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2022-08-09 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1202
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.7%
in alpha space · 84.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.4211-12.17%1.178-27.19%0.1665✗1.953.1M2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3535.0795-10.85%15.9-59.59%0.5707✓1.221.3M2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5718.5596-9.77%17.38-15.51%0.0643✓0.722.6M2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.3135-9.67%7.37-28.52%0.0281✓1.14482k2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,137.77-9.39%9,266.66-17.17%0.1522✗1.345.4M2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.406907-8.62%0.2984-32.99%0.1114✓1.1080k2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.9972.7458-8.38%1.956-34.73%0.1054✓1.29587k2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum125.81115.7662-7.98%101.92-18.99%0.0327✓0.884.2M2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.029697-7.63%0.0209-34.99%0.1654✓1.0313.9M2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001367-7.55%0.001335-9.74%0.1354✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.433.6738-7.49%37.1+1.92%0.3463✗1.3813.5M2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.123613-7.48%0.13-2.69%0.2049✗0.85203k2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.095234-7.41%0.06043-41.24%0.2213✓1.291.6M2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.075255-7.21%0.0618-23.80%0.0079✓1.131.4M2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum42.6539.5779-7.20%29.13-31.70%0.0332✓1.88328k2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.1707-7.12%1.45-37.95%0.1935✓1.16172k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.5461-6.98%2.931-23.11%0.1017✗1.615.2M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.517.9177-6.96%8.78+3.17%0.1342✗0.171.8M2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.711876-6.70%0.469-38.53%0.1895✓1.262,7022022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.890295-6.68%0.652-31.66%0.1294✓1.01263k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.6979-6.65%2.27-21.45%0.0598✓1.28227k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.5613-6.59%4.5-35.93%0.1246✓1.3911.9M2022-09-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.0701-6.55%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2081-6.54%1.1279-12.74%0.1919✗1.446.8M2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.486084-6.34%0.418-19.46%0.0320✓1.0113k2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4637-6.32%2.6-1.14%0.2279✗0.96726k2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.0751-6.29%6.8937+110.07%0.8986✗0.501.8M2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002006-6.27%0.001463-31.64%0.1344✓1.001.2M2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.1151-6.20%3.093-29.50%0.1461✓0.771.1M2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.159211-6.18%0.1491-12.14%0.1348✗1.11548k2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.89547-6.05%0.8317-12.74%0.2174✗1.61296k2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.892249-5.98%0.6533-31.16%0.0399✓1.50469k2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6418-5.96%15.71+0.90%0.2894✗1.212.6M2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.179597-5.93%0.15778-17.36%0.2796✗2.261,0642022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4325.8058-5.92%19.14-30.22%0.0444✓1.4030.7M2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0403-5.89%0.85429-22.71%0.0190✓0.9812k2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.8859-5.87%7.6822+150.57%1.0475✗0.381.4M2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.381263-5.87%0.32661-19.36%0.0360✓1.05481k2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03820.979068-5.70%1.2129+16.83%0.3862✗0.95907k2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.0943-5.68%6.112-5.40%0.0359✓0.183.4M2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.264.9623-5.66%5.32+1.14%0.1277✗0.322.1M2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.00009137-5.59%0.00051629+433.47%1.8441✗0.62421k2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.7338-5.59%2.2544-22.14%0.0488✓1.3313k2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.7082-5.57%4.056+3.28%0.1566✗0.371.6M2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4397.9745-5.50%6.173-26.85%0.0186✓1.319.9M2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.131943-5.48%0.1043-25.29%0.0180✓1.203.1M2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.162071-5.44%0.1249-27.13%0.0714✓1.042.8M2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9215-5.44%1.415-30.36%0.0889✓1.20234k2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.4048-5.37%6.478-17.21%0.0567✗1.055.9M2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.046663-5.36%0.044321-10.11%0.1322✗1.0137k2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.5615-5.36%4.54-5.81%0.0696✗0.411.3M2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7183-5.29%1.84-35.89%0.2992✓0.50110k2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.00825-5.28%0.00743-14.70%0.1011✗1.14457k2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.287764-5.28%0.2268-25.35%0.0411✓1.09294k2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.330506-5.27%0.38118+9.25%0.3058✗0.90396k2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5816.6573-5.25%13.85-21.22%0.0404✓1.241.4M2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.138064-5.24%0.187+28.35%0.4653✗0.891.1M2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.60670.575022-5.22%0.5518-9.05%0.1465✗1.042.4M2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38910.7949-5.22%13.883+21.90%0.4730✗1.2214.4M2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2456.1552-5.21%48.43-18.25%0.0834✗1.2835k2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.2251-5.17%6.34+15.06%0.2578✗0.361.1M2