8=======>

2022-08-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0264
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 90.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.10e-7-11.21%5.40e-7-21.44%0.0181✓0.63164k2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0935.9995-10.20%16.31-59.32%0.6189✓1.051.8M2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.1912-9.83%1.112-15.82%0.2481✗1.933.6M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.2134-9.54%4.6927+0.75%0.2722✗1.00140k2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.339869-9.15%0.2667-28.71%0.0598✓1.11105k2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4217.6747-8.99%16-17.61%0.0120✓0.682.2M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,180.15-8.82%8,661.73-22.42%0.0575✓1.336.8M2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.202986-8.65%0.2101-5.45%0.1748✗0.851.2M2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.7434-8.19%1.34-29.44%0.0584✓1.25142k2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2937.0537-8.03%34.05-15.49%0.1431✗1.3816.5M2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001802-7.83%0.001658-15.19%0.0812✓1.00950k2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.48.6678-7.79%6.63-29.47%0.0896✓1.08523k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3024-7.68%1.2302-12.80%0.0981✗0.941.0M2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum109.91101.63-7.53%107.74-1.97%0.1943✗0.833.6M2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.5652.3741-7.44%1.78-30.60%0.0775✓1.281.0M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum38.7935.9749-7.26%24.55-36.71%0.0600✓1.96408k2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.079899-7.07%0.06104-29.01%0.0776✓1.172.4M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1349-7.03%8.46-3.31%0.1049✗0.401.8M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.072362-6.99%0.0575-26.09%0.0357✓1.181.4M2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.043593-6.95%0.03294-29.69%0.1195✓0.9821k2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.4271-6.92%4.006+8.80%0.2970✗0.86124k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.23154-6.86%0.1847-25.70%0.0615✓1.00111k2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001443-6.68%0.001201-22.29%0.0523✓0.791.6M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000013781-6.63%0.00001157-21.61%0.0166✓0.96827k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.729451-6.60%0.605-22.54%0.0342✓0.93280k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.093123-6.60%0.1059+6.22%0.2608✗0.80215k2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5623.8984-6.50%18.06-29.34%0.0551✓1.3728.7M2022-09-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.127-6.41%–pending––1.1412k2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7414.7331-6.40%14.52-7.75%0.1647✗1.092.6M2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.7565-6.37%2.9941-25.37%0.0664✓0.9848k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.7354-6.32%1.92-34.25%0.1577✓1.19269k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.7259-6.24%4.665-23.61%0.0184✓1.3611.8M2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.024154-6.20%0.02055-20.19%0.0165✓0.8814.3M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.257-6.17%5.9681+71.93%0.6572✗0.311.8M2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003696-6.10%0.002807-28.68%0.1449✓0.791.0M2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1104-6.07%1.0589-10.42%0.2030✗1.525.6M2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.5802-6.07%5.5996+46.92%0.5231✗0.462.0M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1937.6977-6.05%5.824-28.91%0.1453✓0.819.9M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.078197-6.01%0.06472-22.21%0.1483✓0.251.0M2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.136586-6.00%0.1213-16.52%0.0191✓0.614.4M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007657-5.94%0.00771-5.28%0.1897✗1.11456k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.31018-5.93%0.38821+17.74%0.3702✗0.89402k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.1951-5.89%5.31-3.80%0.0832✗0.372.0M2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.6185-5.83%11.384+90.81%0.7665✗0.371.2M2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.115597-5.71%0.1057-13.78%0.0927✗1.113.8M2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.0833-5.67%16.596+41.24%0.5895✗1.1312.0M2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.7609-5.65%1.9192-34.41%0.1646✓1.2113k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8815.9289-5.63%12.83-23.99%0.0140✓1.231.6M2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.35.9456-5.63%5.78-8.25%0.0344✓0.381.6M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3727.9137-5.47%6.906-17.51%0.0326✓1.0314.4M2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.047556-5.45%0.042068-16.36%0.0248✓0.9043k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.6287-5.36%7.655-5.04%0.1815✗1.0820.0M2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.3181-5.33%2.596-25.93%0.0134✓1.575.2M2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.59610.564399-5.32%0.5573-6.51%0.1429✗0.952.0M2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.860932-5.29%0.928+2.09%0.1504✗0.464.4M2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.059672-5.28%0.0476-24.44%0.0580✓1.02253k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.5538.4151-5.26%32.23-20.52%0.0207✓1.1981.1M2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.636648-5.26%0.489-27.23%0.0669✓1.20130k2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.056762-5.24%0.0411-31.39%0.1529✓1.03877k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.916724-5.20%0.6518-32.60%0.1059✓1.43469k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.488247-5.19%0.434-15.73%0.0454✓0.999,8012022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0539-5.18%0.82039-26.19%0.0953✓0.9412k2