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2022-08-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3173
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.1%
in alpha space · 11.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7839+0.21%4.9377+3.43%0.0074✓0.71887k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.592495+0.12%0.6134+3.65%0.0038✗1.13318k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.088186+0.10%0.0919+4.31%0.0110✓0.89127k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001658+0.09%0.001757+6.04%0.0305✓0.808,9342022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1699+0.08%1.2251+4.81%0.0138✓0.9552k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.06907+0.06%0.071244+3.21%0.0044✗1.041.6M2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero158.78158.8504+0.04%167.53+5.51%0.0182✓1.031.2M2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.431881+0.04%0.4553+5.47%0.0069✓1.35207k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0229+0.02%4.7-6.41%0.0714✗0.14367k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008251+0.01%0.00837+1.45%0.0083✗0.661.6M2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.435271+0.00%0.46429+6.67%0.0291✓1.04124k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.9646+0.00%111.17+13.49%0.0735✓1.558.2M2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1859.1785-0.00%61.61+4.11%0.0044✗1.0513.7M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006485-0.00%0.006634+2.30%0.0020✓0.734,4282022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.126987-0.01%0.1324+4.25%0.0124✗0.864,5002022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.154775-0.02%0.1652+6.72%0.0286✗1.07110k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000012045-0.04%0.0000124+2.90%0.0046✓0.99864k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068438-0.04%0.070307+2.69%0.0063✗0.60216k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.097657-0.04%0.1008+3.17%0.0026✓1.017,6272022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.218198-0.05%0.2383+9.16%0.0396✗1.421,2802022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.354884-0.06%0.36767+3.54%0.0034✓1.1413k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003680.003678-0.06%0.00383+4.08%0.0023✗1.12517k2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044609-0.07%0.04665+4.50%0.0161✗0.842,3482022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017488-0.07%0.01893+8.17%0.0557✗0.69167k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.807352-0.08%0.883+9.28%0.0577✗0.93377k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.250983-0.09%0.2649+5.45%0.0186✗1.0491k2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5368-0.09%2.734+7.68%0.0461✗0.8486k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.09%3.34e-7+1.41%0.0083✓0.68150k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003353-0.09%0.003961+18.03%0.1369✗0.87988k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.259846-0.10%0.2716+4.42%0.0107✗0.9865k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.344847-0.10%0.3644+5.56%0.0216✗0.988.4M2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7134.5579-0.11%142.18+5.55%0.0167✗1.135.0M2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.13635-0.11%0.1428+4.62%0.0084✗1.1155k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,184.07-0.11%23,919.30+3.06%0.0019✓0.9712k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009859-0.12%0.01031+4.46%0.0196✗0.745.3M2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0168-0.12%1.046+2.75%0.0097✗0.543.7M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9416-0.12%3.098+5.20%0.0223✗0.87585k2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana40.3540.3019-0.12%42.5+5.33%0.0105✗1.2579.4M2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022801-0.12%0.024212+6.06%0.0309✗0.8512k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.47780.477205-0.12%0.4979+4.21%0.0023✗1.18892k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0369-0.13%1.4709+41.68%0.3173✗0.95907k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.8406-0.13%31.37+4.99%0.0185✗0.929.4M2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058822-0.13%0.0607+3.06%0.0114✓1.25339k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.833-0.13%2.9592+4.31%0.0238✗0.581.2M2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,701.09-0.13%1,854.12+8.85%0.0417✗1.30453.9M2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.047435-0.14%0.0495+4.21%0.0093✗0.9810k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71959.6342-0.14%62.292+4.31%0.0189✗0.72321k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059815-0.14%0.0635+6.01%0.0215✗1.12185k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004504-0.14%0.00485+7.54%0.0359✗1.1299k2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042738-0.14%0.0441+3.04%0.0045✓1.0577k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2723,124.55-0.15%23,962.18+3.47%0.0015✗1.00455.4M2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.69e-7-0.15%0.00000101+4.12%0.0156✗0.776.0M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash52.9752.8924-0.15%54.6+3.08%0.0025✓1.00552k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.225765-0.15%0.2326+2.87%0.0177✓1.3997k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.07109-0.15%0.0739+3.79%0.0112✗0.81151k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8911-0.16%3.0285+4.59%0.0009✓1.3313k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.036-0.16%1.0722+3.33%0.0070✗0.8056k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.327481-0.16%0.34+3.66%0.0087✗0.841.1M2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.112721-0.16%0.1219+7.97%0.0417✗1.07566k2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.121849-0.16%0.125982+3