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2022-08-06 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1605
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 30.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505918.1029-2.18%18.2973-1.13%0.0001✓1.1353k2022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.920.901832-1.97%0.84-8.70%0.0764✓0.5878k2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.259407-1.93%0.2551-3.55%0.0290✓1.311,5612022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.2401-1.71%2.183-4.21%0.0364✓1.13219k2022-08-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.2849-1.69%8.792-6.91%0.0643✓1.043.3M2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.4219-1.68%10.03-5.38%0.0516✓1.41358k2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.07673-1.36%0.07969+2.44%0.0310✗0.739072022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8754-1.35%1.912+0.58%0.0010✓1.953.1M2022-08-07
FLOWFlownative2.572.5375-1.27%2.624+2.10%0.0216✗1.27466k2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054548-1.23%0.05378-2.63%0.0224✓0.8816k2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.42722-1.18%0.4693+8.56%0.0828✗1.1880k2022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.564068-0.94%0.5887+3.39%0.0322✗1.1246k2022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.837.4482-0.93%37.71-0.24%0.0064✓1.4213.0M2022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7331.442-0.91%32.48+2.36%0.0195✗1.39949k2022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum120.14119.0954-0.87%126.46+5.26%0.0509✗0.974.5M2022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum41.2340.8728-0.87%44.22+7.25%0.0612✗1.87293k2022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6321.4433-0.86%22.19+2.59%0.0265✗0.832.6M2022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.034969-0.80%0.03436-2.52%0.0312✓1.4513.9M2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,633.45-0.77%11,438.54-2.43%0.0305✓1.454.9M2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8159-0.77%1.81-1.09%0.0157✓1.33129k2022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.085198-0.76%0.10727+24.95%0.2164✗1.481.1M2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.1006-0.70%1.1124+0.37%0.0009✓1.0413k2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0869-0.70%1.0439-4.62%0.0511✓1.151.0M2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.545235-0.69%0.551+0.36%0.0002✓1.1516k2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0564.6123-0.67%63.85-1.84%0.0251✓1.4138k2022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.5467-0.65%6.829+22.32%0.2031✗0.522.6M2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.173203-0.63%0.1758+0.86%0.0031✓1.26529k2022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.647929-0.62%0.6639+1.83%0.0135✗1.16755k2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.25971-0.61%0.2614+0.04%0.0064✗0.0131k2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.827-0.61%16.88-0.30%0.0101✓1.412.6M2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6158-0.60%5.65+0.00%0.0004✓0.611.5M2022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.2484-0.60%4.08-4.54%0.0568✓1.755.2M2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.4271-0.60%3.4736+0.75%0.0053✓0.871.6M2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.033.0124-0.58%3.06+0.99%0.0014✓1.52234k2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.9383-0.57%4.058+2.45%0.0235✗0.691.5M2022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.1923-0.56%3.2183+0.25%0.0010✓0.761.2M2022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.9861-0.56%3.0557+1.76%0.0084✗1.5613k2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3529-0.55%2.37+0.17%0.0062✓1.43169k2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.197278-0.55%0.19598-1.20%0.0281✓2.291,1202022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.917966-0.55%0.931+0.87%0.0027✓1.80469k2022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0414.019-0.54%4.147+2.62%0.0260✗0.571.9M2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.983253-0.53%0.9885+0.00%0.0104✓1.68296k2022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.5685-0.53%11.74+0.95%0.0034✓1.21290k2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.051531-0.53%0.051551-0.49%0.0108✓1.2037k2022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.674435-0.53%0.682+0.59%0.0020✓1.4090k2022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1718-0.52%1.111-5.69%0.0593✓0.632.1M2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.179575-0.51%0.1819+0.78%0.0012✓1.243.3M2022-08-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000099508-0.51%0.00009956-0.46%0.0191✓2.10480k2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.7979-0.51%0.811+1.12%0.0026✓1.462,7912022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023087-0.50%0.023491+1.24%0.0083✗0.9612k2022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.6328-0.50%4.685+0.62%0.0060✗0.551.3M2022-08-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.8368-0.49%8.94+0.68%0.0071✗0.481.8M2022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1611-0.48%1.1663-0.04%0.0036✓0.864.1M2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.035.0056-0.48%5.07+0.80%0.0062✗0.701.3M2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.830972-0.48%0.858+2.75%0.0206✗1.21241k2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.145508-0.47%0.1513+3.49%0.0289✗1.081.0M2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.157651-0.47%0.1588+0.25%0.0018✓0.963.6M2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.054442-0.47%0.0544-0.55%0.0128✓1.28269k2022-08-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.046292-0.47%0.04581-1.51%0.0192✓0.932,3002022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.7233-0.46%5.77+0.35%0.0026✓0.59878k2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.2304-0.46%7.208-0.77%0.0192✓1.7111.9M