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2022-08-08 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1663
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.4%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15450.148305-4.01%0.1336-13.53%0.0808✓0.84184k2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative3.0232.9572-2.18%2.997-0.86%0.0496✗1.30540k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.089650.087862-1.99%0.0825-7.98%0.0417✓0.768502022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.112720.110687-1.80%0.10285-8.76%0.0320✓1.481.4M2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0290.028477-1.80%0.02632-9.24%0.0520✓0.96159k2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.26770.263336-1.63%0.236-11.84%0.0742✓1.261,5612022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.51110.503914-1.41%0.4453-12.87%0.0913✓1.1680k2022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8410.830049-1.30%0.763-9.27%0.0445✓1.422,7022022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase19.466619.2338-1.20%17.0389-12.47%0.0901✓1.1153k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism1.8991.8768-1.17%1.618-14.80%0.0944✓1.933.1M2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052690.052089-1.14%0.05077-3.64%0.0016✓0.8617k2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14910.147465-1.10%0.1396-6.37%0.0160✓1.393.0M2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08260.081722-1.06%0.0811-1.82%0.0244✗1.151.4M2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0315.974-0.95%6.461+7.13%0.0898✗0.413.0M2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033330.033015-0.94%0.03179-4.62%0.0016✓1.301,3552022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum45.6345.2171-0.90%42.65-6.53%0.0066✓1.85304k2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.0987-0.90%10.31+1.18%0.0585✗1.35436k2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.926.8583-0.89%6.51-5.92%0.0168✓1.261.4M2022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.8421.6565-0.84%20.57-5.82%0.0303✓0.752.6M2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.0637.7436-0.83%36.4-4.36%0.0036✓1.4213.5M2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035130.034848-0.80%0.03215-8.48%0.0441✓1.3013.9M2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash77.5376.9313-0.77%79.81+2.94%0.0717✗1.251.9M2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.0429.8084-0.77%39.35+30.99%0.3175✗1.421.2M2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.742.7198-0.74%2.63-4.01%0.0022✓1.12636k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum128.79127.8424-0.74%125.81-2.31%0.0096✗0.924.5M2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.17391.1658-0.69%1.1451-2.45%0.0136✗1.1313k2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.6721-0.66%8.044-7.86%0.0478✓0.985.1M2022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.57960.575786-0.66%0.5171-10.78%0.0764✓1.1148k2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10380.10312-0.66%0.0977-5.88%0.0220✓1.146,7662022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.692576-0.63%0.67-3.87%0.0043✓1.3491k2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07370.073233-0.63%0.0712-3.39%0.0015✓0.95158k2022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4982.4823-0.63%2.337-6.45%0.0233✓1.32169k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.92.8823-0.61%2.744-5.38%0.0107✓1.3850k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5530.549632-0.61%0.519-6.15%0.0261✓1.1213k2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum2.062.0475-0.61%2.101+1.99%0.0556✗1.06238k2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.7416.6394-0.60%15.57-6.99%0.0284✓1.362.6M2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.625.5863-0.60%5.26-6.41%0.0453✓0.532.1M2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,448.8111,380.37-0.60%11,188.01-2.28%0.0218✗1.395.3M2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8892.8718-0.60%2.702-6.47%0.0106✓1.80131k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,846.6023,706.54-0.59%23,209.60-2.67%0.0063✗0.9812k2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.06621.0599-0.59%1.0382-2.63%0.0096✗1.08907k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47733.4574-0.57%3.2816-5.63%0.0314✓0.741.7M2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42811.42-0.57%1.2926-9.49%0.0516✓1.516.4M2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8940.888914-0.57%0.954+6.71%0.1034✗1.17253k2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0954.0722-0.56%3.812-6.91%0.0187✓1.695.2M2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.044.0178-0.55%3.927-2.80%0.0067✓0.581.6M2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17590.174943-0.54%0.1697-3.52%0.0017✓1.15529k2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.023.0038-0.54%2.89-4.30%0.0012✓1.42234k2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6078.5617-0.53%8.75+1.66%0.0556✗1.2117.7M2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.81711.7552-0.52%11.389-3.62%0.0046✓1.3014.4M2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum7.3147.2759-0.52%7.024-3.96%0.0088✗1.5711.9M2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.067648-0.52%0.0642-5.59%0.0177✓1.24803k2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9440.939148-0.51%0.949+0.53%0.0556✗1.61462k2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22820.227028-0.51%0.2183-4.34%0.0005✓1.421,2762022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1254.104-0.51%4.013-2.72%0.0089✓0.481.9M2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21153.1952-0.51%3.0659-4.53%0.0233✓0.641.2M2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00822.993-0.51%2.8956-3.74%0.0082✗1.4713k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98750.982592-0.50%0.9531-3.48%0.0177✗1.72296k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7074.6839-0.49%4.564-3.04%0.0133✓0.451.2M2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03320.033039-0.48%0.03156-4.94%0.0133✓1.1614k2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.9227.7858-0.48%27.43-1.76%0.0302✗1.5430.5M2