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2022-08-08 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1444
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.8%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8991.6666-12.24%1.172-38.28%0.0537✓1.933.1M2022-09-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15450.138236-10.53%0.1238-19.87%0.0676✓0.84184k2022-09-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.51110.461247-9.75%0.3055-40.23%0.1684✓1.1680k2022-09-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.8419.728-9.67%17.6-19.41%0.0448✓0.752.6M2022-09-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,448.8110,379.45-9.34%9,334.02-18.47%0.1859✗1.395.3M2022-09-07
FLOWFlownative3.0232.7574-8.78%1.861-38.44%0.1204✓1.30540k2022-09-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.3145-8.59%7.48-26.59%0.0648✓1.35436k2022-09-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.112720.103117-8.52%0.06023-46.57%0.2262✓1.481.4M2022-09-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.0427.5193-8.39%17.23-42.64%0.1689✓1.421.2M2022-09-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035130.032308-8.03%0.02145-38.94%0.1351✓1.3013.9M2022-09-07
QNTQuantEthereum128.79118.5551-7.95%95.72-25.68%0.0209✓0.924.5M2022-09-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8410.777243-7.58%0.492-41.50%0.1588✓1.422,7022022-09-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.0635.2768-7.31%37.27-2.08%0.3544✗1.4213.5M2022-09-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4982.3179-7.21%1.458-41.63%0.1850✓1.32169k2022-09-07
METISMetisEthereum45.6342.4055-7.07%29.12-36.18%0.0140✓1.85304k2022-09-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0953.807-7.03%2.988-27.03%0.1137✗1.695.2M2022-09-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42811.33-6.87%1.1669-18.29%0.1880✗1.516.4M2022-09-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5530.515265-6.82%0.41-25.86%0.0066✓1.1213k2022-09-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.2453-6.73%8.83-0.11%0.1408✗0.341.8M2022-09-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08260.077056-6.71%0.0605-26.76%0.0006✓1.151.4M2022-09-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.17391.0956-6.66%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.742.5598-6.58%2.48-9.49%0.2042✗1.12636k2022-09-07
APEApeCoinEthereum7.3146.8396-6.49%4.42-39.57%0.1057✓1.5711.9M2022-09-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.022.8271-6.39%2.38-21.19%0.1273✗1.42234k2022-09-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47733.2566-6.35%6.9285+99.25%0.9117✗0.741.7M2022-09-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9440.88488-6.26%0.6503-31.11%0.0314✓1.61462k2022-09-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17590.164996-6.20%0.1417-19.44%0.0895✗1.15529k2022-09-07
MOVRMoonriverBase19.466618.282-6.09%12.2966-36.83%0.1625✓1.1153k2022-09-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.16481.095-5.99%0.82479-29.19%0.0570✓1.0712k2022-09-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98750.928413-5.98%0.8265-16.30%0.2460✗1.72296k2022-09-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196530.184828-5.95%0.15269-22.31%0.2863✗2.271,0642022-09-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.7415.7545-5.89%14.81-11.53%0.2242✗1.362.6M2022-09-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21153.0226-5.88%7.6265+137.47%1.0608✗0.641.2M2022-09-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14910.140402-5.83%0.104-30.25%0.0079✓1.393.0M2022-09-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002240.00211-5.79%0.001555-30.58%0.0947✓1.001.3M2022-09-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.06621.0045-5.79%1.234+15.74%0.4341✗1.08907k2022-09-07
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00822.8386-5.64%2.2808-24.18%0.0914✗1.4713k2022-09-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.26770.252644-5.62%0.1561-41.69%0.2155✓1.261,5612022-09-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099290.000093724-5.61%0.00043861+341.75%1.9488✗1.93421k2022-09-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.9226.3642-5.57%19.01-31.91%0.0032✓1.5430.5M2022-09-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.052.8812-5.53%1.9-37.70%0.3125✓0.49110k2022-09-07
DODODODOEthereum0.18040.170474-5.50%0.1286-28.71%0.0331✓1.183.1M2022-09-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.625.3108-5.50%5.33-5.16%0.1159✗0.532.1M2022-09-07