2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.8196-0.46%1.809-1.04%0.0193✓1.43371k2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6426.5179-0.46%27.9+4.73%0.0360✗1.5827.5M2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.1826-0.45%19.17-0.52%0.0135✓1.36118k2022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.050272-0.45%0.0512+1.39%0.0062✗1.2910k2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.428845-0.45%0.4338+0.70%0.0003✓1.20124k2022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022917-0.45%0.04057+76.24%0.5617✗1.01159k2022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.256647-0.45%0.2595+0.66%0.0000✓1.17768k2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.064411-0.45%0.0643-0.62%0.0139✓1.29803k2022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.311607-0.44%0.308-1.60%0.0219✓1.10300k2022-08-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.0022-0.44%0.002285+3.39%0.0284✗1.001.1M2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.127239-0.44%0.1283+0.39%0.0049✓1.402.9M2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3673-0.44%1.4024+2.12%0.0110✗1.536.4M2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.032507-0.44%0.03302+1.13%0.0041✓1.2314k2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.077068-0.43%0.109+40.83%0.3398✗0.73159k2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.9491-0.43%4.012+1.16%0.0078✗0.85976k2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1539-0.42%1.1657+0.59%0.0002✓1.1012k2022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.085725-0.42%0.08386-2.59%0.0347✓1.3529k2022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.0843-0.42%6.04-1.15%0.0136✓0.67754k2022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration66.4166.1313-0.42%65.42-1.49%0.0217✓1.16419k2022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4995-0.42%2.48-1.20%0.0179✓1.07507k2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.47051-0.42%0.47524+0.58%0.0029✓0.7670k2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.137921-0.42%0.1374-0.79%0.0156✓1.2661k2022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.58410.581677-0.41%0.5991+2.57%0.0185✗1.182.1M2022-08-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.564561-0.41%0.5636-0.58%0.0141✓1.32234k2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6869-0.41%2.792+3.48%0.0219✗1.76118k2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9848-0.41%1.998+0.25%0.0065✓1.40253k2022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.45094-0.41%0.466+2.92%0.0190✗1.48242k2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.9637-0.41%2.9884+0.42%0.0009✓0.981.2M2022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.358814-0.40%0.35815-0.59%0.0140✓1.2913k2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.5894-0.40%11.374+6.98%0.0587✗1.3613.0M2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.749-0.40%2.798+1.38%0.0042✗1.4447k2022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.044223-0.40%0.0441-0.68%0.0144✓1.2376k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.214645-0.40%0.2146-0.42%0.0135✓1.421,2762022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.5938-0.40%6.84+3.32%0.0237✗1.381.4M2022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.1112-0.40%4.0919-0.86%0.0148✓1.0853k2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.689015-0.40%0.68843-0.48%0.0150✓1.5178k2022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.086059-0.40%0.08532-1.25%0.0112✓0.271.1M2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.7453-0.40%8.784+0.05%0.0086✓1.399.9M2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.020158-0.40%0.019873-1.80%0.0180✓0.40173k2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.509394-0.39%0.5277+3.19%0.0240✗1.2140.5M2022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0431-0.39%1.0596+1.18%0.0034✓1.31532k2022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1247-0.39%1.1387+0.85%0.0005✓1.371.5M2022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.2528-0.39%8.249-0.43%0.0120✓1.236.9M2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.070725-0.39%0.0735+3.52%0.0298✗0.93158k2022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.168636-0.39%0.17735+4.76%0.0358✗1.55212k2022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.3306-0.38%2.3326-0.30%0.0105✓1.2137k2022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.1114-0.36%2.089-1.42%0.0226✓1.27619k2022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.101039-0.36%0.1047+3.25%0.0243✗1.205,6912022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.410634-0.35%0.42719+3.66%0.0266✗1.38507k2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.00323-0.35%0.003423+5.62%0.0487✗1.001.0M2022-08-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.867941-0.35%0.871+0.00%0.0129✓1.744.4M2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.433777-0.35%0.4806+10.41%0.0902✗1.31134k2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0892-0.35%3.12+0.65%0.0052✗0.50116k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.7673-0.34%8.34+7.01%0.0593✗1.2616.9M2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.805241-0.34%0.807-0.12%0.0075✓1.03390k2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.074146-0.34%0.0794+6.72%0.0581✗1.101.1M2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004664-0.34%0.00471+0.64%0.0025✓1.31112k2022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.12936-0.34%0.1294-0.31%0.0090✓1.004,7012022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5049-0.34%1.5-0.66%0.0165✓1.411.2M2022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash67.6567.4264-0.33%70.26+3.86%0.0293✗1.271.7M2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5538-0.33%1.5748+1.02%0.0004✓1.39619k2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.120803-0.33%0.1264+4.29%0.0351✗1.08370k2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.010027-0.33%0.01