8=======>

2022-08-16 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1546
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.5%
in alpha space · 84.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.081305+0.25%0.0793-2.22%0.0069✗0.82134k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.89324.9034+0.21%4.8449-0.99%0.0038✓0.72912k2022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2586+0.15%5.3011+0.96%0.0110✓0.14225k2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.429707+0.11%0.40986-4.51%0.0258✗0.9896k2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017549+0.11%0.01808+3.14%0.0472✓0.79153k2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.446854+0.10%0.4188-6.18%0.0374✗1.25255k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.123121+0.10%0.1209-1.71%0.0016✗0.764,2082022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.568242+0.10%0.5401-4.86%0.0265✗1.11388k2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008287+0.09%0.00794-4.11%0.0289✗0.641.6M2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006771+0.06%0.00652-3.66%0.0224✗0.713,2222022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.21142+0.06%0.1954-7.52%0.0476✗1.421,3972022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.068806+0.01%0.0662-3.78%0.0211✗0.80119k2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.052054+0.01%0.05073-2.54%0.0104✗0.7016k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069754-0.01%0.068126-2.35%0.0103✓0.61182k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.355208-0.02%0.34491-2.92%0.0065✓1.0514k2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.4537-0.02%1.321-9.15%0.0538✓1.923.7M2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000011.00e-6-0.04%9.70e-7-3.00%0.0133✓0.7621k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024593-0.04%0.023935-2.72%0.0094✓0.8113k2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3361.3019-0.05%60.52-1.32%0.0094✗1.0213.5M2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.253-0.05%1.2119-3.32%0.0143✓0.8756k2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044479-0.05%0.0427-4.04%0.0209✓0.9111k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero169.61169.5277-0.05%168.3-0.77%0.0138✗0.961.2M2022-08-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.02950.029484-0.05%0.0294-0.34%0.0112✗0.6436k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.315787-0.07%0.303-4.11%0.0250✓0.751.0M2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.817398-0.07%0.773-5.50%0.0356✓0.93357k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.143588-0.08%0.1381-3.90%0.0161✓1.0443k2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.691955-0.08%0.65284-5.73%0.0300✓1.2951k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,841.31-0.08%23,298.30-2.36%0.0018✓0.977,5932022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.3807-0.09%10.256-1.29%0.0093✗0.982.0M2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006931-0.09%0.00675-2.70%0.0164✓0.4655k2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.966002-0.10%0.909-6.00%0.0503✓0.484.4M2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054743-0.11%0.053519-2.34%0.0118✓0.4936k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.69e-7-0.11%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0079✗0.785.4M2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.264164-0.13%0.2535-4.16%0.0193✓1.0091k2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.267-0.13%2.2016-3.02%0.0062✓1.0538k2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4231-0.13%1.36-4.56%0.0234✓1.002.5M2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.270.269636-0.13%0.2756+2.07%0.0408✗0.86550k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.169319-0.14%0.15873-6.38%0.0373✓1.25250k2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.699044-0.14%0.672-4.00%0.0130✓1.21135k2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16861.0827-0.14%59.922-2.04%0.0040✓0.69365k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8772-0.14%8.75-1.57%0.0074✓0.321.8M2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34136.14-0.15%133.83-1.84%0.0070✗1.105.1M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0162.0129-0.15%1.899-5.80%0.0324✓1.18157k2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.296-0.16%2.9261-11.36%0.0918✓1.2413k2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana43.0943.0225-0.16%40.55-5.89%0.0334✓1.1881.1M2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260782-0.16%0.2613+0.04%0.0023✗0.0159k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4676-0.17%1.4-4.76%0.0475✓-0.01124k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.116-0.17%3.0983-0.73%0.0057✗0.521.3M2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79109.6046-0.17%100.14-8.79%0.0568✓1.536.4M2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.471111-0.17%0.46051-2.42%0.0060✓0.7670k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1541-0.17%1.1115-3.86%0.0172✓0.9312k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2688-0.17%1.218-4.17%0.0138✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.042526-0.17%0.0439+3.05%0.0530✗0.9776k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.455082-0.18%0.4206-7.74%0.0546✓1.10190k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.113596-0.18%0.1091-4.13%0.0186✓1.00456k2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.167298-0.18%0.159-5.13%0.0299✓0.962.3M2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.351963-0.18%0.3408-3.35%0.0120✓0.928.3M2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.9346-0.18%2.92-0.68%0.0065✗0.5296k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000044897-0.18%0.00004333-3.67%0.0164✓0.872.0M2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.9651-0.19%54.77-2.32%0.0007✓1.02645k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.9487-0.19%6+0.67%0.0314✗1.041.5M2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206601-0.19%0.