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2022-08-05 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1130
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.7%
in alpha space · 70.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95194.9547+0.06%4.95-0.04%0.0017✓0.17225k2022-08-06
GTGateEthereum4.73754.74+0.05%4.7775+0.84%0.0196✓0.75916k2022-08-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1956-0.03%1.1937-0.19%0.0148✗1.0542k2022-08-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.325517-0.04%0.31626-2.89%0.0114✓1.12383k2022-08-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.062363-0.06%0.0604-3.21%0.0099✓1.42350k2022-08-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,305.36-0.07%22,960.93-1.54%0.0007✗1.00455.4M2022-08-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93141.8268-0.07%141.34-0.42%0.0153✗1.204.6M2022-08-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4962.4445-0.07%60.84-2.64%0.0080✓1.1613.5M2022-08-06
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739383-0.08%0.92+24.32%0.2278✗0.5978k2022-08-06
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069776-0.09%0.06951-0.47%0.0069✗0.69345k2022-08-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.499-0.10%40.07-1.16%0.0106✗1.3780.8M2022-08-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.582997-0.10%0.5729-1.83%0.0003✓1.15329k2022-08-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001675-0.11%0.001709+1.91%0.0360✗1.039,0502022-08-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3023,179.86-0.11%23,221.90+0.07%0.0171✗0.9813k2022-08-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.757143-0.11%0.769+1.45%0.0384✗1.47121k2022-08-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.00842-0.12%0.00834-1.07%0.0045✗0.901.6M2022-08-06
XMRMoneroMonero161.87161.6486-0.14%160.51-0.84%0.0100✗1.101.1M2022-08-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.0697-0.14%0.068641-1.66%0.0029✗1.171.6M2022-08-06
DASHDashDash52.452.3211-0.15%52.57+0.32%0.0219✗1.10574k2022-08-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.241483-0.17%0.2353-2.73%0.0030✓1.4789k2022-08-06
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27103.0906-0.17%99.08-4.06%0.0139✓1.6610.2M2022-08-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.7052-0.18%30.39-1.20%0.0045✗0.9510.0M2022-08-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5771-0.18%1.53-3.16%0.0257✓0.30242k2022-08-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.336369-0.19%0.339+0.59%0.0239✗1.041.1M2022-08-06
XVGVergenative0.003850.003843-0.19%0.0037-3.90%0.0178✓1.29551k2022-08-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000012097-0.19%0.00001195-1.40%0.0071✗1.24951k2022-08-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.4199-0.19%10.501+0.58%0.0250✗1.112.0M2022-08-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.113674-0.20%0.1141+0.18%0.0232✗1.25505k2022-08-06
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.78e-7-0.20%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0048✗0.846.4M2022-08-06
KSMKusamaHydration63.563.3712-0.20%66.41+4.58%0.0650✗1.17379k2022-08-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.163655-0.21%0.1626-0.85%0.0127✗1.23107k2022-08-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4648-0.21%2.45-0.81%0.0078✗0.89110k2022-08-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.358142-0.21%0.3492-2.70%0.0075✓1.158.3M2022-08-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0561.9176-0.21%61.424-1.01%0.0049✗0.83321k2022-08-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.270711-0.22%0.2708-0.18%0.0176✗1.1165k2022-08-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.751361-0.22%0.749-0.53%0.0157✗1.21968k2022-08-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.118283-0.22%0.121903+2.84%0.0456✗0.996.9M2022-08-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001123-0.22%0.001117-0.76%0.0138✗1.241.3M2022-08-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.358066-0.22%0.353472-1.50%0.0069✗1.271.0M2022-08-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.01815-0.22%0.01771-2.64%0.0117✓0.82182k2022-08-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.260602-0.23%0.2586-1.00%0.0113✗1.2299k2022-08-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.7897-0.23%8.524-3.25%0.0116✓1.2311.0M2022-08-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006319-0.24%0.006324-0.15%0.0140✗0.854,9752022-08-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0473.0395-0.25%3.034-0.43%0.0155✗1.11587k2022-08-06
