8=======>

2022-08-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0083
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.1%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.3012+0.96%4.8786-7.09%0.0571✗0.14225k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017593+0.36%0.01216-30.63%0.2173✗0.79153k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.081147+0.06%0.0665-18.00%0.0414✗0.82134k2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,860.54-0.00%19,833.10-16.88%0.0007✗0.977,5932022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.211231-0.03%0.1557-26.31%0.0328✓1.421,3972022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.427676-0.36%0.31479-26.66%0.1184✓0.9896k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006741-0.38%0.005941-12.21%0.0089✗0.713,2222022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024496-0.44%0.020113-18.25%0.0427✓0.8113k2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051749-0.58%0.04198-19.35%0.0746✓0.7016k2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8633-0.61%4.1854-14.46%0.0119✓0.72912k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008205-0.91%0.00541-34.66%0.2949✓0.641.6M2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.442062-0.97%0.3559-20.27%0.0231✗1.25255k2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.121718-1.04%0.0978-20.49%0.0739✓0.764,2082022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069033-1.05%0.061091-12.43%0.0055✓0.61182k2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006861-1.09%0.006336-8.66%0.0075✓0.4655k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054099-1.28%0.039421-28.07%0.2226✓0.4936k2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2368-1.34%0.977095-22.05%0.0699✓0.8756k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.043818-1.53%0.0367-17.53%0.0028✓0.9111k2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.796817-1.63%0.7-13.58%0.0531✓0.40105k2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.349335-1.67%0.25784-27.42%0.1036✓1.0514k2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256718-1.72%0.1245-52.34%0.7212✓0.0159k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.06755-1.82%0.0557-19.04%0.0403✓0.80119k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.14099-1.89%0.1738+20.95%0.4090✗1.0443k2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.948637-1.90%0.92-4.86%0.0615✗0.484.4M2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3360.1641-1.90%56.34-8.14%0.1290✗1.0213.5M2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.555815-2.09%0.4691-17.37%0.0428✗1.11388k2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.309253-2.14%0.259-18.04%0.0347✓0.751.0M2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.165857-2.18%0.12968-23.52%0.0074✓1.25250k2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.676916-2.25%0.48387-30.13%0.0895✓1.2951k2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.00465-2.31%0.00375-21.22%0.0206✓1.02158k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.104356-2.38%0.0912-14.69%0.0592✗1.0110k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.0436-2.49%3.7372+19.74%0.3052✗0.521.3M2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero169.61165.3669-2.50%145.86-14.00%0.0585✗0.961.2M2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.050597-2.64%0.040879-21.34%0.0425✓0.8943k2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.20143-2.69%0.1448-30.05%0.1272✓1.061,7402022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.181076-2.70%0.1336-28.21%0.1113✓1.01140k2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.1073-2.72%9.109-12.33%0.0828✗0.982.0M2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16859.4966-2.73%51.746-15.40%0.0068✓0.69365k2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.076256-2.73%0.0585-25.38%0.0421✓1.171.4M2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.680587-2.77%0.485-30.71%0.1078✓1.21135k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.458412-2.86%0.36772-22.08%0.0744✓0.7670k2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34132.4333-2.87%117.54-13.79%0.0910✗1.105.1M2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.442238-3.00%0.3228-29.19%0.1035✓1.10190k2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.256523-3.02%0.2063-22.00%0.0264✓1.0091k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase1.02260.991719-3.02%0.788148-22.93%0.0882✓0.7477k2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.290965-3.04%0.3312+10.36%0.3052✗0.9281k2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1209-3.04%0.80867-30.05%0.1482✓0.9312k2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.004010.003886-3.09%0.00326-18.70%0.0216✓1.03554k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000043581-3.11%0.00004321-3.94%0.1583✗0.872.0M2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.792417-3.13%0.591-27.75%0.1160✓0.93357k2022-09-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1496-3.20%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.8425-3.32%1.79-39.12%0.3624✓0.5296k2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4208-3.35%1.41-4.08%0.0105✓-0.01124k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3773-3.35%1.126-20.98%0.0100✓1.002.5M2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.1903-3.36%1.9299-41.54%0.2649✓1.2413k2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.041158-3.39%0.0355-16.67%0.0375✗0.9776k2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.586-3.42%8.14-8.44%0.0081✓0.321.8M2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.37e-7-3.44%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0286✓0.785.4M2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9458-3.48%1.313-34.87%0.1678✓1.18157k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.7519-3.49%4.47-25.00%0.0526✓1.041.5M2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.052017-3.49%0.0441-18.18%0.0235✓0.99220k2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.024495-3.52%0