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2022-08-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1080
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.0%
in alpha space · 88.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5421.3743-10.88%1.267-17.83%0.0867✓1.923.7M2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43750.393697-10.01%0.2976-31.98%0.1811✓1.13100k2022-09-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.1536.2395-9.74%16.58-58.70%0.6790✓1.171.5M2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3419.3102-9.51%18.23-14.57%0.0040✓0.702.2M2022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,424.4810,401.23-8.96%9,751.47-14.64%0.0531✓1.346.4M2022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.469.5466-8.73%7.42-29.06%0.1558✓1.10638k2022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum126.57116.6067-7.87%106.65-15.74%0.0123✓0.883.9M2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.5840.2702-7.59%38.45-11.77%0.0752✓1.3816.5M2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum47.7644.2056-7.44%29.93-37.33%0.2210✓1.93385k2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9723.6775-7.41%2.943-25.91%0.0820✓1.615.3M2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.1571-7.34%1.563-32.86%0.2210✓1.15172k2022-09-12
FLOWFlownative2.9232.7089-7.32%2.102-28.09%0.1419✓1.27712k2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1353.8403-7.13%4.524+9.41%0.2400✗0.87114k2022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.045140.041934-7.10%0.0373-17.37%0.0271✓1.0320k2022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.096980.09012-7.07%0.06474-33.24%0.2221✓1.242.0M2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021970.002043-7.02%0.001626-25.99%0.1404✓1.001.0M2022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.4191.3195-7.01%1.3976-1.51%0.1469✗1.02907k2022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43481.3356-6.91%1.143-20.34%0.0293✓1.446.4M2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031260.029133-6.80%0.0228-27.06%0.1547✓1.0313.8M2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.818.2408-6.46%8.95+1.59%0.0952✗0.141.8M2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1927.3157-6.42%21.37-26.79%0.1231✓1.4030.5M2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3914.4314-6.23%15.12-1.75%0.1519✗1.202.6M2022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum6.666.2506-6.15%5.492-17.54%0.0087✓1.3811.9M2022-09-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2431.167-6.11%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08230.077277-6.10%0.0654-20.53%0.0674✓1.131.4M2022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.43123.2221-6.10%7.0049+104.15%0.8189✗0.481.9M2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9170.864247-5.75%0.67-26.94%0.1685✓0.98280k2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.243.0546-5.72%2.19-32.41%0.2194✓1.29269k2022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42283.2278-5.70%7.6604+123.81%0.8949✗0.351.6M2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.748297-5.52%0.483-39.02%0.3282✓1.252,7912022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.662.5139-5.49%2.46-7.52%0.0598✗0.93636k2022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0046330.004382-5.41%0.003106-32.96%0.2728✓0.811.0M2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.45.1083-5.40%5.33-1.30%0.0683✗0.292.1M2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.29174.061-5.37%3.2933-23.26%0.1208✓1.0153k2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.2418.207-5.37%14.22-26.09%0.1403✓1.221.5M2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07140.06757-5.36%0.0492-31.09%0.2195✓1.12877k2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3747.9277-5.33%6.556-21.71%0.1125✓0.886.9M2022-09-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.528437-5.30%0.481-13.80%0.0064✓1.0014k2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.16160.153051-5.29%0.2014+24.63%0.3519✗0.881.1M2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.90611.2782-5.27%15.53+30.44%0.4242✗1.1913.7M2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1977.7728-5.18%6.926-15.51%0.0232✓1.055.5M2022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14410.136696-5.14%0.1286-10.76%0.0393✓1.143.9M2022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2910.276155-5.10%0.2053-29.45%0.2088✓1.00105k2022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.533950.506835-5.08%0.39977-25.13%0.1946✓0.4970k2022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014730.001398-5.07%0.001323-10.15%0.0208✓0.861.4M2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.23111.1693-5.02%0.85428-30.61%0.2295✓0.9613k2