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2022-08-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2190
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.5%
in alpha space · 85.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.6547-12.96%1.199-36.93%0.0324✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.69.5281-10.11%7.53-28.96%0.0263✓1.41358k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,566.13-9.88%9,493.61-19.02%0.1083✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6319.4974-9.86%17.32-19.93%0.0041✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7328.9867-8.65%18.31-42.29%0.2534✓1.39949k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14109.9628-8.47%93.14-22.47%0.0214✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.032312-8.34%0.02134-39.46%0.1995✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0211-7.87%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.1802-7.85%1.573-33.52%0.1143✓1.43169k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.398767-7.76%0.3145-27.25%0.0618✓1.1880k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.834.956-7.52%39.67+4.95%0.3374✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.0747-7.25%0.85582-26.15%0.0647✓1.1012k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.744054-7.23%0.487-39.28%0.2070✓1.462,7912022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.161987-7.06%0.1398-19.79%0.0391✓1.26529k2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.2006-7.05%12.9054-30.26%0.1199✓1.1353k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.2573-7.01%9.21+3.72%0.1801✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.184567-6.95%0.158-20.35%0.1849✗2.291,1202022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.977-6.95%3.005-29.69%0.0211✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.510991-6.92%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.8215-6.88%2.34-22.77%0.0384✓1.52234k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.859824-6.84%0.6925-24.97%0.0500✓1.80469k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4458.8008-6.82%6.141-34.98%0.2056✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.3948-6.82%1.919-25.33%0.0333✓1.27466k2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0204-6.77%1.1375+3.93%0.2789✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.246645-6.75%0.1562-40.95%0.2630✓1.311,5612022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.051532-6.70%0.0442-19.97%0.0232✓0.8816k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.5365-6.53%30.53-25.95%0.0439✓1.87293k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.284-6.50%1.1527-16.06%0.1192✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002066-6.50%0.001564-29.23%0.1302✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.8079-6.50%2.3084-23.13%0.0355✓1.5613k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.2274-6.39%7.2089+109.09%0.9334✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.8044-6.33%4.75-34.61%0.1050✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000093751-6.27%0.00040493+304.85%1.7740✗2.10480k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3566-6.11%2.31-7.97%0.1389✗1.07507k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.016-6.05%7.3781+129.83%1.0071✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.02181-6.01%0.020653-10.99%0.0879✗0.9612k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.16966-6.01%0.1279-29.14%0.0986✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.929574-5.96%0.8257-16.47%0.1307✗1.68296k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.7256-5.94%4.31+8.81%0.2482✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.080757-5.93%0.06402-25.43%0.0119✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.7326-5.91%4.72-6.16%0.1014✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3205-5.83%5.7+0.88%0.1590✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9315.949-5.79%14.53-14.18%0.1159✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.2771-5.73%6.576-25.10%0.0236✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0561.3864-5.63%48.36-25.66%0.0293✓1.4138k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.446062-5.59%0.38052-19.46%0.0466✓0.7670k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.048928-5.55%0.043718-15.61%0.0649✗1.2037k2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.7477-5.50%2.972-25.06%0.1057✓0.85976k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6425.1831-5.47%19.44-27.03%0.0247✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.8327-5.46%6.734-18.72%0.0314✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.4371-5.44%6.64+15.48%0.2875✗0.59878k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.389734-5.43%0.35378-14.15%0.1073✗1.38507k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.1578-5.32%1.752-23.12%0.0410✓1.13219k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.341354-5.25%0.28593-20.63%0.0142✓1.2913k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.8889-5.22%1.465-26.49%0.0467✓1.40253k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.12.9388-5.20%1.97-36.45%0.3256✓0.50116k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.429375-5.17%0.3741-17.38%0.0818✗1.48242k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.0824-5.17%12.633+18.82%0.4270✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.051889-5.14%0.0446-18.46%0.0389✓1.28269k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.297056-5.09%0.2337-25.34%0.0771✓1.10300k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.244735-5.07%0.222-13.89%0.0769✗1.17768k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7357-5.05%1.307-28.50%0.0