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.166596-0.48%0.1765+5.44%0.0814✗0.843.6M2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0582.0481-0.48%2.032-1.26%0.0308✗1.38234k2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18040.179538-0.48%0.1714-4.99%0.0133✓1.183.1M2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.21331.2075-0.48%1.1074-8.73%0.0482✓1.371.8M2022-08-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099290.000098821-0.47%0.00009678-2.53%0.0330✗1.93421k2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.7986-0.47%8.51-3.73%0.0237✓0.341.8M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.057250.056983-0.47%0.055293-3.42%0.0139✓0.5827k2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0524760.052233-0.46%0.049307-6.04%0.0274✓1.0837k2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04540.04519-0.46%0.0428-5.73%0.0223✓1.1477k2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47040.468236-0.46%0.4499-4.36%0.0040✓1.28165k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7918.7507-0.46%8.439-4.00%0.0022✓1.379.9M2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.15260.151901-0.46%0.1457-4.52%0.0137✓1.001.1M2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.50850.506183-0.46%0.4778-6.04%0.0238✓1.21892k2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.60640.60364-0.46%0.6067+0.05%0.0363✗1.122.1M2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1301560.129564-0.46%0.122043-6.23%0.0325✓0.977.0M2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9973-0.45%4.82-3.98%0.0194✓0.601.3M2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8666-0.45%1.767-5.76%0.0156✓1.40371k2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0161.7314-0.45%59.24-4.47%0.0036✓1.3435k2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08551.0807-0.44%1.0198-6.06%0.0233✓1.24543k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum4.16564.1475-0.44%4.0145-3.63%0.0027✓1.0757k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260265-0.43%0.2613-0.04%0.0043✓0.0132k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.790.786572-0.43%0.78-1.27%0.0080✗0.5983k2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.715.6853-0.43%5.51-3.50%0.0170✓0.511.1M2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422030.42021-0.43%0.40504-4.03%0.0013✓1.27488k2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7211.6695-0.43%11.36-3.07%0.0069✗1.21279k2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8422-0.42%1.71-7.57%0.0392✓1.26130k2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05170.051482-0.42%0.0475-8.12%0.0458✓1.2410k2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05430.054071-0.42%0.0538-0.92%0.0290✗1.22254k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0235790.02348-0.42%0.022829-3.18%0.0016✓0.9512k2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16621.1614-0.42%1.1027-5.45%0.0295✓0.804.1M2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14470.144099-0.42%0.1365-5.67%0.0207✓1.2059k2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.53720.534985-0.41%0.513-4.50%0.0098✓1.1540.5M2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.993.9736-0.41%4.387+9.95%0.1223✗0.83976k2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2598.2254-0.41%7.825-5.25%0.0167✓1.186.5M2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034330.003419-0.41%0.003356-2.24%0.0087✗0.98994k2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085570.085224-0.40%0.08598+0.48%0.0446✗1.2829k2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46590.464016-0.40%0.4317-7.34%0.0295✓1.53207k2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.053.0377-0.40%2.87-5.90%0.0430✓0.49110k2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3852.3755-0.40%2.2956-3.75%0.0019✓1.1638k2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2769.2389-0.40%8.902-4.03%0.0043✓1.1711.6M2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.37330.371818-0.40%–pending––0.911602022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196530.195755-0.39%0.19092-2.85%0.0384✗2.271,0642022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5539-0.39%1.43-8.33%0.0442✓1.391.2M2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.369410.367958-0.39%0.35509-3.88%0.0005✓1.2513k2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.482930.481033-0.39%0.48156-0.28%0.0203✗0.6968k2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.31260.31139-0.39%0.3038-2.82%0.0060✗1.10300k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086290.085958-0.38%0.08946+3.67%0.0476✗0.271.1M2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66570.663146-0.38%0.6234-6.35%0.0318✓1.07726k2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8980.894558-0.38%0.856-4.68%0.0035✓1.704.3M2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.26240.261401-0.38%0.2508-4.42%0.0106✓1.10701k2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004740.004722-0.37%0.00451-4.85%0.0110✓1.25102k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010440.010402-0.37%0.00987-5.46%0.0267✓0.925.3M2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration64.664.3633-0.37%60.26-6.72%0.0339✓1.14462k2022-08-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002240.002232-0.37%0.00214-4.46%0.0140✓1.001.3M2022-08-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046481-0.36%0.04464-4.31%0.0146✓0.922,4562022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase19.1519.0807-0.36%19.92+4.02%0.0792✗1.29118k2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011920.001188-0.36%0.001479+24.06%0.2524✗1.191.3M2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60871.6029-0.36%1.5258-5.15%0.0098✓1.41619k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5610.559006-0.36%0.5163-7.97%0.0435✓1.29232k2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.175850.175226-0.35%0.17382-1.15%0.0342✗1.51217k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009110.009078-0.35%0.00871-4.39%0.0078✓1.20450k2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12670.126256-0.35%0.1232-2.76%0.0031✓0.99370k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.698950.696522-0.35%0.66521-4.83%0.0050✓1.4669k