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2022-08-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1664
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.8%
in alpha space · 87.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.3822-11.90%1.411-10.07%0.2405✗1.923.3M2022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.3084-11.05%1.3501-8.21%0.1503✗1.04907k2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.619.5892-9.62%7.92-25.35%0.0614✓1.13562k2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1519.1589-9.41%18.09-14.47%0.0250✓0.722.4M2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.448796-9.35%0.3091-37.57%0.2448✓1.1285k2022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6835.0931-9.27%17.28-55.33%0.5710✓1.201.3M2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6010,455.49-9.17%10,439.05-9.31%0.1512✗1.335.8M2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative3.0572.8146-7.93%2.111-30.95%0.1406✓1.28649k2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum126.64116.9682-7.64%103.35-18.39%0.0235✓0.874.2M2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8335.9327-7.46%39.19+0.93%0.2451✗1.3814.2M2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum47.2443.7268-7.44%32.42-31.37%0.0814✓1.90362k2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1993.8984-7.16%2.999-28.58%0.0761✓1.625.2M2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.030676-6.93%0.02351-28.67%0.1491✓1.0213.8M2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.097076-6.90%0.06971-33.14%0.1842✓1.281.8M2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.127089-6.69%0.1242-8.81%0.0749✗0.85206k2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1701-6.63%8.88+1.49%0.1034✗0.171.8M2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.2993-6.48%1.2042-13.33%0.0899✗1.456.8M2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.2938-6.45%1.545-36.99%0.2621✓1.16177k2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.00202-6.36%0.001551-28.09%0.1494✓1.001.1M2022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1166.677-6.17%5.047-29.08%0.1215✓1.3812.8M2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001427-6.16%0.001388-8.73%0.0730✗0.881.4M2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.188-6.14%6.9482+104.58%0.8372✗0.511.9M2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.077664-6.09%0.064-22.61%0.0643✓1.131.4M2022-09-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1121-6.04%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.742357-6.03%0.497-37.09%0.2575✓1.252,7912022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.50001-6.01%0.444-16.54%0.0032✓1.0113k2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1827.4448-5.95%20.4-30.09%0.1350✓1.4130.8M2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.921634-5.87%0.8564-12.53%0.1102✗1.60296k2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.2489-5.70%15.48-4.27%0.1535✗1.212.6M2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.8673-5.68%2.35-22.70%0.0515✓1.28227k2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.0299-5.63%7.5152+134.06%0.9525✗0.381.5M2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.921628-5.57%0.685-29.82%0.1817✓1.00271k2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.0826-5.45%0.84654-26.07%0.1331✓0.9812k2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1343-5.44%5.39-0.74%0.0858✗0.322.1M2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4504-5.39%2.58-0.39%0.1602✗0.95636k2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.928451-5.26%0.7844-19.96%0.0031✓1.50469k2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum9.228.7367-5.24%6.51-29.39%0.1426✓1.329.9M2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.8368-5.17%4.223+4.37%0.1387✗0.371.6M2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.138646-5.17%0.1126-22.98%0.0703✓1.203.4M2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.394932-5.16%0.33379-19.84%0.0478✓1.05481k2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.172522-5.16%0.1353-25.62%0.1224✓1.052.7M2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum65.261.8491-5.14%51.69-20.72%0.0311✓1.2935k2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.145374-5.11%0.2053+34.01%0.4483✗0.901.1M2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3487.9218-5.11%7.1-14.95%0.0120✓1.065.7M2022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.292177-5.08%0.2292-25.54%0.1184✓1.08274k2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5517.6093-5.07%14.71-20.70%0.0371✓1.241.4M2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008508-5.04%0.00784-12.50%0.0484✓1.13457k2022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0491.9466-5.00%1.485-27.53%0.1343✓1.19234k2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.6755-4.97%4.61-6.30%0.0330✓0.411.3M2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.049547-4.96%0.046222-11.34%0.0477✓1.0237k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1983.9898-4.96%3.24-22.82%0.1222✓0.751.3M2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.62610.595173-4.94%0.5768-7.87%0.0874✗1.042.4M2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.8791-4.93%2.3273-23.15%0.0598✓1.3313k2022-09-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000093725-4.91%0.00043064+336.93%1.6036✗0.69421k2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.399-4.90%16.126+34.54%0.4874✗1.2214.7M2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003768-4.89%0.002899-26.81%0.1574✓0.91994k2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.187913-4.88%0.17041-13.74%0.1593✗2.241,0642022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.4062-4.82%6.39+12.50%0.2084✗0.361.1M2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.022.875-4.80%1.85-38.74%0.3814✓0.52110k2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.06531-4.80%0.0518-24.49%0.1016✓1.13827k2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