8=======>

2022-08-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1214
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.3%
in alpha space · 86.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.045778-11.88%0.0382-26.47%0.0748✓1.0519k2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.3795-11.46%1.387-10.98%0.1983✗1.923.4M2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.3357-10.02%1.325-10.74%0.0953✓1.03907k2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1419.1756-9.29%17.96-15.04%0.0061✓0.712.4M2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1232.8148-9.15%17.47-51.63%0.5108✓1.191.4M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,283.46-8.95%10,440.99-7.56%0.1494✗1.336.2M2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.390811-8.80%0.314-26.72%0.1073✓1.1190k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.4003-8.74%7.78-24.47%0.0753✓1.13592k2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0638.7774-7.80%39.23-6.73%0.1501✗1.3815.1M2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum124.47115.0093-7.60%105.47-15.26%0.0021✓0.884.1M2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.9712.7458-7.58%2.11-28.98%0.1344✓1.28686k2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004581-7.48%0.002911-41.20%0.3628✓0.90994k2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum44.841.5912-7.16%32.55-27.34%0.0533✓1.91385k2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.3551-7.09%4.569+26.53%0.3949✗0.8698k2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.7597-6.89%3.024-25.11%0.0547✓1.625.3M2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.029474-6.76%0.02305-27.08%0.1432✓1.0213.8M2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.577.9952-6.71%9.02+5.25%0.1371✗0.161.8M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.091785-6.66%0.06588-33.00%0.2032✓1.282.0M2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.272-6.44%1.2446-8.45%0.1239✗1.456.8M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002071-6.37%0.001548-30.02%0.1904✓1.001.1M2022-09-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.1485-6.29%–pending––1.0913k2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.1869-6.19%6.9782+105.41%0.8318✗0.481.9M2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.1826-6.16%1.615-30.57%0.1854✓1.15177k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.5063-6.10%5.052-27.09%0.1147✓1.3712.8M2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.122542-6.03%0.1274-2.30%0.1247✗0.85209k2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.517994-5.99%0.516-6.35%0.0965✗1.0014k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5426.8405-5.95%20.45-28.35%0.1306✓1.4030.8M2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.077034-5.94%0.067-18.19%0.0262✓1.131.4M2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.132.9479-5.82%2.34-25.24%0.1020✓1.28269k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.614.6964-5.79%15.57-0.19%0.1782✗1.202.6M2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.944839-5.77%0.902-10.04%0.1142✗1.59296k2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20043.0178-5.70%7.4153+131.70%0.9339✗0.351.5M2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.070655-5.67%0.051-31.91%0.2121✓1.13877k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001435-5.63%0.001381-9.22%0.0490✓0.871.4M2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.726378-5.54%0.516-32.90%0.2170✓1.242,7912022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.284.9896-5.50%5.41+2.46%0.1128✗0.322.1M2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4384-5.49%2.61+1.16%0.1629✗0.94636k2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.107-5.43%0.85018-27.37%0.1658✓0.9712k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.277162-5.37%0.21-28.30%0.1768✓1.00138k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4517.4867-5.22%14.72-20.22%0.0474✓1.241.4M2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.8329-5.22%4.296+6.23%0.1492✗0.351.6M2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.916663-5.21%0.7491-22.53%0.0534✓1.47462k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.29188-5.17%0.2299-25.31%0.1296✓1.08232k2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.876446-5.15%0.686-25.76%0.1449✓0.99274k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13662.9777-5.07%2.3273-25.80%0.1126✓1.3313k2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3477.9248-5.06%6.359-23.82%0.1318✓0.886.0M2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.367354-5.05%0.46503+20.20%0.3274✗0.91439k2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.135308-5.05%0.1173-17.68%0.0228✓1.193.7M2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.142154-5.04%0.2016+34.67%0.4387✗0.891.1M2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.9043-5.02%1.514-24.49%0.1107✓1.18234k2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1867.7781-4.98%7.129-12.91%0.0172✓1.045.5M2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.386033-4.96%0.3323-18.18%0.0456✓1.04507k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.1691-4.94%15.995+36.14%0.4819✗1.2214.7M2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.5229-4.92%6.674-25.55%0.1123✓1.3110.0M2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.63020.599224-4.92%0.5779-8.30%0.0670✗1.032.4M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.168798-4.90%0.1336-24.73%0.1290✓1.042.7M2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.5186-4.85%6.46+11.38%0.1922✗0.341.2M2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.822215-4.84%0.657-23.96%0.1297✓0.94377k2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.5688-4.82%4.63-3.54%0.0540✗0.401.3M2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.0135-4.78%3.3754-19.92%0.0707✓1.0253k2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000092638-4.76%0.0004348+347.00%1.6549✗1.08369k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