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2022-08-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2436
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.9%
in alpha space · 5.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001446-2.25%0.001521+2.81%0.0204✓0.881.3M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3538.4821-2.21%38.68-1.70%0.0364✓1.221.3M2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.131297-1.72%0.1362+1.95%0.0076✓0.85203k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.3743-1.34%6.395-1.02%0.0030✓0.183.4M2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative2.9972.957-1.33%3.057+2.00%0.0108✓1.29587k2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.1737-1.32%10.61+2.91%0.0032✓1.14482k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.081477-1.24%0.08525+3.33%0.0189✗0.779072022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.3395-1.08%4.198-4.31%0.0594✓0.771.1M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.943814-1.07%0.976+2.31%0.0008✓1.01263k2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.101817-1.00%0.10427+1.38%0.0202✓1.291.6M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.080311-0.97%0.0827+1.97%0.0093✓1.131.4M2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.026074-0.94%0.02661+1.10%0.0080✓0.83159k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.441207-0.92%0.4951+11.18%0.0778✗1.1080k2022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.6038-0.88%1.569-3.03%0.0887✓1.953.1M2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash79.8179.1389-0.84%78.7-1.39%0.0472✓1.222.0M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5720.4073-0.79%21.15+2.82%0.0113✗0.722.6M2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.234214-0.76%0.2472+4.75%0.0156✗1.121,5612022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum42.6542.3298-0.75%47.24+10.76%0.0458✗1.88328k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.138619-0.70%0.1462+4.73%0.0123✗1.203.1M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.6122-0.68%2.59-1.52%0.0413✓0.96726k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.175314-0.67%0.1704-3.46%0.0528✓0.713.9M2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031936-0.67%0.03296+2.52%0.0035✓1.0313.9M2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.436.1647-0.65%38.83+6.68%0.0241✗1.3813.5M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.758106-0.64%0.79+3.54%0.0017✓1.262,7022022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1378-0.63%1.1836+3.36%0.0019✓1.1013k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum125.81125.0146-0.63%126.64+0.66%0.0172✓0.884.2M2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.943007-0.63%0.98+3.27%0.0127✓1.50469k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.16868-0.60%0.1861+9.66%0.0605✗1.11548k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0884-0.60%2.108+0.33%0.0257✓1.03261k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.6978-0.60%9.062+3.57%0.0024✓1.1318.6M2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.9416-0.57%17.7+3.88%0.0087✗1.0358k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.217056-0.57%0.2383+9.16%0.0449✗1.421,2802022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0323-0.56%1.4709+41.68%0.3216✗0.95907k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516115-0.56%0.532+2.50%0.0041✓1.0113k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050488-0.56%0.05257+3.55%0.0142✗0.7717k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.666292-0.55%0.697+4.03%0.0025✓1.2591k2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0111,128.64-0.53%11,510.60+2.88%0.0118✓1.345.4M2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.9064-0.53%4.046+3.03%0.0225✗0.371.6M2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4882-0.53%16.17+3.85%0.0018✓1.212.6M2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.8168-0.52%21.93+10.09%0.0607✗1.19118k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.80583-0.51%0.884+9.14%0.0522✗1.18968k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8752-0.51%3.04+5.19%0.0119✗1.28227k2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.2335-0.50%5.43+3.23%0.0259✗0.322.1M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2651-0.50%3.3964+3.50%0.0222✗0.501.8M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031631-0.50%0.03249+2.20%0.0175✓1.301,7322022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.3254-0.50%2.452+4.92%0.0134✗1.16172k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0448.0055-0.48%8.306+3.26%0.0067✗0.885.7M2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.02272-0.48%0.024212+6.06%0.0345✗0.8512k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.60670.603818-0.48%0.6261+3.20%0.0009✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.00009632-0.48%0.00009856+1.84%0.0018✓0.62421k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0328-0.47%1.0722+3.33%0.0101✗0.8056k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.5427-0.47%4.752+4.12%0.0366✗0.251.1M2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.9913-0.47%7.116+1.31%0.0299✓1.3911.9M2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.26009-0.46%0.2616+0.11%0.0054✗0.0135k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8823-0.46%3.0285+4.59%0.0040✓1.3313k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.063906-0.46%0.0686+6.85%0.0325✗1.13827k2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.3081-0.46%12.16+7.04%0.0338✗1.14306k2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.948755-0.46%0.9791+2.73%0.0234✓1.61296k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0519-0.46%3.2108+4.73%0.0379✗0.381.4M2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.089053-0.45%0.08979+0.37%0.0003✓0.231.1M