.23%0.0016✗0.937.1M2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.5192-0.16%10.779+2.31%0.0104✓1.021.9M2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050688-0.16%0.05257+3.55%0.0102✗0.7717k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2918-0.16%2.3862+3.95%0.0031✗1.0938k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000043329-0.16%0.00004643+6.98%0.0398✗0.861.9M2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006171-0.17%0.006078-1.67%0.0321✓0.5050k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5274-0.17%1.52-0.65%0.0074✓0.07173k2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.714785-0.17%0.766+6.98%0.0238✗1.33137k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.250374-0.17%0.266+6.06%0.0286✗0.94681k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.055197-0.17%0.057508+4.01%0.0234✗0.5229k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031505-0.18%0.03518+11.47%0.0749✗1.0414k2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.328019-0.18%0.3479+5.87%0.0233✗1.043.5M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015314-0.18%0.015766+2.77%0.0050✗0.712.1M2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5231-0.18%1.6203+6.19%0.0175✗1.30698k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.1034-0.18%1.145+3.58%0.0035✗0.9812k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.663994-0.18%0.71796+7.93%0.0312✗1.3857k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.2660.1406-0.20%62.92+4.41%0.0088✗1.07489k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.049208-0.20%0.052134+5.73%0.0231✗1.0137k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.480588-0.20%0.48951+1.65%0.0008✓0.5268k2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.085804-0.20%0.08743+1.69%0.0198✓1.1329k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7633-0.21%1.849+4.64%0.0015✓1.35383k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.4922-0.21%8.75+2.82%0.0241✗0.171.8M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.448953-0.21%0.4648+3.31%0.0053✓1.17165k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.808264-0.21%0.884+9.14%0.0491✗1.18968k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.7063-0.21%1.82+6.43%0.0282✗1.06140k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3621-0.21%1.444+5.79%0.0209✗1.102.5M2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.173446-0.22%0.17975+3.41%0.0095✓1.32216k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2912-0.22%1.348+4.17%0.0008✓1.241.1M2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1426-0.22%1.1836+3.36%0.0022✓1.1013k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9557-0.22%2.075+5.87%0.0255✗0.99588k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.218506-0.23%0.229+4.57%0.0043✗1.25716k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.1002-0.23%1.1615+5.33%0.0300✗0.714.4M2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.12292-0.23%0.1265+2.68%0.0013✓0.88370k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0174-0.23%1.072+5.12%0.0146✗1.10543k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.23%0.00000103+6.19%0.0374✗0.7322k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.343392-0.23%0.369005+7.21%0.0337✗1.12875k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.139272-0.23%0.1462+4.73%0.0076✗1.203.1M2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.169301-0.24%0.1861+9.66%0.0568✗1.11548k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.7291-0.24%9.062+3.57%0.0012✓1.1318.6M2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.8721-0.24%21.93+10.09%0.0579✗1.19118k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.170973-0.25%0.1819+6.13%0.0263✗1.042.8M2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0582-0.25%3.2108+4.73%0.0358✗0.381.4M2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.404023-0.25%0.41642+2.81%0.0057✓1.05481k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.01454.0045-0.25%4.1947+4.49%0.0116✗1.0257k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.026253-0.26%0.02661+1.10%0.0149✓0.83159k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.511664-0.26%0.5376+4.80%0.0122✗1.0940.5M2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.020108-0.26%0.020275+0.57%0.0025✓0.17215k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.9167-0.26%4.046+3.03%0.0199✗0.371.6M2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.347985-0.26%0.37799+8.34%0.0520✗0.90396k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.9939-0.26%17.7+3.88%0.0056✗1.0358k2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.3589-0.26%11.986+5.24%0.0120✗1.2214.4M2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.8009-0.26%1.8733+3.74%0.0003✓1.15530k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.1044-0.27%1.133+2.31%0.0174✓1.262.0M2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.495-0.27%5.68+3.09%0.0210✗0.361.1M2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.8339-0.28%5.97+2.05%0.0104✗0.37894k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.053649-0.28%0.0548+1.86%0.0144✓1.04248k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.515644-0.28%0.5471+5.80%0.0207✗1.1350k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash79.8179.5851-0.28%78.7-1.39%0.0528✓1.222.0M2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.3304-0.28%2.452+4.92%0.0113✗1.16172k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.668041-0.29%0.697+4.03%0.0001✓1.2591k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.5507-0.29%4.752+4.12%0.0349✗0.251.1M2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.064012-0.29%0.0686+6.85%0.0308✗1.13827k2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.7357-0.30%2.856+4.08%0.0015✓1.2254k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.032053-0.30%0.03296+2.52%0.0071