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2022-08-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1365
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.4%
in alpha space · 67.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085646+0.29%0.0835-2.22%0.0173✗0.89130k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0661+0.22%4.9822-1.44%0.0101✗0.73882k2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.1373+0.19%5.3846+5.02%0.0482✓0.13233k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008264+0.17%0.00821-0.48%0.0008✓0.641.6M2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006724+0.17%0.006763+0.74%0.0122✓0.723,2222022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017646+0.15%0.01742-1.14%0.0065✗0.71155k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.445389+0.14%0.44286-0.42%0.0035✓1.01109k2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.211489+0.14%0.2114+0.09%0.0125✓1.421,3132022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.130956+0.12%0.129-1.38%0.0079✗0.793,9702022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.595181+0.08%0.5804-2.40%0.0150✗1.12365k2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070396+0.07%0.068965-1.97%0.0151✗0.61192k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.479482+0.04%0.4503-6.05%0.0508✗1.32242k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.00000101+0.04%0.000001-0.99%0.0034✗0.7721k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero168.04168.0968+0.03%163.5-2.70%0.0187✗0.991.2M2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006722+0.03%0.006721+0.01%0.0039✓0.4555k2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.700209+0.03%0.72+2.86%0.0396✓1.29137k2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2609+0.03%1.2755+1.19%0.0198✓0.9256k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.932262+0.03%0.947+1.61%0.0204✓0.524.4M2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7024,213.25+0.01%23,840.30-1.53%0.0068✗0.977,5932022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.367572+0.01%0.36134-1.68%0.0072✗1.0913k2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.327031+0.01%0.324-0.92%0.0020✗0.811.1M2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.047202+0.01%0.045-4.66%0.0390✗0.9711k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099501+0.00%0.1007+1.21%0.0213✓1.039,7202022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224982-0.01%0.226+0.44%0.0155✗1.22657k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.710071-0.01%0.71526+0.72%0.0193✗1.3349k2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.072091-0.01%0.0692-4.02%0.0334✓0.83119k2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1763.1581-0.02%60.69-3.93%0.0304✓1.0513.6M2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025571-0.04%0.025193-1.52%0.0073✓0.8413k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.838646-0.04%0.819-2.38%0.0153✓0.93370k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.055355-0.04%0.05379-2.87%0.0221✓0.7316k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.6401-0.06%10.526-1.13%0.0019✓0.982.0M2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.444-0.07%1.47+1.73%0.0270✗1.022.6M2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.17148-0.07%0.1994+16.20%0.1602✗1.03131k2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39162.345-0.07%61.418-1.56%0.0084✓0.73354k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.269101-0.07%0.2726+1.23%0.0220✗1.0091k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.147588-0.08%0.1474-0.20%0.0086✗1.0946k2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.3104-0.08%2.3338+0.93%0.0198✗1.0838k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4987-0.08%1.47-2.00%0.0193✓0.01132k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0773.0744-0.09%3.3016+7.30%0.0834✗1.3413k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.056404-0.09%0.055866-1.04%0.0050✓0.5136k2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9772-0.09%2.96-0.67%0.0011✓0.52102k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45139.3186-0.09%137.34-1.51%0.0042✓1.125.1M2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001009-0.10%9.90e-7-1.98%0.0120✓0.785.7M2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010359-0.10%0.01073+3.47%0.0427✗0.845.6M2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260813-0.11%0.2613+0.08%0.0020✗0.0155k2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0556-0.11%1.0171-3.75%0.0302✓0.7777k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.271977-0.12%0.2752+1.07%0.0202✗0.93551k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration58.8758.7975-0.12%57.71-1.97%0.0093✓1.04524k2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042743-0.13%0.0425-0.70%0.0035✗1.0176k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.116445-0.13%0.1148-1.54%0.0048✓1.04499k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.53365-0.14%0.5236-2.02%0.0088✓1.1359k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1420.1113-0.14%20.11-0.15%0.0106✗1.18124k2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.0702-0.14%0.067-4.69%0.0370✓1.07225k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1196-0.15%1.1419+1.85%0.0259✗0.683.9M2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana44.8944.8238-0.15%43.72-2.61%0.0140✓1.2178.8M2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.363662-0.15%0.3578-1.76%0.0075✓0.978.3M2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.032241-0.15%0.03112-3.62%0.0237✓1.292,9912022-08-15