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.933327-5.17%0.8516-13.47%0.1639✗1.55244k2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1443.93-5.17%3.867-6.68%0.0339✓0.301.5M2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.73328-5.14%0.616-20.31%0.0191✓0.94344k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1128.5859-5.06%24.08-20.03%0.0187✓0.939.1M2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.363985-5.03%0.30013-21.69%0.0490✓0.88435k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.610839-5.00%0.497-22.71%0.0153✓1.16105k2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3018-4.98%1.1346-17.18%0.0692✗1.261.1M2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.393586-4.98%0.3538-14.58%0.0419✓0.901922022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.3371-4.97%5.56-1.00%0.0541✗0.083.4M2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.041744-4.91%0.0352-19.82%0.0149✓0.9576k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.262097-4.90%0.2244-18.58%0.0127✓0.87550k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.624-4.84%1.8924+10.89%0.3507✗1.20598k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.022777-4.84%0.020411-14.72%0.0233✓0.8113k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.0252-4.81%6.185-16.19%0.0318✓0.975.4M2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.225.921-4.81%6.26+0.64%0.1154✗0.361.1M2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.02091-4.80%0.025951+18.15%0.2486✗0.20233k2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.7038-4.79%3.874-0.41%0.0762✗0.191.9M2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.328408-4.78%0.26134-24.23%0.0575✓1.0413k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.45670.434863-4.78%0.3492-23.54%0.0360✓1.11808k2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.257-4.77%2.13-10.13%0.0895✗0.90636k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.7063-4.73%4.31-12.75%0.0235✓0.391.1M2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.2517-4.73%2.987-12.48%0.0188✓0.63853k2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.4892-4.72%1.237-20.86%0.0249✓1.28529k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.513197-4.72%0.4748-11.85%0.0915✗1.0343.6M2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero168.3160.3873-4.70%149.19-11.35%0.0847✗0.951.2M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000090633-4.70%0.00030458+220.27%1.3777✗1.01336k2022-09-16
DASHDashDash52.8750.4301-4.61%43.69-17.36%0.0155✓0.97548k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.161869-4.61%0.1558-8.19%0.1376✗1.07616k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.7688-4.59%1.38-25.57%0.0640✓1.12170k2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.162-4.59%1.541-31.99%0.1867✓0.92680k2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9002-4.56%1.475-25.92%0.0891✓1.00181k2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09832.9572-4.55%3.6957+19.28%0.3056✗0.501.3M2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.151766-4.55%0.1221-23.21%0.0562✓0.982.1M2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.921889-4.48%0.7965-17.47%0.0471✗1.182.2M2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.115892-4.46%0.107109-11.70%0.0676✗0.897.8M2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.417607-4.46%0.3144-28.07%0.0557✓1.39209k2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.3659-4.45%1.715-30.74%0.0327✓1.76134k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.5386-4.44%1.28-20.50%0.0251✓0.97182k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.164-4.43%0.8768-28.01%0.0796✓1.241.1M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.1739-4.41%11.2265-24.28%0.0763✓0.9553k2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.325905-4.37%0.2979-12.59%0.0631✗0.938.3M2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.614-4.36%5.824-26.84%0.0540✓1.3010.3M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.116116-4.35%0.1034-14.83%0.0263✓0.87311k2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3155.8144-4.28%54.06-7.29%0.1714✗1.2420k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1076-4.27%1.7566-20.21%0.0092✓1.0536k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.626116-4.26%0.418-36.09%0.2081✓1.192,9182022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.625149-4.24%0.49675-23.91%0.0141✓1.3147k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.067824-4.20%0.0498-29.66%0.1188✓1.16331k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.00161-4.18%0.001455-13.39%0.0123✓0.699,5772022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3032-4.18%1.173-13.75%0.0596✗1.002.5M2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.927437-4.17%0.7411-23.42%0.0697✓0.94623k2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.33359-4.16%0.283015-18.69%0.0079✓1.05916k2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.208004-4.15%0.15442-28.84%0.1164✓1.10696k2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92257.465-4.10%52.013-13.20%0.0163✓0.71365k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.401795-4.06%0.346-17.38%0.0581✗1.26239k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.048836-4.06%0.043-15.52%0.0332✓0.98212k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.104686-4.05%0.0976-10.54%0.0927✗0.99456k2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,399.91-4.03%19,801.04-15.17%0.0412✗1.00482.6M2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.7752.5632-4.03%43.86-19.92%0.0141✓1.01595k2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010425-4.01%0.00835-23.11%0.1000✓0.745.8M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.282237-4.00%0.19-35.37%0.2196✓1.07160k2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash74.2271.2888-3.95%56.74-23.55%0.0468✓1.102.0M2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.9136-3.93%9.36-17.61%0.0337✓1.14313k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.2655-3.92%14.36-24.46