.02027-20.17%0.0256✓0.86271k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.235376-3.53%0.15592-36.10%0.1932✓1.14696k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.923-3.53%6.06-1.30%0.1006✗0.411.1M2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana43.0941.5498-3.57%33.07-23.25%0.0029✓1.1881.1M2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.1889-3.58%1.7321-23.70%0.0326✓1.0538k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.173348-3.59%0.1496-16.80%0.0576✗1.07616k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.486385-3.63%0.3922-22.29%0.0021✓1.1460k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.8649-3.68%2.9863-25.58%0.0718✓0.9750k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011113-3.70%0.00833-27.82%0.1449✓0.755.8M2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.63e-7-3.71%8.30e-7-17.00%0.0024✓0.7621k2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.0336-3.73%3.752-10.45%0.0044✓0.361.6M2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.181149-3.80%0.15985-15.11%0.3022✗2.236712022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.0753.9401-3.80%44.46-20.71%0.0012✓1.02645k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.2072-3.80%2.546-23.64%0.0709✓0.84696k2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.117133-3.82%0.102273-16.02%0.0326✓0.887.8M2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.270.259683-3.82%0.2141-20.70%0.0276✓0.86550k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79105.5261-3.88%78.51-28.49%0.0027✓1.536.4M2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.4899-3.90%11.3056-25.02%0.0651✓0.9658k2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.325972-3.90%0.2622-22.70%0.0329✓0.973.6M2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.4778-3.93%2.988-17.46%0.0201✓0.69976k2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.066855-3.94%0.0471-32.33%0.1530✓1.03253k2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02210.981441-3.98%0.7977-21.95%0.0200✓1.192.3M2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.044944-3.99%0.03582-23.48%0.0751✓0.792,5822022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.6406-4.05%1.962-28.71%0.0761✓1.1564k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.338093-4.11%0.295-16.34%0.0404✓0.928.3M2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.079171-4.13%0.06518-21.07%0.0475✓0.778802022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.070337-4.17%0.0505-31.20%0.1096✓1.16331k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.679983-4.23%0.421-40.70%0.2522✓1.192,7912022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.47620.455985-4.24%0.3436-27.85%0.0724✓1.10808k2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.108907-4.30%0.0903-20.65%0.0033✓1.00456k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030008-4.31%0.02264-27.81%0.0341✓1.293,2032022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.121041-4.32%0.1042-17.63%0.0155✓0.86317k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.083272-4.33%0.058603-32.67%0.1579✓1.011.8M2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.2457-4.35%14.5-27.93%0.0666✓1.13121k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001684-4.36%0.001455-17.38%0.0044✓0.749,4152022-09-15
DASHDashDash52.4650.1667-4.37%43.87-16.37%0.0514✗0.97595k2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.160267-4.38%0.1202-28.28%0.1044✓0.962.3M2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.0984-4.40%0.9834-14.41%0.0091✓0.633.9M2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0958.3797-4.44%56.91-6.84%0.2093✗1.2323k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6006-4.44%1.206-28.00%0.0353✓1.30520k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6721-4.45%1.27-27.43%0.0833✓1.00190k2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.430937-4.53%0.3538-21.62%0.0307✓0.871922022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.2787-4.54%24.08-21.49%0.0187✓0.929.2M2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.24374-4.64%0.1903-25.55%0.0083✓1.34131k2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.147374-4.67%0.1206-21.99%0.0828✓0.624.4M2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.1848-4.69%5.19-4.60%0.0710✗0.372.0M2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015213-4.71%0.012048-24.54%0.1150✓0.622.1M2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.833-4.73%1.388-27.86%0.0632✓1.12170k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.7141-4.76%4.21-14.95%0.0302✓0.431.2M2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.5569-4.78%2.0023+22.46%0.4945✗1.27598k2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02990.980643-4.78%0.71924-30.16%0.1291✓0.95623k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.086824-4.81%0.06499-28.75%0.0706✓1.1529k2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.912493-4.85%0.883-7.92%0.2001✗1.221.3M2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.081599-4.87%0.06724-21.61%0.1490✓0.231.1M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3467.9381-4.89%5.884-29.50%0.0531✓1.2910.1M2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.344323-4.89%0.28088-22.42%0.0046✓1.04962k2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.336023-4.92%0.40594+14.86%0.3565✗0.88402k2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9322,683.15-4.92%19,703.67-17.41%0.0505✓1.00482.6M2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.5196-4.96%1.72-35.12%0.0509✓1.73144k2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3219.3027-5.01%16.28-19.88%0.0409✓0.682.2M2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.123564-5.02%0.1085-16.60%0.0773✗1.083.9M2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2064-5.08%0.8579-32.50%0.1045✓1.241.1M2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.637592-5.12%0.489-27.23%0.0422✓1.17115k2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.61150.580067-5.14%0.5477-10.43%0.1220✗0.942.1M2