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01210.961459-5.00%0.8948-11.59%0.0675✗1.59309k2022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.9740.925554-4.97%0.7419-23.83%0.0917✓1.48407k2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN3.21413.0543-4.97%2.1488-33.14%0.2339✓1.3413k2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0653.8653-4.91%3.245-20.17%0.1117✓0.721.1M2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.1498.6996-4.91%7.758-15.20%0.0167✓1.1219.3M2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9878.5509-4.85%6.659-25.90%0.1340✓1.329.9M2022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.386.0708-4.85%5.948-6.77%0.0083✓0.143.5M2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11760.11195-4.80%0.1144-2.72%0.1018✗0.91215k2022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7020.668491-4.77%0.542-22.79%0.1028✓1.22100k2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008860.008437-4.77%0.00833-5.98%0.0852✗1.12463k2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.30840.293789-4.74%0.2257-26.82%0.1686✓1.08194k2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9941.8996-4.74%1.534-23.07%0.1131✓1.15212k2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.63340.603643-4.70%0.5802-8.40%0.0484✗1.002.4M2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0863.895-4.68%4.238+3.72%0.1152✗0.351.7M2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8341-4.67%6.38+4.25%0.1203✗0.351.4M2022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8720.831306-4.67%0.648-25.69%0.1667✓0.94377k2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0993.9084-4.65%4.285+4.54%0.1142✗0.252.3M2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087550.083554-4.56%0.074-15.48%0.1011✓0.231.1M2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana46.6344.5201-4.52%37.46-19.67%0.0654✓1.2281.1M2022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.17590.167958-4.52%0.1319-25.01%0.1512✓1.032.6M2022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.38170.364659-4.46%0.44028+15.35%0.2667✗0.89439k2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.7397-4.44%4.55-8.27%0.0061✓0.401.3M2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52160.498527-4.42%0.3346-35.85%0.2823✓1.33217k2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0544660.052073-4.39%0.046711-14.24%0.0240✓0.9744k2022-09-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096740.00009253-4.35%0.0003+210.11%1.2670✗1.03336k2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum65.4462.5944-4.35%54.73-16.37%0.0215✓1.2938k2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.6081-4.28%12.34+156.34%1.0061✗0.241.1M2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17170.164382-4.26%0.1347-21.55%0.1386✓0.694.4M2022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.371150.355511-4.21%0.2943-20.71%0.0926✓1.1013k2022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1381.0903-4.19%0.8638-24.09%0.1251✓1.232.3M2022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.053081-4.19%0.0493-11.01%0.0128✓0.99248k2022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum2.1072.0188-4.18%1.622-23.02%0.1320✓0.99219k2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4761-4.15%1.2695-17.56%0.0361✓1.311.2M2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414770.397634-4.13%0.31623-23.76%0.1415✓1.00502k2022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4620.443082-4.09%0.408-11.69%0.0350✓1.34242k2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0258530.024806-4.05%0.022018-14.83%0.0465✓0.8313k2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.201970.193799-4.05%0.17256-14.56%0.0798✗2.236712022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.3663-3.95%12.665-25.67%0.1686✓1.0059k2022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19080.183317-3.92%0.1547-18.92%0.0724✓1.11586k2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.2742-3.90%0.9591-27.67%0.1759✓1.231.1M2022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.27590.265208-3.88%0.2355-14.64%0.0404✓0.89576k2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.55980.538149-3.87%0.5014-10.43%0.0230✓1.0742.0M2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.8278-3.83%6.71+10.73%0.1730✗0.371.0M2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.50950.490056-3.82%0.3879-23.87%0.1331✓1.15808k2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9022.7915-3.81%1.935-33.32%0.2127✓1.75144k2022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.318.9565-3.80%7.664-17.68%0.0608✓1.0813.2M2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70291.6383-3.79%1.9123+12.30%0.2665✗1.28619k2022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04420.042529-3.78%0.0397