8=======>

2022-08-05 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2465
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.3%
in alpha space · 85.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95195.0589+2.16%5.256+6.14%0.0643✓0.17225k2022-09-04
GTGateEthereum4.73754.7882+1.07%4.2121-11.09%0.0130✗0.75916k2022-09-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93142.1201+0.13%118.36-16.61%0.0015✓1.204.6M2022-09-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4962.4101-0.13%60.93-2.50%0.1533✗1.1613.5M2022-09-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.580629-0.51%0.4695-19.55%0.0367✓1.15329k2022-09-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001667-0.61%0.00152-9.36%0.0662✗1.039,0502022-09-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1887-0.61%1.0588-11.47%0.0455✗1.0542k2022-09-04
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069298-0.77%0.063547-9.01%0.0193✗0.69345k2022-09-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.00836-0.83%0.00608-27.88%0.1798✓0.901.6M2022-09-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.030801-0.99%0.02502-19.58%0.0092✓1.301,4012022-09-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.75037-1.01%0.528-30.34%0.1259✓1.47121k2022-09-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006681-1.01%0.006455-4.36%0.0441✗0.5140k2022-09-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.069085-1.02%0.063218-9.43%0.0912✗1.171.6M2022-09-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.745173-1.04%1.045+38.78%0.5241✗1.21968k2022-09-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.099343-1.15%0.0828-17.61%0.0027✓1.216,5342022-09-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.162045-1.19%0.1437-12.38%0.0685✗1.23107k2022-09-04
ZECZcashZcash69.1568.3171-1.20%63.8-7.74%0.1237✗1.251.7M2022-09-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,030.10-1.25%20,004.73-14.22%0.0125✓1.00455.4M2022-09-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3022,903.64-1.30%19,865.80-14.39%0.0081✓0.9813k2022-09-04
XVGVergenative0.003850.003789-1.58%0.00311-19.22%0.0003✓1.29551k2022-09-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.72788-1.64%0.73-1.35%0.0940✗0.5978k2022-09-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4295-1.64%4.053+64.09%0.6484✗0.89110k2022-09-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.257174-1.65%0.1803-31.05%0.3532✓0.0130k2022-09-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006227-1.68%0.005979-5.59%0.0894✗0.854,9752022-09-04
XMRMoneroMonero161.87159.1082-1.71%155.77-3.77%0.1474✗1.101.1M2022-09-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.2599-1.73%9.394-10.02%0.0815✗1.112.0M2022-09-04
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0336-1.81%0.900625-14.45%0.0075✓0.9560k2022-09-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.72e-7-1.83%8.90e-7-10.10%0.0654✗1.0025k2022-09-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.237439-1.84%0.2041-15.63%0.0746✗1.4789k2022-09-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.021994-1.86%0.02226-0.67%0.1693✗1.03159k2022-09-04
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.62e-7-1.88%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0395✗0.846.4M2022-09-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9516-1.93%4.6707+55.19%0.6099✗0.981.2M2022-09-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.059775-2.01%0.0516-15.41%0.0660✗1.39179k2022-09-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.330222-2.01%0.269-20.18%0.0462✓1.041.1M2022-09-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.015994-2.02%0.013172-19.31%0.0563✓0.902.1M2022-09-04
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27101.1399-2.06%88.85-13.96%0.1246✗1.6610.2M2022-09-04
DASHDashDash52.451.3105-2.08%47.59-9.18%0.0935✗1.10574k2022-09-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.5115-2.08%4.91-26.17%0.0696✓1.391.4M2022-09-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.333082-2.12%0.2908-14.55%0.0425✗1.163.6M2022-09-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048364-2.30%0.0364-26.46%0.0852✓1.309,0132022-09-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.060942-2.34%0.057-8.65%0.1511✗1.42350k2022-09-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.6037-2.34%7.375-16.29%0.0345✗1.2311.0M2022-09-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.0304-2.37%26.4-14.17%0.0174✓0.9510.0M2022-09-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.350341-2.38%0.3127-12.87%0.0621✗1.158.3M2022-09-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.017753-2.40%0.01286-29.30%0.1960✓0.82182k2022-09-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.115656-2.43%0.106324-10.31%0.0681✗0.996.9M2022-09-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4317.9808-2.44%16.45-10.74%0.1240✗1.39118k2022-09-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.053905-2.44%0.042185-23.66%0.1564✓0.5825k2022-09-04
