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2022-08-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2306
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.1%
in alpha space · 60.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7142+0.30%4.7078+0.17%0.0013✓0.13367k2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.93774.9511+0.27%4.9372-0.01%0.0023✓0.71894k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.071352+0.15%0.070882-0.51%0.0059✗1.041.6M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.092028+0.14%0.0916-0.33%0.0040✗0.89130k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006643+0.13%0.006618-0.25%0.0033✗0.733,9632022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.00838+0.12%0.00834-0.36%0.0043✗0.661.6M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.61401+0.10%0.5937-3.21%0.0328✗1.13318k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2262+0.09%1.2591+2.78%0.0272✓0.9552k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.455657+0.08%0.4591+0.83%0.0085✓1.35188k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.132484+0.06%0.134+1.21%0.0120✓0.864,7012022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.464522+0.05%0.4605-0.82%0.0079✗1.05127k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero167.53167.6115+0.05%160.49-4.20%0.0427✗1.031.2M2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.070337+0.04%0.070371+0.09%0.0009✓0.61192k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001758+0.04%0.001703-3.07%0.0310✗0.819,0932022-08-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.0260.026009+0.04%0.0263+1.15%0.0115✓0.4740k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.6186+0.01%61.89+0.45%0.0052✓1.0513.7M2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012401+0.01%0.00001233-0.56%0.0051✗0.98864k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.100806+0.01%0.0988-1.98%0.0194✗1.008,4352022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.165207+0.00%0.1701+2.97%0.0300✓1.08115k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.238296-0.00%0.2226-6.59%0.0671✓1.431,3132022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.7338-0.01%3.611+32.08%0.2789✗0.8592k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060694-0.01%0.078+28.50%0.2518✗1.25339k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.367624-0.01%0.36776+0.02%0.0012✗1.1413k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003830.003829-0.03%0.00393+2.61%0.0269✗1.12517k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.264814-0.03%0.2705+2.11%0.0220✗1.0491k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5195-0.03%1.52+0.00%0.0004✗0.07159k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.34e-7-0.04%3.27e-7-2.22%0.0215✓0.68150k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,907.59-0.05%24,153.10+0.98%0.0109✗0.9711k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29262.2606-0.05%61.928-0.58%0.0048✓0.73321k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0454-0.06%0.993-5.07%0.0510✓0.554.2M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.364151-0.07%0.3613-0.85%0.0071✓0.998.4M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0714-0.07%1.0862+1.31%0.0143✗0.8058k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.271404-0.07%0.3041+11.97%0.1145✗0.9865k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.063454-0.07%0.0621-2.20%0.0208✓1.13197k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001029-0.07%0.00000102-0.97%0.0085✓0.7722k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.717423-0.07%0.7242+0.87%0.0104✗1.3857k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0957-0.07%3.021-2.49%0.0238✓0.87587k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash54.654.5561-0.08%55.61+1.85%0.0199✗1.00552k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.142684-0.08%0.1474+3.22%0.0333✗1.1150k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006073-0.08%0.006698+10.20%0.0983✗0.4951k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049458-0.09%0.0488-1.41%0.0127✓0.9810k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9566-0.09%2.9337-0.86%0.0073✓0.591.3M2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046607-0.09%0.04793+2.74%0.0286✗0.842,4562022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.232385-0.09%0.2297-1.25%0.0106✓1.39107k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.125863-0.09%0.125283-0.55%0.0039✓0.937.2M2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.882146-0.10%0.864-2.15%0.0201✓0.95377k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.228766-0.10%0.228-0.44%0.0025✓1.25703k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana42.542.4562-0.10%42.8+0.71%0.0090✗1.2581.8M2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010299-0.11%0.01006-2.42%0.0229✓0.745.5M2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.3731.3351-0.11%30.52-2.71%0.0257✓0.9310.0M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.7666-0.11%10.512-2.48%0.0232✓1.022.0M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.765115-0.12%0.74-3.39%0.0324✓1.34137k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,934.42-0.12%23,944.86-0.07%0.0012✗1.00472.7M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.339606-0.12%0.321-5.59%0.0557✓0.851.1M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02853.0249-0.12%3.1366+3.57%0.0372✗1.3313k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18142.0124-0.12%142.98+0.56%0.0076✗1.135.0M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001009-0.12%0.00000101+0.00%0.0018✗0.786.0M2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3831-0.13%2.3938+0.32%0.0053✗1.0938k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.073804-0.13%0.0718-2.84%0.0269✓0.81143k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4421-0.13%1.456+0.83%0.0104✗1.102.6M2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