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2022-08-13 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1769
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.1%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1354.0504-2.04%3.944-4.62%0.0217✓0.87114k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.045140.044243-1.99%0.04879+8.09%0.1037✗1.0320k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.533950.525278-1.62%0.49265-7.73%0.0613✓0.4970k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.7463.6926-1.43%3.446-8.01%0.0641✓0.87613k2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43750.432818-1.07%0.4118-5.87%0.0433✓1.13100k2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.1539.7364-1.03%39.27-2.19%0.0051✓1.171.5M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0381.0274-1.02%1.008-2.89%0.0121✓1.201.3M2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.4191.4045-1.02%1.4588+2.80%0.0438✗1.02907k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26990.267501-0.89%0.2555-5.34%0.0382✓1.35117k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.5843.205-0.86%41.57-4.61%0.0306✓1.3816.5M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0046330.004593-0.86%0.00419-9.56%0.0872✓0.811.0M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3421.1598-0.84%21.24-0.47%0.0078✓0.702.2M2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum47.7647.3637-0.83%43.26-9.42%0.0796✓1.93385k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.4610.3808-0.76%10.26-1.91%0.0054✓1.10638k2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.5421.5308-0.73%1.44-6.61%0.0502✓1.923.7M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005040.005008-0.64%0.00499-0.99%0.0026✓1.08126k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.57125.7748-0.63%118.61-6.29%0.0536✓0.883.9M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.4082.3929-0.63%2.387-0.87%0.0032✓0.98588k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0817-0.63%6.12+0.00%0.0083✗0.351.4M2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3915.2943-0.62%14.53-5.59%0.0444✓1.202.6M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42283.402-0.61%3.5378+3.36%0.0411✗0.351.6M2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.243.2204-0.60%3.06-5.56%0.0437✓1.29269k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.9232.9054-0.60%2.832-3.11%0.0183✓1.27712k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.08281.0763-0.60%1.0568-2.40%0.0138✓0.7970k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.386.3419-0.60%6.354-0.41%0.0027✓0.143.5M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9723.9491-0.58%3.821-3.80%0.0238✓1.615.3M2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.22650.225197-0.58%0.2284+0.84%0.0204✗1.101,7402022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031260.031081-0.57%0.02926-6.40%0.0545✓1.0313.8M2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2431.2359-0.57%1.207-2.89%0.0174✓1.1013k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,424.4811,359.95-0.56%11,226.83-1.73%0.0041✓1.346.4M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07840.077958-0.56%0.0765-2.42%0.0120✓1.20367k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7020.698053-0.56%0.699-0.43%0.0083✗1.22100k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14410.143293-0.56%0.1393-3.33%0.0217✓1.143.9M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014730.001465-0.55%0.001432-2.80%0.0179✓0.861.4M2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43481.427-0.55%1.3892-3.18%0.0186✓1.446.4M2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.3155-0.54%2.187-6.06%0.0505✓1.15172k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.43123.4128-0.54%3.6932+7.64%0.0817✗0.481.9M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11760.116969-0.54%0.1275+8.42%0.0914✗0.91215k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.45.3716-0.53%5.42+0.37%0.0106✗0.292.1M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07140.071025-0.52%0.067-6.16%0.0520✓1.12877k2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1929.0369-0.52%28.19-3.43%0.0216✓1.4030.5M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.096980.096473-0.52%0.09281-4.30%0.0316✓1.242.0M2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0544660.054183-0.52%0.053806-1.21%0.0014✓0.9744k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.21413.1975-0.52%3.077-4.27%0.0307✓1.3413k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9170.912304-0.51%0.887-3.27%0.0225✓0.98280k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.16160.160784-0.50%0.1811+12.07%0.1240✗0.881.1M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1812.1187-0.50%11.81-3.04%0.0192✓1.15305k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01211.0071-0.50%1.0019-1.01%0.0039✓1.59309k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3748.3336-0.48%8.235-1.66%0.0068✓0.886.9M2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17170.170909-0.46%0.1641-4.43%0.0367✓0.694.4M2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049220.048996-0.46%0.04942+0.41%0.0133✗0.822,5642022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0258530.025735-0.45%0.025582-1.05%0.0012✓0.8313k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0864.0675-0.45%4.154+1.66%0.0231✗0.351.7M2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19080.189935-0.45%0.1842-3.46%0.0243✓1.11586k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.7922-0.45%5.932+23.22%0.2147✗0.241.1M2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9022.8889-0.45%2.808-3.24%0.0184✓1.75144k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.555487-0.45%0.534-4.30%0.0337✓1.0014k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027410.027287-0.45%0.02573-6.13%0.0542✓0.79197k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.1499.1079-0.45%8.77-4.14%0.0314✓1.1219.3M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.662.6481-0.45%2.55-4.14%0.0324✓0.93636k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.29174.2727-0.44%4.1906-2.35%0.0136✓1.0153k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.818.7711-0.44%8.97+1.82%0.0233✗0