✓1.0313.9M2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4257-0.30%1.58+10.49%0.0587✗1.291.2M2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.235288-0.30%0.2472+4.75%0.0110✗1.121,5612022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.621496-0.31%0.6574+5.45%0.0256✗0.90755k2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.3217-0.34%12.16+7.04%0.0326✗1.14306k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8601-0.35%3.02+5.23%0.0373✗0.50110k2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260379-0.35%0.2616+0.11%0.0043✗0.0135k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.7972-0.35%8.348+6.68%0.0324✗1.055.9M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.288-0.36%1.3894+7.49%0.0267✗1.446.8M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031676-0.36%0.03249+2.20%0.0190✓1.301,7322022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.85293-0.36%0.88+2.80%0.0196✓1.494.4M2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2459.0275-0.36%65.2+10.06%0.0559✗1.2835k2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000096432-0.36%0.00009856+1.84%0.0006✓0.62421k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.145172-0.36%0.1532+5.15%0.0233✗0.891.1M2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.4084-0.36%9.22+9.25%0.0474✗1.319.9M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9984-0.36%4.079+1.64%0.0106✗0.272.2M2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002132-0.37%0.002157+0.79%0.0225✓1.001.2M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4327.3289-0.37%29.18+6.38%0.0176✗1.4030.7M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5720.4936-0.37%21.15+2.82%0.0070✗0.722.6M2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.60670.604442-0.37%0.6261+3.20%0.0002✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008677-0.38%0.00896+2.87%0.0067✓1.14457k2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.24-0.38%5.43+3.23%0.0247✗0.322.1M2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4852-0.38%6.71+3.07%0.0041✓1.121.4M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.950287-0.39%0.976+2.31%0.0076✓1.01263k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum42.6542.4834-0.39%47.24+10.76%0.0421✗1.88328k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.175797-0.40%0.1704-3.46%0.0555✓0.713.9M2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0322.0238-0.40%2.049+0.84%0.0286✓1.20234k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.691-0.41%2.928+8.36%0.0250✗1.74131k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.8654-0.41%9.529+7.04%0.0346✗1.1011.8M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.080764-0.41%0.0827+1.97%0.0149✓1.131.4M2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7998-0.42%4.92+2.07%0.0107✗0.411.3M2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.5056-0.42%18.55+5.52%0.0156✗1.241.4M2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8774-0.44%3.04+5.19%0.0112✗1.28227k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.944786-0.44%0.98+3.27%0.0146✓1.50469k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.190072-0.44%0.19756+3.48%0.0385✓2.261,0642022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776535-0.44%0.77-1.28%0.0244✓0.4783k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum125.81125.2471-0.45%126.64+0.66%0.0191✓0.884.2M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7945-0.46%4.199+10.15%0.0462✗1.615.2M2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.9914-0.46%7.116+1.31%0.0299✓1.3911.9M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.3666-0.46%4.198-4.31%0.0656✓0.771.1M2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.089042-0.47%0.08979+0.37%0.0004✓0.231.1M2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4958-0.48%16.17+3.85%0.0013✓1.212.6M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.6172-0.49%2.59-1.52%0.0432✓0.96726k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.4282-0.51%6.395-1.02%0.0114✓0.183.4M2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516275-0.53%0.532+2.50%0.0044✓1.0113k2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2639-0.54%3.3964+3.50%0.0226✗0.501.8M2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.51331-0.58%0.537+4.01%0.0003✓1.33245k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9962-0.59%8.306+3.26%0.0079✗0.885.7M2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.44264-0.60%0.4951+11.18%0.0746✗1.1080k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0882-0.61%2.108+0.33%0.0256✓1.03261k2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.947292-0.61%0.9791+2.73%0.0219✓1.61296k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.758081-0.64%0.79+3.54%0.0017✓1.262,7022022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.2429-0.65%10.61+2.91%0.0036✓1.14482k2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.102174-0.66%0.10427+1.38%0.0237✓1.291.6M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.301645-0.71%0.3078+1.32%0.0169✓1.09294k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.081903-0.72%0.08525+3.33%0.0137✗0.779072022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.6061-0.74%1.569-3.03%0.0901✓1.953.1M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0111,104.93-0.74%11,510.60+2.88%0.0097✓1.345.4M2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.132568-0.77%0.1362+1.95%0.0021✓0.85203k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative2.9972.9724-0.82%3.057+2.00%0.0160✓1.29587k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.436.063-0.93%38.83+6.68%0.0269✗1.3813.5M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001463-1.09%0.001521+2.81%0.0086✓0.881.3M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3538.8891-1.17%38.68-1.70%0.0470✓1.221.3M2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.