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8619-0.25%1.8777+0.60%0.0281✗1.26530k2022-08-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.016282-0.26%0.015891-2.65%0.0103✓0.902.1M2022-08-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.060841-0.26%0.0601-1.48%0.0093✗1.39179k2022-08-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.87e-7-0.26%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0022✓1.0025k2022-08-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,732.21-0.26%1,690.81-2.65%0.0042✓1.28418.9M2022-08-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.02235-0.27%0.02302+2.72%0.0455✗1.03159k2022-08-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.227384-0.27%0.223-2.19%0.0040✗1.51755k2022-08-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0498-0.27%1.0463-0.61%0.0113✗0.9560k2022-08-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.339374-0.27%0.3411+0.24%0.0231✗1.163.6M2022-08-06
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.2745-0.27%18.5059+20.82%0.2098✗1.1553k2022-08-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.389217-0.28%–pending––0.941722022-08-06
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000045403-0.28%0.00004474-1.74%0.0034✗1.161.9M2022-08-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.150273-0.28%0.1584+5.11%0.0675✗0.963.6M2022-08-06
STXStacksnative0.49180.490384-0.29%0.4845-1.48%0.0071✗1.24808k2022-08-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.4277-0.30%1.43-0.14%0.0213✗1.272.6M2022-08-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.031015-0.31%0.03137+0.84%0.0315✗1.301,4012022-08-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.8936-0.31%26.64+6.69%0.0924✗1.5826.1M2022-08-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4318.3729-0.31%17.94-2.66%0.0035✓1.311.3M2022-08-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.055084-0.31%0.05463-1.13%0.0007✓0.5825k2022-08-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.47e-7-0.31%3.37e-7-3.12%0.0134✓0.97157k2022-08-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3456-0.33%1.32-2.22%0.0001✓1.241.1M2022-08-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.090402-0.33%0.0869-4.19%0.0215✓1.16126k2022-08-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.073656-0.33%0.0774+4.74%0.0609✗0.73155k2022-08-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003202-0.33%0.003241+0.87%0.0274✗0.991.0M2022-08-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5049-0.33%1.51+0.00%0.0252✗1.401.2M2022-08-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.068665-0.34%0.071+3.05%0.0481✗0.94170k2022-08-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.8508-0.35%7.794-1.07%0.0123✗1.2517.9M2022-08-06
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.3662-0.35%19.27+4.56%0.0696✗1.39118k2022-08-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010264-0.35%0.01006-2.33%0.0063✓0.885.2M2022-08-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.009009-0.35%0.00885-2.10%0.0020✓1.27390k2022-08-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.074241-0.35%0.0744-0.13%0.0193✗1.101.1M2022-08-06
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.515699-0.37%0.5114-1.20%0.0103✗1.2040.5M2022-08-06
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.004683-0.37%0.00468-0.43%0.0197✗1.30126k2022-08-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0644-0.37%4.1275+1.18%0.0322✗1.0851k2022-08-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.08611-0.37%0.0864-0.03%0.0076✗0.281.1M2022-08-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.077847-0.38%0.07779-0.45%0.0106✗0.739072022-08-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1581-0.38%3.1-2.21%0.0108✓0.50116k2022-08-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.594-0.38%1.5589-2.57%0.0006✓1.39619k2022-08-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.425153-0.38%0.43078+0.94%0.0317✗1.19118k2022-08-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.692513-0.38%0.69175-0.49%0.0223✗1.5188k2022-08-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.100118-0.38%0.1014+0.90%0.0315✗1.216,5342022-08-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0368-0.38%6.11+0.83%0.0227✗0.69746k2022-08-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.6244-0.38%6.62-0.45%0.0209✗1.391.4M2022-08-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.125017-0.38%0.1212-3.43%0.0141✓1.08380k2022-08-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.4263-0.39%0.41209-3.71%0.0125✓1.37545k2022-08-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.02021-0.39%0.020238-0.25%0.0078✗0.41172k2022-08-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.045155-0.39%0.04651+2.60%0.0442✗0.942,0262022-08-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.129092-0.39%0.1298+0.15%0.0209✗1.004,9522022-08-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.871543-0.40%0.871-0.46%0.0263✗1.734.6M2022-08-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.3487-0.40%8.285-1.16%0.0113✗1.227.0M2022-08-06
