8=======>

2022-08-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0276
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.5%
in alpha space · 64.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08350.083731+0.28%0.0811-2.87%0.0228✗0.91134k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.98224.9928+0.21%4.8932-1.79%0.0129✗0.72912k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017420.017446+0.15%0.01753+0.63%0.0120✓0.72153k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008210.008222+0.14%0.00828+0.85%0.0135✓0.641.6M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45030.450911+0.14%0.4464-0.87%0.0029✓1.29255k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38465.3918+0.13%5.2507-2.49%0.0252✗0.13233k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21140.21163+0.11%0.2113-0.05%0.0127✓1.421,3972022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.442860.443341+0.11%0.42922-3.08%0.0223✗1.0196k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067630.00677+0.11%0.006767+0.07%0.0067✓0.713,2222022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58040.580922+0.09%0.5677-2.19%0.0118✗1.12376k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0689650.069004+0.06%0.069764+1.16%0.0170✓0.60182k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.12907+0.05%0.123-4.65%0.0404✗0.783,9702022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06920.06923+0.04%0.0688-0.58%0.0021✓0.84119k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero163.5163.5685+0.04%169.61+3.74%0.0462✓0.991.2M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0450.045017+0.04%0.0445-1.11%0.0019✗0.9611k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000010.000001+0.01%0.000001+0.00%0.0076✓0.7721k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.361340.361356+0.00%0.35527-1.68%0.0061✗1.0913k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067210.006721-0.00%0.006937+3.21%0.0361✗0.4555k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.6960.6878-0.00%61.33+1.05%0.0209✗1.0413.7M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3240.323952-0.01%0.316-2.47%0.0171✓0.781.1M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053790.053781-0.02%0.05205-3.23%0.0254✓0.7316k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.27551.2752-0.03%1.2535-1.72%0.0081✓0.9056k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8190.818713-0.04%0.818-0.12%0.0084✗0.93370k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0251930.025184-0.04%0.024604-2.34%0.0149✓0.8413k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9470.946652-0.04%0.967+2.11%0.0264✗0.514.4M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2260.22586-0.06%0.244+7.96%0.0892✗1.19657k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10070.100633-0.07%0.1069+6.16%0.0708✗1.049,7202022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.52610.5186-0.07%10.39-1.29%0.0026✓0.972.0M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.720.719489-0.07%0.7-2.78%0.0147✓1.28135k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,840.3023,823.11-0.07%23,861.50+0.09%0.0113✗0.977,5932022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0766960.076636-0.08%0.087041+13.49%0.1376✗1.031.8M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031120.03109-0.10%0.03136+0.77%0.0216✗1.303,2032022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4686-0.10%1.47+0.00%0.0010✗0.00124k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.89e-7-0.10%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0117✓0.785.4M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.41861.3567-0.10%61.168-0.41%0.0042✗0.73365k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.147252-0.10%0.1437-2.51%0.0135✓1.0946k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0558660.055808-0.10%0.054802-1.90%0.0132✓0.5036k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7707-0.11%8.89+1.25%0.0144✗0.091.7M2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.34137.1889-0.11%136.34-0.73%0.0050✗1.125.1M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.01711.0159-0.12%1.0226+0.54%0.0143✗0.7677k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0670.066917-0.12%0.0696+3.88%0.0500✗1.07237k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.962.9563-0.13%2.94-0.68%0.0003✓0.52100k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27260.272234-0.13%0.2645-2.97%0.0189✓1.0091k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260948-0.13%0.2612-0.04%0.0011✓0.0155k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.474740.474098-0.14%0.47192-0.59%0.0001✓0.4770k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30163.2971-0.14%3.3012-0.01%0.0143✗1.3113k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04250.04244-0.14%0.0426+0.24%0.0138✗1.0076k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11480.114635-0.14%0.1138-0.87%0.0030✗1.03478k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana43.7243.6557-0.15%43.09-1.44%0.0010✓1.2181.1M2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.715260.714207-0.15%0.69252-3.18%0.0177✓1.3151k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09663.092-0.15%3.1212+0.79%0.0143✗0.491.3M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010730.010714-0.15%0.01154+7.55%0.0827✗0.845.6M2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33382.3303-0.15%2.2701-2.73%0.0155✓1.0738k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.167744-0.15%0.1676-0.24%0.0091✗0.992.4M2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27520.274775-0.15%0.27-1.89%0.0083✓0.92551k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum107.14106.9728-0.16%109.79+2.47%0.0415✗1.556.7M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35780.357238-0.16%0.3526-1.45%0.0035✓0.968.3M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47150.470757-0.16%0.4559-3.31%0.0208✓1.12190k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17560.175317-0.16%0.16955-3.45%0.0207✓1.27246k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.1841.1821-0.17%1.1561-2.36%0.0126✓0.9712k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.471.4675-0.17%1.425-3.06%0.0194✓1.002.6M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1235280.123318-0.17%0.12178-1.42%0.0035✓0.907.5M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07070.070579-0.17%0.0734+3.82%0.0515✗1.23339k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17990.179591-0.17%0.1798-0.06%0.0121✗1.09616k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14191.1399-0.17%1.1489+0.61%0.0145✗0.673.9M2022-08-16