DASHDashDash55.0854.9963-0.15%53.17-3.47%0.0249✓0.98574k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.9563-0.15%8.78-2.12%0.0189✓0.111.8M2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000046140.00004607-0.15%0.00004601-0.28%0.0069✗0.902.1M2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.004030.004024-0.15%0.00403+0.00%0.0113✗1.08517k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.125452-0.15%0.123528-1.69%0.0073✓0.917.2M2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,278.64-0.16%24,097.82-0.90%0.0016✓1.00472.7M2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.17702-0.16%0.1756-0.96%0.0035✗1.28243k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.183907-0.16%0.1799-2.33%0.0121✓1.10586k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism1.441.4376-0.17%1.569+8.96%0.1048✗1.923.7M2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.49170.490883-0.17%0.4859-1.18%0.0000✓1.13808k2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.2038-0.17%1.184-1.81%0.0078✓0.9712k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.170714-0.17%0.168-1.75%0.0069✓1.012.6M2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019813-0.17%0.020413+2.86%0.0314✗0.17230k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.054008-0.17%0.0544+0.55%0.0162✗0.99237k2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.80862-0.17%0.82+1.23%0.0177✗0.41105k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.286308-0.17%0.2853-0.52%0.0049✗0.9370k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.088148-0.17%0.0886+0.34%0.0153✗1.1329k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44107.2523-0.17%107.14-0.28%0.0131✗1.567.1M2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.7845-0.18%30.85+0.03%0.0106✗0.939.8M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.404018-0.18%0.41114+1.58%0.0262✗0.96479k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.482818-0.18%0.4715-2.52%0.0135✓1.13190k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201916.1714-0.19%15.8559-2.14%0.0108✓0.9959k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.053703-0.19%0.053067-1.37%0.0035✓0.9343k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015647-0.19%0.016006+2.10%0.0285✗0.652.1M2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.7286-0.19%1.711-1.21%0.0017✓1.33460k2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.346023-0.20%0.3448-0.55%0.0057✗1.023.6M2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6449-0.20%1.6772+1.77%0.0309✗1.27540k2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.227951-0.20%0.2205-3.46%0.0234✓1.091,7402022-08-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001788-0.20%0.001789-0.17%0.0072✗0.769,0932022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.1544-0.20%3.0966-2.03%0.0139✓0.511.3M2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.00498-0.20%0.00488-2.20%0.0107✓1.06145k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.9351-0.20%1.893-2.37%0.0116✓1.15203k2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.608146-0.21%0.5965-2.12%0.0124✓0.76784k2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7464-0.21%1.72-1.71%0.0058✓1.04190k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.157-0.21%6.12-0.81%0.0030✓0.341.0M2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.2045-0.21%1.2127+0.47%0.0168✗1.1013k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.029197-0.21%0.02883-1.47%0.0036✓1.0014.3M2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.3381-0.22%1.311-2.24%0.0093✓1.231.1M2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0712-0.22%1.0534-1.88%0.0078✓1.00574k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.491579-0.22%0.47474-3.64%0.0306✓0.4770k2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.254945-0.22%0.2573+0.70%0.0214✗1.35132k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.076332-0.22%0.0707-7.58%0.0656✓1.22350k2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.1449-0.22%4.131-0.55%0.0004✓0.331.7M2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.4383-0.22%3.305-4.09%0.0317✓0.87640k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.373275-0.23%0.371538-0.69%0.0051✗1.08916k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.128107-0.23%0.1261-1.79%0.0076✓0.91328k2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.1809-0.23%4.042-3.55%0.0247✓1.0053k2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.08071-0.23%0.0788-2.60%0.0136✓1.151.4M2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.8183-0.24%1.8279+0.29%0.0155✗1.13467k2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.7663-0.24%2.73-1.55%0.0026✓1.1862k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.8556-0.24%3.69-4.53%0.0375✓0.701.1M2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0462.8856-0.24%62.03-1.60%0.0022✓1.2835k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.62130.619718-0.25%0.6251+0.61%0.0176✗0.992.4M2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1814-0.26%2.119-3.11%0.0187✓1.14169k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0933-0.26%1.0393-5.19%0.0397✓1.222.3M2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash73.7173.5164-0.26%73.84+0.18%0.0148✗1.152.3M2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.1039-0.26%6.38+4.25%0.0473✗0.341.4M2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,930.76-0.26%1,899.39-1.88%0.0044✓1.32522.8M2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.568594-0.26%0.5501-3.51%0.0235✓1.0642.0M2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.7467-0.27%8.649-1.38%0.0012✓1.1119.3M2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.138925-0.27%0.1342-3.66%0.0245✓1.123.9M2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0081.0053-0.27%0.99-1.79%0.0043✓1.221.3M2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.191182-0.27%0.18875-1.54%0.0074✗2.236712022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.697106-0.27%0.681-2.58%0.0125✓1.20115k2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025658-0.28%0.02686+4.39%0.0535✗0.85209k2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.375469-0.29%0.35764-5.02%0.0407✓0.88439k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.08547-0.29%0.08417-1.81%0.0132✓0.241.1M2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