-10.18%0.0224✓1.0476k2022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1811.7207-3.77%11.02-9.52%0.0391✗1.15305k2022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091270.087917-3.67%0.07199-21.12%0.1018✓1.1229k2022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12960.124855-3.66%0.1141-11.96%0.0157✓0.85328k2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.06720.064753-3.64%0.0513-23.66%0.1358✓1.11215k2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012620.000012165-3.60%0.00001288+2.06%0.1434✗0.98679k2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum3.7463.6114-3.59%2.756-26.43%0.1942✓0.87613k2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.226617-3.57%0.17731-24.55%0.1372✓1.23657k2022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.118561-3.53%0.1027-16.44%0.0504✓1.06529k2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49390.476565-3.51%0.3514-28.85%0.2038✓1.15175k2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9910.957042-3.43%1.01+1.92%0.1021✗0.554.2M2022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3876930.374496-3.40%0.32043-17.35%0.0598✓1.10916k2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06141.0255-3.38%0.79422-25.17%0.1652✓1.03543k2022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054670.052853-3.32%0.04747-13.17%0.0426✓0.7416k2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.7889-3.30%1.41-23.78%0.1452✓1.06190k2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,984.751,919.45-3.29%1,716.71-13.50%0.0045✓1.32528.6M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001029.87e-7-3.24%9.00e-7-11.76%0.0242✓0.785.7M2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8231.7641-3.23%1.352-25.84%0.1479✓1.35435k2022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4851.4371-3.23%1.279-13.87%0.0263✓1.032.6M2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36860.356719-3.22%0.3237-12.18%0.0117✓0.978.3M2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1268360.122766-3.21%0.113859-10.23%0.0048✓0.917.2M2022-09-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15120.146367-3.20%0.2164+43.12%0.4855✗1.0846k2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9992.9034-3.19%4.5628+52.14%0.4989✗0.531.3M2022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16271.1259-3.16%1.0045-13.61%0.0532✓0.693.9M2022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum31.3330.3428-3.15%28.46-9.16%0.0173✓0.9310.0M2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.009989-3.12%0.00905-12.22%0.0358✓0.725.5M2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.22650.219451-3.11%0.1642-27.51%0.1937✓1.101,7402022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase20.8220.1725-3.11%16.48-20.85%0.0975✓1.19118k2022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.032.9373-3.06%1.84-39.27%0.4218✓0.52100k2022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35950.348614-3.03%0.2917-18.86%0.0889✓1.023.6M2022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum2.4082.3352-3.02%1.803-25.12%0.1727✓0.98588k2022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration61.1859.3456-3.00%52.21-14.66%0.0358✓1.05551k2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero168.13163.0899-3.00%163.77-2.59%0.0919✗1.001.1M2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21950.212933-2.99%0.1839-16.22%0.0217✓1.421,3132022-09-12
DASHDashDash57.0755.3767-2.97%47.17-17.35%0.0731✓0.99552k2022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204810.019875-2.96%0.024035+17.35%0.2047✗0.17226k2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.088891-2.96%0.0667-27.18%0.2159✓0.81123k2022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.00004740.000046001-2.95%0.00004597-3.02%0.0747✗0.862.0M2022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41592.345-2.93%1.962-18.79%0.0827✓1.0938k2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.181160.17594-2.88%0.14211-21.56%0.0994✓1.30236k2022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082810.08049-2.80%0.06915-16.50%0.0844✓0.779072022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049220.047857-2.77%0.04-18.73%0.1075✓0.822,5642022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8672.7877-2.77%2.171-24.28%0.1460✓1.1959k2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.91041.8586-2.71%1.6565-13.29%0.0151✓1.14467k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,456.4923,793.79-2.71%22,402.71-8.40%0.0275✓1.00455.4M2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5086-2.67%1.43-7.74%0.0536✓-0.00139k2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum110.5107.5476-2.67%90.99-17.66%0.0294✓1.577.6M2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.07840.07631-2.67%0.0516-34.18%0.2859✓1