015744-0.14%0.015949+1.16%0.0135✗0.712.1M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.48881-0.14%0.47814-2.32%0.0217✓0.5170k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.265618-0.14%0.2695+1.32%0.0152✗0.94629k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.052493-0.15%0.05344+1.65%0.0184✗0.7717k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.024175-0.15%0.024997+3.24%0.0340✗0.8612k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration62.9262.8245-0.15%60.91-3.19%0.0302✓1.07525k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0704-0.15%1.0527-1.80%0.0159✓1.10558k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.044031-0.16%0.0439-0.45%0.0022✓1.0577k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.49790.497113-0.16%0.5032+1.06%0.0130✗1.18892k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1432-0.16%1.1706+2.23%0.0244✗0.9812k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8461-0.16%1.767-4.43%0.0428✓1.35401k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.08729-0.16%0.08708-0.40%0.0016✓1.1229k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000046354-0.16%0.00004644+0.02%0.0025✗0.871.9M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.347303-0.17%0.3493+0.40%0.0065✗1.053.5M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.121687-0.17%0.1215-0.33%0.0008✓1.08566k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17110.9743-0.18%107.55-3.26%0.0302✓1.578.2M2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.057405-0.18%0.057169-0.59%0.0037✓0.5230k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.185759-0.18%0.1949+4.73%0.0488✗1.12553k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.536614-0.18%0.5306-1.30%0.0105✓1.0942.6M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0712-0.18%2.184+5.25%0.0538✗0.99567k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3455-0.18%1.324-1.78%0.0152✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1814-0.18%1.2255+3.54%0.0375✗1.1013k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7338-0.18%8.57-2.06%0.0188✓0.171.8M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.17941-0.19%0.17809-0.92%0.0064✓1.32227k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,850.60-0.19%1,881.04+1.45%0.0173✗1.31480.7M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.6172-0.19%1.6643+2.72%0.0296✗1.31619k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.463904-0.19%0.458-1.46%0.0120✓1.17174k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1592-0.20%1.127-2.97%0.0277✓0.714.4M2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.020235-0.20%0.019255-5.03%0.0495✓0.17215k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.052031-0.20%0.053086+1.83%0.0208✗1.0237k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash78.778.5404-0.20%79.26+0.71%0.0100✗1.202.2M2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.368245-0.21%0.376118+1.93%0.0220✗1.13855k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.126235-0.21%0.1263-0.16%0.0012✓0.88370k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.17004-0.21%0.1646-3.40%0.0320✓0.704.2M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0629.0428-0.21%8.96-1.13%0.0084✓1.1319.0M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1856-0.22%4.2149+0.48%0.0077✗1.0253k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8159-0.22%1.91+4.95%0.0513✗1.07164k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.261008-0.23%0.2613-0.11%0.0011✓0.0135k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054674-0.23%0.0549+0.18%0.0049✗1.04248k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.1304-0.23%1.1274-0.49%0.0017✓1.252.3M2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.2033-0.23%3.2004-0.32%0.0006✓0.381.5M2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.145855-0.24%0.1425-2.53%0.0224✓1.203.4M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004839-0.24%0.00517+6.60%0.0671✗1.13102k2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.415422-0.24%0.40616-2.46%0.0218✓1.05481k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8688-0.24%1.9022+1.54%0.0185✗1.15513k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.6662-0.24%5.8+2.11%0.0236✗0.361.1M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003951-0.25%0.004951+24.99%0.2262✗0.91994k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.032877-0.25%0.03161-4.10%0.0386✓1.0213.8M2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.9549-0.25%5.91-1.01%0.0073✓0.37894k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0464.0357-0.25%4.044-0.05%0.0023✓0.371.6M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.1873-0.26%4.091-2.55%0.0227✓0.751.3M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.881718-0.26%0.911+3.05%0.0335✗1.20984k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.6542-0.26%17.0874-3.46%0.0319✓1.0358k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.4456-0.26%2.326-5.14%0.0493✓1.16177k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.9543-0.26%11.749-1.98%0.0164✓1.2214.7M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.8483-0.27%2.849-0.25%0.0011✓1.2258k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.181412-0.27%0.1775-2.42%0.0210✓1.052.7M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.376957-0.27%0.38689+2.35%0.0267✗0.91405k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.695081-0.28%0.691-0.86%0.0050✓1.2591k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.0324-0.28%0.03187-1.91%0.0156✓1.291,7322022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026535-0.28%0.02718+2.14%0.0246✗0.83159k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.7383-0.29%4.683-1.45%0.0116✓0.251.2M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.246479-0.29%0.2554+3.32%0.0364✗1.131,6562022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.866-0.