ZECZcashZcash69.1568.8744-0.40%67.65-2.17%0.0015✓1.251.7M2022-08-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.137744-0.40%0.1385+0.14%0.0252✗1.2761k2022-08-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.8334-0.41%2.76-2.99%0.0041✓1.4349k2022-08-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.186-0.41%2.119-3.46%0.0116✓1.26619k2022-08-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.456807-0.41%0.4528-1.29%0.0142✗1.48263k2022-08-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.7406-0.41%2.698-1.96%0.0115✗1.75118k2022-08-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.8947-0.42%4.041+3.32%0.0459✗0.581.9M2022-08-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049293-0.42%0.0505+2.02%0.0444✗1.309,0132022-08-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.304119-0.42%0.313+2.49%0.0461✗1.11300k2022-08-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0252.0164-0.43%1.993-1.58%0.0102✗1.41266k2022-08-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.9186-0.43%10.632-3.05%0.0055✓1.3513.0M2022-08-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.086223-0.44%0.08609-0.59%0.0195✗1.3530k2022-08-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.829368-0.44%0.808-3.00%0.0102✓1.02389k2022-08-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.9328-0.44%8.78-2.14%0.0042✓1.389.9M2022-08-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002217-0.45%0.00221-0.76%0.0124✗1.001.2M2022-08-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4987-0.45%2.51+0.00%0.0211✗1.07507k2022-08-06
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3161.0299-0.46%65.05+6.10%0.0856✗1.4035k2022-08-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006718-0.46%0.006459-4.30%0.0314✓0.5140k2022-08-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.8226-0.46%1.828-0.16%0.0251✗1.43354k2022-08-06
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.261097-0.46%0.2578-1.72%0.0054✗1.16768k2022-08-06
HIVEHivenative0.59080.588072-0.46%0.5841-1.13%0.0115✗1.182.1M2022-08-06
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.47643-0.46%0.47249-1.29%0.0036✓0.7770k2022-08-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.3403-0.46%2.3396-0.50%0.0185✗1.2134k2022-08-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.050773-0.47%0.05523+8.27%0.0980✗0.8915k2022-08-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.6734-0.47%5.75+0.88%0.0226✗0.59878k2022-08-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.668654-0.47%0.652-2.95%0.0072✓1.16690k2022-08-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0705-0.47%1.0472-2.64%0.0017✓1.30532k2022-08-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.982137-0.48%0.9885+0.16%0.0327✗1.69281k2022-08-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9957-0.48%5.03+0.20%0.0178✗0.701.3M2022-08-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.566633-0.49%0.5669-0.44%0.0211✗1.33245k2022-08-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.8567-0.49%8.88-0.22%0.0102✗0.491.8M2022-08-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.055628-0.49%0.0547-2.15%0.0031✓1.28284k2022-08-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.843852-0.49%0.835-1.53%0.0083✗1.21233k2022-08-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.033414-0.50%0.03265-2.77%0.0040✓1.2314k2022-08-06
QNTQuantEthereum107.26106.7235-0.50%120.14+12.01%0.1338✗0.994.2M2022-08-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.435804-0.50%0.4353-0.62%0.0193✗1.32147k2022-08-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7611-0.50%1.83+3.39%0.0588✗1.32127k2022-08-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.130343-0.50%0.1278-2.44%0.0018✓1.382.9M2022-08-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1804-0.50%1.1291-4.83%0.0232✓1.371.4M2022-08-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.5341-0.51%7.264-4.08%0.0098✓1.7211.9M2022-08-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.044868-0.52%0.0444-1.55%0.0086✗1.2377k2022-08-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.1472-0.52%1.1588+0.48%0.0272✗1.1012k2022-08-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.365791-0.52%0.36027-2.02%0.0049✓1.2913k2022-08-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1544.1324-0.52%3.966-4.53%0.0278✓0.85976k2022-08-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.145124-0.53%0.1462+0.21%0.0241✗1.08986k2022-08-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.925-0.53%3.961+0.38%0.0200✗0.701.5M2022-08-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000100429-0.54%0.00010002-0.94%0.0280✗2.07498k2022-08-06