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8184-2.58%1.5561-16.63%0.0383✗1.26530k2022-09-04
UMAUMAEthereum3.0472.9676-2.61%2.771-9.06%0.1024✗1.11587k2022-09-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0471-2.65%0.80657-25.01%0.0609✓1.30532k2022-09-04
SOLSolanaSolana40.5439.4401-2.71%32.17-20.65%0.0057✓1.3780.8M2022-09-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,689.64-2.71%1,579.04-9.08%0.1293✗1.28418.9M2022-09-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.00457-2.77%0.00402-14.47%0.0718✗1.30126k2022-09-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.263671-2.81%0.2399-11.57%0.0759✗1.1165k2022-09-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.125939-2.82%0.1029-20.60%0.0494✓1.004,9522022-09-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5337-2.93%1.49-5.70%0.0166✓0.30242k2022-09-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.348217-2.97%0.299008-16.68%0.0426✗1.271.0M2022-09-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.2803-3.02%1.9099-18.77%0.0081✓1.2134k2022-09-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.146107-3.05%0.1386-8.03%0.0938✗0.963.6M2022-09-04
KSMKusamaHydration63.561.5492-3.07%50.61-20.30%0.0161✓1.17379k2022-09-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.009979-3.11%0.00892-13.40%0.0234✓0.885.2M2022-09-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5494-3.16%1.6865+5.41%0.2987✗1.39619k2022-09-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.252826-3.21%0.211-19.22%0.0068✓1.2299k2022-09-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.110247-3.21%0.0958-15.89%0.0515✗1.25505k2022-09-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.066681-3.22%0.0577-16.26%0.0002✓0.94170k2022-09-04
STXStacksnative0.49180.475922-3.23%0.3678-25.21%0.0682✓1.24808k2022-09-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.412888-3.25%0.34915-18.19%0.0152✓1.19118k2022-09-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.171945-3.28%0.13852-22.08%0.0209✓1.55222k2022-09-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.071474-3.28%0.1213+64.14%0.6402✗0.73155k2022-09-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.121341-3.31%0.1033-17.69%0.0053✓1.08380k2022-09-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0559.9801-3.34%53.273-14.15%0.0091✓0.83321k2022-09-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.31476-3.35%0.35382+8.65%0.2892✗1.12383k2022-09-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003104-3.38%0.002943-8.40%0.0987✗0.991.0M2022-09-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.212648-3.39%0.1782-19.04%0.0404✗1.421,2802022-09-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.071956-3.42%0.0625-16.11%0.0283✓1.101.1M2022-09-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7095-3.42%1.35-23.73%0.0341✓1.32127k2022-09-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.648577-3.46%0.5043-24.93%0.0741✓1.16690k2022-09-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.220095-3.47%0.174-23.68%0.0035✓1.51755k2022-09-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000011694-3.51%0.00001284+5.94%0.2839✗1.24951k2022-09-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001086-3.52%0.001339+19.00%0.4001✗1.241.3M2022-09-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1475-3.53%0.9786-17.73%0.0272✓0.864.4M2022-09-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.6546-3.54%1.96-28.78%0.0349✓1.75118k2022-09-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.7436-3.56%2.121-25.45%0.0387✓1.4349k2022-09-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.422256-3.59%0.3674-16.12%0.0626✗1.32147k2022-09-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.019558-3.60%0.025674+26.55%0.3350✗0.41172k2022-09-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.087424-3.61%0.0562-38.04%0.2642✓1.16126k2022-09-04
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000043862-3.66%0.00004432-2.66%0.1885✗1.161.9M2022-09-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.075265-3.68%0.06708-14.15%0.0033✓0.739072022-09-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1163-3.69%0.982-15.27%0.0315✓0.631.9M2022-09-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.35e-7-3.69%9.24e-7+165.82%1.1648✗0.97157k2022-09-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.842653-3.70%0.687-21.49%0.0611✗1.734.6M2022-09-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4538-3.72%1.1582-23.30%0.0122✓1.401.2M2022-09-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.5751-3.84%7.155-9.18%0.1354✗1.2517.9M2022-09-04