.141.8M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8231.815-0.44%1.732-4.99%0.0391✓1.35435k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.90611.8534-0.44%11.588-2.67%0.0158✓1.1913.7M2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08230.081941-0.44%0.0809-1.70%0.0063✓1.131.4M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.2419.1568-0.43%18.56-3.53%0.0247✓1.221.5M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0654.0475-0.43%3.865-4.92%0.0420✓0.721.1M2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70291.6956-0.43%1.6481-3.22%0.0211✓1.28619k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1072.0981-0.42%2.039-3.23%0.0229✓0.99219k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.788675-0.42%0.753-4.92%0.0391✓1.252,7912022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.27590.274745-0.42%0.2723-1.30%0.0038✓0.89576k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082810.082468-0.41%0.08115-2.00%0.0117✓0.779072022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum65.4465.1701-0.41%63.04-3.67%0.0259✓1.2938k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0822-0.41%4.102+0.07%0.0063✗0.252.3M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.23111.2261-0.41%1.2058-2.06%0.0112✓0.9613k2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06720.066926-0.41%0.0703+4.61%0.0555✗1.11215k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06141.0571-0.41%1.0735+1.15%0.0214✗1.03543k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9740.970048-0.41%0.981+0.72%0.0197✗1.48407k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.55980.557555-0.40%0.5701+1.84%0.0284✗1.0742.0M2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9878.9513-0.40%8.882-1.17%0.0002✓1.329.9M2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204810.0204-0.40%0.019846-3.10%0.0266✓0.17226k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49390.491955-0.39%0.4837-2.07%0.0103✓1.15175k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum6.666.6339-0.39%6.368-4.38%0.0330✓1.3811.9M2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054670.054457-0.39%0.05538+1.30%0.0210✗0.7416k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.63340.630936-0.39%0.6213-1.91%0.0096✓1.002.4M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9941.9863-0.39%1.939-2.76%0.0175✓1.15212k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1381.1336-0.38%1.0962-3.67%0.0265✓1.232.3M2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase20.8220.7409-0.38%20.14-3.27%0.0226✓1.19118k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091270.090926-0.38%0.0883-3.25%0.0229✓1.1229k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16271.1583-0.38%1.1212-3.57%0.0286✓0.693.9M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.9415-0.37%5.06+2.02%0.0260✗0.401.3M2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.17590.175246-0.37%0.171-2.79%0.0186✓1.032.6M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8431-0.37%1.75-5.41%0.0458✓1.06190k2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021970.002189-0.37%0.002102-4.32%0.0348✓1.001.0M2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1978.1671-0.36%8.001-2.39%0.0145✓1.055.5M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.38170.380315-0.36%0.37655-1.35%0.0048✓0.89439k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana46.6346.4615-0.36%44.89-3.73%0.0274✓1.2281.1M2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.626-0.36%6.42-3.46%0.0254✓1.081.4M2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.30840.307288-0.36%0.2996-2.85%0.0191✓1.08194k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8720.868883-0.36%0.839-3.78%0.0296✓0.94377k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.055203-0.35%0.0541-2.35%0.0145✓0.99248k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash76.2175.9415-0.35%73.71-3.28%0.0232✓1.162.3M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087550.087245-0.35%0.08572-2.09%0.0163✓0.231.1M2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,984.751,977.85-0.35%1,935.85-2.46%0.0139✓1.32528.6M2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52160.519802-0.34%0.5199-0.33%0.0078✗1.33217k2022-08-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2910.290005-0.34%0.2854-1.92%0.0103✓1.00105k2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55840.556513-0.34%0.5344-4.30%0.0340✓1.1358k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0397-0.34%6.17+1.82%0.0234✗0.371.0M2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12960.129167-0.33%0.1284-0.93%0.0011✓0.85328k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5349-0.33%1.48-3.90%0.0289✓1.311.2M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash57.0756.8821-0.33%55.08-3.49%0.0265✓0.99552k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.371150.369928-0.33%0.36752-0.98%0.0002✓1.1013k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15120.150706-0.33%0.1477-2.31%0.0140✓1.0846k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35950.358328-0.33%0.3467-3.56%0.0271✓1.023.6M2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05010.049938-0.32%0.0472-5.79%0.0508✓0.9811k2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096740.00009643-0.32%0.00010014+3.51%0.0437✗1.03336k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.28860.287685-0.32%0.2868-0.62%0.0023✓0.9470k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.201970.201335-0.31%0.1917-5.08%0.0362✓2.236712022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.50950.507908-0.31%0.4917-3.49%0.0259✓1.15808k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8672.8581-0.31%2.773-3.28%0.0234✓1.1959k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3876930.386495-0.31%0.374117-3.50%0.0263✓1.10916k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4620.46058-0.31%0.4793+3.74%0.0475✗1.34242k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9120.909216-0.31%0.874-4.17%0.0311✓1.474.3M2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010279-0.31%0.01037+0.58%0.0130✗0.725.5M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414770.413537-0.30%0.40475-2.42%0.0158✓1.00502k