8=======>

2022-08-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0035
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 90.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,159.08-0.60%19,713.60-15.39%0.0011✓0.977,5932022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2624-0.73%4.9422-6.77%0.0406✓0.14217k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.406439-0.83%0.32095-21.69%0.0730✓0.9995k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.193581-0.93%0.155-20.68%0.0133✗1.431,3972022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.050238-0.97%0.04256-16.10%0.0475✓0.7216k2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.078446-1.08%0.0646-18.54%0.0642✓0.79130k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017875-1.14%0.01206-33.30%0.2922✓0.62153k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.412866-1.42%0.346-17.38%0.0309✗1.26239k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006425-1.46%0.005888-9.70%0.0278✗0.703,0362022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007792-1.86%0.00531-33.12%0.2781✓0.641.6M2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1887-1.92%1.003-17.24%0.0256✓0.8855k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.066768-1.99%0.061288-10.04%0.0150✓0.61182k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.84494.7474-2.01%4.2657-11.95%0.0133✓0.73882k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023422-2.14%0.020411-14.72%0.0047✓0.8113k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.052364-2.16%0.039113-26.92%0.2100✓0.5033k2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.118151-2.27%0.0959-20.68%0.0922✓0.714,2082022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041704-2.33%0.0374-12.41%0.0449✗0.9411k2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.527216-2.39%0.4634-14.20%0.0553✗1.12388k2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006586-2.43%0.006297-6.71%0.0287✗0.4555k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.134612-2.53%0.1457+5.50%0.2499✗1.0441k2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.336184-2.53%0.26134-24.23%0.0809✓1.0413k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.759648-2.61%0.7-10.26%0.0119✓0.42105k2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.408664-2.84%0.3247-22.80%0.0478✓1.11190k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5258.7896-2.86%55.93-7.58%0.1148✗1.0013.5M2022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.634068-2.88%0.49675-23.91%0.0283✓1.3147k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.293897-3.00%0.262-13.53%0.0034✓0.721.0M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.153848-3.08%0.13109-17.41%0.0434✗1.24250k2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.245659-3.09%0.2047-19.25%0.0159✓1.0183k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.048724-3.12%0.042068-16.36%0.0006✓0.9043k2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1496.9969-3.14%79.37-20.74%0.0512✗1.536.4M2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.445841-3.19%0.37431-18.72%0.0260✓0.9170k2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.064086-3.19%0.0555-16.16%0.0155✓0.78116k2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.879955-3.20%0.928+2.09%0.1285✗0.464.4M2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0755-3.24%0.82039-26.19%0.1156✓0.9412k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.098462-3.28%0.0859-15.62%0.0270✓0.9912k2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.945488-3.35%0.810979-17.10%0.0307✓0.7577k2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.075175-3.37%0.0575-26.09%0.0739✓1.181.4M2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.252425-3.40%0.119-54.46%0.7499✓0.0165k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero168.3162.5039-3.44%149.19-11.35%0.0715✗0.951.2M2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004519-3.45%0.00373-20.30%0.0262✓1.01158k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.745906-3.51%0.616-20.31%0.0362✓0.94344k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.2569.8912-3.56%9.137-10.91%0.0802✗0.971.9M2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09832.9877-3.57%3.6957+19.28%0.2954✗0.501.3M2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.630549-3.59%0.418-36.09%0.2152✓1.192,9182022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.049071-3.59%0.043-15.52%0.0284✓0.98212k2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92257.7513-3.62%52.013-13.20%0.0114✓0.71365k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.280744-3.62%0.3024+3.81%0.2271✗0.9381k2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000041733-3.68%0.00004223-2.54%0.1551✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.8176-3.71%1.9192-34.41%0.1850✓1.2113k2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042228-3.81%0.0352-19.82%0.0264✓0.9576k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.5538.9885-3.85%32.23-20.52%0.0059✓1.1981.1M2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003780.003633-3.89%0.00319-15.61%0.0376✓1.02528k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.163025-3.93%0.1558-8.19%0.1305✗1.07616k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83128.4239-4.04%119.59-10.64%0.1101✗1.105.1M2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010417-4.08%0.00835-23.11%0.0993✓0.745.8M2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.189387-4.11%0.151-23.54%0.0534✓1.051,7922022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.169582-4.14%0.1384-21.76%0.0372✓1.01140k2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8204-4.14%1.34-29.44%0.1016✓1.25142k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.023822-4.17%0.02106-15.29%0.0235✓0.89310k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.171881-4.19%0.15812-11.86%0.2840✗2.236712022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.20e-7-4.21%8.20e-7-14.58%0.0150✓0.795.3M2022-09-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