113k2022-08-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023902-0.14%0.023478-1.91%0.0126✓0.8113k2022-08-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.420012-0.14%0.3993-5.06%0.0433✓1.11190k2022-08-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.053443-0.14%0.053014-0.94%0.0048✓0.5033k2022-08-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.653064-0.14%0.666+1.83%0.0274✗1.192,9182022-08-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.00674-0.14%0.007064+4.65%0.0498✗0.4555k2022-08-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.02940.029357-0.15%0.0292-0.68%0.0012✓0.6436k2022-08-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.050824-0.15%0.0494-2.95%0.0221✓0.98212k2022-08-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001677-0.15%0.0017+1.19%0.0178✗0.699,5772022-08-18
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.15%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0066✗0.795.3M2022-08-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1802-0.16%1.1146-5.71%0.0472✓1.525.6M2022-08-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.198-0.16%2.1323-3.15%0.0235✓1.0536k2022-08-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.1096-0.17%1.1-1.04%0.0026✓0.9412k2022-08-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.4073-0.17%3.348-1.90%0.0134✓0.63853k2022-08-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7351-0.17%9.82+12.23%0.1197✗0.401.8M2022-08-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.2159-0.17%1.151-5.50%0.0468✓1.241.1M2022-08-18
XVGVergenative0.003780.003773-0.17%0.00366-3.17%0.0239✓1.02528k2022-08-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.086946-0.18%0.08792+0.94%0.0186✗1.1529k2022-08-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3576-0.18%1.318-3.09%0.0231✓1.002.5M2022-08-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.340188-0.18%0.3336-2.11%0.0135✓0.938.3M2022-08-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.108903-0.18%0.1036-5.04%0.0435✓0.99456k2022-08-18
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.459669-0.18%0.45212-1.82%0.0107✓0.9170k2022-08-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.062883-0.19%0.058-7.94%0.0742✓1.02253k2022-08-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92259.8094-0.19%57.502-4.04%0.0347✓0.71365k2022-08-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.101607-0.19%0.0944-7.27%0.0671✓0.9912k2022-08-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.197123-0.19%0.1857-5.97%0.0528✓1.051,7922022-08-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0899-0.19%1.0066-7.82%0.0754✓0.623.9M2022-08-18
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000043245-0.20%0.00004285-1.11%0.0035✓0.871.9M2022-08-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.319173-0.20%0.3055-4.47%0.0373✓0.993.6M2022-08-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83133.5594-0.20%129.12-3.52%0.0266✓1.105.1M2022-08-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010838-0.21%0.01017-6.35%0.0587✓0.745.8M2022-08-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4219.3796-0.21%19.39-0.15%0.0050✗0.682.2M2022-08-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3971-0.21%1.44+2.86%0.0299✗-0.06124k2022-08-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.169338-0.21%0.1565-7.78%0.0719✓1.07616k2022-08-18
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.969-0.22%17.89-5.89%0.0513✓1.12130k2022-08-18
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.275-0.22%0.2646-3.99%0.0329✓0.87550k2022-08-18
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.050183-0.22%0.04862-3.33%0.0258✓0.9043k2022-08-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.077375-0.23%0.07494-3.37%0.0269✓0.789142022-08-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.216506-0.23%0.203-6.45%0.0572✓1.10696k2022-08-18
STXStacksnative0.45670.455649-0.23%0.4453-2.50%0.0157✓1.11808k2022-08-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.091-0.23%3.88+25.23%0.2306✗0.501.3M2022-08-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,285.76-0.24%23,189.46-0.65%0.0024✓1.00482.6M2022-08-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.96547-0.24%0.92322-4.60%0.0386✓0.94623k2022-08-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260672-0.24%0.2612-0.04%0.0021✓0.0165k2022-08-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.178968-0.24%0.18133+1.08%0.0277✗2.236712022-08-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,830.19-0.24%1,845.90+0.62%0.0172✗1.33534.1M2022-08-18
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5592-0.24%1.471-5.89%0.0499✓1.28529k2022-08-18
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.6351-0.25%51.69-5.62%0.0488✓1.01595k2022-08-18
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3158.1661-0.25%56.05-3.88%0.0290✓1.2420k2022-08-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.67033-0.25%0.642-4.46%0.0354✓1.20130k2022-08-18
