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2022-08-07 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1819
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.5%
in alpha space · 27.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.038632-4.78%0.029-28.52%0.3145✓1.02159k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.6297-2.92%6.031-11.69%0.1064✓0.432.7M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.104605-2.48%0.11272+5.08%0.0345✗1.481.2M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.106815-2.00%0.1545+41.74%0.3483✗0.77163k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.078319-1.36%0.0826+4.03%0.0224✗1.131.3M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.251904-1.25%0.2677+4.94%0.0265✗1.271,5612022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297318.0687-1.25%19.4666+6.39%0.0445✗1.1053k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.8886-1.22%1.899-0.68%0.0474✓1.953.1M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.840.829877-1.21%0.79-5.95%0.0649✓0.5878k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1581-1.14%2.06-5.63%0.0769✓1.12225k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.464059-1.12%0.5111+8.91%0.0658✗1.1380k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.9283-1.01%10.19+1.60%0.0105✓1.34385k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.6242.5997-0.92%3.023+15.21%0.1164✗1.27505k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum44.2243.816-0.91%45.63+3.19%0.0103✓1.87293k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4832.1874-0.90%30.04-7.51%0.1090✓1.471.1M2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.072853-0.88%0.0737+0.27%0.0139✓0.94158k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1922.0007-0.85%21.84-1.58%0.0279✓0.762.6M2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum126.46125.3963-0.84%128.79+1.84%0.0017✓0.924.5M2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.079045-0.81%0.08965+12.50%0.1060✗0.738502022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.7212-0.80%8.73-0.71%0.0258✓0.994.0M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.034089-0.79%0.03513+2.24%0.0056✓1.3113.9M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.1146-0.78%4.125-0.53%0.0103✓0.471.9M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7137.4205-0.77%38.06+0.93%0.0219✓1.4313.0M2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,939.48-0.74%23,846.60+3.18%0.0122✗0.9812k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.477185-0.71%0.4704-2.12%0.0495✓1.30155k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.584583-0.70%0.5796-1.55%0.0391✓1.1346k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6106-0.70%5.62-0.53%0.0127✓0.532.1M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.053426-0.66%0.05269-2.03%0.0374✓0.8616k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0584.0314-0.66%4.04-0.44%0.0136✓0.581.6M2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.547391-0.66%0.553+0.36%0.0201✓1.1114k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.1054-0.63%1.1739+5.52%0.0301✗1.1013k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.4521-0.62%3.4773+0.11%0.0128✓0.741.7M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,369.12-0.61%11,448.81+0.09%0.0312✓1.415.2M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.174735-0.61%0.1759+0.06%0.0249✓1.16529k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0376-0.60%1.0662+2.14%0.0024✓1.09933k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0419-0.59%3.02-1.31%0.0460✓1.43234k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.7809-0.59%16.74-0.83%0.0395✓1.372.6M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7995-0.58%1.85+2.21%0.0065✓1.26132k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.2003-0.56%3.2115-0.21%0.0138✓0.641.2M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032835-0.56%0.0332+0.55%0.0209✓1.1814k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05573.0388-0.55%3.0082-1.55%0.0503✓1.4813k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.67824-0.55%0.697+2.20%0.0093✓1.3590k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.59910.595865-0.54%0.6064+1.22%0.0129✓1.122.1M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.92598-0.54%0.944+1.40%0.0245✓1.61462k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.3572-0.54%2.498+5.40%0.0227✗1.30160k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.806633-0.54%0.841+3.70%0.0038✓1.402,7022022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.3202-0.53%2.385+2.25%0.0041✓1.1738k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.7395-0.53%5.71-1.04%0.0191✓0.51964k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.314-0.53%11.817+3.89%0.0080✗1.3113.7M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.7533-0.53%27.92+0.07%0.0362✓1.5529.2M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.150521-0.52%0.1526+0.86%0.0138✓1.011.1M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.853586-0.51%0.894+4.20%0.0144✗1.17246k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.425007-0.51%0.42203-1.21%0.0418✓1.28507k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3952-0.51%1.4281+1.83%0.0179✓1.526.4M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.084.0592-0.51%4.095+0.37%0.0371✓1.695.2M2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260069-0.51%0.2614+0.00%0.0048✓0.0131k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.180978-0.51%0.1804-0.82%0.0357✓1.203.3M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.8951-0.50%8.84-1.12%0.0156✓0.351.8M2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000099061-0.50%0.00009929-0.27%0.0463✓1.79466k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8563.5302-0.50%62.01-2.88%0.0615✓1.3738k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.6617-0.50%4.707+0.47%0.0020✓0.431.2M2