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7918.3092-5.48%6.116-30.43%0.0169✓1.379.9M2022-09-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422030.398935-5.47%0.32271-23.53%0.0551✓1.27488k2022-09-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2597.8146-5.38%6.476-21.59%0.0616✗1.186.5M2022-09-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0581.9483-5.33%1.436-30.22%0.0136✓1.38234k2022-09-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.7534-5.31%4.49-10.56%0.0686✗0.601.3M2022-09-07
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0158.7261-5.30%48.66-21.53%0.0947✗1.3435k2022-09-07
XEMNEMnative0.0524760.049699-5.29%0.042524-18.96%0.0715✗1.0837k2022-09-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.043.8266-5.28%4.093+1.31%0.1886✗0.581.6M2022-09-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052690.049972-5.16%0.04288-18.62%0.0280✓0.8617k2022-09-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.15260.144768-5.13%0.1935+26.80%0.5007✗1.001.1M2022-09-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009110.008643-5.12%0.00764-16.14%0.1289✗1.20450k2022-09-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.993.7871-5.09%3.12-21.80%0.0184✓0.83976k2022-09-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8940.848597-5.08%0.656-26.62%0.0113✓1.17253k2022-09-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.81711.2228-5.03%12.933+9.44%0.4147✗1.3014.4M2022-09-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.2963-4.97%5.852-32.97%0.1429✓0.985.1M2022-09-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46590.442872-4.94%0.4211-9.62%0.2708✗1.53207k2022-09-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6717.7541-4.91%13.5-27.69%0.0021✓1.311.4M2022-09-07
DIADIAEthereum0.482930.459367-4.88%0.37324-22.71%0.0634✓0.6968k2022-09-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.369410.351393-4.88%0.27496-25.57%0.0186✓1.2513k2022-09-07
HIVEHivenative0.60640.576824-4.88%0.5294-12.70%0.1496✗1.122.1M2022-09-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.064692-4.87%0.0476-30.00%0.0464✓1.24803k2022-09-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7074.4794-4.84%12.639+168.51%1.1320✗0.451.2M2022-09-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.715.4357-4.80%6.38+11.73%0.2678✗0.511.1M2022-09-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.31260.297683-4.77%0.231-26.10%0.0228✓1.10300k2022-09-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.4865-4.71%1.2517-19.76%0.1203✗1.391.2M2022-09-07
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.7869-4.70%1.276-31.95%0.0414✓1.40371k2022-09-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0235790.022483-4.65%0.020266-14.05%0.0956✗0.9512k2022-09-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05430.051783-4.64%0.0466-14.18%0.1505✗1.22254k2022-09-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.16563.9735-4.61%3.096-25.68%0.0246✓1.0757k2022-09-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8350.796873-4.57%0.632-24.31%0.0378✓0.92377k2022-09-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0315.7563-4.56%6.217+3.08%0.1631✗0.413.0M2022-09-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086290.082362-4.55%0.07081-17.94%0.0935✓0.271.1M2022-09-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.331070.316156-4.50%0.3732+12.73%0.3753✗0.99383k2022-09-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.3741-4.44%1.149-20.10%0.0772✗1.222.5M2022-09-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1253.9452-4.36%4.366+5.84%0.2027✗0.481.9M2022-09-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.666919-4.32%0.52-25.39%0.0330✓1.3491k2022-09-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6078.2384-4.28%7.083-17.71%0.1035✗1.2117.7M2022-09-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04540.043466-4.26%0.0387-14.76%0.1247✗1.1477k2022-09-07
STEEMSteemnative0.26240.25128-4.24%0.2128-18.90%0.0654✗1.10701k2022-09-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14470.138603-4.21%0.1192-17.62%0.1010✗1.2059k2022-09-07
ADACardanoCardano0.53720.514588-4.21%0.4788-10.87%0.1700✗1.1540.5M2022-09-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.21331.1623-4.20%0.8269-31.85%0.0523✓1.371.8M2022-09-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5610.537472-4.19%0.3125-44.30%0.2715✓1.29232k2022-09-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.2947-4.16%0.9023-33.21%0.1006✓1.241.1M2022-09-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085570.08209-4.07%0.07208-15.76%0.1388✗1.2829k2022-09-07
API3Api3Ethereum2.1412.0542-4.05%1.799-15.97%0.1042✗1.12595k2022-09-07
SOLSolanaSolana42.240.494-4.04%32.7-22.51%0.0683✗1.3479.4M2022-09-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034330.003296-3.99%0.002775-19.17%0.0337✓0.98994k2022-09-07