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9948-0.45%4.079+1.64%0.0115✗0.272.2M2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0322.023-0.44%2.049+0.84%0.0281✓1.20234k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4327.3092-0.44%29.18+6.38%0.0183✗1.4030.7M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.3395-0.43%11.986+5.24%0.0137✗1.2214.4M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.7321-0.43%2.856+4.08%0.0029✓1.2254k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.070896-0.43%0.0739+3.79%0.0139✗0.81151k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.170669-0.43%0.1819+6.13%0.0281✗1.042.8M2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.4738-0.43%8.75+2.82%0.0263✗0.171.8M2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.020076-0.42%0.020275+0.57%0.0041✓0.17215k2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7962-0.41%4.199+10.15%0.0458✗1.615.2M2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.479576-0.41%0.48951+1.65%0.0029✓0.5268k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.053579-0.41%0.0548+1.86%0.0131✓1.04248k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.9978-0.41%65.2+10.06%0.0564✗1.2835k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4834-0.41%6.71+3.07%0.0038✓1.121.4M2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.8003-0.41%4.92+2.07%0.0106✗0.411.3M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.302573-0.40%0.3078+1.32%0.0200✓1.09294k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.049108-0.40%0.052134+5.73%0.0252✗1.0137k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.14512-0.40%0.1532+5.15%0.0237✗0.891.1M2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.510966-0.40%0.5376+4.80%0.0135✗1.0940.5M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.085644-0.39%0.08743+1.69%0.0180✓1.1329k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003343-0.39%0.003961+18.03%0.1398✗0.87988k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.40348-0.39%0.41642+2.81%0.0044✓1.05481k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6916-0.38%2.928+8.36%0.0247✗1.74131k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.347565-0.38%0.37799+8.34%0.0532✗0.90396k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7603-0.38%1.849+4.64%0.0033✓1.35383k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4892-0.38%5.68+3.09%0.0220✗0.361.1M2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,122.49-0.38%23,919.30+3.06%0.0008✓0.9712k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.190212-0.37%0.19756+3.48%0.0392✓2.261,0642022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.016-0.37%1.072+5.12%0.0161✗1.10543k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0986-0.37%1.1615+5.33%0.0315✗0.714.4M2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.097341-0.37%0.1008+3.17%0.0006✓1.017,6272022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.121596-0.37%0.125982+3.23%0.0037✗0.937.1M2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.055093-0.36%0.057508+4.01%0.0253✗0.5229k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.2660.0441-0.36%62.92+4.41%0.0104✗1.07489k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.1035-0.35%1.133+2.31%0.0166✓1.262.0M2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.86-0.35%3.02+5.23%0.0373✗0.50110k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.03145-0.35%0.03518+11.47%0.0766✗1.0414k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.173215-0.35%0.17975+3.41%0.0082✓1.32216k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.01454.0006-0.35%4.1947+4.49%0.0125✗1.0257k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.4098-0.35%9.22+9.25%0.0472✗1.319.9M2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.662922-0.34%0.71796+7.93%0.0328✗1.3857k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.249939-0.34%0.266+6.06%0.0303✗0.94681k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.433759-0.34%0.46429+6.67%0.0325✗1.04124k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.7983-0.34%8.348+6.68%0.0322✗1.055.9M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.8717-0.34%9.529+7.04%0.0339✗1.1011.8M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2882-0.34%1.3894+7.49%0.0265✗1.446.8M2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.805303-0.33%0.883+9.28%0.0603✗0.93377k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.35391-0.33%0.36767+3.54%0.0007✓1.1413k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.122791-0.33%0.1265+2.68%0.0003✓0.88370k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.853168-0.33%0.88+2.80%0.0199✓1.494.4M2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.13605-0.33%0.1428+4.62%0.0106✗1.1155k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.47780.47623-0.33%0.4979+4.21%0.0043✗1.18892k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006161-0.33%0.006078-1.67%0.0305✓0.5050k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.430289-0.33%0.4553+5.47%0.0106✗1.35207k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.047346-0.32%0.0495+4.21%0.0112✗0.9810k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009838-0.32%0.01031+4.46%0.0217✗0.745.3M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.51546-0.32%0.5471+5.80%0.0210✗1.1350k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.8315-0.32%5.97+2.05%0.0109✗0.37894k2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042665-0.32%0.0441+3.04%0.0028✓1.0577k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.521-0.31%1.6203+6.19%0.0188✗1.30698k2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.780.777555-0.31%0.77-1.28%0.0257✓0.4783k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.7047-0.31%1.82+6.43%0.0291✗1.06140k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004496-0.30%0.00485+7.54%0.0375✗1.1299k