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.16481.1607-0.34%1.1054-5.10%0.0188✓1.0712k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8350.832147-0.34%0.808-3.23%0.0037✓0.92377k2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0194-0.34%5.85-3.15%0.0122✓0.59887k2022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum2.1412.1339-0.33%1.96-8.45%0.0535✓1.12595k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6718.6088-0.33%17.58-5.84%0.0202✓1.311.4M2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.230.22926-0.32%0.219-4.78%0.0065✓1.40703k2022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60880.606853-0.32%0.5918-2.79%0.0072✗1.16303k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34740.346295-0.32%0.3286-5.41%0.0207✓1.143.6M2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161310.016081-0.31%0.015341-4.90%0.0240✓0.822.1M2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13170.131294-0.31%0.127-3.57%0.0036✓1.064,2082022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0620.06181-0.31%0.0599-3.39%0.0059✗1.33185k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash56.2256.0505-0.30%52.97-5.78%0.0263✓1.08552k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00630.006281-0.30%0.006181-1.89%0.0007✓0.5549k2022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7740.771677-0.30%0.81+4.65%0.0838✗1.26963k2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0189740.018917-0.30%0.020161+6.26%0.0714✗0.28194k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.347-0.30%1.294-4.22%0.0055✓1.241.1M2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99752.9886-0.30%2.8368-5.36%0.0283✓0.851.2M2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,777.361,772.22-0.29%1,703.35-4.16%0.0028✓1.32427.7M2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6262.6184-0.29%2.539-3.31%0.0055✓0.9092k2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero167.1166.6374-0.28%158.78-4.98%0.0185✓1.061.1M2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.87e-7-0.28%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0057✗0.836.0M2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.11990.119573-0.27%0.1129-5.84%0.0243✓1.18566k2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0841.0811-0.27%1.018-6.09%0.0439✓0.582.7M2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.8941.8889-0.27%1.8057-4.66%0.0117✓1.19536k2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3631040.362136-0.27%0.344184-5.21%0.0169✓1.21987k2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase1.08431.0815-0.27%1.0376-4.31%0.0164✓0.8956k2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.36e-7-0.26%3.29e-7-2.21%0.0033✗0.82146k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.089367-0.26%0.0881-1.67%0.0167✗1.11126k2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26240.261718-0.26%0.2512-4.27%0.0088✓1.1597k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,815.6523,754.84-0.26%23,158.27-2.76%0.0026✓1.00427.9M2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067160.006698-0.25%0.006485-3.43%0.0104✓0.784,5222022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429960.42887-0.25%0.43525+1.23%0.0462✗1.12124k2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative10.76710.7397-0.25%10.536-2.15%0.0112✗1.081.9M2022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.4344-0.25%1.365-5.08%0.0155✓1.222.5M2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum31.4931.4127-0.25%29.88-5.11%0.0238✓0.949.1M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045783-0.23%0.0000434-5.43%0.0239✓1.061.8M2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012261-0.23%0.00001205-1.95%0.0134✗1.10898k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.1630.162621-0.23%0.1548-5.03%0.0166✓1.17104k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana42.242.1018-0.23%40.35-4.38%0.0050✓1.3479.4M2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0700560.069894-0.23%0.069028-1.47%0.0189✗1.121.6M2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum3.0523.045-0.23%2.945-3.51%0.0047✓1.02587k2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36290.362073-0.23%0.3452-4.88%0.0178✓1.078.3M2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7670.765259-0.23%0.716-6.65%0.0261✓1.44135k2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.31762.1798-0.22%59.719-4.17%0.0185✓0.78321k2022-08-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.98e-7-0.22%9.70e-7-3.00%0.0080✓0.7224k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.331070.330408-0.20%0.3489+5.39%0.0823✗0.99383k2022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.54143.2587-0.20%134.7-6.16%0.0289✓1.174.8M2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008354-0.19%0.00825-1.43%0.0086✗0.761.6M2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum102.58102.4026-0.17%97.96-4.50%0.0010✓1.629.1M2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003770.003764-0.17%0.00368-2.39%0.0129✗1.26517k2022-08-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017640.001761-0.17%0.001657-6.07%0.0339✓0.968,8902022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338433-0.17%0.328-3.24%0.0030✓1.011.1M2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017630.017601-0.17%0.0175-0.74%0.0156✗0.76172k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27330.272846-0.17%0.2601-4.83%0.0180✓1.0765k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0700470.069952-0.14%0.068465-2.26%0.0046✓0.60279k2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5479-0.13%1.53-1.29%0.0045✓0.26186k2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.228261-0.10%0.2261-1.05%0.0324✗1.5089k2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6162.5489-0.10%59.18-5.48%0.0245✓1.1013.6M2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2296-0.06%1.1689-5.00%0.0217✓1.0447k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum4.90554.9028-0.05%4.7738-2.68%0.0053✓0.76887k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060675-0.04%0.0589-2.97%0.0095✗1.40331k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.84.8069+0.14%5.0218+4.62%0.0484✓0.17300k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.