DASHDashDash53.1753.0777-0.17%52.46-1.34%0.0019✓0.98574k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.22050.220114-0.17%0.207-6.12%0.0505✓1.091,7402022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.0748-0.18%20.12+0.05%0.0140✗1.17121k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054304-0.18%0.0539-0.92%0.0024✗0.99228k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,097.8224,055.03-0.18%23,857.93-1.00%0.0018✓1.00482.6M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52360.522667-0.18%0.5047-3.61%0.0236✓1.1360k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000046010.000045928-0.18%0.00004498-2.24%0.0119✓0.902.0M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.28530.284777-0.18%0.3001+5.19%0.0616✗0.9275k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration57.7157.6032-0.19%56.07-2.84%0.0167✓1.02590k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0424.0343-0.19%4.0127-0.72%0.0046✗0.9953k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3085-0.19%1.271-3.05%0.0167✓1.231.2M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.48590.484978-0.19%0.4762-2.00%0.0070✓1.13808k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05341.0514-0.19%1.0299-2.23%0.0107✓0.99623k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0530670.052966-0.19%0.051969-2.07%0.0097✓0.9343k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.693.6829-0.19%3.62-1.90%0.0102✓0.701.1M2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08860.088429-0.19%0.09121+2.95%0.0423✗1.1329k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.126.1081-0.19%6.14+0.33%0.0083✗0.311.0M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34480.344109-0.20%0.3392-1.62%0.0043✓1.013.6M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3053.2983-0.20%3.334+0.88%0.0193✗0.85658k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1314.1226-0.20%4.19+1.43%0.0192✗0.301.7M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.855915.8226-0.21%15.0779-4.91%0.0384✓0.9858k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004869-0.22%0.00476-2.46%0.0122✓1.05158k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.21271.2101-0.22%1.1875-2.08%0.0077✓1.1113k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078624-0.22%0.0784-0.51%0.0086✗1.151.4M2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028830.028766-0.22%0.02789-3.26%0.0210✓0.9914.3M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204130.020367-0.23%0.025638+25.60%0.2316✗0.14230k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1192.1142-0.23%2.016-4.86%0.0362✓1.14157k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12610.125813-0.23%0.1265+0.32%0.0146✗0.91328k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.8530.7798-0.23%30.67-0.58%0.0058✗0.949.2M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.595127-0.23%0.5897-1.14%0.0015✓0.76784k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.03931.0369-0.23%1.0221-1.65%0.0022✓1.222.3M2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67721.6733-0.23%1.635-2.52%0.0109✓1.23540k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7159-0.24%1.75+1.74%0.0300✗1.03190k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.411140.410164-0.24%0.40858-0.62%0.0057✗0.96457k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188750.188301-0.24%0.1883-0.24%0.0224✗2.236672022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25730.256674-0.24%0.2556-0.66%0.0091✗1.33131k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8931.8884-0.25%1.924+1.64%0.0301✗1.14194k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0361.8764-0.25%61.09-1.52%0.0001✓1.2727k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7111.7067-0.25%1.675-2.10%0.0056✓1.32485k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.82791.8232-0.26%1.8887+3.33%0.0466✗1.13488k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,899.391,894.47-0.26%1,876.57-1.20%0.0038✗1.32528.6M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.55010.548671-0.26%0.5571+1.27%0.0258✗1.0643.6M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.357640.356699-0.26%0.35342-1.18%0.0004✓0.88432k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0160060.015964-0.26%0.015966-0.25%0.0065✗0.642.1M2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13420.133842-0.27%0.1301-3.06%0.0172✓1.113.9M2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.990.987353-0.27%0.959-3.13%0.0170✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.36.2831-0.27%5.96-5.40%0.0422✓1.061.4M2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3715380.370541-0.27%0.362039-2.56%0.0125✓1.07962k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42463.4153-0.27%3.514+2.61%0.0315✗0.301.6M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6810.679142-0.27%0.672-1.32%0.0014✓1.20115k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6498.6254-0.27%8.453-2.27%0.0091✓1.1120.0M2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017890.001784-0.27%0.001761-1.57%0.0055✓0.759,2532022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084170.083937-0.28%0.08578+1.91%0.0241✗0.241.1M2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.004030.004019-0.28%0.00401-0.50%0.0084✗1.06528k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.732.7224-0.28%2.752+0.81%0.0223✗1.1564k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156458-0.28%0.1546-1.47%0.0053✓0.674.4M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4758.451-0.28%8.346-1.52%0.0006✓1.3110.0M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4359-0.29%1.41-2.08%0.0053✓1.281.2M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.820.817616-0.29%0.81-1.22%0.0053✓0.40105k2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.9554-0.29%4.95-0.40