.65811-4.76%0.552-20.12%0.0517✓1.23100k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.050565-4.75%0.045736-13.85%0.0006✓0.9939k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0913.8972-4.74%3.272-20.02%0.0993✓0.751.3M2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008303-4.67%0.00786-9.76%0.0577✗1.12463k2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.350654-4.65%0.29035-21.05%0.0759✓1.1213k2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.243579-4.63%0.1625-36.37%0.2919✓1.121,7402022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.083414-4.63%0.07197-17.71%0.1240✓0.231.1M2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1160.1907-4.63%53.06-15.92%0.0031✓1.2835k2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.185985-4.57%0.1533-21.34%0.0808✓1.12570k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2565.9736-4.51%6.021-3.76%0.0249✓0.173.4M2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.5557-4.51%7.906-11.76%0.0341✓1.1219.3M2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.438759-4.43%0.4204-8.43%0.0912✗1.33207k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.02389-4.43%0.021575-13.69%0.0159✓0.8512k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.6554-4.31%6.62+12.01%0.1933✗0.36894k2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.257892-4.31%0.2293-14.92%0.0243✓0.93629k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana42.840.9593-4.30%35.07-18.06%0.0298✓1.2581.8M2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.052545-4.29%0.0479-12.75%0.0106✓1.02254k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.0891.9996-4.28%1.661-20.49%0.0846✓1.00261k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4742-4.27%1.3351-13.31%0.0306✓1.291.3M2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.074674-4.26%0.0508-34.87%0.2598✓1.25350k2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.4834-4.26%12.214+160.82%1.0255✗0.231.1M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.3647-4.23%13.4676-21.18%0.0916✓1.0359k2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.50320.481961-4.22%0.3846-23.57%0.1072✓1.18892k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.186966-4.22%0.17129-12.25%0.1380✗2.249582022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.8657-4.17%4.354+7.93%0.1453✗0.262.3M2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.516622-4.13%0.3401-36.89%0.2848✓1.32245k2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.291583-4.12%0.2818-7.33%0.0641✗0.9867k2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.8321-4.08%1.49-21.99%0.0991✓1.07182k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.2702-4.07%0.9875-25.42%0.1271✓1.241.1M2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.509645-3.95%0.5124-3.43%0.1147✗1.0943.6M2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.8145-3.94%1.89-35.49%0.3460✓0.52102k2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042172-3.94%0.0394-10.25%0.0370✓1.0476k2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.3371-3.92%10.95-7.20%0.0804✗1.14313k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2018.846-3.86%7.777-15.48%0.0187✓1.0912.9M2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.6007-3.82%2.0477+23.04%0.3763✗1.29619k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.0843-3.82%0.8719-22.66%0.0925✓1.252.3M2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.460075-3.78%0.40366-15.58%0.0804✓0.5070k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.219396-3.77%0.17959-21.23%0.0752✓1.24696k2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.158491-3.71%0.1391-15.49%0.0608✓0.694.4M2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.362169-3.71%0.312676-16.87%0.0340✓1.12916k2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.7723-3.57%2.048-28.77%0.1266✓1.75143k2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.00001189-3.57%0.00001328+7.70%0.2082✗0.97827k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7041-3.56%1.372-22.35%0.0824✓1.34416k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.051541-3.55%0.04614-13.66%0.0343✓0.7617k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.8296-3.55%4.573+55.88%0.5327✗0.521.3M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.059902-3.54%0.0522-15.94%0.0269✓1.10197k2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.121852-3.52%0.1145-9.34%0.0254✓0.87370k2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.117263-3.49%0.0989-18.60%0.0621✓1.07566k2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.4059-3.44%1.222-16.07%0.0301✓1.092.6M2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.142417-3.38%0.1738+17.91%0.3097✗1.1050k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.121088-3.35%0.114707-8.44%0.0387✗0.927.2M2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.3142-3.33%1.9389-19.01%0.0672✓1.0938k2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.084183-3.33%0.07598-12.75%0.0101✓1.1229k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.349287-3.32%0.3223-10.79%0.0187✓0.988.4M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.627351-3.29%0.5249-19.08%0.0895✓0.88755k2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.77e-7-3.29%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0284✓0.776.0M2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.0902-3.27%1.0341-8.24%0.0181✓0.704.1M2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.1127-3.27%1.789-18.09%0.0670✓0.99588k2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05271.0183-3.27%0.8137-22.70%0.1164✓1.07558k2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.088682-3.19%0.0658-28.17%0.2110✓0.87130k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,821.35-3.17%1,774.69-5.65%0.1063✗1.31509.7M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.701315-3.16%0.55641-23.17%0.0931✓1.3769k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.716696-3.15%0.568-23.24%0.0984✓1.33137k2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase21.6320.9609-3.09%16.85-22.10%0.0975✓1.20124k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.215714-3.09%0.1861-16.40%0.0035✓1.431,3132022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009749-3.09%0.00938-6.76%0.0351✗0.735.6M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005011-3.07%0.00413-20.12%0.0805✓1.12112k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.962507-3.07%1.028+3.52%0.1206✗0.544.2M2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.172643-3.06%0.14372-19.30%0.0513✓1.31236k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.7621-3.05%2.224-21.94%0.0955✓1.2059k2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.046495-2.99%0.03978-17.00%0.0720✓0.832,5642022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000046440.000045053-2.99%0.00004456-4.05%0.0742✗0.851.9M2022-09-10
