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2022-08-05 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0319
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.7%
in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.73754.7576+0.42%4.7775+0.84%0.0159✓0.75916k2022-08-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001681+0.24%0.001709+1.91%0.0326✓1.039,0502022-08-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.584834+0.21%0.5729-1.83%0.0028✗1.15329k2022-08-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.069929+0.19%0.068641-1.66%0.0004✓1.171.6M2022-08-06
XMRMoneroMonero161.87162.1488+0.17%160.51-0.84%0.0069✓1.101.1M2022-08-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008442+0.14%0.00834-1.07%0.0019✓0.901.6M2022-08-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95194.956+0.08%4.95-0.04%0.0014✓0.17225k2022-08-06
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025221+0.08%0.0252+0.00%0.0078✓0.5540k2022-08-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3023,222.45+0.07%23,221.90+0.07%0.0152✓0.9813k2022-08-06
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069887+0.07%0.06951-0.47%0.0053✓0.69345k2022-08-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.090761+0.07%0.0869-4.19%0.0255✗1.16126k2022-08-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1967+0.06%1.1937-0.19%0.0138✓1.0542k2022-08-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,332.60+0.05%22,960.93-1.54%0.0005✓1.00455.4M2022-08-06
ZECZcashZcash69.1569.1634+0.02%67.65-2.17%0.0026✗1.251.7M2022-08-06
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27103.2696-0.00%99.08-4.06%0.0156✓1.6610.2M2022-08-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.458692-0.00%0.4528-1.29%0.0101✗1.48263k2022-08-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.018188-0.01%0.01771-2.64%0.0138✓0.82182k2022-08-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.426682-0.02%0.43078+0.94%0.0281✗1.19118k2022-08-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.752858-0.02%0.749-0.53%0.0137✗1.21968k2022-08-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003212-0.02%0.003241+0.87%0.0243✗0.991.0M2022-08-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.4378-0.02%10.501+0.58%0.0232✗1.112.0M2022-08-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.358822-0.02%0.3492-2.70%0.0094✓1.158.3M2022-08-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006747-0.03%0.006459-4.30%0.0357✓0.5140k2022-08-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000012116-0.03%0.00001195-1.40%0.0055✗1.24951k2022-08-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.163945-0.03%0.1626-0.85%0.0109✗1.23107k2022-08-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006332-0.04%0.006324-0.15%0.0120✗0.854,9752022-08-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.118497-0.04%0.121903+2.84%0.0438✗0.996.9M2022-08-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.325531-0.04%0.31626-2.89%0.0114✓1.12383k2022-08-06
XVGVergenative0.003850.003848-0.04%0.0037-3.90%0.0192✓1.29551k2022-08-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.261081-0.05%0.2586-1.00%0.0095✗1.2299k2022-08-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.060972-0.05%0.0601-1.48%0.0072✗1.39179k2022-08-06
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739649-0.05%0.92+24.32%0.2274✗0.5978k2022-08-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.12953-0.05%0.1298+0.15%0.0176✗1.004,9522022-08-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4962.454-0.06%60.84-2.64%0.0082✓1.1613.5M2022-08-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.48e-7-0.06%3.37e-7-3.12%0.0159✓0.97157k2022-08-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.757475-0.07%0.769+1.45%0.0380✗1.47121k2022-08-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4681-0.08%2.45-0.81%0.0065✗0.89110k2022-08-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93141.8219-0.08%141.34-0.42%0.0153✗1.204.6M2022-08-06
DASHDashDash52.452.3584-0.08%52.57+0.32%0.0211✗1.10574k2022-08-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010291-0.08%0.01006-2.33%0.0090✓0.885.2M2022-08-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.832305-0.08%0.808-3.00%0.0138✓1.02389k2022-08-06
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.79e-7-0.09%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0036✗0.846.4M2022-08-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.055202-0.10%0.05463-1.13%0.0014✓0.5825k2022-08-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.100394-0.11%0.1014+0.90%0.0287✗1.216,5342022-08-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.4956-0.11%40.07-1.16%0.0107✗1.3780.8M2022-08-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.06233-0.11%0.0604-3.21%0.0094✓1.42350k2022-08-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,734.84-0.11%1,690.81-2.65%0.0057✓1.28418.9M2022-08-06