.359899-4.79%0.4161+10.08%0.2501✗0.91405k2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.663784-4.77%0.548-21.38%0.0488✓1.2591k2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3067.9107-4.76%6.379-23.20%0.1139✓0.885.8M2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.84099-4.76%0.659-25.37%0.1348✓0.95377k2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.085556-4.72%0.07205-19.76%0.1453✓0.231.1M2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.177352-4.70%0.1548-16.82%0.0074✓1.12553k2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.350444-4.69%0.29001-21.12%0.0590✓1.1413k2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.0986-4.63%6.12-4.30%0.0235✓0.173.4M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.434362-4.60%0.4155-8.74%0.1103✗1.35188k2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase17.716.8865-4.60%12.9714-26.72%0.1456✓1.0358k2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.0033-4.56%3.3109-21.07%0.0725✓1.0253k2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.6541-4.50%7.744-14.54%0.0185✓1.1319.0M2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.052353-4.46%0.0475-13.32%0.0219✓1.04248k2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5098-4.45%1.3263-16.06%0.0203✓1.311.2M2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.5426-4.41%12.387+160.67%1.0322✗0.251.2M2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.023181-4.26%0.02179-10.00%0.0370✓0.8612k2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.254835-4.20%0.2297-13.65%0.0045✓0.94629k2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.236886-4.17%0.1641-33.62%0.2379✓1.131,6562022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana42.540.7279-4.17%34.69-18.38%0.0167✓1.2581.8M2022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.7722-4.16%1.38-25.37%0.0957✓1.35401k2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.514863-4.12%0.332-38.18%0.2868✓1.32245k2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0793.9121-4.09%4.322+5.96%0.1309✗0.272.3M2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.7277-4.06%6.47+8.38%0.1645✗0.37894k2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0234-4.01%1.685-20.07%0.0681✓1.00261k2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.294-4.00%0.9795-27.34%0.1364✓1.241.1M2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.050467-4.00%0.04619-12.14%0.0001✓0.7717k2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.469988-3.99%0.39753-18.79%0.1084✓0.5170k2022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.6755-3.98%10.69-12.09%0.0434✗1.15313k2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.516374-3.95%0.5022-6.58%0.0978✗1.0942.6M2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.1549-3.93%7.759-18.57%0.0381✓1.1112.4M2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.042385-3.89%0.0391-11.34%0.0398✗1.0577k2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.49790.479124-3.77%0.3813-23.42%0.0931✓1.18892k2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.3896-3.77%1.234-14.54%0.0078✓1.102.6M2022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.5595-3.75%1.8421+13.69%0.3164✗1.31619k2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.355184-3.75%0.313944-14.92%0.0061✓1.13855k2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.033864-3.74%0.03907+11.06%0.2645✗1.0616k2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.229413-3.73%0.1851-22.32%0.0501✓1.431,3132022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.8197-3.70%2.01-31.35%0.1379✓1.75134k2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.0911-3.70%0.881-22.24%0.0703✓1.252.3M2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.08423-3.66%0.07407-15.28%0.0005✓1.1229k2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.220621-3.66%0.17882-21.91%0.0669✓1.25703k2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000011955-3.59%0.00001292+4.19%0.1906✗0.98864k2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.16433-3.56%0.1374-19.37%0.0992✓0.704.2M2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.061261-3.53%0.052-18.11%0.0346✓1.13197k2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.122065-3.51%0.1144-9.57%0.0360✗0.88370k2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.7569-3.47%1.48-18.68%0.0486✓1.07164k2022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.137971-3.38%0.1389-2.73%0.1340✗1.1150k2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.693847-3.36%0.55787-22.30%0.0594✓1.3857k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.117816-3.35%0.0985-19.20%0.0548✓1.08566k2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.009965-3.35%0.00972-5.72%0.0602✗0.745.5M2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.8605-3.33%4.4753+51.23%0.5149✗0.591.3M2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1228-3.33%1.0469-9.87%0.0120✓0.714.4M2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.76e-7-3.33%9.10e-7-9.90%0.0186✓0.786.0M2022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0062-3.32%1.845-11.08%0.0303✓0.99567k2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.173857-3.28%0.14129-21.40%0.0558✓1.32227k2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.635962-3.26%0.5324-19.01%0.0741✓0.90755k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.352822-3.18%0.3246-10.92%0.0300✓0.998.4M2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000044956-3.17%0.00004454-4.07%0.0906✗0.871.9M2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0129-3.16%1.04-0.57%0.0890✗0.554.2M2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,795.53-3.16%1,719.21-7.28%0.1074✗1.31480.7M2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.122004-3.16%0.114404-9.19%0.0424✗0.937.2M2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.852627-3.11%0.691-21.48%0.0403✓1.484.4M2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17107.7389-3.09%91.14-18.02%0.0129✓1.578.2