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.7903-0.25%14.4976-2.22%0.0138✓0.9553k2022-08-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.240394-0.25%0.2341-2.86%0.0175✓1.38117k2022-08-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015145-0.25%0.0147-3.19%0.0259✓0.602.1M2022-08-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.120995-0.26%0.115928-4.43%0.0370✓0.897.8M2022-08-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.1333-0.26%4.646+12.11%0.1189✗0.301.5M2022-08-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.121085-0.26%0.1192-1.81%0.0101✓0.87311k2022-08-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.018033-0.26%0.01773-1.94%0.0129✓0.62153k2022-08-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.122279-0.26%0.1149-6.28%0.0550✓1.113.8M2022-08-18
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.975648-0.26%0.990146+1.22%0.0196✗0.7577k2022-08-18
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.9398-0.27%7.574-4.86%0.0387✓1.3010.3M2022-08-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8491-0.27%1.817-2.00%0.0102✓1.12170k2022-08-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.00001472-0.27%0.00001348-8.67%0.0817✓0.96827k2022-08-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0618.0392-0.27%7.645-5.16%0.0432✓1.0820.0M2022-08-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.6056-0.27%1.45-9.94%0.0957✓0.97182k2022-08-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.9121-0.27%2.85-2.40%0.0181✓0.5296k2022-08-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.778873-0.27%0.743-4.87%0.0411✓0.93280k2022-08-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.563753-0.27%0.5397-4.53%0.0383✓0.82755k2022-08-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.0124.0009-0.28%3.7671-6.10%0.0539✓0.9848k2022-08-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.32881-0.28%0.33395+1.28%0.0213✗0.89402k2022-08-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.079893-0.28%0.074632-6.84%0.0614✓1.031.9M2022-08-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.1130.0262-0.28%29.95-0.53%0.0035✗0.939.1M2022-08-18
PROPropyEthereum0.780.777828-0.28%0.77-1.28%0.0073✓0.42105k2022-08-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070602-0.28%0.0683-3.53%0.0256✓1.16331k2022-08-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.2009-0.28%1.21+0.48%0.0150✗1.1412k2022-08-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.641201-0.28%0.621-3.42%0.0244✓1.16105k2022-08-18
XVSVenusEthereum65.9831-0.28%6.28+4.67%0.0544✗0.911.5M2022-08-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.382184-0.28%0.37197-2.95%0.0214✓0.88435k2022-08-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000094827-0.29%0.00009318-2.02%0.0110✓1.01336k2022-08-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.964194-0.29%0.914-5.48%0.0441✓1.43469k2022-08-18
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.6769-0.29%38-2.04%0.0049✓1.96408k2022-08-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.468724-0.29%0.4375-6.93%0.0615✓1.1464k2022-08-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024787-0.29%0.024-3.46%0.0265✓0.89310k2022-08-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004666-0.29%0.00465-0.64%0.0031✗1.01158k2022-08-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021899-0.30%0.023053+4.96%0.0527✗0.20233k2022-08-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029811-0.30%0.0286-4.35%0.0330✓1.302,9912022-08-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.347047-0.30%0.334316-3.95%0.0305✓1.05916k2022-08-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.008116-0.30%0.00782-3.93%0.0299✓1.11456k2022-08-18
DASHDashDash52.8752.7095-0.30%50.36-4.75%0.0393✓0.97548k2022-08-18
HIVEHivenative0.59610.594285-0.30%0.5858-1.73%0.0082✓0.952.0M2022-08-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.144856-0.31%0.1341-7.71%0.0732✓0.614.4M2022-08-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.3574-0.31%6.869-6.92%0.0624✓0.975.4M2022-08-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.045041-0.31%0.0449-0.62%0.0021✓0.802,6002022-08-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.92514-0.31%0.922-0.65%0.0046✗1.221.1M2022-08-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.176354-0.31%0.1668-5.71%0.0491✓1.01140k2022-08-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.059714-0.31%0.0544-9.18%0.0865✓1.03877k2022-08-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.077553-0.32%0.0761-2.19%0.0112✓1.181.4M2022-08-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.801445-0.32%0.741-7.84%0.0692✓1.414.6M2022-08-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.372908-0.32%0.3673-1.82%0.0079✓1.11105k2022-08-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.082933-0.32%0.08299-0.25%0.0023✓0.251.0M2022-08-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.3234-0.32%11.03-2.90%0.0188✓1.14313k2022-08-18
