8=======>

2022-08-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2071
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.6701-12.65%1.095-42.73%0.0133✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.036581-9.83%0.02171-46.49%0.3074✓1.02159k2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1920.0358-9.71%16.78-24.38%0.0188✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,347.21-9.54%8,612.34-24.71%0.1118✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.097232-9.36%0.05773-46.18%0.2109✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.427289-8.95%0.296-36.93%0.1292✓1.1380k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.142-8.85%6.8-32.20%0.0142✓1.34385k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4829.6504-8.71%15.93-50.95%0.3129✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46115.8414-8.40%90.03-28.81%0.0590✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.031522-8.26%0.01917-44.21%0.2219✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.2865-7.94%5.919-13.33%0.0307✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.1874-7.71%1.457-38.52%0.1335✓1.30160k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7134.9177-7.40%34.44-8.67%0.2862✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.752147-7.26%0.439-45.87%0.2454✓1.402,7022022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.511657-7.14%0.399-27.59%0.0148✓1.1114k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.3029-7.13%8.6-3.80%0.1079✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2241.0834-7.09%28.84-34.78%0.0391✓1.87293k2022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0336-7.09%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8443-7.05%2.1-31.37%0.0036✓1.43234k2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.7947-6.99%2.791-31.59%0.0473✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.163621-6.93%0.1307-25.65%0.0191✓1.16529k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.073913-6.91%0.0605-23.80%0.0376✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3056-6.90%1.0359-26.13%0.0868✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.4451-6.82%1.772-32.47%0.0558✓1.27505k2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.0864-6.80%0.80255-31.15%0.0759✓1.0812k2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.868332-6.73%0.6322-32.09%0.0206✓1.61462k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.183083-6.58%0.15332-21.77%0.3025✗2.291,0642022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.7371-6.53%4.301-40.33%0.1140✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.101936-6.48%0.1124+3.12%0.2585✗0.77163k2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.252-6.38%6.6193+90.56%0.8656✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.8611-6.37%2.136-30.10%0.0179✓1.4813k2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04390.97916-6.20%1.0186-2.42%0.2680✗1.09933k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002145-6.11%0.001603-29.85%0.0817✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.1815-6.10%12.1746-33.46%0.1129✓1.1053k2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000093491-6.10%0.00037885+280.52%1.7747✗1.79466k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.0228-6.07%7.2344+124.79%1.0063✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.2553-6.02%5.829-33.64%0.0590✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8815.8742-5.96%14.19-15.94%0.1743✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.929821-5.94%0.8135-17.70%0.2293✗1.73296k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3335-5.91%2.26-8.87%0.1939✗1.08507k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.171177-5.90%0.1191-34.52%0.1119✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.926.2588-5.88%18.21-34.73%0.0398✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3186-5.87%5.2-7.96%0.0881✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8263-5.71%3.962-2.37%0.1564✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.240542-5.71%0.1524-40.26%0.1910✓1.271,5612022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9424-5.69%1.96-37.18%0.3008✓0.50116k2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.050722-5.69%0.04195-22.00%0.0084✓0.8616k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7831-5.66%4.37-13.81%0.0376✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.7823-5.66%6.22-24.60%0.0274✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.022179-5.58%0.019706-16.11%0.0811✗0.9512k2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.048691-5.55%0.041181-20.12%0.0604✗1.0937k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.449025-5.52%0.36615-22.95%0.0633✓0.6770k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8560.3519-5.48%45.35-28.97%0.0019✓1.3738k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.403849-5.46%0.31667-25.87%0.0252✓1.28507k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.7955-5.40%2.889-27.99%0.0956✓0.85976k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.143138-5.39%0.185+22.27%0.4691✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.3189-5.38%5.599-36.32%0.1888✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.891-5.35%1.395-30.18%0.0156✓1.38234k2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008575-5.35%0.00747-17.55%0.1172✗1.22421k2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.4615-5.35%6.09+5.55%0.2164✗0.51964k2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.7682-5.33%11.775+3.53%0.3633✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.441655-5.22%0.431-7.51%0.2958✗1.53207k2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.813183-5.22%0.624-27.27%0.0188✓1.17246k