M2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0393-3.05%0.80804-24.62%0.1249✓1.10558k2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.769-3.05%2.192-23.25%0.0942✓1.2258k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.256857-3.04%0.2217-16.31%0.0279✓1.0491k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3138-3.04%1.936-18.86%0.0529✓1.0938k2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.2646-3.03%16.88-23.03%0.0927✓1.20118k2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.01966-3.03%0.02424+19.56%0.2286✗0.17215k2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.450725-3.03%0.3721-19.94%0.0576✓1.17174k2022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum31.3730.422-3.02%27.21-13.26%0.0052✓0.9310.0M2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,240.38-3.01%21,364.50-10.84%0.0306✗1.00472.7M2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.089142-3.00%0.0636-30.79%0.2354✓0.89130k2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero167.53162.5366-2.98%161.29-3.72%0.1106✗1.031.2M2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.337739-2.92%0.2922-16.01%0.0248✓1.053.5M2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration62.9261.106-2.88%52.65-16.32%0.0264✓1.07525k2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.744448-2.81%0.561-26.76%0.1296✓1.34137k2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.04534-2.81%0.03896-16.48%0.0548✓0.842,4562022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.451465-2.76%0.35417-23.72%0.1226✓1.05127k2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048174-2.68%0.0376-24.04%0.1358✓0.9810k2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29260.6396-2.65%55.512-10.88%0.0049✓0.73321k2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8237-2.65%1.6453-12.17%0.0285✗1.15513k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.07198-2.60%0.0602-18.54%0.0856✓0.81143k2022-09-09
DASHDashDash54.653.1942-2.57%49.01-10.24%0.0333✗1.00552k2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.056051-2.53%0.042569-25.98%0.2153✓0.5230k2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.5098-2.50%9.611-10.84%0.0271✗1.022.0M2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004729-2.49%0.00416-14.23%0.0012✓1.13102k2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.129156-2.45%0.1034-21.90%0.1235✓0.864,7012022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0226-2.43%2.75-11.23%0.0055✓0.87587k2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015383-2.43%0.013248-15.97%0.0684✓0.712.1M2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4834-2.41%1.43-5.92%0.0281✓0.07159k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008175-2.33%0.00584-30.23%0.2607✓0.661.6M2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash78.776.9158-2.27%66.01-16.12%0.0147✓1.202.2M2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.26e-7-2.26%7.32e-7+119.08%0.8854✗0.68150k2022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.332465-2.22%0.277-18.53%0.0855✓0.851.1M2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.059386-2.17%0.0531-12.52%0.0316✗1.25339k2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.083422-2.14%0.06733-21.02%0.1254✓0.779772022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.535377-2.14%0.4513-17.51%0.0405✓1.1454k2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.069796-2.03%0.063921-10.28%0.0308✗1.041.6M2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0508-1.99%0.927032-13.54%0.0332✓0.8058k2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003830.00376-1.82%0.00328-14.36%0.0079✓1.12517k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.266659-1.82%0.2765+1.80%0.1490✗0.9865k2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001011-1.81%9.50e-7-7.77%0.0259✗0.7722k2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.5903-1.78%5.02-25.19%0.1443✓1.111.5M2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026144-1.75%0.02126-20.11%0.1121✓0.83159k2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018599-1.75%0.01236-34.71%0.3276✓0.71167k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,504.05-1.74%21,371.80-10.65%0.0160✓0.9711k2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001728-1.66%0.001624-7.57%0.0311✗0.819,0932022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.869492-1.64%0.962+8.82%0.2387✗1.20984k2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.00598-1.61%0.006311+3.83%0.1098✗0.4951k2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.031996-1.52%0.026-19.98%0.0596✓1.291,7322022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.069245-1.51%0.063383-9.85%0.0189✓0.61192k2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.162726-1.50%0.1499-9.26%0.0418✗1.08115k2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.6939-1.47%4.674+70.96%0.6491✗0.8592k2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.229431-1.36%0.2145-7.78%0.0918✗1.39107k2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006556-1.18%0.006215-6.32%0.0301✗0.733,9632022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.606855-1.07%0.4993-18.60%0.0656✓1.13318k2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.258828-1.06%0.1358-48.09%0.6435✓0.0135k2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18140.8304-0.95%132.9-6.53%0.0718✗1.135.0M2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.09989-0.90%0.0939-6.85%0.0530✗1.008,4352022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.93774.8952-0.86%4.3137-12.64%0.0446✓0.71894k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2147-0.85%1.0805-11.81%0.0079✓0.9552k2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.2716-0.55%61.15-0.75%0.1187✗1.0513.7M2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.770.767827-0.28%0.73-5.19%0.0024✓0.4686k2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7812+1.73%4.9689+5.72%0.0529✓0.13367k2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.