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2022-08-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2171
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.5%
in alpha space · 63.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7069+0.15%4.7078+0.17%0.0003✓0.13367k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060684-0.03%0.078+28.50%0.2519✗1.25339k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2248-0.03%1.2591+2.78%0.0284✗0.9552k2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.93774.9345-0.06%4.9372-0.01%0.0011✗0.71894k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5187-0.08%1.52+0.00%0.0009✗0.07159k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.5581-0.08%61.89+0.45%0.0061✗1.0513.7M2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.271353-0.09%0.3041+11.97%0.1146✗0.9865k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.232362-0.10%0.2297-1.25%0.0105✓1.39107k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.070233-0.11%0.070371+0.09%0.0024✗0.61192k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.770.76901-0.13%0.85+10.39%0.1005✗0.4686k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008358-0.14%0.00834-0.36%0.0017✓0.661.6M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.33952-0.14%0.321-5.59%0.0555✓0.851.1M2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006623-0.17%0.006618-0.25%0.0003✓0.733,9632022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001754-0.17%0.001703-3.07%0.0289✓0.819,0932022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29262.1808-0.18%61.928-0.58%0.0035✓0.73321k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006067-0.18%0.006698+10.20%0.0993✗0.4951k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001028-0.20%0.00000102-0.97%0.0072✓0.7722k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18141.8964-0.20%142.98+0.56%0.0084✗1.135.0M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.33e-7-0.20%3.27e-7-2.22%0.0200✓0.68150k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0438-0.21%0.993-5.07%0.0495✓0.554.2M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.756-0.21%10.512-2.48%0.0222✓1.022.0M2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012374-0.21%0.00001233-0.56%0.0028✓0.98864k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.363603-0.22%0.3613-0.85%0.0056✓0.998.4M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003830.003822-0.22%0.00393+2.61%0.0288✗1.12517k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash54.654.4736-0.23%55.61+1.85%0.0214✗1.00552k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,905.85-0.24%23,944.86-0.07%0.0024✗1.00472.7M2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4406-0.24%1.456+0.83%0.0115✗1.102.6M2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.3731.2946-0.24%30.52-2.71%0.0244✓0.9310.0M2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.264262-0.24%0.2705+2.11%0.0241✗1.0491k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015727-0.25%0.015949+1.16%0.0145✗0.712.1M2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8687-0.25%1.9022+1.54%0.0186✗1.15513k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0904-0.25%3.021-2.49%0.0221✓0.87587k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana42.542.3943-0.25%42.8+0.71%0.0104✗1.2581.8M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0698-0.25%2.184+5.25%0.0544✗0.99567k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000046313-0.25%0.00004644+0.02%0.0034✗0.871.9M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.071064-0.25%0.070882-0.51%0.0018✓1.041.6M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.764012-0.26%0.74-3.39%0.0310✓1.34137k2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.121583-0.26%0.1215-0.33%0.0001✓1.08566k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.611803-0.26%0.5937-3.21%0.0292✓1.13318k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.091659-0.26%0.0916-0.33%0.0000✓0.89130k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.228379-0.27%0.228-0.44%0.0008✓1.25703k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero167.53167.0684-0.28%160.49-4.20%0.0394✓1.031.2M2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3442-0.28%1.324-1.78%0.0142✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.132021-0.29%0.134+1.21%0.0155✗0.864,7012022-08-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001007-0.29%0.00000101+0.00%0.0035✗0.786.0M2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,849.39-0.29%24,153.10+0.98%0.0134✗0.9711k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043971-0.29%0.0439-0.45%0.0009✓1.0577k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.367923-0.29%0.376118+1.93%0.0228✗1.13855k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002151-0.29%0.002212+2.55%0.0288✗1.001.1M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration62.9262.734-0.30%60.91-3.19%0.0287✓1.07525k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9504-0.30%2.9337-0.86%0.0053✓0.591.3M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.069-0.30%1.0862+1.31%0.0166✗0.8058k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049351-0.30%0.0488-1.41%0.0105✓0.9810k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.164704-0.30%0.1701+2.97%0.0330✗1.08115k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.7258-0.30%3.611+32.08%0.2818✗0.8592k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.379-0.30%2.3938+0.32%0.0070✗1.0938k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008933-0.30%0.00871-2.79%0.0245✓1.13457k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.142362-0.31%0.1474+3.22%0.0356✗1.1150k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.125589-0.31%0.125283-0.55%0.0018✓0.937.2M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.877232-0.31%0.889+1.02%0.0144✗1.484.4M