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2022-08-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1830
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.0%
in alpha space · 71.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000016463-2.47%0.00001525-9.66%0.0678✓0.96679k2022-08-15
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.478684-2.41%0.4936+0.63%0.0384✗0.851382022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.16e-7-2.28%7.43e-7+74.48%0.5859✗0.68150k2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.047692-2.25%0.04885+0.12%0.0332✗1.0220k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.8052-2.14%5.456-8.02%0.0601✓0.211.1M2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.8916-1.33%3.896-1.22%0.0090✓0.86124k2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.406516-1.28%0.4009-2.65%0.0039✓1.10100k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.178856-1.24%0.1968+8.67%0.1034✗0.861.1M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.4414-1.19%1.4669+0.56%0.0266✗1.001.0M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2738.8758-1.00%40+1.86%0.0385✗1.111.7M2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.6566-0.99%3.6239-1.88%0.0049✓0.451.9M2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.080955-0.91%0.076696-6.12%0.0447✓1.031.8M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.5065-0.88%3.4246-3.20%0.0207✓0.331.6M2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.1338-0.85%3.0966-2.03%0.0074✓0.511.3M2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2421.0671-0.81%20.58-3.11%0.0171✓0.702.2M2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5741.2496-0.77%41.97+0.96%0.0298✗1.3816.5M2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.488886-0.76%0.47474-3.64%0.0251✓0.4770k2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum43.2642.9392-0.74%40.9-5.46%0.0310✓1.95385k2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.2610.1868-0.71%9.92-3.31%0.0165✓1.11638k2022-08-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.04909-0.67%0.04763-3.62%0.0228✓0.812,5822022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.4242-0.63%3.305-4.09%0.0276✓0.87640k2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.126706-0.62%0.1145-10.20%0.0933✓0.88220k2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0081.0019-0.60%0.99-1.79%0.0010✓1.221.3M2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum118.61117.9099-0.59%113.47-4.33%0.0305✓0.873.8M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.3167-0.59%6.023-5.21%0.0467✓0.103.5M2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.694936-0.58%0.681-2.58%0.0094✓1.20115k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4459-0.58%15.12+4.06%0.0567✗1.232.6M2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004166-0.57%0.004238+1.15%0.0243✗0.801.0M2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0852-0.57%6.38+4.25%0.0504✗0.341.4M2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.3897-0.56%5.44+0.37%0.0117✗0.272.0M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.882081-0.55%0.857-3.38%0.0202✓0.96280k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism1.441.4323-0.54%1.569+8.96%0.1085✗1.923.7M2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative2.8322.8168-0.54%2.71-4.31%0.0271✓1.27754k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.138564-0.53%0.1342-3.66%0.0219✓1.123.9M2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1755-0.53%2.119-3.11%0.0160✓1.14169k2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.2007-0.52%1.2127+0.47%0.0199✗1.1013k2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.8012-0.52%3.694-3.32%0.0142✓1.595.3M2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.06994-0.51%0.067-4.69%0.0333✓1.07225k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1928.048-0.50%27.9-1.03%0.0072✗1.3830.5M2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3822-0.50%1.3341-3.97%0.0225✓1.436.4M2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.029115-0.50%0.02883-1.47%0.0008✓1.0014.3M2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.926-0.49%8.78-2.12%0.0155✓0.111.8M2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.092355-0.49%0.09505+2.41%0.0398✗1.222.2M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8311,172.06-0.49%11,093.56-1.19%0.0050✗1.336.5M2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3754-0.49%2.455+2.85%0.0418✗0.97607k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0451-0.49%3.32+8.50%0.0980✗1.27244k2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.1339-0.48%4.131-0.55%0.0023✓0.331.7M2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001425-0.48%0.001637+14.36%0.1467✗0.861.5M2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.476993-0.48%0.4503-6.05%0.0456✓1.32242k2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.1958-0.48%8.417+2.21%0.0344✗0.868.3M2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.997226-0.47%1.0012-0.07%0.0183✗1.58296k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.06669-0.46%0.0659-1.64%0.0020✓1.09877k2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000099684-0.46%0.00009691-3.23%0.0190✓1.02336k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0773.063-0.45%3.3016+7.30%0.0871✗1.3413k2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.7953-0.45%2.725-2.96%0.0097✓1.75144k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.053563-0.45%0.053067-1.37%0.0009✓0.9343k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.163361-0.45%0.1569-4.39%0.0343✓0.674.4M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.976648-0.44%1.053+7.34%0.0885✗1.46407k2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004968-0.44%0.00488-2.20%0.0083✓1.06145k2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.5369-0.44%11.408-1.55%0.0007✓1.1713.2M2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.567586-0.44%0.5501-3.51%0.0217✓1.0642.0M