.20367k2022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.37360.363788-2.63%0.3627-2.92%0.0765✗0.911382022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.460970.448977-2.60%0.35436-23.13%0.1462✓1.03107k2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7330.714147-2.57%0.569-22.37%0.1132✓1.30135k2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0381.0117-2.53%0.97-6.55%0.0635✗1.201.3M2022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash76.2174.2918-2.52%62.92-17.44%0.0640✓1.162.3M2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62710.611554-2.48%0.5129-18.21%0.1058✓0.80784k2022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.720520.70316-2.41%0.563-21.86%0.1038✓1.3554k2022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07160.069879-2.40%0.06-16.20%0.0821✓0.80122k2022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016240.015851-2.40%0.013154-19.00%0.1272✓0.682.1M2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27450.268212-2.29%0.2346-14.54%0.0455✓1.0197k2022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative10.69710.4558-2.25%9.715-9.18%0.0122✓0.982.0M2022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13410.13108-2.25%0.1013-24.46%0.1848✓0.834,2082022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55840.546254-2.18%0.4436-20.56%0.1088✓1.1358k2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9120.892218-2.17%0.672-26.32%0.1548✓1.474.3M2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.34661.9889-2.14%54.609-13.79%0.0630✓0.73344k2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.5106-2.10%4.98-25.11%0.1737✓1.081.4M2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027410.026875-1.95%0.02102-23.31%0.1762✓0.79197k2022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,547.2024,070.43-1.94%22,320.80-9.07%0.0093✓0.977,5932022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05010.049139-1.92%0.0399-20.36%0.1225✓0.9811k2022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0729060.071509-1.92%0.063958-12.27%0.0209✓1.031.7M2022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26990.264761-1.90%0.2063-23.56%0.1315✓1.35117k2022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.17430.171172-1.79%0.1518-12.91%0.0290✓1.04131k2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.92e-7-1.77%9.10e-7-9.90%0.0186✓0.7721k2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.005040.004951-1.77%0.0042-16.67%0.0697✓1.08126k2022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017480.001717-1.76%0.001651-5.55%0.0270✗0.769,2532022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033260.0327-1.68%0.02488-25.20%0.1598✓1.292,7512022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0569880.056066-1.62%0.042673-25.12%0.2278✓0.5136k2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash144.43142.6144-1.26%128.87-10.77%0.0023✓1.135.1M2022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.328916-1.23%0.275-17.42%0.1055✓0.841.1M2022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61530.607817-1.22%0.4948-19.58%0.1072✓1.12345k2022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003890.003843-1.21%0.00357-8.23%0.0220✗1.09517k2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.28860.285259-1.16%0.4093+41.82%0.4436✗0.9470k2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08281.0704-1.14%0.914216-15.57%0.0886✓0.7970k2022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008186-1.13%0.00621-25.00%0.2200✓0.641.6M2022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.29161.2787-1.00%1.091-15.53%0.0775✓0.9356k2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068240.006761-0.93%0.006234-8.65%0.0381✓0.4953k2022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.22e-73.19e-7-0.93%7.49e-7+132.74%0.9106✗0.64146k2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.0699030.069278-0.89%0.063883-8.61%0.0272✓0.61182k2022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.8663.319-0.85%61.41-3.84%0.0617✗1.0513.7M2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0069940.006937-0.80%0.006356-9.12%0.0231✓0.733,2222022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.01776-0.67%0.01294-27.63%0.2574✓0.68159k2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum5.10955.0758-0.66%4.3839-14.20%0.0828✓0.73882k2022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10280.102316-0.47%0.0915-10.99%0.0223✓1.029,3472022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.25988-0.43%0.1916-26.59%0.3036✓0.0151k2022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.89224.9087+0.34%5.0452+3.13%0.0394✓0.14246k2022-09-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.831055+1.35%0.73-10.98%0.0922✗0.4391k2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.