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.1261-0.32%0.1263-0.16%0.0022✓0.88370k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.49790.496323-0.32%0.5032+1.06%0.0146✗1.18892k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.535297-0.32%0.5389+0.35%0.0077✗1.32245k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.4908-0.32%18.45-0.54%0.0013✓1.241.4M2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.100477-0.32%0.0988-1.98%0.0161✓1.008,4352022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.34678-0.32%0.3493+0.40%0.0080✗1.053.5M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.063294-0.32%0.0621-2.20%0.0182✓1.13197k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.196919-0.32%0.1952-1.19%0.0071✓2.241,0642022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.032384-0.33%0.03187-1.91%0.0151✓1.291,7322022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1412-0.33%1.1706+2.23%0.0261✗0.9812k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.9503-0.33%5.91-1.01%0.0065✓0.37894k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010276-0.33%0.01006-2.42%0.0207✓0.745.5M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.655199-0.33%0.6487-1.32%0.0093✓0.90755k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.057312-0.34%0.057169-0.59%0.0021✓0.5230k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.179131-0.34%0.17809-0.92%0.0049✓1.32227k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.6146-0.35%1.6643+2.72%0.0312✗1.31619k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.453701-0.35%0.4591+0.83%0.0128✗1.35188k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.020204-0.35%0.019255-5.03%0.0480✓0.17215k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.260677-0.35%0.2613-0.11%0.0024✓0.0135k2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.545163-0.35%0.5522+0.93%0.0136✗1.1454k2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.414943-0.35%0.40616-2.46%0.0206✓1.05481k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.1289-0.37%1.1274-0.49%0.0004✓1.252.3M2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.087107-0.37%0.08708-0.40%0.0005✓1.1229k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8132-0.37%1.91+4.95%0.0528✗1.07164k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.265004-0.37%0.2695+1.32%0.0175✗0.94629k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.487676-0.37%0.47814-2.32%0.0194✓0.5170k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17110.7533-0.37%107.55-3.26%0.0282✓1.578.2M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1787-0.38%4.2149+0.48%0.0094✗1.0253k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.535531-0.38%0.5306-1.30%0.0085✓1.0942.6M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.845-0.39%2.849-0.25%0.0023✓1.2258k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,846.97-0.39%1,881.04+1.45%0.0192✗1.31480.7M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.462466-0.39%0.4605-0.82%0.0035✓1.05127k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054584-0.39%0.0549+0.18%0.0065✗1.04248k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.6835-0.40%6.61-1.49%0.0103✓1.111.5M2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.073608-0.40%0.0718-2.84%0.0243✓0.81143k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.3147-0.40%8.186-1.94%0.0148✓1.065.7M2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.4909-0.40%9.201-3.44%0.0302✓1.1112.4M2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0625-0.40%4.034-1.10%0.0069✓0.272.3M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.366184-0.40%0.36776+0.02%0.0051✗1.1413k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.306555-0.40%0.3078+0.00%0.0048✗1.08274k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.6569-0.41%5.8+2.11%0.0252✗0.361.1M2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046459-0.41%0.04793+2.74%0.0318✗0.842,4562022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0676-0.41%1.0527-1.80%0.0133✓1.10558k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.46288-0.41%0.458-1.46%0.0098✓1.17174k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.8994-0.42%4.8-2.44%0.0202✓0.411.3M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.089415-0.42%0.08746-2.59%0.0219✓0.231.1M2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1565-0.43%1.127-2.97%0.0254✓0.714.4M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0492.0402-0.43%2.005-2.15%0.0166✓1.19234k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.023.007-0.43%2.93-2.98%0.0256✓0.52110k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000098136-0.43%0.00009727-1.31%0.0084✓0.69421k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.714859-0.43%0.7242+0.87%0.0140✗1.3857k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.051908-0.43%0.053086+1.83%0.0232✗1.0237k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5788-0.43%2.58-0.39%0.0012✓0.95636k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.152527-0.44%0.1497-2.28%0.0181✓0.901.1M2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.62610.623291-0.45%0.6302+0.65%0.0118✗1.042.4M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.052334-0.45%0.05344+1.65%0.0215✗0.7717k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.181078-0.45%0.1775-2.42%0.0192✓1.052.7M2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0984-0.45%2.089-0.90%0.0038✓1.00261k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7102-0.45%8.57-2.06%0.0161✓0.171.8M2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.878872-0.47%0.864-2.15%0.0164✓0.95377k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1167.0822-0.48%6.929-2.63%0.0209✓1.3812.8M2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.929-0.48%11.749-1.98%0.0143✓1.2214.7M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.229.1757-0.48%8.964-2.78%0.0224✓1.329.9M2