8=======>

2022-08-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0093
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 67.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3240.323905-0.03%0.316-2.47%0.0169✓0.781.1M2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.98224.9797-0.05%4.8932-1.79%0.0103✓0.72912k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0689650.068913-0.08%0.069764+1.16%0.0183✗0.60182k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38465.3801-0.08%5.2507-2.49%0.0230✓0.13233k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008210.008203-0.09%0.00828+0.85%0.0158✗0.641.6M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.6960.6295-0.10%61.33+1.05%0.0219✗1.0413.7M2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4684-0.11%1.47+0.00%0.0011✗0.00124k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08350.083393-0.13%0.0811-2.87%0.0188✓0.91134k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.99e-7-0.13%0.000001+0.00%0.0090✗0.7721k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017420.017397-0.13%0.01753+0.63%0.0148✗0.72153k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9470.945735-0.13%0.967+2.11%0.0274✗0.514.4M2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.27551.2738-0.14%1.2535-1.72%0.0070✓0.9056k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.01711.0156-0.15%1.0226+0.54%0.0145✗0.7677k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58040.579526-0.15%0.5677-2.19%0.0094✓1.12376k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067630.006751-0.17%0.006767+0.07%0.0095✗0.713,2222022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0450.044924-0.17%0.0445-1.11%0.0002✓0.9611k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07070.070576-0.17%0.0734+3.82%0.0515✗1.23339k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.52610.5075-0.18%10.39-1.29%0.0016✓0.972.0M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.41861.2989-0.19%61.168-0.41%0.0051✗0.73365k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000046010.000045921-0.19%0.00004498-2.24%0.0117✓0.902.0M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum107.14106.9311-0.19%109.79+2.47%0.0419✗1.556.7M2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11480.114569-0.20%0.1138-0.87%0.0036✗1.03478k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35780.357049-0.21%0.3526-1.45%0.0029✓0.968.3M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.128728-0.21%0.123-4.65%0.0377✓0.783,9702022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031120.031054-0.21%0.03136+0.77%0.0228✗1.303,2032022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.34137.0448-0.21%136.34-0.73%0.0060✗1.125.1M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.88e-7-0.22%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0105✓0.785.4M2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0558660.055744-0.22%0.054802-1.90%0.0120✓0.5036k2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.820.818181-0.22%0.81-1.22%0.0060✓0.40105k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.855915.8205-0.22%15.0779-4.91%0.0382✓0.9858k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00850.008481-0.23%0.00854+0.47%0.0181✗1.12463k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.442860.441862-0.23%0.42922-3.08%0.0190✓1.0196k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52360.522415-0.23%0.5047-3.61%0.0231✓1.1360k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.962.9532-0.23%2.94-0.68%0.0008✓0.52100k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,097.8224,042.00-0.23%23,857.93-1.00%0.0023✓1.00482.6M2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04250.042401-0.23%0.0426+0.24%0.0147✗1.0076k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.720.718302-0.24%0.7-2.78%0.0130✓1.28135k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.29750.296789-0.24%0.3019+1.48%0.0279✗1.08178k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash53.1753.0421-0.24%52.46-1.34%0.0012✓0.98574k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.595062-0.24%0.5897-1.14%0.0014✓0.76784k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25730.256677-0.24%0.2556-0.66%0.0091✗1.33131k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2260.22545-0.24%0.244+7.96%0.0910✗1.19657k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.82791.8234-0.24%1.8887+3.33%0.0465✗1.13488k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.28530.284604-0.24%0.3001+5.19%0.0622✗0.9275k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7180.716241-0.24%0.71-1.11%0.0036✗1.242,7912022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21140.210872-0.25%0.2113-0.05%0.0163✗1.421,3972022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero163.5163.0827-0.26%169.61+3.74%0.0491✗0.991.2M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067210.006704-0.26%0.006937+3.21%0.0387✗0.4555k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3715380.370582-0.26%0.362039-2.56%0.0126✓1.07962k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4363-0.26%1.41-2.08%0.0056✓1.281.2M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.867739-0.26%0.87+0.00%0.0171✗1.454.4M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47150.470269-0.26%0.4559-3.31%0.0198✓1.12190k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.36.2835-0.26%5.96-5.40%0.0423✓1.061.4M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8190.816851-0.26%0.818-0.12%0.0107✗0.93370k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2156.1985-0.27%6.197-0.29%0.0132✗1.3412.8M2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27260.271868-0.27%0.2645-2.97%0.0175✓1.0091k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.7878.7632-0.27%8.839+0.59%0.0192✗1.0614.4M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7153-0.27%1.75+1.74%0.0303✗1.03190k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0160060.015962-0.28%0.015966-0.25%0.0067✗0.642.1M2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.1841.1807-0.28%1.1561-2.36%0.0114✓0.9712k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06920.069004-0.28%0.0688-0.58%0.0054✗0.84119k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