QNTQuantEthereum109.91109.5548-0.32%108.5-1.28%0.0043✓0.833.6M2022-08-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.961978-0.32%0.9002-6.72%0.0587✓1.182.2M2022-08-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.290354-0.32%0.2892-0.72%0.0021✓0.9381k2022-08-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.701-0.33%1.7628+3.29%0.0435✗1.20598k2022-08-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9239-0.33%5.62+13.77%0.1348✗0.391.1M2022-08-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3655-0.33%1.3-5.11%0.0409✓1.261.1M2022-08-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.711-0.33%11.446-2.59%0.0155✓1.1312.0M2022-08-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.536788-0.34%0.5121-4.92%0.0404✓1.0343.6M2022-08-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.5164-0.34%2.389-5.39%0.0443✓1.1864k2022-08-18
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8783-0.34%1.7895-5.05%0.0412✓1.11488k2022-08-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2517-0.34%3.137-3.86%0.0305✓0.83719k2022-08-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.435559-0.35%0.4199-3.94%0.0276✓1.39209k2022-08-18
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.9574-0.35%70.09-5.56%0.0465✓1.102.0M2022-08-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8762-0.36%4.414+13.47%0.1312✗0.191.9M2022-08-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.4687-0.36%24.19-5.36%0.0426✓1.3728.7M2022-08-18
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.0849-0.36%5.771-5.50%0.0441✓1.3611.8M2022-08-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003921-0.37%0.003748-4.78%0.0400✓0.791.0M2022-08-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.4994-0.37%6.1+10.51%0.1061✗0.372.0M2022-08-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.513054-0.38%0.478-7.18%0.0643✓0.999,8012022-08-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4665-0.38%2.408-2.75%0.0126✓1.76134k2022-08-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.2752-0.39%6.95+10.32%0.1046✗0.381.6M2022-08-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.457-0.41%4.0274+16.02%0.1548✗0.311.8M2022-08-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.1946-0.41%6.85+10.13%0.1029✗0.361.1M2022-08-18
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2568-0.41%2.113-6.75%0.0598✓0.92680k2022-08-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.593-0.41%7.441+32.50%0.2860✗0.083.4M2022-08-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.247561-0.42%0.2303-7.36%0.0658✓1.00111k2022-08-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.3606-0.42%8.78-6.60%0.0570✓1.08523k2022-08-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.8086-0.42%16.13-4.44%0.0332✓1.231.6M2022-08-18
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.412431-0.43%0.399-3.67%0.0272✓0.901922022-08-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.9075-0.43%2.7-7.53%0.0663✓1.19269k2022-08-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.292721-0.44%0.2898-1.43%0.0030✓1.07160k2022-08-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9822-0.44%2.043+2.61%0.0367✗1.00181k2022-08-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.3334-0.46%8.083-3.45%0.0238✓1.0314.4M2022-08-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3589-0.47%2.4+1.27%0.0231✗0.90636k2022-08-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,188.66-0.47%23,152.40-0.63%0.0048✗0.977,5932022-08-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001946-0.49%0.00192-1.79%0.0067✓1.00950k2022-08-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.979329-0.49%0.9372-4.78%0.0338✓1.55244k2022-08-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.663-0.52%3.641-1.11%0.0004✓0.86124k2022-08-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.4031-0.54%1.396-1.04%0.0011✓0.941.0M2022-08-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.099165-0.54%0.1138+14.14%0.1429✗0.80215k2022-08-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.6501-0.57%14.14-10.17%0.0944✓1.092.6M2022-08-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7891-0.58%4.5519+19.43%0.1864✗0.462.0M2022-08-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043629-0.62%0.0388-11.62%0.1111✓0.9576k2022-08-18
FLOWFlownative2.5652.549-0.62%2.528-1.44%0.0001✓1.281.0M2022-08-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.1415-0.63%7.478-8.73%0.0797✓0.819.9M2022-08-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.9275-0.65%13.257+122.21%0.8073✗0.371.2M2022-08-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001536-0.66%0.001535-0.67%0.0051✓0.791.6M2022-08-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.085394-0.68%0.07686-10.61%0.0977✓1.172.4M2022-08-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6211,083.92-0.72%10,215.91-8.50%0.0729✓1.336.8M2022-08-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.220584-0.73%0.2086-6.12%0.0503✓0.851.2M2022-08-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.6175-0.86%5.4949+17.97%0.1805✗1.00140k2022-08-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.046433-0.89%0.04449-5.04%0.0364✓0.9821k2022-08-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.9229-0.91%39.6-1.71%0.0009✓1.3816.5M2022-08-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0939.6944-0.99%41.14+2.62%0.0426✗1.051.8M2022-08-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.72e-7-2.16%7.18e-7+4.46%0.0696✗0.63164k2022-08-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.