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.568264-5.15%0.5213-12.99%0.1491✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.33981-5.12%0.26857-25.01%0.0267✓1.2513k2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7168-5.09%1.182-34.66%0.0802✓1.40371k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.5572-5.05%13.11-29.10%0.0190✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.051685-4.99%0.0433-20.40%0.0755✗1.20256k2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09193.8878-4.99%2.9851-27.05%0.0376✓1.0853k2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.29267-4.98%0.2418-21.49%0.0389✓1.10300k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.4537-4.94%11.915+154.32%1.0743✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.061163-4.88%0.0453-29.55%0.0392✓1.24799k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3558-4.85%1.103-22.60%0.0494✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.246934-4.84%0.2072-20.15%0.0530✗1.09766k2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.64908-4.83%0.482-29.33%0.0149✓1.3590k2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.655437-4.79%0.5036-26.85%0.0450✓1.4769k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.9509-4.73%4.174+0.65%0.1543✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.347.9459-4.73%6.659-20.16%0.0781✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4293-4.71%1.1464-23.57%0.0700✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.457979-4.71%0.3263-32.11%0.0671✓1.30155k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.769639-4.63%0.608-24.66%0.0427✓0.92380k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.467997-4.63%0.3401-30.69%0.0649✓1.21808k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0891.9924-4.62%1.597-23.55%0.0145✓1.12606k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.302318-4.62%0.33208+4.77%0.3038✗1.00366k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.503381-4.61%0.4626-12.34%0.1577✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.081431-4.56%0.07402-13.24%0.0388✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.04209-4.56%0.0348-21.09%0.0517✗1.1577k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2594-4.52%0.8793-33.34%0.0990✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.122526-4.50%0.0977-23.85%0.0588✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.538286-4.49%0.3016-46.49%0.3031✓1.32232k2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.0854-4.47%1.727-20.89%0.0461✗1.12225k2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.373057-4.44%0.3-23.16%0.0210✓0.941492022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.131299-4.44%0.116-15.57%0.1282✗1.2061k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.080195-4.37%0.06801-18.90%0.1091✗1.3129k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.2306-4.34%9.48-19.25%0.0840✗1.21263k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001142-4.30%0.001265+6.09%0.3508✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003277-4.27%0.002767-19.16%0.0313✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011515-4.21%0.00001199-0.25%0.2778✗1.13926k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.7873-4.18%6.26+3.64%0.2017✗0.59887k2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87859.3173-4.14%49.549-19.92%0.0136✓0.79306k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.215699-4.13%0.15955-29.09%0.0041✓1.42703k2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.248823-4.11%0.1963-24.35%0.0055✓1.1698k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.0923-4.08%0.7744-31.99%0.0580✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6238.9702-4.06%30.87-24.00%0.0497✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.6861-4.00%1.947-30.41%0.0319✓1.3848k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010046-3.96%0.00852-18.55%0.0286✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0673-3.93%0.94-15.39%0.0010✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4262.8511-3.93%45.56-30.36%0.0827✓1.14419k2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.836879-3.92%0.614-29.51%0.0474✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.3206-3.89%6.874-20.60%0.0551✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.514-3.86%1.6782+6.57%0.3959✗1.40619k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.340799-3.86%0.272462-23.14%0.0295✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.031748-3.85%0.03333+0.94%0.2952✗1.1814k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.12154-3.85%0.1014-19.78%0.0289✓1.00398k2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.114621-3.84%0.0892-25.17%0.0009✓1.20529k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7417-3.77%1.23-32.04%0.0840✓1.26132k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.15282-3.77%0.1271-19.96%0.0085✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000043621-3.75%0.00004054-10.55%0.1523✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019128-3.75%0.025115+26.38%0.3348✗0.30173k2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.6882-3.72%1.774-36.46%0.0432✓1.78126k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.20663-3.71%0.1824-15.00%0.1717✗1.411,1742022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.30e-7-3.71%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0590✗0.88150k2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.1708-3.69%0.13097-26.15%0.0545✗1.53207k2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1235-3.67%0.938-19.57%0.0105✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044142-3.64%0.03561-22.27%0.0211✓0.922,3482022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5132