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.1722-0.44%4.042-3.55%0.0226✓1.0053k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.080792-0.44%0.08413+3.67%0.0474✗0.778802022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.0841-0.44%3.991-2.71%0.0209✓0.242.2M2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.227402-0.44%0.2205-3.46%0.0209✓1.091,7402022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.080549-0.43%0.0788-2.60%0.0116✓1.151.4M2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0689-0.43%1.0534-1.88%0.0056✓1.00574k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.183406-0.43%0.1799-2.33%0.0093✓1.10586k2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.7599-0.42%11.94+1.10%0.0255✗1.14305k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025475-0.42%0.025193-1.52%0.0035✓0.8413k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.1441-0.42%6.12-0.81%0.0009✓0.341.0M2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.7335-0.42%8.649-1.38%0.0003✓1.1119.3M2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.190913-0.41%0.18875-1.54%0.0088✗2.236712022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.065.04-0.40%4.97-1.78%0.0104✓0.401.3M2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.8477-0.39%8.475-4.58%0.0312✓1.3110.0M2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.004030.004015-0.38%0.00403+0.00%0.0136✗1.08517k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.271281-0.37%0.2752+1.07%0.0227✗0.93551k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.62130.618975-0.37%0.6251+0.61%0.0188✗0.992.4M2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.481896-0.37%0.4715-2.52%0.0116✓1.13190k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1420.0649-0.37%20.11-0.15%0.0129✗1.18124k2022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.532031-0.37%0.519-2.81%0.0157✓1.0014k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.8509-0.37%3.69-4.53%0.0363✓0.701.1M2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.055177-0.37%0.05379-2.87%0.0189✓0.7316k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.518004-0.36%0.4992-3.98%0.0250✓1.33213k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0922-0.36%1.0393-5.19%0.0387✓1.222.3M2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6422-0.36%1.6772+1.77%0.0326✗1.27540k2022-08-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.284377-0.36%0.2678-6.17%0.0510✓1.00108k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.127944-0.36%0.1261-1.79%0.0063✓0.91328k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1173-0.35%1.1419+1.85%0.0280✗0.683.9M2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0531-0.35%1.0171-3.75%0.0278✓0.7777k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0462.8197-0.35%62.03-1.60%0.0011✓1.2835k2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash73.7173.4524-0.35%73.84+0.18%0.0157✗1.152.3M2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0392.0319-0.35%2.01-1.42%0.0018✓1.00189k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5618.4953-0.35%18.18-2.05%0.0064✓1.191.6M2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.5412-0.34%2.46-3.53%0.0241✓0.93636k2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.254621-0.34%0.2573+0.70%0.0227✗1.35132k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.9324-0.34%1.893-2.37%0.0102✓1.15203k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.17042-0.34%0.168-1.75%0.0052✓1.012.6M2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.076241-0.34%0.0707-7.58%0.0644✓1.22350k2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.3365-0.34%1.311-2.24%0.0081✓1.231.1M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.3466-0.34%6.215-2.40%0.0087✓1.3612.8M2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.375287-0.34%0.35764-5.02%0.0402✓0.88439k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.9742-0.33%7.794-2.59%0.0136✓1.025.5M2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.01978-0.33%0.020413+2.86%0.0331✗0.17230k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.085435-0.33%0.08417-1.81%0.0128✓0.241.1M2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.3663-0.33%0.36134-1.68%0.0038✓1.0913k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.088011-0.33%0.0886+0.34%0.0169✗1.1329k2022-08-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002095-0.32%0.002105+0.14%0.0137✗1.001.0M2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.750589-0.32%0.718-4.65%0.0332✓1.232,7912022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010337-0.32%0.01073+3.47%0.0449✗0.845.6M2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053927-0.32%0.0544+0.55%0.0177✗0.99237k2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025648-0.32%0.02686+4.39%0.0539✗0.85209k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.14724-0.31%0.1474-0.20%0.0110✗1.0946k2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,929.86-0.31%1,899.39-1.88%0.0039✓1.32522.8M2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.2021-0.31%1.184-1.81%0.0064✓0.9712k2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.4005-0.30%6.3-1.87%0.0063✓1.061.4M2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.345646-0.30%0.3448-0.55%0.0068✗1.023.6M2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.125265-0.30%0.123528-1.69%0.0058✓0.917.2M2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana44.8944.7546-0.30%43.72-2.61%0.0124✓1.2178.8M2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.7646-0.30%2.73-1.55%0.0020✓1.1862k2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.7268-0.30%1.711-1.21%0.0028✓1.33460k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.285947-0.30%0.2853-0.52%0.0061✗0.9370k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero168.04167.5419-0.30%163.5-2.70%0.0154✓0.991.2M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.403558-0.29%0.41114+1.58%0.0273✗0.96479k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