1534-4.22%–pending––1.1412k2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1443.9675-4.26%3.867-6.68%0.0244✓0.301.5M2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.2674-4.27%2.987-12.48%0.0140✓0.63853k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.074218-4.30%0.0652-15.93%0.0018✓0.789142022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.306013-4.31%0.2626-17.89%0.0097✓0.993.6M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3724-4.32%8.46-3.31%0.0761✗0.401.8M2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001607-4.37%0.001455-13.39%0.0143✓0.699,5772022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.207508-4.37%0.15442-28.84%0.1140✓1.10696k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.060233-4.39%0.0476-24.44%0.0674✓1.02253k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1046-4.41%1.7566-20.21%0.0077✓1.0536k2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.076582-4.41%0.060443-24.55%0.0676✓1.031.9M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.115998-4.45%0.1034-14.83%0.0273✓0.87311k2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.151905-4.46%0.1221-23.21%0.0572✓0.982.1M2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.325532-4.48%0.2979-12.59%0.0642✗0.938.3M2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.2989-4.49%1.173-13.75%0.0629✗1.002.5M2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.1553-4.50%14.36-24.46%0.0503✓1.12130k2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.8312-4.51%2.9941-25.37%0.0861✓0.9848k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.921157-4.55%0.7965-17.47%0.0479✗1.182.2M2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.1131-4.59%2.56-21.54%0.0590✓0.83719k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.043098-4.61%0.03549-21.45%0.0624✓0.802,6002022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.08308-4.62%0.06705-23.02%0.0256✓1.1529k2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.1379-4.65%11.2265-24.28%0.0738✓0.9553k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.640637-4.67%0.489-27.23%0.0732✓1.20130k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.104-4.67%0.0976-10.54%0.0993✗0.99456k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.25e-7-4.69%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0189✓0.7721k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.115603-4.70%0.107109-11.70%0.0701✗0.897.8M2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.394709-4.71%0.3538-14.58%0.0391✓0.901922022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3155.5464-4.74%54.06-7.29%0.1762✗1.2420k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.7812-4.75%1.76-39.73%0.3719✓0.5296k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.5334-4.76%1.28-20.50%0.0217✓0.97182k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum65.7137-4.77%4.36-27.33%0.1206✓0.911.5M2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.262423-4.78%0.2244-18.58%0.0140✓0.87550k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.067401-4.80%0.0498-29.66%0.1125✓1.16331k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0394-4.82%0.9744-10.77%0.0378✓0.623.9M2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3319-4.86%1.44+2.86%0.0679✗-0.06124k2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014445-4.87%0.012294-19.03%0.0627✓0.602.1M2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.4869-4.87%1.237-20.86%0.0264✓1.28529k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.7636-4.88%1.38-25.57%0.0611✓1.12170k2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.020884-4.92%0.025951+18.15%0.2499✗0.20233k2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.3318-4.94%2.596-25.93%0.0093✓1.575.2M2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.45670.433943-4.98%0.3492-23.54%0.0339✓1.11808k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.7886-5.03%9.36-17.61%0.0452✓1.14313k2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.7752.0149-5.03%43.86-19.92%0.0036✓1.01595k2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.225.9058-5.05%6.26+0.64%0.1180✗0.361.1M2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.3966-5.09%1.988-21.27%0.0072✓1.1864k2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.446038-5.12%0.4409-6.21%0.1766✗1.1464k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.22857-5.16%0.1907-20.87%0.0460✓1.38117k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.31267-5.17%0.38821+17.74%0.3622✗0.89402k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.6844-5.17%4.31-12.75%0.0189✓0.391.1M2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1128.5458-5.19%24.08-20.03%0.0173✓0.939.1M2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.137711-5.22%0.1213-16.52%0.0273✓0.614.4M2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4218.3966-5.27%16-17.61%0.0280✓0.682.2M2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.32969-5.28%0.283015-18.69%0.0197✓1.05916k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.116106-5.30%0.1057-13.78%0.0883✗1.113.8M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.078792-5.30%0.06472-22.21%0.1559✓0.251.0M2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.2238-5.37%5.31-3.80%0.0777✗0.372.0M2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.056672-5.39%0.0411-31.39%0.1513✓1.03877k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.02828-5.42%0.02271-24.05%0.0058✓1.302,9912022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.877695-5.42%0.896-3.45%0.2221✗1.221.1M2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.738324-5.46%0.605-22.54%0.0462✓0.93280k2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000089903-5.47%0.00030458+220.27%1.3858✗1.01336k2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.914672-5.49%0.7411-23.42%0.0559✓0.94623k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.607705-5.49%0.497-22.71%0.0101✓1.16105k2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.3388-5.54%1.715-30.74%0.0212✓1.76134k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.6111-5.58%7.655-5.04%0.1838✗1.0820.0M2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.5132-5.63%5.824-26.84%0.0407✓1.3010.3M2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6106-5.63%1.8924+10.89%0.3590✗1.20598k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.912585-5.63%0.6518-32.60%0.1014✓1.43469k2022-09-16