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.4091-0.11%19.27+4.56%0.0673✗1.39118k2022-08-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0473.0434-0.12%3.034-0.43%0.0142✗1.11587k2022-08-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.113764-0.12%0.1141+0.18%0.0224✗1.25505k2022-08-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.578-0.12%1.53-3.16%0.0263✓0.30242k2022-08-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.050946-0.12%0.05523+8.27%0.0945✗0.8915k2022-08-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.241584-0.13%0.2353-2.73%0.0034✓1.4789k2022-08-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0513-0.13%1.0463-0.61%0.0099✗0.9560k2022-08-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.045269-0.13%0.04651+2.60%0.0416✗0.942,0262022-08-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0561.9666-0.13%61.424-1.01%0.0041✗0.83321k2022-08-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.150496-0.14%0.1584+5.11%0.0660✗0.963.6M2022-08-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.7179-0.14%30.39-1.20%0.0041✗0.9510.0M2022-08-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.336531-0.14%0.339+0.59%0.0234✗1.041.1M2022-08-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.339821-0.14%0.3411+0.24%0.0218✗1.163.6M2022-08-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.8871-0.15%8.88-0.22%0.0068✗0.491.8M2022-08-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049427-0.15%0.0505+2.02%0.0416✗1.309,0132022-08-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.270882-0.15%0.2708-0.18%0.0170✗1.1165k2022-08-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.846652-0.16%0.835-1.53%0.0050✗1.21233k2022-08-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.06879-0.16%0.071+3.05%0.0463✗0.94170k2022-08-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5974-0.16%1.5589-2.57%0.0027✓1.39619k2022-08-06
STXStacksnative0.49180.490988-0.17%0.4845-1.48%0.0059✗1.24808k2022-08-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.073777-0.17%0.0774+4.74%0.0592✗0.73155k2022-08-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.022373-0.17%0.02302+2.72%0.0445✗1.03159k2022-08-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.138061-0.17%0.1385+0.14%0.0229✗1.2761k2022-08-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.130767-0.18%0.1278-2.44%0.0015✓1.382.9M2022-08-06
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.004692-0.18%0.00468-0.43%0.0178✗1.30126k2022-08-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.3469-0.18%2.3396-0.50%0.0157✗1.2134k2022-08-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.427159-0.18%0.41209-3.71%0.0145✓1.37545k2022-08-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.02025-0.18%0.020238-0.25%0.0058✗0.41172k2022-08-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.21969-0.19%0.2155-2.09%0.0028✗1.421,2802022-08-06
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000045445-0.19%0.00004474-1.74%0.0024✗1.161.9M2022-08-06
KSMKusamaHydration63.563.377-0.19%66.41+4.58%0.0650✗1.17379k2022-08-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.437145-0.20%0.4353-0.62%0.0162✗1.32147k2022-08-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.8626-0.20%7.794-1.07%0.0107✗1.2517.9M2022-08-06
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.2863-0.20%18.5059+20.82%0.2090✗1.1553k2022-08-06
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.51654-0.20%0.5114-1.20%0.0087✗1.2040.5M2022-08-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.366946-0.20%0.36027-2.02%0.0018✓1.2913k2022-08-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.01629-0.21%0.015891-2.65%0.0108✓0.902.1M2022-08-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.429-0.21%1.43-0.14%0.0204✗1.272.6M2022-08-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0724-0.22%1.0945+1.83%0.0382✗1.141.0M2022-08-06
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.477594-0.22%0.47249-1.29%0.0012✓0.7770k2022-08-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.086409-0.22%0.08609-0.59%0.0174✗1.3530k2022-08-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0732-0.22%1.0472-2.64%0.0042✓1.30532k2022-08-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001123-0.23%0.001117-0.76%0.0139✗1.241.3M2022-08-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.1352-0.23%3.0029-4.44%0.0191✓1.5513k2022-08-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.358015-0.24%0.353472-1.50%0.0070✗1.271.0M2022-08-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22746-0.24%0.223-2.19%0.0037✗1.51755k2022-08-06