29%21.63-1.37%0.0100✓1.20118k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0671-0.29%4.034-1.10%0.0080✓0.272.3M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.655454-0.30%0.6487-1.32%0.0097✓0.90755k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.068395-0.30%0.0749+9.18%0.0917✗1.13827k2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.545424-0.31%0.5522+0.93%0.0132✗1.1454k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.972985-0.31%0.924-5.33%0.0509✓1.00271k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0492.0426-0.31%2.005-2.15%0.0177✓1.19234k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.770.767613-0.31%0.85+10.39%0.1023✗0.4686k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000098254-0.31%0.00009727-1.31%0.0096✓0.69421k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.62610.624129-0.31%0.6302+0.65%0.0104✗1.042.4M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.877114-0.33%0.889+1.02%0.0145✗1.484.4M2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.035063-0.33%0.05195+47.67%0.3939✗1.0616k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1521.0788-0.34%21.14-0.05%0.0034✗0.722.4M2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1612.1189-0.34%11.8-2.96%0.0258✓1.15313k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.082419-0.34%0.0819-0.97%0.0055✓1.131.4M2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5745-0.35%1.54-2.53%0.0212✓1.311.2M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.976604-0.35%0.967-1.33%0.0088✓1.50469k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.043.0294-0.35%3.13+2.96%0.0336✗1.28227k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.264.9709-0.35%63.11-3.21%0.0281✓1.2935k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.3179-0.36%8.186-1.94%0.0152✓1.065.7M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.229.1867-0.36%8.964-2.78%0.0236✓1.329.9M2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008927-0.37%0.00871-2.79%0.0238✓1.13457k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.152635-0.37%0.1497-2.28%0.0188✓0.901.1M2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002149-0.37%0.002212+2.55%0.0297✗1.001.1M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.023.0086-0.38%2.93-2.98%0.0261✓0.52110k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018858-0.38%0.01787-5.60%0.0533✓0.71167k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.196806-0.38%0.1952-1.19%0.0066✓2.241,0642022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.6841-0.39%6.61-1.49%0.0103✓1.111.5M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.4088-0.39%5.28-2.76%0.0239✓0.322.1M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.9006-0.39%4.8-2.44%0.0204✓0.411.3M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.089433-0.40%0.08746-2.59%0.0221✓0.231.1M2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.4908-0.40%9.201-3.44%0.0302✓1.1112.4M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1829.0621-0.40%28.54-2.19%0.0171✓1.4130.8M2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5795-0.40%2.58-0.39%0.0009✓0.95636k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1167.0867-0.41%6.929-2.63%0.0215✓1.3812.8M2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum126.64126.1018-0.42%124.47-1.71%0.0124✓0.874.2M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.3676-0.43%6.256-2.17%0.0176✓0.173.4M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.4703-0.43%18.45-0.54%0.0002✓1.241.4M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3833-0.44%1.3595-2.15%0.0163✓1.456.8M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum47.2447.019-0.47%44.8-5.17%0.0470✓1.90362k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1716.0929-0.48%15.6-3.53%0.0302✓1.212.6M2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.9132-0.50%2.875-1.81%0.0119✓1.75134k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.529288-0.51%0.551+3.57%0.0409✗1.0113k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.084806-0.52%0.08332-2.26%0.0171✓0.779772022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.785738-0.54%0.769-2.66%0.0206✓1.252,7912022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.534044-0.55%0.5389+0.35%0.0100✗1.32245k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.3777-0.55%3.3972+0.02%0.0061✗0.511.9M2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.973485-0.57%1.0027+2.41%0.0307✗1.60296k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.5484-0.58%10.3-2.92%0.0230✓1.13562k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1994.1745-0.58%4.038-3.83%0.0321✓1.625.2M2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0954-0.60%2.089-0.90%0.0023✓1.00261k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.2556-0.61%8.347+0.49%0.0116✗0.885.8M2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001511-0.64%0.001521+0.03%0.0073✗0.881.4M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.491851-0.66%0.4285-13.45%0.1371✓1.1285k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5587-0.66%1.558-0.70%0.0010✓1.923.3M2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.103571-0.67%0.09833-5.70%0.0510✓1.281.8M2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.135228-0.71%0.1304-4.26%0.0357✓0.85206k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6011,426.96-0.73%11,294.44-1.88%0.0107✓1.335.8M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.305507-0.74%0.3078+0.00%0.0083✗1.08274k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative3.0573.0334-0.77%2.971-2.81%0.0199✓1.28649k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6838.3401-0.88%36.12-6.62%0.0588✓1.201.3M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8338.4732-0.92%42.06+8.32%0.0901✗1.3814.2M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.454-1.15%1.4845+0.92%0.0215✗1.04907k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.