DASHDashDash52.8749.8904-5.64%43.69-17.36%0.0262✓0.97548k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.1493-5.64%0.8768-28.01%0.0669✓1.241.1M2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.59610.562207-5.69%0.5573-6.51%0.1468✗0.952.0M2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,013.84-5.69%19,801.04-15.17%0.0585✗1.00482.6M2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.0809-5.69%16.596+41.24%0.5897✗1.1312.0M2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash74.2269.9762-5.72%56.74-23.55%0.0282✓1.102.0M2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.532869-5.74%0.4698-16.89%0.0088✓0.82755k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.757485-5.79%0.586-27.11%0.0245✓1.414.6M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000013905-5.79%0.00001157-21.61%0.0256✓0.96827k2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.7752-5.81%1.5208-19.31%0.0285✓1.11488k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.483945-6.03%0.434-15.73%0.0542✓0.999,8012022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.11-6.10%1.0589-10.42%0.2034✗1.525.6M2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.024178-6.11%0.02055-20.19%0.0175✓0.8814.3M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.27577-6.20%0.19-35.37%0.1964✓1.07160k2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.2218-6.25%2.13-10.13%0.1053✗0.90636k2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.6467-6.25%3.874-0.41%0.0917✗0.191.9M2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.7247-6.26%4.665-23.61%0.0186✓1.3611.8M2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,719.60-6.27%1,433.73-21.85%0.0365✓1.33534.1M2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.35.9031-6.30%5.78-8.25%0.0415✓0.381.6M2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.359-6.33%0.30013-21.69%0.0352✓0.88435k2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.921786-6.34%0.8516-13.47%0.1763✗1.55244k2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.282-6.42%1.1346-17.18%0.0845✗1.261.1M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007617-6.43%0.00771-5.28%0.1949✗1.11456k2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.1197-6.46%1.541-31.99%0.1670✓0.92680k2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003682-6.46%0.002807-28.68%0.1410✓0.791.0M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5623.8725-6.60%18.06-29.34%0.0540✓1.3728.7M2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7414.6961-6.63%14.52-7.75%0.1673✗1.092.6M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3727.8139-6.67%6.906-17.51%0.0453✓1.0314.4M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum38.7936.194-6.69%24.55-36.71%0.0661✓1.96408k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.502453-6.71%0.4748-11.85%0.1127✗1.0343.6M2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.386.8834-6.73%6.185-16.19%0.0522✓0.975.4M2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.8545-6.85%1.475-25.92%0.0648✓1.00181k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum109.91102.3627-6.87%107.74-1.97%0.1871✗0.833.6M2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.48.734-7.09%6.63-29.47%0.0972✓1.08523k2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.2142-7.15%5.56-1.00%0.0774✗0.083.4M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.2207-7.22%5.9681+71.93%0.6684✗0.311.8M2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3077-7.30%1.2302-12.80%0.0940✗0.941.0M2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.4131-7.30%4.006+8.80%0.3011✗0.86124k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.7065-7.31%1.92-34.25%0.1471✓1.19269k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8815.6053-7.55%12.83-23.99%0.0065✓1.231.6M2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.345189-7.73%0.2667-28.71%0.0753✓1.11105k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.091879-7.84%0.1059+6.22%0.2742✗0.80215k2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001799-7.96%0.001658-15.19%0.0827✓1.00950k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.228311-8.16%0.1847-25.70%0.0475✓1.00111k2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.4734-8.26%11.384+90.81%0.7927✗0.371.2M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1937.5152-8.27%5.824-28.91%0.1213✓0.819.9M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,225.18-8.41%8,661.73-22.42%0.0531✓1.336.8M2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.2084-8.52%1.112-15.82%0.2338✗1.933.6M2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.4809-8.67%5.5996+46.92%0.5512✗0.462.0M2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.202656-8.80%0.2101-5.45%0.1764✗0.851.2M2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.5652.3359-8.93%1.78-30.60%0.0613✓1.281.0M2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.396965-9.18%0.3144-28.07%0.0050✓1.39209k2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.042309-9.69%0.03294-29.69%0.0896✓0.9821k2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.077566-9.79%0.06104-29.01%0.0479✓1.172.4M2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.00139-10.11%0.001201-22.29%0.0149✓0.791.6M2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2935.6854-11.43%34.05-15.49%0.1807✗1.3816.5M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.1027-11.92%4.6927+0.75%0.2989✗1.00140k2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.05e-7-12.01%5.40e-7-21.44%0.0090✓0.63164k2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0934.9733-12.76%16.31-59.32%0.5900✓1.051.8M2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.