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.181160.180625-0.30%0.1773-2.13%0.0111✓1.30236k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.9894-0.29%16.2019-4.91%0.0417✓1.0059k2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1268360.126468-0.29%0.125646-0.94%0.0013✓0.917.2M2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41592.4089-0.29%2.3122-4.29%0.0347✓1.0938k2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10280.102503-0.29%0.0995-3.21%0.0239✓1.029,3472022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.17430.1738-0.29%0.1716-1.55%0.0068✓1.04131k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008860.008835-0.28%0.00865-2.37%0.0148✓1.12463k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27450.273731-0.28%0.2693-1.89%0.0105✓1.0197k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.319.2842-0.28%8.955-3.81%0.0299✓1.0813.2M2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260276-0.28%0.2611+0.04%0.0032✗0.0151k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3223-0.28%1.341+1.13%0.0211✗1.231.1M2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9992.9907-0.28%3.1608+5.40%0.0584✗0.531.3M2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero168.13167.6722-0.27%168.04-0.05%0.0079✗1.001.1M2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016240.016196-0.27%0.015677-3.47%0.0287✓0.682.1M2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033260.03317-0.27%0.03229-2.92%0.0195✓1.292,7512022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04420.044081-0.27%0.0428-3.17%0.0235✓1.0476k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07160.071408-0.27%0.0721+0.70%0.0142✗0.80122k2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068240.006806-0.27%0.00672-1.52%0.0099✓0.4953k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0729060.072712-0.27%0.0817+12.06%0.1225✗1.031.7M2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003890.00388-0.26%0.00403+3.60%0.0442✗1.09517k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001020.000001017-0.26%0.00000101-0.98%0.0028✓0.785.7M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,547.2024,485.00-0.25%24,209.70-1.37%0.0058✓0.977,5932022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.122589-0.25%0.1166-5.13%0.0440✓1.06529k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum31.3331.2509-0.25%30.84-1.56%0.0079✓0.9310.0M2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.033.0224-0.25%2.98-1.65%0.0111✓0.52100k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62710.62553-0.25%0.6094-2.82%0.0215✓0.80784k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.234421-0.25%0.225-4.26%0.0340✓1.23657k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration61.1861.0316-0.24%58.87-3.78%0.0300✓1.05551k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash144.43144.0829-0.24%139.45-3.45%0.0262✓1.135.1M2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.460970.459878-0.24%0.44475-3.52%0.0275✓1.03107k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.91041.9059-0.23%1.8226-4.60%0.0382✓1.14467k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.720520.718844-0.23%0.71015-1.44%0.0044✓1.3554k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13410.133793-0.23%0.1308-2.46%0.0179✓0.834,2082022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21950.219003-0.23%0.2112-3.78%0.0281✓1.421,3132022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0569880.056859-0.23%0.056453-0.94%0.0042✓0.5136k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.091403-0.22%0.0854-6.77%0.0633✓0.81123k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.00004740.000047298-0.21%0.00004614-2.66%0.0199✓0.862.0M2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36860.367845-0.20%0.3642-1.19%0.0044✓0.978.3M2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61530.61407-0.20%0.5947-3.35%0.0256✓1.12345k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum110.5110.2796-0.20%107.44-2.77%0.0171✓1.577.6M2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017845-0.19%0.01762-1.45%0.0088✓0.68159k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,456.4924,409.45-0.19%24,316.71-0.57%0.0019✓1.00455.4M2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0069940.00698-0.19%0.006713-4.01%0.0348✓0.733,2222022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4851.4822-0.19%1.445-2.69%0.0195✓1.032.6M2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7330.731635-0.19%0.7-4.50%0.0368✓1.30135k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012620.000012597-0.19%0.00001688+33.76%0.2983✗0.98679k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.820.818556-0.18%0.81-1.22%0.0081✓0.4391k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9910.989276-0.17%0.932-5.95%0.0565✓0.554.2M2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017480.001745-0.17%0.001792+2.52%0.0309✗0.769,2532022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.69710.6794-0.16%10.646-0.48%0.0025✗0.982.0M2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.34663.2542-0.14%62.391-1.51%0.0096✓0.73344k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.37360.373123-0.13%0.4905+31.29%0.2787✗0.911382022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.8663.7802-0.12%63.17-1.08%0.0036✓1.0513.7M2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001009-0.11%0.00000101+0.00%0.0056✗0.7721k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5483-0.11%1.5-3.23%0.0317✓-0.00139k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.22e-73.21e-7-0.10%4.26e-7+32.28%0.2844✗0.64146k2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.29161.2905-0.08%1.2606-2.40%0.0182✓0.9356k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum5.10955.1067-0.06%5.0549-1.07%0.0060✓0.73882k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.332834-0.05%0.327-1.80%0.0129✓0.841.1M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008276-0.05%0.00825-0.36%0.0005✗0.641.6M2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0699030.069869-0.05%0.070349+0.64%0.0104✗0.61182k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.89224.8948+0.05%5.1274+4.81%0.0472✓0.14246k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.