%0.0563✓1.12130k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.8059-3.91%1.76-39.73%0.3807✓0.5296k2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,763.08-3.90%1,433.73-21.85%0.0116✓1.33534.1M2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.076223-3.88%0.0646-18.54%0.0354✓0.79130k2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.048773-3.86%0.04256-16.10%0.0179✓0.7216k2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.1372-3.85%2.56-21.54%0.0667✓0.83719k2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000041673-3.82%0.00004223-2.54%0.1566✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3465-3.82%1.44+2.86%0.0570✗-0.06124k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.188013-3.78%0.155-20.68%0.0425✗1.431,3972022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.24e-7-3.76%8.20e-7-14.58%0.0103✓0.795.3M2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004505-3.73%0.00373-20.30%0.0232✓1.01158k2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.30791-3.72%0.2626-17.89%0.0035✓0.993.6M2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,433.38-3.71%19,713.60-15.39%0.0308✓0.977,5932022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.08387-3.71%0.06705-23.02%0.0351✓1.1529k2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.443605-3.67%0.37431-18.72%0.0210✓0.9170k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.043529-3.65%0.03549-21.45%0.0723✓0.802,6002022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0521-3.65%0.9744-10.77%0.0256✓0.623.9M2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.172872-3.64%0.15812-11.86%0.2783✗2.236712022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.244331-3.62%0.2047-19.25%0.0105✓1.0183k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.4339-3.61%1.988-21.27%0.0082✓1.1864k2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8174-3.57%1.5208-19.31%0.0050✓1.11488k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.545245-3.55%0.4698-16.89%0.0141✓0.82755k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.133247-3.51%0.1457+5.50%0.2601✗1.0441k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.395752-3.44%0.32095-21.69%0.0463✓0.9995k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.281475-3.37%0.3024+3.81%0.2245✗0.9381k2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.190888-3.35%0.151-23.54%0.0613✓1.051,7922022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.171034-3.32%0.1384-21.76%0.0457✓1.01140k2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006529-3.28%0.006297-6.71%0.0375✗0.4555k2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.454733-3.27%0.4409-6.21%0.1573✗1.1464k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.897795-3.25%0.896-3.45%0.1994✗1.221.1M2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.051779-3.25%0.039113-26.92%0.1987✓0.5033k2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007683-3.24%0.00531-33.12%0.2640✓0.641.6M2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014697-3.21%0.012294-19.03%0.0800✓0.602.1M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.153749-3.14%0.13109-17.41%0.0440✗1.24250k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.40e-7-3.12%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0026✓0.7721k2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.077625-3.11%0.060443-24.55%0.0811✓1.031.9M2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.2569.9386-3.10%9.137-10.91%0.0754✗0.971.9M2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.407906-3.02%0.3247-22.80%0.0459✓1.11190k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.075248-2.97%0.0652-15.93%0.0156✓0.789142022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.117346-2.94%0.0959-20.68%0.0854✓0.714,2082022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.23398-2.91%0.1907-20.87%0.0226✓1.38117k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029033-2.90%0.02271-24.05%0.0320✓1.302,9912022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003780.003676-2.76%0.00319-15.61%0.0260✓1.02528k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.781873-2.75%0.586-27.11%0.0562✓1.414.6M2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.951449-2.74%0.810979-17.10%0.0370✓0.7577k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83130.1675-2.74%119.59-10.64%0.0966✗1.105.1M2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1497.4121-2.72%79.37-20.74%0.0469✗1.536.4M2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.254285-2.68%0.119-54.46%0.7573✓0.0165k2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.064423-2.68%0.0555-16.16%0.0207✓0.78116k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.294882-2.68%0.262-13.53%0.0000✓0.721.0M2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1803-2.61%1.003-17.24%0.0185✓0.8855k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017618-2.55%0.01206-33.30%0.2778✓0.62153k2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041667-2.42%0.0374-12.41%0.0458✗0.9411k2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.527306-2.37%0.4634-14.20%0.0552✗1.12388k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006374-2.23%0.005888-9.70%0.0357✗0.703,0362022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.1843-2.20%4.9422-6.77%0.0256✓0.14217k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5259.2421-2.11%55.93-7.58%0.1071✗1.0013.5M2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.84494.743-2.10%4.2657-11.95%0.0142✓0.73882k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024354-2.04%0.02106-15.29%0.0015✓0.89310k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.099843-1.92%0.0859-15.62%0.0131✓0.9912k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.06696-1.71%0.061288-10.04%0.0122✓0.61182k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.767386-1.62%0.7-10.26%0.0221✓0.42105k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum65.9192-1.35%4.36-27.33%0.1559✓0.911.5M2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.