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001187-0.49%0.001192-0.05%0.0276✓1.181.3M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.8065-0.49%6.92+1.17%0.0178✓1.271.4M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.1729-0.49%7.314+1.47%0.0239✓1.6011.9M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0454-0.48%5.02-0.99%0.0216✓0.611.3M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase19.1719.0774-0.48%19.15-0.10%0.0315✓1.30118k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.6835-0.48%11.72-0.17%0.0297✓1.21263k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023378-0.48%0.023579+0.37%0.0173✓0.9512k2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.983783-0.48%0.9875-0.10%0.0432✓1.73296k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054142-0.47%0.0543-0.18%0.0298✓1.20256k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.051309-0.47%0.052476+1.79%0.0070✓1.0937k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7849-0.47%2.9+3.65%0.0030✓1.3848k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.66084-0.46%0.6657+0.27%0.0219✓1.08726k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.258314-0.46%0.2624+1.12%0.0139✓1.09766k2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002275-0.46%0.00224-1.97%0.0425✓1.001.2M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7792-0.46%2.889+3.47%0.0095✓1.78126k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.195091-0.45%0.19653+0.28%0.0548✓2.291,0642022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.3023-0.45%8.607+3.20%0.0030✓1.2116.7M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.127722-0.45%0.1491+16.21%0.1178✗1.362.9M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003408-0.45%0.003433+0.29%0.0185✓0.961.0M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.7452-0.44%8.791+0.08%0.0322✓1.389.9M2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.463944-0.44%0.4659-0.02%0.0373✓1.53207k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9893-0.43%2.058+3.00%0.0034✓1.38234k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.9947-0.43%3.99-0.55%0.0241✓0.85976k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.064023-0.43%0.068+5.75%0.0265✗1.24799k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1613-0.43%1.1662-0.01%0.0178✓0.814.1M2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.050984-0.42%0.0517+0.98%0.0200✓1.2510k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.525481-0.42%0.5372+1.80%0.0093✓1.1539.5M2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.176606-0.42%0.17585-0.85%0.0457✓1.53207k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031588-0.42%0.03333+5.08%0.0186✗1.291,3502022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0153-0.41%6.04+0.00%0.0119✓0.59887k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.306743-0.41%0.3126+1.49%0.0108✓1.10300k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8016-0.41%1.875+3.65%0.0020✓1.40371k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.47331-0.41%0.48293+1.62%0.0019✓0.6770k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.2159-0.40%8.259+0.12%0.0273✓1.206.8M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.158163-0.40%0.1674+5.42%0.0340✗0.843.6M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.125898-0.40%0.1267+0.24%0.0209✓1.00398k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.136859-0.39%0.1447+5.31%0.0231✗1.2061k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.083532-0.39%0.08557+2.04%0.0114✓1.3129k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0554-0.39%1.0855+2.45%0.0058✓1.25532k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.1079-0.39%3.05-2.24%0.0324✓0.50116k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.685758-0.39%0.69895+1.53%0.0209✓1.4769k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4704-0.39%2.74+10.48%0.0743✗1.08507k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.104297-0.39%0.1038-0.86%0.0356✓1.145,6912022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.01042-0.38%0.01044-0.19%0.0231✓0.925.1M2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash70.2669.9915-0.38%77.53+10.35%0.0690✗1.231.8M2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043932-0.38%0.0454+2.95%0.0016✓1.1577k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.045635-0.38%0.04665+1.83%0.0031✓0.922,3482022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1612-0.38%1.1648-0.08%0.0263✓1.0812k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1344-0.38%1.2133+6.55%0.0302✗1.361.7M2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.561467-0.38%0.561-0.46%0.0366✓1.32232k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.085003-0.37%0.08629+1.14%0.0077✗0.271.1M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.009027-0.37%0.00911+0.55%0.0239✓1.22421k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.49070.488919-0.36%0.5085+3.63%0.0063✗1.21808k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0771-0.36%4.1656+1.80%0.0079✓1.0853k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004693-0.36%0.00474+0.64%0.0242✓1.26102k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.35688-0.35%0.36941+3.14%0.0006✓1.2513k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9778-0.35%2.9975+0.30%0.0163✓0.841.2M2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019803-0.35%0.018974-4.52%0.0509✓0.30173k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5694-0.35%1.6087+2.15%0.0132✓1.40619k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.118789-0.34%0.1199+0.59%0.0233✓1.20529k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.432312-0.34%0.42996-0.89%0.0364✓1.14124k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.4274-0.34%18.67+0.97%0.0223✓1.301.4M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.1072-0.34%1.084-2.43%0.0375✓0.602.1M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