1975-4.59%0.0218✓1.061,7402022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.121544-0.19%0.121305-0.39%0.0173✗0.887.8M2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.004010.004002-0.20%0.00378-5.74%0.0345✓1.03554k2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053794-0.20%0.0509-5.57%0.0337✓0.99220k2022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001758-0.20%0.00168-4.60%0.0289✓0.749,4152022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077915.0479-0.20%14.8272-1.66%0.0062✗0.9658k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1851-0.20%1.2042+1.41%0.0407✗1.1313k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,809.32-0.20%23,341.17-2.17%0.0020✓1.00482.6M2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.6125-0.21%3.413-5.72%0.0417✓0.69976k2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.069456-0.21%0.063-9.48%0.0750✓1.03253k2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1465-0.21%1.092-4.95%0.0350✓0.633.9M2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.503639-0.21%0.4701-6.86%0.0440✓1.1460k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.027831-0.21%0.02575-7.67%0.0569✓0.9514.3M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.051858-0.21%0.050295-3.22%0.0111✓0.8943k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0204-0.22%0.97823-4.34%0.0260✓0.7477k2022-08-17
DASHDashDash52.4652.3465-0.22%52.87+0.78%0.0312✗0.97595k2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.01274.004-0.22%4.012-0.02%0.0233✗0.9750k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.338458-0.22%0.3198-5.72%0.0356✓0.973.6M2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0276-0.22%0.96777-6.03%0.0393✓0.95623k2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.179399-0.22%0.1697-5.62%0.0321✓1.07616k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1262-0.22%6.22+1.30%0.0241✗0.411.1M2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6313-0.23%1.7066+4.38%0.0729✗1.27598k2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004749-0.23%0.00468-1.68%0.0076✗1.02158k2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.091-0.23%0.0871-4.51%0.0187✓1.1529k2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.031287-0.23%0.0299-4.66%0.0170✓1.293,2032022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.47620.475085-0.23%0.4567-4.09%0.0154✓1.10808k2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.1802-0.23%4.144-1.10%0.0009✓0.361.6M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase20.1220.0722-0.24%19.01-5.52%0.0296✓1.13121k2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.078207-0.25%0.0778-0.77%0.0203✗1.171.4M2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.5926-0.25%30.11-1.83%0.0043✗0.929.2M2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,871.73-0.26%1,834.61-2.24%0.0088✗1.32534.1M2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0960.9313-0.26%58.31-4.55%0.0171✓1.2323k2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.810.807877-0.26%0.78-3.70%0.0264✓0.40105k2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.708139-0.26%0.654-7.89%0.0535✓1.192,7912022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.106618-0.26%0.1018-4.77%0.0240✓1.0110k2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.073203-0.27%0.0708-3.54%0.0080✓1.16331k2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.58811-0.27%0.5653-4.14%0.0216✓0.82784k2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6705-0.27%1.563-6.69%0.0381✓1.30520k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.025321-0.27%0.02486-2.09%0.0004✓0.86271k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.126155-0.27%0.1214-4.03%0.0195✓0.86317k2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.254897-0.28%0.241-5.71%0.0268✓1.34131k2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3220.2639-0.28%19.42-4.43%0.0277✓0.682.2M2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.407451-0.28%0.38327-6.19%0.0413✓0.91446k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.4296-0.28%8.061-4.64%0.0211✓1.0820.0M2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.187776-0.28%0.1794-4.73%0.0033✗2.236712022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.129735-0.28%0.1226-5.76%0.0328✓1.083.9M2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.956294-0.28%0.928-3.23%0.0034✓1.221.3M2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.6701-0.28%0.643-4.32%0.0157✓1.17115k2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.361007-0.29%0.348082-3.86%0.0137✓1.04962k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011507-0.29%0.01086-5.89%0.0415✓0.755.8M2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.3243-0.29%3.263-2.13%0.0003✓0.84696k2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.6693-0.29%3.505-4.76%0.0117✓1.565.3M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.61150.60972-0.29%0.5961-2.52%0.0021✓0.942.1M2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015919-0.29%0.015184-4.90%0.0338✓0.622.1M2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.3624-0.29%11.75+3.11%0.0585✗1.1413.2M2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.3214-0.30%7.961-4.61%0.0161✓1.2910.1M2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum38.938.7851-0.30%38.79-0.28%0.0435✗1.98408k2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7448-0.30%1.61-8.00%0.0584✓1.00190k2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.019-0.30%0.9651-5.58%0.0284✓1.192.3M2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.9182-0.30%1.854-3.64%0.0094✓1.12170k2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000096805-0.30%0.0000951-2.06%0.0031✗0.95336k2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.9347-0.31%4.94-0.20%0.0106✗0.431.2M2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8828-0.31%1.8847-0.21%0.0253✗1.11488k2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.352315-0.31%0.32972-6.71%0.0471✓0.88402k2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.243236