046+3.98%0.0340✗0.885.2M2022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.48450.482923-0.33%0.4907+1.28%0.0044✗1.24808k2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006439-0.31%0.006331-1.98%0.0215✓0.4944k2022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.086638-0.30%0.0893+2.76%0.0193✗1.16126k2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.121538-0.30%0.123873+1.62%0.0097✗0.997.0M2022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008824-0.30%0.00906+2.37%0.0145✗1.27392k2022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.340099-0.29%0.3431+0.59%0.0022✓1.173.6M2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4259-0.29%1.425-0.35%0.0125✓1.272.5M2022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.36e-7-0.29%3.42e-7+1.61%0.0097✗0.97153k2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.3162-0.29%1.319-0.08%0.0095✓1.241.1M2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054479-0.28%0.055055+0.78%0.0052✗0.5725k2022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031285-0.27%0.03172+1.12%0.0017✓1.291,3502022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8727-0.27%1.888+0.55%0.0039✓1.28530k2022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.059941-0.26%0.0606+0.83%0.0021✓1.39179k2022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.222424-0.26%0.225+0.90%0.0026✓1.50716k2022-08-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.26%9.80e-7+1.03%0.0061✗0.7225k2022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum3.0343.0262-0.26%3.033-0.03%0.0083✓1.13572k2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006308-0.26%0.006475+2.39%0.0181✗0.864,5222022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.894-0.26%18.49+3.07%0.0202✗1.341.3M2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0437-0.25%1.0549+0.82%0.0018✓0.9458k2022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015852-0.25%0.015952+0.38%0.0022✓0.902.1M2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.444-0.24%2.458+0.33%0.0027✓0.8992k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42461.2742-0.24%61.878+0.74%0.0019✓0.84321k2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.257976-0.24%0.2595+0.35%0.0056✓1.2299k2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.113825-0.24%0.1192+4.47%0.0343✗1.26505k2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.352627-0.24%0.354473+0.28%0.0067✓1.271.0M2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000044633-0.24%0.00004532+1.30%0.0043✗1.171.9M2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.767176-0.24%0.759-1.30%0.0245✓1.47135k2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001114-0.23%0.001193+6.81%0.0566✗1.241.3M2022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.23%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0056✓0.846.1M2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.162248-0.22%0.1618-0.49%0.0145✓1.25102k2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.4784-0.22%10.602+0.96%0.0014✓1.102.0M2022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338273-0.21%0.339+0.00%0.0075✓1.031.1M2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5268-0.21%1.57+2.61%0.0251✗0.29242k2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.747455-0.21%0.751+0.27%0.0067✓1.22963k2022-08-07
DASHDashDash52.5752.4629-0.20%53.35+1.48%0.0064✗1.11574k2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017674-0.20%0.01788+0.96%0.0038✗0.83176k2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.270254-0.20%0.2711+0.11%0.0073✓1.1165k2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011927-0.19%0.00001202+0.59%0.0039✓1.24934k2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.5075-0.19%8.657+1.56%0.0058✗1.2311.0M2022-08-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001706-0.19%0.001729+1.17%0.0039✗1.039,0932022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.3318-0.19%30.67+0.92%0.0021✗0.959.4M2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.348544-0.19%0.3559+1.92%0.0101✗1.158.2M2022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,687.86-0.17%1,700.42+0.57%0.0047✓1.29407.7M2022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.068528-0.16%0.06896+0.47%0.0048✓1.181.6M2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008326-0.16%0.00837+0.36%0.0033✓0.911.6M2022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero160.51160.2486-0.16%164.87+2.72%0.0179✗1.121.1M2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.00370.003695-0.15%0.00374+1.08%0.0001✓1.30551k2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.069510.069416-0.14%0.069658+0.21%0.0032✓0.71327k2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.234986-0.13%0.2392+1.66%0.0040✗1.4789k2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana40.0740.0174-0.13%40.62+1.37%0.0021✗1.3780.8M2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,193.76-0.12%23,110.70-0.48%0.0128✓0.9812k2022-08-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34141.1879-0.11%140.98-0.25%0.0128✓1.214.7M2022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.572289-0.11%0.5927+3.46%0.0243✗1.15318k2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0898.9761-0.10%101.31+2.25%0.0077✗1.6610.0M2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,937.48-0.10%23,177.39+0.94%0.0010✗1.00427.9M2022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060358-0.07%0.0605+0.17%0.0109✓1.41350k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8460.7996-0.07%61.12+0.46%0.0057✓1.1713.5M2022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.193-0.06%1.2162+1.89%0.0094✗1.0543k2022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.316135-0.04%0.31695+0.22%0.0079✓1.11366k2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum4.77754.777-0.01%4.7602-0.36%0.0106✓0.75908k2022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9532+0.06%4.899-1.03%0.0126✗0.17228k2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.