707✓1.43371k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008404-5.04%0.00785-11.30%0.1201✗1.27392k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.55493-4.99%0.5388-7.76%0.1452✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.070687-4.99%0.0625-15.99%0.0401✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3593-4.94%1.17-18.18%0.0379✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.138979-4.94%0.2073+41.79%0.5597✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.657746-4.92%0.55546-19.70%0.0553✗1.5178k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.8434-4.89%4.501+11.38%0.2432✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.4295-4.86%13.008+179.38%1.1596✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.042253-4.84%0.0367-17.34%0.0424✓1.2376k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.794685-4.83%0.663-20.60%0.0009✓1.21241k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0174-4.80%1.69-20.25%0.0119✓1.27619k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12753.9321-4.73%3.3484-18.88%0.0002✓1.0853k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.1022-4.67%14.28-20.40%0.0179✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.132087-4.63%0.1229-11.26%0.1150✗1.2661k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.082113-4.62%0.07261-15.66%0.0778✗1.3529k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.061727-4.60%0.0496-23.34%0.0269✓1.29803k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.488174-4.54%0.4987-2.48%0.2003✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.647354-4.52%0.533-21.39%0.0130✓1.4090k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.8375-4.46%6.72+9.98%0.2403✗0.67754k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1255-4.46%1.056-10.36%0.0304✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.541653-4.45%0.307-45.85%0.3719✓1.32234k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2613-4.45%0.9577-27.45%0.0910✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.443-4.44%1.2398-17.89%0.0577✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.772379-4.41%0.662-18.07%0.0010✓1.03390k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.4536-4.37%7.382-5.29%0.1774✗1.2616.9M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.3402-4.35%6.361+13.94%0.2518✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.082652-4.34%0.07583-12.23%0.0458✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.1323-4.28%10.8-7.14%0.1491✗1.21290k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.46398-4.24%0.3681-24.02%0.0477✓1.24808k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.122427-4.20%0.104-18.62%0.0452✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7533-4.19%1.37-25.14%0.0499✓1.33129k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.044565-4.18%0.03742-19.54%0.0360✓0.932,3002022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.303258-4.11%0.35+10.67%0.3084✗1.11366k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42458.9049-4.10%53.71-12.56%0.0323✓0.84321k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.6471-4.09%2.117-23.30%0.0102✓1.4447k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.031324-4.06%0.03562+9.10%0.3116✗1.2314k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011471-4.01%0.00001261+5.52%0.2789✗1.24934k2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001072-4.00%0.00133+19.14%0.4006✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.883272-3.99%0.72-21.74%0.1189✓0.5878k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019431-3.99%0.025549+26.24%0.3329✗0.40173k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003113-3.94%0.002935-9.44%0.0898✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.0851-3.90%0.8473-24.96%0.0436✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.837253-3.87%0.676-22.39%0.0449✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.109689-3.87%0.0939-17.70%0.0317✓1.26505k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.418528-3.85%0.355-18.45%0.0305✓1.31134k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.207224-3.84%0.1872-13.13%0.1085✗1.421,2762022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.214459-3.83%0.173-22.42%0.0084✓1.50716k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4715-3.82%1.45-5.23%0.0287✓0.29242k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4163.8734-3.82%51.33-22.71%0.0458✓1.16419k2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.248761-3.80%0.2097-18.91%0.0105✓1.2299k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.152477-3.74%0.1447-8.65%0.0904✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.074544-3.69%0.1303+68.35%0.6669✗0.73159k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.340462-3.68%0.298688-15.50%0.0573✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.25e-7-3.68%8.55e-7+153.78%1.1124✗0.97153k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.116792-3.64%0.104-14.19%0.0446✗1.08370k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000043115-3.63%0.00004372-2.28%0.1871✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1246-3.61%0.9784-16.15%0.0119✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6016-3.57%1.916-28.98%0.0450✓1.76118k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5033-3.57%1.6684+7.02%0.3101✗1.39619k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0738.6482-3.55%32.18-19.69%0.0198✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.415515-3.54%0.34064-20.92%0.0213✓1.20124k2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.549507-3.49%0.4308-24.34%0.0768✓1.1246k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009711-3.47%0.00891-11.43%0.0450✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