260559-0.28%0.2612-0.04%0.0026✓0.0155k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.453-0.28%2.36-4.07%0.0294✓0.93520k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3073-0.29%1.271-3.05%0.0158✓1.231.2M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana43.7243.594-0.29%43.09-1.44%0.0004✓1.2181.1M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.48590.4845-0.29%0.4762-2.00%0.0060✓1.13808k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4758.4506-0.29%8.346-1.52%0.0006✓1.3110.0M2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration57.7157.5436-0.29%56.07-2.84%0.0157✓1.02590k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7947.7714-0.29%7.773-0.27%0.0104✗1.025.5M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45030.448989-0.29%0.4464-0.87%0.0072✗1.29255k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7111.706-0.29%1.675-2.10%0.0052✓1.32485k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.49920.497721-0.30%0.4749-4.87%0.0336✓1.34211k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.357640.356571-0.30%0.35342-1.18%0.0001✓0.88432k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.8530.7576-0.30%30.67-0.58%0.0065✗0.949.2M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.693.6787-0.31%3.62-1.90%0.0091✓0.701.1M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34480.343737-0.31%0.3392-1.62%0.0032✓1.013.6M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1818.1238-0.31%17.95-1.27%0.0022✓1.181.7M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1235280.123145-0.31%0.12178-1.42%0.0021✓0.907.5M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084170.083908-0.31%0.08578+1.91%0.0245✗0.241.1M2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.167472-0.31%0.1676-0.24%0.0107✗0.992.4M2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0361.8331-0.32%61.09-1.52%0.0006✓1.2727k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053790.053618-0.32%0.05205-3.23%0.0224✓0.7316k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054226-0.32%0.0539-0.92%0.0038✗0.99228k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.361340.360177-0.32%0.35527-1.68%0.0028✓1.0913k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.03931.036-0.32%1.0221-1.65%0.0013✓1.222.3M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,899.391,893.27-0.32%1,876.57-1.20%0.0044✗1.32528.6M2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021050.002098-0.32%0.00202-4.04%0.0280✓1.00950k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.411140.409812-0.32%0.40858-0.62%0.0066✗0.96457k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12610.12569-0.32%0.1265+0.32%0.0156✗0.91328k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.517303-0.33%0.545+5.01%0.0622✗1.0112k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8931.8868-0.33%1.924+1.64%0.0309✗1.14194k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08860.088308-0.33%0.09121+2.95%0.0436✗1.1329k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.146912-0.33%0.1437-2.51%0.0112✓1.0946k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33382.3261-0.33%2.2701-2.73%0.0137✓1.0738k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.012.0032-0.34%2.061+2.54%0.0384✗1.00181k2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.953-0.34%4.95-0.40%0.0033✓0.391.2M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17560.174997-0.34%0.16955-3.45%0.0189✓1.27246k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188750.1881-0.34%0.1883-0.24%0.0234✗2.236672022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.22050.219735-0.35%0.207-6.12%0.0488✓1.091,7402022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004863-0.35%0.00476-2.46%0.0108✓1.05158k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010730.010691-0.36%0.01154+7.55%0.0848✗0.845.6M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14191.1377-0.36%1.1489+0.61%0.0165✗0.673.9M2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10070.100332-0.37%0.1069+6.16%0.0738✗1.049,7202022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.0357-0.37%20.12+0.05%0.0159✗1.17121k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0670.066752-0.37%0.0696+3.88%0.0525✗1.07237k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.126.0971-0.37%6.14+0.33%0.0101✗0.311.0M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9913.976-0.38%4.038+1.18%0.0176✗0.222.1M2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0251930.025098-0.38%0.024604-2.34%0.0114✓0.8413k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.55010.548024-0.38%0.5571+1.27%0.0270✗1.0643.6M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6943.6799-0.38%3.68-0.38%0.0159✗1.595.3M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3053.2923-0.38%3.334+0.88%0.0211✗0.85658k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096910.000096536-0.39%0.0000971+0.20%0.0161✗1.03336k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.474740.472905-0.39%0.47192-0.59%0.0026✓0.4770k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204130.020334-0.39%0.025638+25.60%0.2332✗0.14230k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0424.0264-0.39%4.0127-0.72%0.0066✗0.9953k2022-08-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26780.266761-0.39%0.2636-1.57%0.0019✓1.00110k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.990.986145-0.39%0.959-3.13%0.0157✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17990.179192-0.39%0.1798-0.06%0.0143✗1.09616k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.732.7191-0.40%2.752+0.81%0.0236✗1.1564k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash73.8473.5456-0.40%75.95+2.86%0.0435✗1.142.1M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.62510.622568-0.41%0.6115-2.18%0.0082✓0.982.1M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7441-0.41%8.89+1.25%0.0174✗0.091.7M2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047630.047435-0.41%0.04681-1.72%0.0051✓0.812,5642022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078473-0.41%0.0784-0.51%0.0105✗1.151.4M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33411.3285-0.42%1.2853-3.66%0.0188✓1.436.4M