-0.31%0.217-11.07%0.0891✓1.14696k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.08551-0.32%0.0832-3.01%0.0223✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.4055-0.32%1.37-2.84%0.0019✓1.261.2M2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.7433-0.32%2.525-8.25%0.0576✓1.1564k2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.046661-0.32%0.04518-3.48%0.0149✓0.792,5822022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.154098-0.32%0.1453-6.02%0.0453✓0.624.4M2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.837264-0.33%0.781-7.02%0.0492✓0.93280k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.555271-0.33%0.5386-3.32%0.0081✓1.0243.6M2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015758-0.33%0.00001476-6.64%0.0448✓0.94827k2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.082307-0.33%0.07755-6.09%0.0427✓0.778802022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.2688-0.34%6.3+0.16%0.0132✗0.371.4M2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4214-0.34%5.52+1.47%0.0260✗0.372.0M2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008511-0.34%0.00814-4.68%0.0208✓1.08463k2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.867008-0.34%0.804-7.59%0.0444✓1.424.6M2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.063979-0.34%0.0599-6.70%0.0432✓1.04877k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.7458-0.35%7.38-5.06%0.0270✓0.985.4M2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.1749-0.36%6.107-1.45%0.0181✗1.3312.6M2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0384.0234-0.36%3.89-3.67%0.0284✓0.242.1M2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2807-0.36%1.1821-8.03%0.0491✓1.416.4M2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.501-0.37%3.4712-1.22%0.0014✓0.331.7M2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash75.9575.6629-0.38%74.22-2.28%0.0048✗1.102.1M2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.351-0.38%2.37+0.42%0.0281✗0.92520k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6408-0.38%2.476-6.60%0.0266✓1.73144k2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum116.11115.6568-0.39%109.91-5.34%0.0330✓0.823.6M2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.004085-0.39%0.003936-4.02%0.0199✓0.781.0M2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.2989-0.40%0.2913-2.93%0.0057✓0.9281k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3987-0.43%2.266-5.94%0.0364✓0.94680k2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1126.9935-0.43%25.56-5.72%0.0252✓1.3430.5M2022-08-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.262467-0.43%0.2486-5.69%0.0324✓1.00111k2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0674-0.43%0.967-9.79%0.0677✓1.42469k2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.8717-0.44%16.88-5.96%0.0309✓1.201.7M2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.962775-0.44%0.9842+1.78%0.0561✗1.56244k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3612.3056-0.44%11.36-8.09%0.0555✓1.12313k2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.002011-0.45%0.001955-3.22%0.0063✓1.00901k2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.542531-0.45%0.515-5.50%0.0306✓0.9811k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.7983-0.46%8.372-5.28%0.0273✓1.0214.8M2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.101923-0.47%0.0997-2.64%0.0038✓0.83220k2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.47264-0.48%0.4371-7.96%0.0486✓1.35211k2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.9893-0.48%5.616-6.68%0.0621✓0.103.4M2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.300435-0.49%0.294-2.62%0.0019✓1.07178k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.185196-0.49%0.1769-4.94%0.0238✓1.01140k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.051-0.49%1.991-3.40%0.0080✓0.99181k2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.9265-0.49%15.74+4.93%0.0784✗1.162.6M2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.8566-0.50%3.682-5.01%0.0278✓0.85124k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4628-0.53%1.4107-4.07%0.0152✓0.961.0M2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.1352-0.54%9.4-7.75%0.0515✓1.09592k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.39634-0.54%0.3741-6.12%0.0338✓1.10101k2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.086567-0.54%0.080115-7.96%0.0553✓1.011.8M2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.7032-0.56%3.8114+2.35%0.0394✗0.481.9M2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.2418-0.56%2.92-10.43%0.0778✓1.22269k2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.8558-0.56%5.966+1.31%0.0246✗0.271.2M2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.373-0.63%8.193-2.77%0.0037✓0.839.5M2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.208341-0.65%0.2222+5.96%0.0831✗0.861.2M2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative2.6852.6675-0.65%2.565-4.47%0.0112✓1.28873k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.089331-0.70%0.08598-4.42%0.0133✓1.142.4M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001575-0.70%0.001546-2.57%0.0013✓0.811.6M2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.025457-0.70%0.021964-14.33%0.1435✓0.19232k2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,931.97-0.71%11,164.62+1.40%0.0500✗1.326.5M2022-08-17
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.448186-0.71%0.4142-8.24%0.0598✓0.871922022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8839.4855-0.99%40.29+1.03%0.0502✗1.3716.5M2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6140.204-1.00%40.09-1.28%0.0210✗1.091.8M2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.050508-1.22%0.04685-8.37%0.0540✓0.9721k2022-08-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09875.0358-1.23%4.6577-8.65%0.0561✓1.00111k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.20e-7-3.19%6.87e-7-7.61%0.0325✓0.65164k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.