.259-3.44%1.8663-20.23%0.0109✓1.2137k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.068561-3.44%0.0571-19.58%0.0450✓0.93158k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.630532-3.29%0.5193-20.35%0.0224✓1.16755k2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.2439-3.29%7.368-13.56%0.0708✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075243-3.27%0.06802-12.56%0.0072✓0.739072022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.125607-3.23%0.1025-21.03%0.0555✓1.004,7012022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.117972-3.22%0.10507-13.81%0.0311✓0.997.0M2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.084103-3.22%0.0559-35.67%0.2359✓1.16126k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.058498-3.15%0.0558-7.62%0.1619✗1.41350k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.4349-3.14%26.62-12.41%0.0410✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.048922-3.12%0.0367-27.33%0.0956✓1.2910k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8192-3.12%1.546-17.67%0.0273✓1.28530k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004535-3.09%0.00402-14.10%0.0737✗1.31112k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.052943-3.09%0.041483-24.07%0.1599✓0.5725k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9404-3.09%2.722-10.28%0.0901✗1.13572k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.164067-3.08%0.13844-18.22%0.0601✗1.55212k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.338446-3.08%0.3046-12.77%0.0656✗1.158.2M2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.262721-2.98%0.2373-12.37%0.0626✗1.1165k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,640.82-2.96%1,618.01-4.31%0.1770✗1.29407.7M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0163-2.95%0.7895-24.61%0.0581✓1.31532k2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.7022-2.95%16.1-16.45%0.0527✗1.36118k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5751.0342-2.92%47.59-9.47%0.0946✗1.11574k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0159-2.90%0.898557-14.12%0.0169✓0.9458k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.331493-2.82%0.2822-17.27%0.0121✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.329678-2.75%0.271-20.06%0.0433✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.44e-7-2.73%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0666✗0.846.1M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.058464-2.72%0.0508-15.47%0.0664✗1.39179k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.8968-2.65%4.9518+66.40%0.6809✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017243-2.64%0.01272-28.18%0.1817✓0.83176k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015475-2.62%0.013125-17.41%0.0306✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51156.4346-2.54%157.52-1.86%0.1738✗1.121.1M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.46e-7-2.52%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0458✗0.7225k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.750292-2.43%0.522-32.12%0.1445✓1.47135k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,403.59-2.43%19,794.58-13.79%0.0246✗1.00427.9M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006176-2.34%0.00602-4.80%0.1021✗0.864,5222022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,687.77-2.30%19,866.30-14.45%0.0123✓0.9812k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.229927-2.28%0.209-11.18%0.1227✗1.4789k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.265-2.25%9.414-10.35%0.0771✗1.102.0M2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0896.8915-2.21%91.3-7.85%0.1872✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.3962-2.19%4.075+66.33%0.6635✗0.8992k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.030684-2.19%0.02511-19.96%0.0087✓1.291,3502022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.4762-2.17%4.93-25.53%0.0679✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.099237-2.13%0.0818-19.33%0.0144✓1.205,6912022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.159234-2.07%0.1448-10.95%0.0898✗1.25102k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6566.2779-2.03%63.41-6.27%0.1440✗1.271.7M2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.067251-2.03%0.062695-8.66%0.1048✗1.181.6M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256038-2.01%0.1628-37.70%0.4509✓0.0131k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008173-2.01%0.00599-28.18%0.1751✓0.911.6M2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022589-1.87%0.02235-2.91%0.1394✗1.01159k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.068264-1.79%0.062937-9.46%0.0242✗0.71327k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.735659-1.78%1.044+39.39%0.5313✗1.22963k2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.00168-1.72%0.001468-14.10%0.0182✗1.039,0932022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006348-1.71%0.00635-1.69%0.0737✗0.4944k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003641-1.60%0.00309-16.49%0.0282✗1.30551k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.179-1.23%1.0444-12.51%0.0353✗1.0543k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.567498-0.94%0.4722-17.58%0.0133✓1.15318k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8460.3662-0.78%60.36-0.79%0.1731✗1.1713.5M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34140.4462-0.63%125.75-11.03%0.0688✗1.214.7M2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7699-0.16%4.0071-16.13%0.0629✓0.75908k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.955.005+1.11%5.0514+2.05%0.0350✓0.17228k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.