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.558945-5.22%0.4585-22.25%0.0415✓0.82784k2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39610.7976-5.25%14.912+30.85%0.5408✗1.1413.2M2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.7894-5.26%1.5204-19.50%0.0491✓1.11488k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.0069-5.28%7.563-10.53%0.1489✗1.0820.0M2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000091958-5.30%0.00025952+167.27%1.2195✗0.95336k2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.6971-5.36%9.29-24.84%0.0165✓1.12313k2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060757-5.36%0.0408-36.45%0.2002✓1.04877k2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.4821-5.38%2.583-29.81%0.0003✓1.565.3M2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.9488-5.42%5.59-11.13%0.0095✓0.371.4M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.793885-5.49%0.603-28.21%0.0975✓0.93280k2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash75.9571.7627-5.51%58.33-23.20%0.0030✓1.102.1M2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1975.8534-5.54%4.909-20.78%0.0786✗1.3312.6M2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.026338-5.56%0.01964-29.58%0.1116✓0.9514.3M2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.024195-5.63%0.025135-1.96%0.0739✗0.19232k2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.820757-5.66%0.593-31.84%0.0535✓1.424.6M2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000014912-5.68%0.00001167-26.19%0.0650✓0.94827k2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3275-5.85%1.1128-21.08%0.0642✗1.261.2M2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.1221-5.85%14.21-5.27%0.2275✗1.162.6M2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.284223-5.86%0.2059-31.80%0.1168✓1.07178k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.38463-5.86%0.3001-26.55%0.0743✓0.91446k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.2667-5.91%1.578-34.50%0.1829✓0.94680k2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0086-5.91%0.6666-37.82%0.1428✓1.42469k2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008033-5.94%0.00782-8.43%0.1806✗1.08463k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.909405-5.96%0.8518-11.91%0.2323✗1.56244k2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.2192-5.97%2.24-5.08%0.1848✗0.92520k2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.3091-5.99%6.934-21.55%0.0144✓1.0214.8M2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.512152-6.03%0.453-16.88%0.0648✗0.9811k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,763.12-6.05%1,472.68-21.52%0.0722✗1.32534.1M2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.7939-6.05%3.815-5.52%0.0521✓0.242.1M2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum38.936.4533-6.29%25.7-33.93%0.0294✓1.98408k2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.521686-6.36%0.466-16.35%0.0830✗1.0243.6M2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003834-6.50%0.002756-32.80%0.1801✓0.781.0M2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2004-6.61%1.0528-18.09%0.1394✗1.416.4M2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum116.11108.4161-6.63%103.96-10.46%0.1149✗0.823.6M2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.2563-6.65%6.13-21.14%0.0185✓0.985.4M2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.2769-6.75%6.1741+75.70%0.6962✗0.331.7M2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.3708-6.79%1.2148-17.39%0.0627✓0.961.0M2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1125.2551-6.84%18.2-32.87%0.0712✓1.3430.5M2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0611.9162-7.02%1.509-26.78%0.0497✓0.99181k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9516.6849-7.05%12.71-29.19%0.0430✓1.201.7M2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.6007-7.10%4.046+4.39%0.2787✗0.85124k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.095097-7.13%0.1102+7.62%0.3066✗0.83220k2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.017-7.45%1.94-40.49%0.2079✓1.22269k2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.243848-7.49%0.1907-27.66%0.0545✓1.00111k2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.558-7.64%5.586-7.18%0.0244✓0.103.4M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4267.7763-7.71%5.726-32.04%0.1482✓0.839.5M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.4305-7.79%11.656+97.93%0.8162✗0.271.2M2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.3674-7.80%0.2861-28.21%0.0405✓1.10101k2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.3868-7.88%6.64-34.84%0.1380✓1.09592k2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.193126-7.90%0.1909-8.97%0.1521✗0.861.2M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001858-8.04%0.0022+8.91%0.3605✗1.00901k2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,095.04-8.31%8,520.47-22.61%0.0835✓1.326.5M2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.4132-8.34%5.7604+54.69%0.6161✗0.481.9M2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.432198-8.99%0.3195-32.72%0.0435✓1.35211k2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.3228-9.02%1.131-22.21%0.2098✗1.923.7M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative2.6852.441-9.09%1.753-34.71%0.0868✓1.28873k2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001438-9.37%0.00116-26.91%0.0609✓0.811.6M2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.081213-9.72%0.05919-34.20%0.0983✓1.142.4M2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.045983-10.07%0.03257-36.30%0.1599✓0.9721k2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.5378-11.00%4.4233-13.25%0.1658✗1.00111k2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8835.0503-12.11%35.67-10.56%0.2803✗1.3716.5M2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6135.2789-13.13%15.76-61.19%0.5980✓1.091.8M2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.46e-7-13.14%5.79e-7-22.16%0.0141✓0.65164k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.