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.336797-5.15%0.27969-21.23%0.0201✓1.1413k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.3051-5.08%7.407-15.35%0.0906✗1.1318.6M2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.8119-5.05%3.1692-21.06%0.0001✓1.0257k2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060965-5.04%0.0483-24.77%0.0289✓1.13827k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.6397-5.03%5.865-27.09%0.1046✓0.885.7M2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.051134-4.96%0.0465-13.57%0.0942✗1.04248k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.410428-4.93%0.4045-6.30%0.2292✗1.35207k2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.085059-4.92%0.06787-24.13%0.1833✓0.231.1M2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.2019-4.91%12.7985-24.89%0.0494✓1.0358k2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.3398-4.91%12.416+172.04%1.0959✗0.251.1M2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.6802-4.91%1.273-27.96%0.0339✓1.35383k2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.63738-4.87%0.525-21.64%0.0318✓1.2591k2022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.0483-4.86%0.04438-12.59%0.0545✗0.7717k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.76873-4.86%0.638-21.04%0.0174✓0.93377k2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.488251-4.82%0.479-6.63%0.1786✗1.0940.5M2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.458402-4.81%0.37908-21.28%0.0966✓0.5268k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.021741-4.76%0.020726-9.21%0.1067✗0.8512k2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.633925-4.70%0.52967-20.38%0.0696✗1.3857k2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8251-4.68%4.29+6.90%0.1642✗0.272.2M2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.168244-4.68%0.131-25.78%0.1209✓0.713.9M2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.488-4.65%7.389-17.00%0.0608✗1.1011.8M2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.225028-4.65%0.1562-33.81%0.1615✓1.121,5612022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3016-4.65%1.188-12.97%0.1077✗1.102.5M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3638-4.63%1.3273-7.18%0.2066✗1.291.2M2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.3538.5079-4.57%33.62-16.68%0.0905✗1.2579.4M2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.239434-4.53%0.2219-11.52%0.0937✗0.94681k2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2366-4.44%0.9148-29.30%0.0769✓1.241.1M2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003208-4.42%0.002728-18.71%0.0040✓0.87988k2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.009-4.38%1.685-19.80%0.0102✓1.03261k2022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011524-4.37%0.00001223+1.49%0.2381✗0.99864k2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.057295-4.35%0.049-18.20%0.0468✗1.12185k2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.5961-4.34%6.37+8.89%0.1965✗0.37894k2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.209692-4.25%0.17034-22.22%0.0182✓1.25716k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041004-4.20%0.0382-10.75%0.1198✗1.0577k2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.8863-4.17%9.92-12.68%0.1133✗1.14306k2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.494785-4.17%0.3149-39.01%0.2106✓1.33245k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.082399-4.17%0.07073-17.74%0.0522✗1.1329k2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.47780.458115-4.12%0.3621-24.22%0.0219✓1.18892k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0619-4.11%0.8184-26.10%0.0326✓1.262.0M2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.4643-4.03%1.7721+16.14%0.4266✗1.30698k2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.330431-4.00%0.305298-11.30%0.1237✗1.12875k2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration60.2657.8593-3.98%50.26-16.59%0.0522✗1.07489k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71957.3552-3.96%53.27-10.80%0.0570✗0.72321k2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.8825-3.95%1.763-10.05%0.1134✗0.99588k2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.131113-3.95%0.1624+18.97%0.4145✗1.1155k2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.117277-3.91%0.104355-14.49%0.0518✗0.937.1M2022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.241432-3.89%0.2135-15.01%0.0645✗1.0491k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.32e-7-3.87%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0816✗0.776.0M2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009488-3.87%0.00886-10.23%0.0648✗0.745.3M2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.118438-3.87%0.1109-9.98%0.0935✗0.88370k2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.209888-3.85%0.1767-19.06%0.0852✗1.421,2802022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.823242-3.83%0.643-24.88%0.0226✓1.494.4M2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.432731-3.82%0.3426-23.85%0.0213✓1.17165k2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0180.97933-3.80%1.038+1.96%0.1568✗0.543.7M2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,278.87-3.80%19,321.87-16.57%0.0387✗1.00455.4M2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.108634-3.78%0.0972-13.91%0.0828✗1.07566k2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6456-3.76%1.4-18.13%0.0310✓1.06140k2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7302-3.76%4.474+57.71%0.5990✗0.581.2M2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.332237-3.76%0.3078-10.83%0.1014✗0.988.4M2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.167295-3.75%0.13663-21.40%0.0375✓1.32216k2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0614-3.75%0.9741-11.66%0.0426✗0.714.4M2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6011-3.74%1.843-31.79%0.0290✓1.74131k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum29.8828.7649-3.73%26.05-12.82%0.0681✗0.929.4M2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.419154-3.70%0.33034-24.10%0.0498✓1.04124k2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4734-3.70%1.42-7.19%0.0234✓0.07173k2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.689682-3.68%0.501-30.03%0.0789✓1.33137k2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019434-3.61%0.024425+21.15%0.2590✗0.17215k2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000041844-3.58%0.00004219-2.79%0.1641✗0.861.9M2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero158.78153.1256-3.56%152.39-4.02%0.1812✗1.031.2M2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6472-3.53%2.072-24.49%0.0248✓1.2254k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.983918-3.51%0.77284-24.21%0.0419✓1.10543k2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.601772-3.47%0.5067-18.72%0.0095✓0.90755k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.053385-3.45%0.040974-25.90%0.1713✓0.5229k2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2174-3.40%1.851-19.37%0.0171✓1.0938k2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.045889-3.39%0.0351-26.11%0.0913✓0.9810k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash52.9751.1825-3.37%46.28-12.63%0.0813✗1.00552k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.085144-3.36%0.0599-32.01%0.1913✓0.89127k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.317764-3.30%0.2794-14.97%0.0599✗1.043.5M2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,647.37-3.29%1,635.73-3.97%0.2289✗1.30453.9M2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.056969-3.28%0.0517-12.22%0.1301✗1.25339k2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.04319-3.25%0.03746-16.08%0.0095✓0.842,3482022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash79.8177.236-3.23%61.13-23.41%0.0128✓1.222.0M2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.007986-3.20%0.00567-31.27%0.2226✓0.661.6M2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7482-3.19%1.5877-12.07%0.1113✗1.15530k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.2951-3.14%15.53-22.04%0.0016✓1.19118k2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004369-3.13%0.00399-11.53%0.1120✗1.1299k2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8544-3.08%2.656-9.81%0.0847✗0.87585k2022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.12313-3.05%0.0993-21.81%0.0596✓0.864,5002022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0061-3.04%0.875349-15.64%0.0058✓0.8056k2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.19e-7-3.01%7.48e-7+127.10%0.9742✗0.68150k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.2256-2.95%9.277-11.95%0.0872✗1.021.9M2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.030652-2.88%0.03515+11.38%0.3251✗1.0414k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9695.1611-2.86%88.29-9.87%0.2060✗1.558.2M2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.014905-2.84%0.012974-15.43%0.0108✓0.712.1M2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.069195-2.82%0.0555-22.05%0.0743✓0.81151k2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.06713-2.75%0.060978-11.66%0.0915✗1.041.6M2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006011-2.74%0.006191+0.16%0.1195✗0.5050k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.080259-2.72%0.06606-19.93%0.0547✓0.779072022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.45e-7-2.62%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0726✗0.7322k2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.319438-2.61%0.263-19.82%0.0416✓0.841.1M2022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.150865-2.54%0.1402-9.43%0.1209✗1.07110k2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017057-2.53%0.01167-33.31%0.2545✓0.69167k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,628.31-2.50%19,295.10-16.87%0.0162✓0.9712k2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.4765-2.46%4.722+85.98%0.7979✗0.8486k2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.504544-2.43%0.3993-22.78%0.0293✓1.1350k2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.25393-2.37%0.3012+15.80%0.3485✗0.9865k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025705-2.34%0.02088-20.67%0.0573✓0.83159k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.066872-2.33%0.061193-10.62%0.0207✓0.60216k2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001619-2.28%0.00152-8.27%0.0815✗0.808,9342022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003680.003597-2.26%0.00316-14.13%0.0736✗1.12517k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006339-2.25%0.005905-8.94%0.0607✗0.734,4282022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.221258-2.14%0.2042-9.69%0.1720✗1.3997k2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.792715-2.13%0.894+10.37%0.3348✗1.18968k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.255883-2.07%0.1397-46.54%0.6030✓0.0135k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031154-2.00%0.02409-24.22%0.0219✓1.301,7322022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.764638-1.97%0.73-6.41%0.0383✗0.4783k2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.09587-1.87%0.0926-5.22%0.1474✗1.017,6272022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3903-1.84%4.8-26.27%0.0836✓1.121.4M2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7132.4514-1.67%126.62-6.00%0.1589✗1.135.0M2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.581938-1.67%0.4736-19.97%0.0019✓1.13318k2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.77384.6947-1.66%4.0459-15.25%0.0198✓0.71887k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1527-1.38%1.0517-10.03%0.0801✗0.9552k2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1858.4952-1.16%57.99-2.01%0.1816✗1.0513.7M2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0444+0.45%4.9672-1.09%0.0108✓0.14367k2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.