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.218341-0.30%0.229+4.57%0.0051✗1.25716k2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.448552-0.30%0.4648+3.31%0.0044✓1.17165k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2888-0.30%2.3862+3.95%0.0044✗1.0938k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.068826-0.29%0.071244+3.21%0.0008✓1.041.6M2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059728-0.29%0.0635+6.01%0.0230✗1.12185k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.67e-7-0.29%0.00000101+4.12%0.0170✗0.776.0M2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.32767-0.28%0.3479+5.87%0.0244✗1.043.5M2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044514-0.28%0.04665+4.50%0.0183✗0.842,3482022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.621651-0.28%0.6574+5.45%0.0253✗0.90755k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002134-0.28%0.002157+0.79%0.0234✓1.001.2M2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4261-0.28%1.58+10.49%0.0585✗1.291.2M2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.590179-0.27%0.6134+3.65%0.0001✓1.13318k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.1024-0.27%1.145+3.58%0.0044✗0.9812k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.51491-0.27%0.537+4.01%0.0034✓1.33245k2022-08-10
DASHDashDash52.9752.8284-0.27%54.6+3.08%0.0013✓1.00552k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.8292-0.27%2.9592+4.31%0.0251✗0.581.2M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5323-0.26%2.734+7.68%0.0479✗0.8486k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.126667-0.26%0.1324+4.25%0.0150✗0.864,5002022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.08787-0.26%0.0919+4.31%0.0146✗0.89127k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.28e-7-0.26%3.34e-7+1.41%0.0066✓0.68150k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.5351-0.26%18.55+5.52%0.0139✗1.241.4M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008688-0.26%0.00896+2.87%0.0079✓1.14457k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9552-0.25%2.075+5.87%0.0258✗0.99588k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2909-0.24%1.348+4.17%0.0010✓1.241.1M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006469-0.24%0.006634+2.30%0.0004✓0.734,4282022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71959.5758-0.24%62.292+4.31%0.0199✗0.72321k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2723,102.88-0.24%23,962.18+3.47%0.0024✗1.00455.4M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015305-0.23%0.015766+2.77%0.0056✗0.712.1M2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.8015-0.23%1.8733+3.74%0.0001✓1.15530k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.343395-0.23%0.369005+7.21%0.0337✗1.12875k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3619-0.23%1.444+5.79%0.0210✗1.102.5M2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.5122-0.23%10.779+2.31%0.0097✓1.021.9M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.714385-0.23%0.766+6.98%0.0244✗1.33137k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000012023-0.22%0.0000124+2.90%0.0028✓0.99864k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero158.78158.4344-0.22%167.53+5.51%0.0208✗1.031.2M2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.112655-0.22%0.1219+7.97%0.0423✗1.07566k2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9386-0.22%3.098+5.20%0.0233✗0.87585k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.154468-0.21%0.1652+6.72%0.0306✗1.07110k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.21%0.00000103+6.19%0.0373✗0.7322k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.344468-0.21%0.3644+5.56%0.0227✗0.988.4M2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.250672-0.21%0.2649+5.45%0.0199✗1.0491k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.8174-0.21%31.37+4.99%0.0193✗0.929.4M2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,699.86-0.20%1,854.12+8.85%0.0424✗1.30453.9M2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008233-0.20%0.00837+1.45%0.0061✓0.661.6M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana40.3540.2688-0.20%42.5+5.33%0.0113✗1.2579.4M2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000043313-0.20%0.00004643+6.98%0.0401✗0.861.9M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.527-0.19%1.52-0.65%0.0072✓0.07173k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.016-0.19%1.046+2.75%0.0105✗0.543.7M2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003680.003674-0.17%0.00383+4.08%0.0034✗1.12517k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.01747-0.17%0.01893+8.17%0.0567✗0.69167k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068362-0.15%0.070307+2.69%0.0074✗0.60216k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.327517-0.15%0.34+3.66%0.0086✗0.841.1M2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001655-0.14%0.001757+6.04%0.0328✗0.808,9342022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7134.5167-0.14%142.18+5.55%0.0170✗1.135.0M2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.8342-0.13%111.17+13.49%0.0749✗1.558.2M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.259816-0.11%0.2716+4.42%0.0109✗0.9865k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.225865-0.10%0.2326+2.87%0.0181✓1.3997k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058844-0.10%0.0607+3.06%0.0117✓1.25339k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7703-0.07%4.9377+3.43%0.0102✗0.71887k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1859.1459-0.06%61.61+4.11%0.0050✗1.0513.7M2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.02-0.04%4.7-6.41%0.0708✓0.14367k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1686-0.02%1.2251+4.81%0.0148✗0.9552k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.