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.052532-0.54%0.051804-1.91%0.0047✓1.2035k2022-08-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.6946-0.54%4.656-1.36%0.0005✓0.561.4M2022-08-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.819552-0.54%0.802-2.67%0.0009✓1.452,9182022-08-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0614.0389-0.54%4.274+5.25%0.0837✗1.745.1M2022-08-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.4338-0.55%1.3733-4.74%0.0198✓1.506.4M2022-08-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1526-0.55%1.178+1.64%0.0316✗0.631.9M2022-08-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.183384-0.55%0.1805-2.11%0.0032✓1.233.4M2022-08-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.3201-0.55%2.366+1.41%0.0411✗1.39169k2022-08-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.933725-0.56%0.923-1.70%0.0159✗1.76476k2022-08-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.067021-0.56%0.0647-4.01%0.0152✓1.29803k2022-08-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.022906-0.57%0.023204+0.72%0.0279✗0.9612k2022-08-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.082863-0.60%0.08585+2.99%0.0584✗1.481.0M2022-08-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.3085-0.61%5.583+4.53%0.0586✗0.532.4M2022-08-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.703646-0.62%0.678-4.24%0.0155✓1.3990k2022-08-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.218739-0.62%0.2155-2.09%0.0071✗1.421,2802022-08-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.176647-0.63%0.16929-4.77%0.0185✓1.55222k2022-08-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.6537-0.64%5.65-0.70%0.0088✗0.611.5M2022-08-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.2171-0.64%3.2103-0.85%0.0097✗0.761.2M2022-08-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0499-0.66%1.1084+4.87%0.0704✗1.0413k2022-08-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0676-0.67%1.0945+1.83%0.0426✗1.141.0M2022-08-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2217.1049-0.67%16.93-1.68%0.0117✗1.412.6M2022-08-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.437-0.67%3.4478-0.36%0.0168✗0.881.5M2022-08-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.1488-0.67%3.03-4.42%0.0150✓1.51234k2022-08-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.194699-0.67%0.19836+1.19%0.0544✗2.301,1512022-08-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.229024-0.68%0.2645+14.70%0.1644✗1.311,5612022-08-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9889-0.69%2.9758-1.12%0.0109✗0.981.2M2022-08-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.25963-0.72%0.2613-0.08%0.0066✓0.0130k2022-08-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.1199-0.72%3.0029-4.44%0.0142✓1.5513k2022-08-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1808-0.73%1.1668-1.91%0.0014✓0.864.4M2022-08-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.177358-0.75%0.1743-2.46%0.0021✓1.25529k2022-08-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.035996-0.78%0.03525-2.84%0.0014✓1.4313.9M2022-08-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.2731-0.81%9.445+13.24%0.1487✗1.042.9M2022-08-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3521.174-0.82%21.63+1.31%0.0343✗0.832.4M2022-08-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.9303-0.83%11.63-3.33%0.0066✓1.21290k2022-08-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.563689-1.11%0.549-3.68%0.0087✓1.1416k2022-08-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3012,142.95-1.13%11,723.93-4.54%0.0126✓1.454.7M2022-08-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2737.8023-1.22%37.8-1.23%0.0219✗1.4112.8M2022-08-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5932.1308-1.41%31.73-2.64%0.0088✓1.381.1M2022-08-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.430981-1.58%0.4323-1.28%0.0216✗1.1979k2022-08-06
METISMetisEthereum47.6546.7828-1.82%41.23-13.47%0.0985✓1.79277k2022-08-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.9101-1.85%1.901-2.31%0.0256✗1.952.9M2022-08-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.584352-2.05%0.5694-4.56%0.0085✓1.1246k2022-08-06
FLOWFlownative2.7322.6602-2.63%2.57-5.93%0.0148✓1.26456k2022-08-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.3373-2.75%10.6-0.28%0.0470✗1.41338k2022-08-06
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.9387-4.37%2.279-25.84%0.2389✓0.99206k2022-08-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.