STXStacksnative0.50850.48829-3.97%0.3511-30.95%0.0749✓1.21892k2022-09-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.698950.671199-3.97%0.51799-25.89%0.0492✗1.4669k2022-09-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26240.252043-3.95%0.2023-22.90%0.0228✓1.1597k2022-09-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7211.2592-3.93%10.18-13.14%0.1532✗1.21279k2022-09-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.8077-3.85%6.41+6.13%0.2220✗0.59887k2022-09-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60871.5468-3.85%1.7442+8.42%0.4172✗1.41619k2022-09-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000011819-3.83%0.00001225-0.33%0.2678✗1.10898k2022-09-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2768.9298-3.73%7.201-22.37%0.0320✓1.1711.6M2022-09-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47040.453067-3.68%0.341-27.51%0.0139✓1.28165k2022-09-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.089650.086352-3.68%0.06413-28.47%0.1377✓0.768502022-09-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011920.001148-3.68%0.001314+10.22%0.3852✗1.191.3M2022-09-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8980.865019-3.67%0.647-27.95%0.0672✗1.704.3M2022-09-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3631040.349787-3.67%0.283458-21.93%0.0448✗1.21987k2022-09-07
FISStafiEthereum0.37330.359638-3.66%–pending––0.911602022-09-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010440.010058-3.66%0.00887-15.04%0.0678✗0.925.3M2022-09-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.16128-3.66%0.1298-22.46%0.0393✓0.843.6M2022-09-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12670.122103-3.63%0.1151-9.16%0.1489✗0.99370k2022-09-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.230.221822-3.56%0.16825-26.85%0.0191✓1.40703k2022-09-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22820.220117-3.54%0.1787-21.69%0.0903✗1.421,2762022-09-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.92.7973-3.54%2.036-29.79%0.0280✓1.3850k2022-09-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.7846-3.54%1.41-23.78%0.0293✓1.26130k2022-09-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16621.1252-3.51%0.968-17.00%0.0178✓0.804.1M2022-09-07
ELAElastosEthereum2.061.9877-3.51%1.717-16.65%0.0775✗1.06238k2022-09-07
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000044296-3.47%0.00004184-8.83%0.1655✗1.061.8M2022-09-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8892.7899-3.43%1.835-36.48%0.0405✓1.80131k2022-09-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66570.64342-3.35%0.5039-24.31%0.0189✓1.07726k2022-09-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0290.028051-3.27%0.02083-28.17%0.0960✓0.96159k2022-09-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,815.6523,039.63-3.26%19,293.52-18.99%0.0331✓1.00427.9M2022-09-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1301560.125917-3.26%0.10297-20.89%0.0038✓0.977.0M2022-09-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0841.0487-3.25%1.047-3.41%0.1206✗0.582.7M2022-09-07
KSMKusamaHydration64.662.5179-3.22%48.41-25.06%0.0154✓1.14462k2022-09-07
FTTFTXEthereum31.4930.4782-3.21%25.99-17.47%0.0380✗0.949.1M2022-09-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.175850.170203-3.21%0.13448-23.53%0.0820✗1.51217k2022-09-07
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.59e-7-3.18%8.80e-7-11.11%0.0899✗0.836.0M2022-09-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36290.351452-3.15%0.2991-17.58%0.0639✗1.078.3M2022-09-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.31760.3559-3.15%51.856-16.79%0.0132✓0.78321k2022-09-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.0620.06005-3.14%0.0487-21.45%0.0707✗1.33185k2022-09-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.045184-3.14%0.03677-21.18%0.0120✓0.922,4562022-09-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03320.032159-3.14%0.03452+3.98%0.3157✗1.1614k2022-09-07
XMRMoneroMonero167.1161.8801-3.12%149.27-10.67%0.1430✗1.061.1M2022-09-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,777.361,722.02-3.11%1,629.92-8.30%0.2225✗1.32427.7M2022-09-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05170.050095-3.10%0.035-32.30%0.0978✓1.2410k2022-09-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.11990.116178-3.10%0.0951-20.68%0.0490✗1.18566k2022-09-07
DASHDashDash56.2254.4842-3.09%44.91-20.12%0.0341✗1.08552k2022-09-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.27e-7-3.00%8.10e-7+140.55%1.0817✗0.82146k2022-09-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13170.127768-2.99%0.0988-24.98%0.0337✓1.064,2082022-09-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99752.9093-2.94%4.6305+54.48%0.6438✗0.851.2M2022-09-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34740.337253-2.92%0.2762-20.50%0.0395✗1.143.6M2022-09-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.086984-2.92%0.0621-30.69%0.1036✓1.11126k2022-09-07