2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9411.8901-0.42%12.36+3.52%0.0501✗1.14305k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028830.028709-0.42%0.02789-3.26%0.0190✓0.9914.3M2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0530670.052844-0.42%0.051969-2.07%0.0074✓0.9343k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27520.274043-0.42%0.27-1.89%0.0057✓0.92551k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7252.7133-0.43%2.651-2.72%0.0058✓1.75144k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6498.6119-0.43%8.453-2.27%0.0076✓1.1120.0M2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.40811.359-0.43%11.396-0.11%0.0149✗1.1713.2M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,093.5611,045.91-0.43%11,010.19-0.75%0.0101✗1.336.5M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05341.0489-0.43%1.0299-2.23%0.0083✓0.99623k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026860.026743-0.43%0.02539-5.47%0.0433✓0.86244k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67721.6698-0.44%1.635-2.52%0.0088✓1.23540k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156211-0.44%0.1546-1.47%0.0037✓0.674.4M2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06590.065609-0.44%0.0642-2.58%0.0110✓1.08877k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.084130.08375-0.45%0.08258-1.84%0.0064✓0.778802022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00120.996603-0.46%0.967-3.42%0.0143✓1.58276k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0766960.076344-0.46%0.087041+13.49%0.1414✗1.031.8M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0235.9949-0.47%6.018-0.08%0.0047✗0.083.4M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11450.113959-0.47%0.1024-10.57%0.0984✓0.86220k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1192.1089-0.47%2.016-4.86%0.0337✓1.14157k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1314.1112-0.48%4.19+1.43%0.0219✗0.301.7M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.7605-0.50%27.11-2.83%0.0100✓1.3730.5M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4178.3746-0.50%8.426+0.11%0.0147✗0.869.1M2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13420.13352-0.51%0.1301-3.06%0.0148✓1.113.9M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.095050.094558-0.52%0.08996-5.36%0.0378✓1.202.4M2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4113-0.53%5.44+0.00%0.0078✗0.251.6M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum113.47112.8649-0.53%116.11+2.33%0.0370✗0.873.6M2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.852397-0.54%0.84-1.98%0.0051✓0.96280k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.21271.2061-0.54%1.1875-2.08%0.0045✓1.1113k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6810.677295-0.54%0.672-1.32%0.0042✓1.20115k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.715260.711304-0.55%0.69252-3.18%0.0136✓1.3151k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.471.4616-0.57%1.425-3.06%0.0154✓1.002.6M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0042380.004214-0.57%0.004101-3.23%0.0190✓0.811.0M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.712.6943-0.58%2.685-0.92%0.0093✗1.28810k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.032-0.58%15-0.79%0.0099✗1.212.6M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42463.4036-0.61%3.514+2.61%0.0349✗0.301.6M2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,840.3023,694.21-0.61%23,861.50+0.09%0.0167✗0.977,5932022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30163.281-0.62%3.3012-0.01%0.0192✗1.3113k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3401-0.63%6.29-1.41%0.0047✓0.321.4M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.4552.4395-0.63%2.409-1.87%0.0029✓0.97641k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.929.8559-0.65%10.19+2.72%0.0444✗1.11638k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017890.001777-0.66%0.001761-1.57%0.0016✓0.759,2532022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.004030.004002-0.69%0.00401-0.50%0.0125✗1.06528k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum40.940.6096-0.71%38.9-4.89%0.0233✓1.97408k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5820.4317-0.72%20.32-1.26%0.0014✓0.692.2M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5577-0.72%1.454-7.33%0.0497✓1.913.7M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62393.5955-0.78%3.7239+2.76%0.0393✗0.431.9M2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09663.0722-0.79%3.1212+0.79%0.0207✗0.491.3M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.9741.6388-0.79%39.88-4.98%0.0293✓1.3816.5M2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.323.2921-0.84%3.26-1.81%0.0027✓1.25269k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.0531.0441-0.85%1.072+1.80%0.0408✗1.44433k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015250.000015071-1.18%0.00001581+3.67%0.0575✗0.96744k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.396107-1.20%0.3985-0.60%0.0170✗1.1095k2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum4039.5161-1.21%40.61+1.53%0.0383✗1.101.8M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4565.3872-1.26%5.889+7.94%0.0903✗0.121.1M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8963.8464-1.27%3.876-0.51%0.0163✗0.86124k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0016370.001616-1.28%0.001587-3.08%0.0101✓0.841.5M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.19413-1.36%0.2097+6.55%0.0856✗0.851.1M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.46691.4432-1.62%1.4706+0.25%0.0287✗0.981.0M2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.49360.484802-1.78%0.4514-8.55%0.0629✓0.851542022-08-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.88434.7949-1.83%5.0987+4.39%0.0714✗1.00100k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.19940.195405-2.00%0.1861-6.67%0.0386✓1.02134k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048850.047694-2.37%0.05113+4.67%0.0797✗1.0121k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.43e-77.02e-7-5.52%7.44e-7+0.19%0.0652✗0.65155k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.