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316614.727-3.85%13.1461-14.17%0.0625✗1.1553k2022-09-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.043571-3.88%0.03774-16.74%0.0004✓0.942,0262022-09-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.8235-3.90%6.81+12.38%0.2619✗0.69746k2022-09-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1401-3.90%0.8453-28.75%0.0893✓1.371.4M2022-09-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.125876-3.91%0.1045-20.23%0.0260✓1.382.9M2022-09-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.497224-3.94%0.5035-2.72%0.1968✗1.2040.5M2022-09-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.1289-3.97%6.663+24.75%0.3423✗0.532.4M2022-09-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.0088-3.98%6.265-24.89%0.0857✓1.042.9M2022-09-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.546709-3.99%0.3125-45.12%0.3560✓1.33245k2022-09-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.679519-4.02%0.534-24.58%0.0275✓1.3990k2022-09-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.2953-4.05%0.9726-27.96%0.0961✓1.241.1M2022-09-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.132652-4.08%0.1229-11.14%0.1177✗1.2761k2022-09-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.07943.9126-4.09%3.2367-20.66%0.0237✓1.0851k2022-09-04
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.374233-4.12%–pending––0.941722022-09-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.032195-4.12%0.03585+6.76%0.2962✗1.2314k2022-09-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.5239-4.21%10.54-12.39%0.0968✗1.21290k2022-09-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.797928-4.21%0.671-19.45%0.0167✓1.02389k2022-09-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.08279-4.21%0.07814-9.59%0.0156✓0.281.1M2022-09-04
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1006-4.30%1.729-21.23%0.0022✓1.26619k2022-09-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.664931-4.35%0.55389-20.32%0.0484✗1.5188k2022-09-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.811009-4.36%0.673-20.64%0.0006✓1.21233k2022-09-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4317.6258-4.36%14.56-21.00%0.0094✓1.311.3M2022-09-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.139496-4.39%0.2134+46.26%0.5900✗1.08986k2022-09-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.570357-4.40%0.4349-27.10%0.0995✓1.1246k2022-09-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.064431-4.40%0.0506-24.93%0.0441✓1.29803k2022-09-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.082754-4.44%0.07376-14.83%0.0927✗1.3530k2022-09-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.3675-4.50%1.166-18.58%0.0351✓1.272.6M2022-09-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.008625-4.59%0.00793-12.28%0.1110✗1.27390k2022-09-04
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3158.4851-4.61%48.47-20.94%0.0269✓1.4035k2022-09-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9723.819-4.61%19.01-23.87%0.0175✓1.5826.1M2022-09-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.5015-4.63%13.539+186.84%1.1872✗0.561.4M2022-09-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0216-4.68%1.98-37.54%0.3459✓0.50116k2022-09-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.7277-4.69%4.597+17.54%0.2988✗0.581.9M2022-09-04
HIVEHivenative0.59080.562963-4.71%0.5439-7.94%0.1462✗1.182.1M2022-09-04
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.249893-4.73%0.2251-14.18%0.0742✗1.16768k2022-09-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0251.929-4.74%1.498-26.02%0.0371✓1.41266k2022-09-04
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.7439-4.76%1.336-27.03%0.0476✓1.43354k2022-09-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.04294-4.79%0.0365-19.07%0.0259✓1.2377k2022-09-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.053217-4.80%0.0444-20.57%0.0149✓1.28284k2022-09-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.4395-4.80%13.046+18.97%0.4306✗1.3513.0M2022-09-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.436379-4.87%0.357-22.17%0.0262✓1.48263k2022-09-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.290412-4.91%0.2325-23.87%0.0519✓1.11300k2022-09-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.21918-4.95%0.1523-33.95%0.1631✓1.311,5612022-09-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.4164-4.97%6.73+18.07%0.3081✗0.59878k2022-09-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.405862-5.16%0.36077-15.70%0.0931✗1.37545k2022-09-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.079019-5.21%0.06473-22.35%0.0277✓1.481.0M2022-09-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3827.9449-5.21%6.686-20.23%0.0149✓1.227.0M2022-09-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.348501-5.22%0.28914-21.37%0.0117✓1.2913k2022-09-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.492-5.35%6.488-27.69%0.0573✓1.389.9M2022-09-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.7315-5.43%4.41+11.76%0.2741✗0.701.5M2022-09-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.3804-5.44%5.8+1.93%0.1687✗0.611.5M2022-09-04