%0.0028✓0.391.2M2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096910.000096624-0.29%0.0000971+0.20%0.0152✗1.03336k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7180.715873-0.30%0.71-1.11%0.0041✗1.242,7912022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.62510.623247-0.30%0.6115-2.18%0.0093✓0.982.1M2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.40811.3741-0.30%11.396-0.11%0.0136✗1.1713.2M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5820.5188-0.30%20.32-1.26%0.0028✓0.692.2M2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047630.047486-0.30%0.04681-1.72%0.0062✓0.812,5642022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00850.008474-0.31%0.00854+0.47%0.0189✗1.12463k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015250.000015203-0.31%0.00001581+3.67%0.0488✗0.96744k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.51738-0.31%0.545+5.01%0.0621✗1.0112k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9913.9784-0.32%4.038+1.18%0.0170✗0.222.1M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2156.1954-0.32%6.197-0.29%0.0137✗1.3412.8M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash73.8473.6043-0.32%75.95+2.86%0.0427✗1.142.1M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.867182-0.32%0.87+0.00%0.0178✗1.454.4M2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.854207-0.33%0.84-1.98%0.0072✓0.96280k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.422-0.33%5.44+0.00%0.0058✗0.251.6M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3588-0.33%6.29-1.41%0.0077✓0.321.4M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7947.7678-0.34%7.773-0.27%0.0108✗1.025.5M2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06590.065675-0.34%0.0642-2.58%0.0120✓1.08877k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum113.47113.0825-0.34%116.11+2.33%0.0351✗0.873.6M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026860.026765-0.36%0.02539-5.47%0.0441✓0.86244k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum40.940.7525-0.36%38.9-4.89%0.0268✓1.97408k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9411.8961-0.37%12.36+3.52%0.0496✗1.14305k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.084130.083814-0.38%0.08258-1.84%0.0072✓0.778802022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6943.6799-0.38%3.68-0.38%0.0159✗1.595.3M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0042380.004222-0.39%0.004101-3.23%0.0209✓0.811.0M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7252.7144-0.39%2.651-2.72%0.0061✓1.75144k2022-08-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26780.266732-0.40%0.2636-1.57%0.0018✓1.00110k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.29750.296309-0.40%0.3019+1.48%0.0295✗1.08178k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4501-0.40%2.36-4.07%0.0282✓0.93520k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.7878.7513-0.41%8.839+0.59%0.0206✗1.0614.4M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1818.1044-0.42%17.95-1.27%0.0033✓1.181.7M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33411.3283-0.43%1.2853-3.66%0.0186✓1.436.4M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00120.996869-0.43%0.967-3.42%0.0146✓1.58276k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.012.001-0.45%2.061+2.54%0.0395✗1.00181k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8963.8785-0.45%3.876-0.51%0.0080✗0.86124k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.7725-0.46%27.11-2.83%0.0104✓1.3730.5M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0481-0.46%1.072+1.80%0.0369✗1.44433k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0235.9945-0.47%6.018-0.08%0.0048✗0.083.4M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.4552.4433-0.48%2.409-1.87%0.0045✓0.97641k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021050.002095-0.49%0.00202-4.04%0.0263✓1.00950k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4565.4289-0.50%5.889+7.94%0.0825✗0.121.1M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0419-0.52%15-0.79%0.0093✗1.212.6M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.929.8688-0.52%10.19+2.72%0.0431✗1.11638k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5607-0.53%1.454-7.33%0.0517✓1.913.7M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62393.6045-0.54%3.7239+2.76%0.0368✗0.431.9M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.49920.496388-0.56%0.4749-4.87%0.0309✓1.34211k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.398639-0.56%0.3985-0.60%0.0107✗1.1095k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11450.113838-0.58%0.1024-10.57%0.0973✓0.86220k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.195621-0.60%0.2097+6.55%0.0780✗0.851.1M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4178.3639-0.63%8.426+0.11%0.0160✗0.869.1M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.46691.4576-0.63%1.4706+0.25%0.0187✗0.981.0M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.712.6928-0.64%2.685-0.92%0.0099✗1.28810k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.323.2985-0.65%3.26-1.81%0.0008✓1.25269k2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,093.5611,014.57-0.71%11,010.19-0.75%0.0129✗1.336.5M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.095050.094349-0.74%0.08996-5.36%0.0356✓1.202.4M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0016370.001623-0.88%0.001587-3.08%0.0140✓0.841.5M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9741.5404-1.02%39.88-4.98%0.0270✓1.3816.5M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum4039.588-1.03%40.61+1.53%0.0365✗1.101.8M2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.19940.197264-1.07%0.1861-6.67%0.0481✓1.02134k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.49360.487709-1.19%0.4514-8.55%0.0689✓0.851542022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048850.048173-1.39%0.05113+4.67%0.0697✗1.0121k2022-08-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.88434.816-1.40%5.0987+4.39%0.0670✗1.00100k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.43e-77.05e-7-5.12%7.44e-7+0.19%0.0609✗0.65155k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.