XYMSymbolnative0.057250.055579-2.92%0.041657-27.24%0.1662✓0.5827k2022-09-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08551.0544-2.87%0.76248-29.76%0.0623✓1.24543k2022-09-07
NANOnanopayBase1.08431.0533-2.86%0.879731-18.87%0.0076✓0.8956k2022-09-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004740.004605-2.84%0.00388-18.14%0.0917✗1.25102k2022-09-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.57960.563494-2.78%0.4026-30.54%0.1025✓1.1148k2022-09-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7670.746002-2.74%0.499-34.94%0.0980✓1.44135k2022-09-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429960.418194-2.74%0.32554-24.29%0.0139✓1.12124k2022-09-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161310.0157-2.67%0.012555-22.17%0.0500✓0.822.1M2022-09-07
XTZTezosTezos1.8941.8434-2.67%1.4901-21.33%0.0380✗1.19536k2022-09-07
AAVEAaveEthereum102.5899.8575-2.65%87.55-14.65%0.2097✗1.629.1M2022-09-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008154-2.58%0.00557-33.45%0.2218✓0.761.6M2022-09-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.059158-2.54%0.0525-13.51%0.1758✗1.40331k2022-09-07
KCSKuCoinnative10.76710.4982-2.50%9.204-14.52%0.0968✗1.081.9M2022-09-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5114-2.49%1.46-5.81%0.0197✓0.26186k2022-09-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0189740.018507-2.46%0.024937+31.43%0.3561✗0.28194k2022-09-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07370.071899-2.44%0.056-24.02%0.0497✓0.95158k2022-09-07
UMAUMAEthereum3.0522.9779-2.43%2.618-14.22%0.0867✗1.02587k2022-09-07
ZECZcashZcash77.5375.6529-2.42%59.37-23.42%0.0205✓1.251.9M2022-09-07
ZENHorizenBase19.1518.6866-2.42%14.93-22.04%0.0472✗1.29118k2022-09-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.27330.266798-2.38%0.231-15.48%0.0806✗1.0765k2022-09-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0700560.068415-2.34%0.061067-12.83%0.1226✗1.121.6M2022-09-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3852.3295-2.33%1.8105-24.09%0.0086✓1.1638k2022-09-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.331397-2.24%0.262-22.71%0.0221✓1.011.1M2022-09-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.79e-7-2.12%8.90e-7-11.00%0.0575✗0.7224k2022-09-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.1630.159612-2.08%0.1353-16.99%0.0806✗1.17104k2022-09-07
XVSVenusEthereum6.926.7803-2.02%4.81-30.49%0.0779✓1.261.4M2022-09-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017630.017284-1.96%0.01205-31.65%0.2003✓0.76172k2022-09-07
TRXTRONTron0.0700470.06874-1.87%0.061842-11.71%0.0210✗0.60279k2022-09-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067160.006591-1.85%0.005885-12.37%0.0517✗0.784,5222022-09-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00630.006184-1.85%0.006303+0.05%0.1348✗0.5549k2022-09-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017640.001733-1.78%0.001547-12.30%0.0896✗0.968,8902022-09-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,846.6023,433.56-1.73%19,273.80-19.18%0.0114✓0.9812k2022-09-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7740.760813-1.70%0.901+16.41%0.4349✗1.26963k2022-09-07
XVGVergenative0.003770.003707-1.66%0.00306-18.83%0.0744✗1.26517k2022-09-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10380.102079-1.66%0.0973-6.26%0.1927✗1.146,7662022-09-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033330.032794-1.61%0.02405-27.84%0.0373✓1.301,3552022-09-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.224846-1.60%0.2023-11.47%0.2094✗1.5089k2022-09-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6262.5853-1.55%3.906+48.74%0.6032✗0.9092k2022-09-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60880.6019-1.13%0.466-23.46%0.0125✓1.16303k2022-09-07
PROPropyEthereum0.790.78142-1.09%0.74-6.33%0.0688✗0.5983k2022-09-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.54142.021-1.06%118.71-17.30%0.0668✗1.174.8M2022-09-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.258636-1.06%0.1458-44.22%0.5705✓0.0132k2022-09-07
GTGateEthereum4.90554.8667-0.79%4.0099-18.26%0.0327✓0.76887k2022-09-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2216-0.72%1.0053-18.30%0.0234✗1.0447k2022-09-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6162.1809-0.69%57.3-8.48%0.1506✗1.1013.6M2022-09-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.84.8882+1.84%5.1445+7.18%0.0858✓0.17300k2022-09-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.