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.261672-0.24%0.2578-1.72%0.0032✗1.16768k2022-08-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.12519-0.25%0.1212-3.43%0.0155✓1.08380k2022-08-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.8265-0.25%1.828-0.16%0.0230✗1.43354k2022-08-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.88e-7-0.25%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0024✓1.0025k2022-08-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.031033-0.25%0.03137+0.84%0.0310✗1.301,4012022-08-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.260837-0.25%0.2613-0.08%0.0020✓0.0130k2022-08-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3466-0.26%1.32-2.22%0.0006✓1.241.1M2022-08-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.9374-0.26%10.632-3.05%0.0073✓1.3513.0M2022-08-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7654-0.26%1.83+3.39%0.0564✗1.32127k2022-08-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9356-0.26%3.961+0.38%0.0173✗0.701.5M2022-08-06
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8615-0.27%1.8777+0.60%0.0284✗1.26530k2022-08-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.707-0.28%4.656-1.36%0.0022✓0.561.4M2022-08-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.06721-0.28%0.0647-4.01%0.0180✓1.29803k2022-08-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00963.001-0.28%2.9758-1.12%0.0069✗0.981.2M2022-08-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.177264-0.28%0.16929-4.77%0.0220✓1.55222k2022-08-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1557-0.29%1.178+1.64%0.0289✗0.631.9M2022-08-06
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.052662-0.29%0.051804-1.91%0.0022✓1.2035k2022-08-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1608-0.29%3.1-2.21%0.0116✓0.50116k2022-08-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.074283-0.29%0.0744-0.13%0.0187✗1.101.1M2022-08-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.044968-0.29%0.0444-1.55%0.0064✗1.2377k2022-08-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.6931-0.29%0.69175-0.49%0.0215✗1.5188k2022-08-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.2283-0.30%3.2103-0.85%0.0062✗0.761.2M2022-08-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5054-0.30%1.51+0.00%0.0249✗1.401.2M2022-08-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.033478-0.30%0.03265-2.77%0.0059✓1.2314k2022-08-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.055728-0.31%0.0547-2.15%0.0013✓1.28284k2022-08-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1544.1409-0.32%3.966-4.53%0.0299✓0.85976k2022-08-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0407-0.32%6.11+0.83%0.0221✗0.69746k2022-08-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.8885-0.33%26.64+6.69%0.0926✗1.5826.1M2022-08-06
HIVEHivenative0.59080.588871-0.33%0.5841-1.13%0.0102✗1.182.1M2022-08-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.3234-0.33%5.583+4.53%0.0558✗0.532.4M2022-08-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.18379-0.33%0.1805-2.11%0.0010✓1.233.4M2022-08-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0534-0.33%1.1084+4.87%0.0671✗1.0413k2022-08-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002219-0.34%0.00221-0.76%0.0113✗1.001.2M2022-08-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.935817-0.34%0.923-1.70%0.0136✗1.76476k2022-08-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1855-0.34%1.1668-1.91%0.0025✓0.864.4M2022-08-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.1493-0.34%1.1588+0.48%0.0254✗1.1012k2022-08-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.077871-0.34%0.07779-0.45%0.0103✗0.739072022-08-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.178082-0.35%0.1743-2.46%0.0020✓1.25529k2022-08-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1873-0.35%2.119-3.46%0.0122✓1.26619k2022-08-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.835-0.35%2.76-2.99%0.0046✓1.4349k2022-08-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.022956-0.36%0.023204+0.72%0.0257✗0.9612k2022-08-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.705463-0.36%0.678-4.24%0.0181✓1.3990k2022-08-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.388898-0.36%–pending––0.941722022-08-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0646-0.36%4.1275+1.18%0.0322✗1.0851k2022-08-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.182-0.37%1.1291-4.83%0.0245✓1.371.4M2022-08-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.87172-0.37%0.871-0.46%0.0261✗1.734.6M2022-08-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.6684-0.38%5.65-0.70%0.0062✗0.611.5M2022-08-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.3242-0.38%2.366+1.41%0.0394✗1.39169k2022-08-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.8961-0.38%4.041+3.32%0.0456✗0.581.9M2022-08-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.086098-0.38%0.0864-0.03%0.0078✗0.281.1M2022-08-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.6781-0.38%5.75+0.88%0.0218✗0.59878k2022-08-06