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1612.1014-0.48%11.8-2.96%0.0244✓1.15313k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.6139-0.49%17.0874-3.46%0.0296✓1.0358k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.068264-0.49%0.0749+9.18%0.0936✗1.13827k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8398-0.50%1.767-4.43%0.0394✓1.35401k2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3825-0.50%1.3595-2.15%0.0157✓1.456.8M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02853.0134-0.50%3.1366+3.57%0.0410✗1.3313k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.529335-0.50%0.551+3.57%0.0408✗1.0113k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.264.8716-0.50%63.11-3.21%0.0266✓1.2935k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.974124-0.51%1.0027+2.41%0.0301✗1.60296k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.572-0.51%1.54-2.53%0.0196✓1.311.2M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.2635-0.51%8.347+0.49%0.0107✗0.885.8M2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0464.0252-0.51%4.044-0.05%0.0049✓0.371.6M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.376033-0.52%0.38689+2.35%0.0291✗0.91405k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.4392-0.52%2.326-5.14%0.0467✓1.16177k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.194-0.52%3.2004-0.32%0.0023✓0.381.5M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.169504-0.53%0.1646-3.40%0.0289✓0.704.2M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.185113-0.53%0.1949+4.73%0.0523✗1.12553k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1829.0223-0.54%28.54-2.19%0.0157✓1.4130.8M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.785727-0.54%0.769-2.66%0.0206✓1.252,7912022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.9122-0.54%2.875-1.81%0.0116✓1.75134k2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.974676-0.54%0.967-1.33%0.0068✓1.50469k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.3778-0.55%3.3972+0.02%0.0061✗0.511.9M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.4003-0.55%5.28-2.76%0.0223✓0.322.1M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.043.0234-0.55%3.13+2.96%0.0356✗1.28227k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.7253-0.56%4.683-1.45%0.0088✓0.251.2M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.236942-0.57%0.2226-6.59%0.0614✓1.431,3132022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.692997-0.57%0.691-0.86%0.0020✓1.2591k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1716.0739-0.59%15.6-3.53%0.0291✓1.212.6M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.245724-0.60%0.2554+3.32%0.0394✗1.131,6562022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6011,441.88-0.60%11,294.44-1.88%0.0120✓1.335.8M2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026451-0.60%0.02718+2.14%0.0278✗0.83159k2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0629.0074-0.60%8.96-1.13%0.0045✓1.1319.0M2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.082201-0.60%0.0819-0.97%0.0029✓1.131.4M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.1726-0.61%4.091-2.55%0.0192✓0.751.3M2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash78.778.2142-0.62%79.26+0.71%0.0142✗1.202.2M2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1994.1731-0.62%4.038-3.83%0.0317✓1.625.2M2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum126.64125.8529-0.62%124.47-1.71%0.0104✓0.874.2M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1762-0.63%1.2255+3.54%0.0419✗1.1013k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.032751-0.63%0.03161-4.10%0.0347✓1.0213.8M2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.024057-0.64%0.024997+3.24%0.0390✗0.8612k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004817-0.68%0.00517+6.60%0.0715✗1.13102k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.7745-0.71%21.63-1.37%0.0058✓1.20118k2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003931-0.75%0.004951+24.99%0.2313✗0.91994k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018788-0.75%0.01787-5.60%0.0496✓0.71167k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.034913-0.76%0.05195+47.67%0.3982✗1.0616k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.084592-0.77%0.08332-2.26%0.0146✓0.779772022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.145066-0.78%0.1425-2.53%0.0170✓1.203.4M2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.103456-0.78%0.09833-5.70%0.0499✓1.281.8M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.96828-0.79%0.924-5.33%0.0461✓1.00271k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.9788-0.81%21.14-0.05%0.0082✗0.722.4M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.343-0.81%6.256-2.17%0.0137✓0.173.4M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8338.4881-0.88%42.06+8.32%0.0897✗1.3814.2M2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.555-0.89%1.558-0.70%0.0033✓1.923.3M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.875852-0.92%0.911+3.05%0.0402✗1.20984k2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum47.2446.7835-0.97%44.8-5.17%0.0420✓1.90362k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.489524-1.13%0.4285-13.45%0.1323✓1.1285k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative3.0573.0218-1.15%2.971-2.81%0.0160✓1.28649k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6838.2175-1.20%36.12-6.62%0.0556✓1.201.3M2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.134334-1.37%0.1304-4.26%0.0291✓0.85206k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.45-1.51%10.3-2.92%0.0136✓1.13562k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001495-1.66%0.001521+0.03%0.0177✗0.881.4M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.4272-2.97%1.4845+0.92%0.0401✗1.04907k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.