.082-0.34%2.141+2.49%0.0026✓1.12606k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.495-0.34%1.56+4.00%0.0049✗1.391.2M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration65.4265.2043-0.33%64.6-1.25%0.0403✓1.14419k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.86815-0.33%0.898+3.10%0.0124✓1.704.3M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.213905-0.32%0.2282+6.34%0.0263✗1.411,1742022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.123476-0.32%0.130156+5.07%0.0262✗0.977.0M2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.342025-0.31%0.3474+1.25%0.0152✓1.133.6M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.804484-0.31%0.835+3.47%0.0122✗0.92380k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.129008-0.30%0.1317+1.78%0.0078✓1.054,5002022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.41e-7-0.30%3.37e-7-1.64%0.0376✓0.88150k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054891-0.30%0.05725+3.99%0.0260✗0.5926k2022-08-08
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.389276-0.29%0.3733-4.38%0.0674✓0.941492022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.089044-0.29%0.0896+0.34%0.0241✓1.12124k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015906-0.29%0.016131+1.12%0.0086✓0.832.1M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.3152-0.29%1.351+2.43%0.0069✓1.241.1M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224362-0.28%0.23+2.22%0.0137✓1.42703k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.421-0.28%1.438+0.91%0.0212✓1.222.5M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006313-0.28%0.0063-0.49%0.0159✓0.5148k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8828-0.28%1.894+0.32%0.0267✓1.20530k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006457-0.27%0.006716+3.72%0.0179✗0.784,5222022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero164.87164.4413-0.26%167.1+1.35%0.0123✓1.041.1M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.258828-0.26%0.2624+1.12%0.0177✓1.1698k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.26%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0004✓0.836.0M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.353562-0.26%0.363104+2.43%0.0062✓1.211.0M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0522-0.26%1.0843+2.79%0.0060✗0.8951k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum3.0333.0253-0.25%3.052+0.63%0.0190✓1.02585k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.78e-7-0.25%0.000001+2.04%0.0032✗0.7225k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87861.7225-0.25%62.317+0.71%0.0120✓0.79306k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.060449-0.25%0.062+2.31%0.0109✓1.34179k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000045212-0.24%0.00004589+1.26%0.0143✓1.081.8M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.6365-0.24%9.276+7.15%0.0396✗1.1711.0M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash53.3553.2259-0.23%56.22+5.38%0.0254✗1.08552k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.161426-0.23%0.163+0.74%0.0219✓1.16102k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.578-0.23%10.767+1.56%0.0118✓1.091.9M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.6031-0.22%31.49+2.67%0.0027✗0.959.1M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5666-0.22%1.55-1.27%0.0171✓0.24207k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.355127-0.22%0.3629+1.97%0.0074✓1.078.2M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017842-0.22%0.01763-1.40%0.0330✓0.78175k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4527-0.22%2.626+6.83%0.0441✗0.8992k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.270531-0.21%0.2733+0.81%0.0189✓1.0765k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011995-0.21%0.00001229+2.25%0.0064✓1.13926k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.749439-0.21%0.774+3.06%0.0021✓1.26963k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.068819-0.21%0.070056+1.59%0.0129✓1.131.6M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338312-0.20%0.339+0.00%0.0255✓1.011.1M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.757515-0.20%0.767+1.05%0.0268✓1.44135k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008354-0.19%0.00837+0.00%0.0187✓0.761.6M2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001726-0.19%0.001764+2.02%0.0039✓0.958,9342022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,697.33-0.18%1,777.36+4.52%0.0103✗1.32407.7M2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.5466-0.18%42.2+3.89%0.0034✗1.3579.4M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003740.003733-0.18%0.00377+0.80%0.0247✓1.27534k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,138.07-0.17%23,815.65+2.75%0.0017✓1.00414.2M2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.591736-0.16%0.6088+2.72%0.0030✓1.16303k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum101.31101.1508-0.16%102.58+1.25%0.0302✓1.639.9M2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.06955-0.16%0.070047+0.56%0.0096✓0.61279k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.238836-0.15%0.2285-4.47%0.0853✓1.5189k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98140.7848-0.14%143.54+1.82%0.0126✓1.184.7M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.215-0.10%1.2304+1.16%0.0152✓1.0243k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.316676-0.09%0.33107+4.45%0.0173✗1.00366k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1261.0713-0.08%62.61+2.44%0.0052✓1.1113.5M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.060455-0.07%0.0607+0.33%0.0344✓1.42339k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7595-0.01%4.9055+3.05%0.0095✗0.76887k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9028+0.08%4.8-2.02%0.0260✗0.18234k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.