.836538-0.29%0.819-2.38%0.0128✓0.93370k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.49170.490269-0.29%0.4859-1.18%0.0013✓1.13808k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4757-0.29%1.44-2.70%0.0128✓1.301.2M2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071894-0.29%0.0692-4.02%0.0307✓0.83119k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.171112-0.28%0.1994+16.20%0.1623✗1.03131k2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.032199-0.28%0.03112-3.62%0.0224✓1.292,9912022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7451-0.28%1.72-1.71%0.0051✓1.04190k2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260381-0.28%0.2613+0.08%0.0036✗0.0155k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.298778-0.27%0.2975-0.70%0.0055✗1.08189k2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.3059-0.27%2.3338+0.93%0.0217✗1.0838k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099232-0.27%0.1007+1.21%0.0240✗1.039,7202022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.7583-0.27%30.85+0.03%0.0114✗0.939.8M2022-08-15
DASHDashDash55.0854.934-0.26%53.17-3.47%0.0238✓0.98574k2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.176831-0.26%0.1756-0.96%0.0046✗1.28243k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.532992-0.26%0.5236-2.02%0.0075✓1.1359k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.9316-0.26%8.787-1.88%0.0067✓1.0713.7M2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.871771-0.26%0.87-0.46%0.0112✗1.464.4M2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015638-0.25%0.016006+2.10%0.0291✗0.652.1M2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9726-0.25%2.96-0.67%0.0005✓0.52102k2022-08-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001788-0.25%0.001789-0.17%0.0076✗0.769,0932022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006703-0.25%0.006721+0.01%0.0067✗0.4555k2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008629-0.25%0.0085-1.73%0.0049✓1.12463k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.373199-0.25%0.371538-0.69%0.0053✗1.08916k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001008-0.24%9.90e-7-1.98%0.0105✓0.785.7M2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.607926-0.24%0.5965-2.12%0.0121✓0.76784k2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042698-0.24%0.0425-0.70%0.0045✗1.0176k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.708506-0.23%0.71526+0.72%0.0215✗1.3349k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.047094-0.23%0.045-4.66%0.0367✓0.9711k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201916.1655-0.22%15.8559-2.14%0.0104✓0.9959k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration58.8758.739-0.22%57.71-1.97%0.0083✓1.04524k2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224503-0.22%0.226+0.44%0.0176✗1.22657k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45139.1438-0.22%137.34-1.51%0.0029✓1.125.1M2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,263.71-0.22%24,097.82-0.90%0.0022✓1.00472.7M2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.363412-0.22%0.3578-1.76%0.0068✓0.978.3M2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.056333-0.21%0.055866-1.04%0.0038✓0.5136k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.443809-0.21%0.44286-0.42%0.0070✗1.01109k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7024,158.66-0.21%23,840.30-1.53%0.0045✓0.977,5932022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.116359-0.21%0.1148-1.54%0.0041✓1.04499k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.268751-0.20%0.2726+1.23%0.0233✗1.0091k2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.8189-0.20%1.8279+0.29%0.0152✗1.13467k2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.130548-0.19%0.129-1.38%0.0047✓0.793,9702022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.210794-0.19%0.2114+0.09%0.0158✗1.421,3132022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000046053-0.19%0.00004601-0.28%0.0072✗0.902.1M2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44107.2376-0.19%107.14-0.28%0.0132✗1.567.1M2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39162.2824-0.17%61.418-1.56%0.0074✓0.73354k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.6277-0.17%10.526-1.13%0.0008✓0.982.0M2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4425-0.17%1.47+1.73%0.0280✗1.022.6M2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.593722-0.16%0.5804-2.40%0.0125✓1.12365k2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.698907-0.16%0.72+2.86%0.0414✗1.29137k2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017594-0.15%0.01742-1.14%0.0035✓0.71155k2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006704-0.14%0.006763+0.74%0.0152✗0.723,2222022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085284-0.14%0.0835-2.22%0.0131✓0.89130k2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1763.0899-0.13%60.69-3.93%0.0293✓1.0513.6M2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001009-0.12%0.000001-0.99%0.0018✓0.7721k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4983-0.11%1.47-2.00%0.0190✓0.01132k2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070281-0.10%0.068965-1.97%0.0134✓0.61192k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.931122-0.09%0.947+1.61%0.0217✗0.524.4M2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.809388-0.08%0.82+1.23%0.0168✗0.41105k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008245-0.06%0.00821-0.48%0.0016✗0.641.6M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2598-0.06%1.2755+1.19%0.0207✗0.9256k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0524-0.05%4.9822-1.44%0.0074✓0.73882k2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.326888-0.03%0.324-0.92%0.0016✓0.811.1M2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.1269-0.01%5.3846+5.02%0.0503✗0.13233k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.