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3161.0727-0.39%65.05+6.10%0.0849✗1.4035k2022-08-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.741-0.40%2.698-1.96%0.0114✗1.75118k2022-08-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.009004-0.40%0.00885-2.10%0.0026✓1.27390k2022-08-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.3482-0.40%8.285-1.16%0.0114✗1.227.0M2022-08-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0252.0168-0.41%1.993-1.58%0.0100✗1.41266k2022-08-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.229662-0.41%0.2645+14.70%0.1616✗1.311,5612022-08-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.774-0.41%8.524-3.25%0.0098✓1.2311.0M2022-08-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000100552-0.41%0.00010002-0.94%0.0268✗2.07498k2022-08-06
QNTQuantEthereum107.26106.8159-0.41%120.14+12.01%0.1329✗0.994.2M2022-08-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.669013-0.41%0.652-2.95%0.0078✓1.16690k2022-08-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4318.351-0.43%17.94-2.66%0.0023✓1.311.3M2022-08-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.9333-0.43%8.78-2.14%0.0042✓1.389.9M2022-08-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.036122-0.44%0.03525-2.84%0.0021✓1.4313.9M2022-08-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.145258-0.44%0.1462+0.21%0.0232✗1.08986k2022-08-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.6203-0.45%6.62-0.45%0.0215✗1.391.4M2022-08-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9975-0.45%5.03+0.20%0.0174✗0.701.3M2022-08-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.567271-0.48%0.549-3.68%0.0150✓1.1416k2022-08-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.9719-0.48%11.63-3.33%0.0101✓1.21290k2022-08-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3521.2467-0.48%21.63+1.31%0.0309✗0.832.4M2022-08-06
METISMetisEthereum47.6547.4096-0.50%41.23-13.47%0.1118✓1.79277k2022-08-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.1539-0.51%3.03-4.42%0.0166✓1.51234k2022-08-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.4341-0.53%1.3733-4.74%0.0199✓1.506.4M2022-08-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2217.1282-0.53%16.93-1.68%0.0104✗1.412.6M2022-08-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.981585-0.54%0.9885+0.16%0.0333✗1.69281k2022-08-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.5321-0.54%7.264-4.08%0.0095✓1.7211.9M2022-08-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.082887-0.57%0.08585+2.99%0.0582✗1.481.0M2022-08-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.4403-0.57%3.4478-0.36%0.0158✗0.881.5M2022-08-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.194845-0.60%0.19836+1.19%0.0536✗2.301,1512022-08-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.565984-0.60%0.5669-0.44%0.0222✗1.33245k2022-08-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4946-0.61%2.51+0.00%0.0228✗1.07507k2022-08-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0614.0356-0.62%4.274+5.25%0.0845✗1.745.1M2022-08-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.818695-0.64%0.802-2.67%0.0020✓1.452,9182022-08-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.303319-0.68%0.313+2.49%0.0487✗1.11300k2022-08-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.2781-0.75%9.445+13.24%0.1481✗1.042.9M2022-08-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.434406-0.80%0.4323-1.28%0.0136✗1.1979k2022-08-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.928-0.93%1.901-2.31%0.0163✗1.952.9M2022-08-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5932.2846-0.94%31.73-2.64%0.0041✓1.381.1M2022-08-06
FLOWFlownative2.7322.7036-1.04%2.57-5.93%0.0310✓1.26456k2022-08-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3012,151.03-1.06%11,723.93-4.54%0.0133✓1.454.7M2022-08-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.58993-1.12%0.5694-4.56%0.0180✓1.1246k2022-08-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2737.8168-1.18%37.8-1.23%0.0215✗1.4112.8M2022-08-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.503-1.19%10.6-0.28%0.0311✗1.41338k2022-08-06
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.9592-3.70%2.279-25.84%0.2458✓0.99206k2022-08-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.