DASHDashDash55.6153.9687-2.95%48.77-12.30%0.0008✓1.00552k2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.444637-2.92%0.3665-19.98%0.0770✓1.16174k2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.9159.1339-2.92%52.32-14.10%0.0155✓1.06551k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.339277-2.87%0.2949-15.57%0.0354✓1.043.6M2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero160.49155.9197-2.85%157.51-1.86%0.1136✗1.031.1M2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.5229.6564-2.83%27.69-9.27%0.0245✓0.9210.8M2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,278.38-2.78%21,651.52-9.58%0.0282✗1.00482.6M2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.263024-2.76%0.2208-18.37%0.0715✓1.0391k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8497-2.76%1.6664-12.40%0.0107✓1.14488k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55104.6291-2.72%92.74-13.77%0.0370✗1.578.2M2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.865-2.70%0.68-23.51%0.0927✓1.474.4M2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.130418-2.67%0.1036-22.69%0.1445✓0.854,5542022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.448235-2.66%0.35407-23.11%0.1309✓1.04118k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.069902-2.64%0.0598-16.71%0.0752✓0.80137k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.538297-2.52%0.4434-19.70%0.0795✓1.1458k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.015554-2.48%0.013066-18.08%0.1029✓0.712.1M2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92860.4112-2.45%55.236-10.81%0.0167✓0.72330k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4832-2.42%1.43-5.92%0.0302✓0.06150k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash79.2677.3533-2.41%65.33-17.58%0.0483✓1.202.4M2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.055836-2.33%0.042535-25.60%0.2200✓0.5230k2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.018809-2.32%0.024191+25.63%0.2665✗0.15223k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0212.9521-2.28%2.807-7.08%0.0359✗0.86587k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.2792-2.21%9.776-7.00%0.0509✗1.002.0M2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.069374-2.13%0.064731-8.68%0.0344✗1.031.7M2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0631-2.12%0.938309-13.62%0.0447✓0.8060k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.026613-2.09%0.02106-22.52%0.1519✓0.82169k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1023,683.78-1.94%21,732.50-10.02%0.0116✓0.9711k2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.4828-1.92%5.11-22.69%0.1271✓1.101.5M2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008182-1.89%0.00593-28.90%0.2566✓0.651.6M2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001020.000001001-1.86%9.10e-7-10.78%0.0176✓0.7722k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.081778-1.85%0.06911-17.05%0.0904✓0.779772022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.047922-1.80%0.0379-22.34%0.1371✓0.9711k2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.895402-1.71%0.978+7.35%0.2086✗1.201.0M2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001675-1.62%0.001601-5.99%0.0356✗0.819,2532022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003930.003868-1.58%0.00322-18.07%0.0715✓1.11534k2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.21e-7-1.58%6.85e-7+109.73%0.8225✗0.66153k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006594-1.56%0.006228-7.02%0.0069✓0.5053k2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.167672-1.43%0.1491-12.35%0.0097✓1.07124k2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.031426-1.39%0.02547-20.08%0.0804✓1.291,9722022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.069398-1.38%0.064586-8.22%0.0117✓0.60186k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.316837-1.30%0.284-11.53%0.0253✓0.841.2M2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.243-1.28%1.0696-15.05%0.0555✓0.9452k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.226836-1.25%0.2116-7.88%0.0687✗1.37110k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98141.3362-1.15%132.64-7.23%0.0500✗1.135.1M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.2585-1.07%0.1307-49.98%0.6807✓0.0144k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.017688-1.02%0.01306-26.92%0.2327✓0.70167k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006553-0.97%0.0063-4.79%0.0323✗0.713,4592022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.58853-0.87%0.5059-14.79%0.0379✓1.13332k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8961.3799-0.82%63.32+2.31%0.1366✗1.0513.7M2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.93724.9041-0.67%4.324-12.42%0.0543✓0.71911k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.845576-0.52%0.73-14.12%0.1032✓0.4491k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.098398-0.41%0.0995+0.71%0.1141✗1.029,1182022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.7514+0.93%4.9455+5.05%0.0527✓0.13367k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.