-3.62%1.47-6.37%0.0207✓0.24207k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.640177-3.57%0.5082-23.45%0.0050✓1.08726k2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.567892-3.53%0.3885-34.01%0.1435✓1.1346k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.418518-3.52%0.31421-27.57%0.0478✓1.14124k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.5967-3.50%25.64-16.40%0.0564✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.119569-3.47%0.099872-19.38%0.0244✓0.977.0M2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004547-3.47%0.00379-19.53%0.0815✗1.26102k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.086212-3.46%0.0592-33.71%0.1418✓1.12124k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.049448-3.42%0.0358-30.08%0.0610✓1.2510k2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.053178-3.41%0.040185-27.01%0.1560✓0.5926k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0194-3.36%0.84826-19.59%0.0023✓0.8951k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.058579-3.34%0.0473-21.95%0.0663✗1.34179k2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8252-3.33%1.433-24.10%0.0101✓1.20530k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.344084-3.32%0.2855-19.78%0.0375✗1.078.2M2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.125144-3.29%0.0961-25.73%0.0440✓1.054,5002022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.262231-3.27%0.2232-17.67%0.0636✗1.0765k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071112-3.25%0.0558-24.08%0.0455✓0.94158k2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,424.44-3.25%18,790.91-18.93%0.0330✓1.00414.2M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3551.65-3.19%42.68-20.00%0.0355✗1.08552k2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.077155-3.18%0.06355-20.25%0.0407✓0.738502022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0259-3.18%0.73689-30.45%0.0690✓1.25532k2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.058593-3.15%0.052-14.05%0.1776✗1.42339k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.39e-7-3.15%8.70e-7-10.31%0.0975✗0.836.0M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,647.01-3.14%1,559.28-8.30%0.2217✗1.32407.7M2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2604-3.09%1.6996-27.14%0.0406✓1.1738k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87159.8009-3.07%144.79-12.18%0.1205✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015467-3.04%0.012145-23.87%0.0673✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9409-3.04%2.544-16.12%0.0700✗1.02585k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.332676-3.04%0.2593-24.42%0.0116✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.8989-3.00%4.417+47.80%0.5978✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.329386-2.84%0.25-26.25%0.0632✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.101772-2.80%0.0785-25.02%0.0212✓1.145,6912022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.738281-2.73%0.475-37.42%0.1382✓1.44135k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.067105-2.69%0.058897-14.59%0.1069✗1.131.6M2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3198.6453-2.63%83.58-17.50%0.1761✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.6708-2.60%14.54-24.15%0.0224✓1.30118k2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.54e-7-2.60%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0583✗0.7225k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.3273-2.59%9.033-14.80%0.0938✗1.091.9M2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008154-2.58%0.00551-34.17%0.2329✓0.761.6M2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.818467-2.56%0.71-15.48%0.0209✓0.5878k2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017432-2.50%0.01183-33.84%0.2251✓0.78175k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.233331-2.45%0.2009-16.01%0.1671✗1.5189k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.6738-2.43%4.52-33.92%0.1242✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006321-2.38%0.005724-11.60%0.0655✗0.784,5222022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2668.6079-2.35%57.93-17.55%0.0879✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.158035-2.33%0.1322-18.29%0.0658✗1.16102k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001689-2.31%0.001469-15.04%0.0604✗0.958,9342022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4013-2.30%3.885+58.06%0.6674✗0.8992k2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006186-2.29%0.006199-2.08%0.1088✗0.5148k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.06816-2.15%0.060766-12.77%0.0142✓0.61279k2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031045-2.13%0.02333-26.45%0.0147✓1.291,3502022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.735183-2.11%0.907+20.77%0.4749✗1.26963k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003663-2.06%0.00295-21.12%0.0497✗1.27534k2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,649.85-1.99%18,917.90-18.14%0.0256✗0.9812k2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.256666-1.81%0.1539-41.12%0.5088✓0.0131k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.584377-1.40%0.4434-25.19%0.0332✓1.16303k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2002-1.32%0.977259-19.65%0.0095✓1.0243k2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98139.444-1.09%112.17-20.44%0.0295✗1.184.7M2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1260.5149-0.99%54.12-11.45%0.1209✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7318-0.60%3.9648-16.71%0.0167✓0.76887k2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9517+1.08%5.1426+4.97%0.0752✓0.18234k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.