.871447-0.29%0.87-0.46%0.0116✗1.464.4M2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4757-0.29%1.44-2.70%0.0127✓1.301.2M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.97804-0.30%1.053+7.34%0.0870✗1.46407k2022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.532357-0.31%0.519-2.81%0.0163✓1.0014k2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.4001-0.31%6.3-1.87%0.0062✓1.061.4M2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.163592-0.31%0.1569-4.39%0.0357✓0.674.4M2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008623-0.31%0.0085-1.73%0.0042✓1.12463k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.8543-0.31%8.475-4.58%0.0319✓1.3110.0M2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.5518-0.31%11.408-1.55%0.0020✓1.1713.2M2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.7725-0.32%11.94+1.10%0.0244✗1.14305k2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.5265-0.32%3.4246-3.20%0.0264✓0.331.6M2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004177-0.32%0.004238+1.15%0.0219✗0.801.0M2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.065.0434-0.33%4.97-1.78%0.0111✓0.401.3M2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.08143-0.33%0.076696-6.12%0.0506✓1.031.8M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.3468-0.33%6.215-2.40%0.0087✓1.3612.8M2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.0883-0.33%3.991-2.71%0.0219✓0.242.2M2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3789-0.34%2.455+2.85%0.0403✗0.97607k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.066771-0.34%0.0659-1.64%0.0033✓1.09877k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.080872-0.34%0.08413+3.67%0.0465✗0.778802022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.4011-0.35%5.44+0.37%0.0096✗0.272.0M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.883861-0.35%0.857-3.38%0.0222✓0.96280k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.9721-0.36%7.794-2.59%0.0134✓1.025.5M2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.9211-0.38%8.787-1.88%0.0055✓1.0713.7M2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000099758-0.38%0.00009691-3.23%0.0198✓1.02336k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.750098-0.39%0.718-4.65%0.0326✓1.232,7912022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2421.1564-0.39%20.58-3.11%0.0213✓0.702.2M2022-08-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.284276-0.39%0.2678-6.17%0.0507✓1.00108k2022-08-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.049221-0.40%0.04763-3.62%0.0255✓0.812,5822022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum118.61118.1333-0.40%113.47-4.33%0.0324✓0.873.8M2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.9281-0.40%3.896-1.22%0.0004✓0.86124k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0474-0.41%3.32+8.50%0.0972✗1.27244k2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.997747-0.41%1.0012-0.07%0.0178✗1.58296k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5618.4821-0.42%18.18-2.05%0.0057✓1.191.6M2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum43.2643.0764-0.42%40.9-5.46%0.0342✓1.95385k2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.7955-0.44%2.725-2.96%0.0097✓1.75144k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.298236-0.46%0.2975-0.70%0.0073✗1.08189k2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.5382-0.46%2.46-3.53%0.0229✓0.93636k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4615-0.47%15.12+4.06%0.0556✗1.232.6M2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1928.0567-0.47%27.9-1.03%0.0068✗1.3830.5M2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0392.029-0.49%2.01-1.42%0.0004✓1.00189k2022-08-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002092-0.49%0.002105+0.14%0.0154✗1.001.0M2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001424-0.51%0.001637+14.36%0.1470✗0.861.5M2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.8014-0.51%3.694-3.32%0.0143✓1.595.3M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.4513-0.52%1.4669+0.56%0.0197✗1.001.0M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.3212-0.52%6.023-5.21%0.0474✓0.103.5M2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3818-0.53%1.3341-3.97%0.0222✓1.436.4M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.2610.2029-0.56%9.92-3.31%0.0180✓1.11638k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.180013-0.60%0.1968+8.67%0.0969✗0.861.1M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.185-0.61%8.417+2.21%0.0357✗0.868.3M2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.409278-0.61%0.4009-2.65%0.0107✓1.10100k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.516695-0.62%0.4992-3.98%0.0224✓1.33213k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.6689-0.66%3.6239-1.88%0.0082✓0.451.9M2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative2.8322.8129-0.68%2.71-4.31%0.0257✓1.27754k2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.126603-0.70%0.1145-10.20%0.0925✓0.88220k2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8311,146.00-0.72%11,093.56-1.19%0.0073✗1.336.5M2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.092126-0.74%0.09505+2.41%0.0422✗1.222.2M2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5741.141-1.03%41.97+0.96%0.0325✗1.3816.5M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2738.8627-1.04%40+1.86%0.0389✗1.111.7M2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000016704-1.04%0.00001525-9.66%0.0824✓0.96679k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.8669-1.10%5.456-8.02%0.0707✓0.211.1M2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.048207-1.20%0.04885+0.12%0.0225✗1.0220k2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.19e-7-1.64%7.43e-7+74.48%0.5793✗0.68150k2022-08-15
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.480505-2.04%0.4936+0.63%0.0346✗0.851382022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.