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.451899-5.59%0.38677-19.20%0.0379✓0.7770k2022-09-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1543.9207-5.62%3.038-26.87%0.1240✓0.85976k2022-09-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.0544-5.67%7.4422+129.85%1.0071✗0.761.2M2022-09-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.930742-5.69%0.8485-14.02%0.1663✗1.69281k2022-09-04
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.049793-5.72%0.044132-16.44%0.0632✗1.2035k2022-09-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.7321-5.73%4.88-2.79%0.1387✗0.701.3M2022-09-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2216.2307-5.74%13.72-20.33%0.0489✓1.412.6M2022-09-04
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.173632-5.84%0.13-29.50%0.1014✓1.233.4M2022-09-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.047962-5.98%0.04481-12.15%0.0681✗0.8915k2022-09-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3597-5.99%2.31-7.97%0.1427✗1.07507k2022-09-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.1131-6.07%4.798-36.64%0.1299✓1.7211.9M2022-09-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002091-6.11%0.001563-29.82%0.1376✓1.001.2M2022-09-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.3526-6.18%1.0925-24.22%0.0166✓1.506.4M2022-09-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.246-6.19%7.0178+102.81%0.9059✗0.881.5M2022-09-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.00009465-6.26%0.00025377+151.33%1.3031✗2.07498k2022-09-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.021583-6.32%0.020714-10.09%0.1066✗0.9612k2022-09-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0066-6.35%1.1233+4.51%0.2853✗1.141.0M2022-09-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.172.9673-6.40%2.31-27.13%0.0190✓1.51234k2022-09-04
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14252.9411-6.41%2.3166-26.28%0.0016✓1.5513k2022-09-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.3289-6.42%9.26+4.04%0.1807✗0.491.8M2022-09-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0613.7979-6.48%2.981-26.59%0.0250✓1.745.1M2022-09-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.166895-6.61%0.1462-18.19%0.0594✓1.25529k2022-09-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.87656-6.65%0.7071-24.70%0.0555✓1.76476k2022-09-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.182206-7.05%0.15518-20.83%0.1920✗2.301,1512022-09-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.764955-7.17%0.5-39.32%0.2027✓1.452,9182022-09-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.528425-7.29%0.424-25.61%0.0452✓1.1416k2022-09-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.068-7.39%0.86904-24.64%0.0370✓1.1012k2022-09-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2735.3902-7.53%32.46-15.18%0.1303✗1.4112.8M2022-09-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.157-7.54%1.573-32.58%0.1031✓1.39169k2022-09-04
QNTQuantEthereum107.2699.0601-7.64%95.29-11.16%0.1125✗0.994.2M2022-09-04
METISMetisEthereum47.6543.9219-7.82%30.11-36.81%0.1025✓1.79277k2022-09-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.033415-7.90%0.02157-40.55%0.2177✓1.4313.9M2022-09-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.403079-7.95%0.3157-27.91%0.0620✓1.1979k2022-09-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05690.97276-7.96%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-04
FLOWFlownative2.7322.5046-8.32%1.95-28.62%0.0565✓1.26456k2022-09-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5929.6754-8.94%18.92-41.95%0.2391✓1.381.1M2022-09-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3519.2652-9.76%17.39-18.55%0.0255✓0.832.4M2022-09-04
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.7554-10.34%1.762-42.66%0.2960✓0.99206k2022-09-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3010,996.87-10.46%9,437.49-23.16%0.0691✓1.454.7M2022-09-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.639.459-11.02%7.74-27.19%0.0152✓1.41338k2022-09-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.6816-13.59%1.174-39.67%0.0600✓1.952.9M2022-09-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.