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2022-08-04 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2245
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.5%
in alpha space · 12.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.554.5689+0.42%4.7375+4.12%0.0136✓0.75920k2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.546621+0.22%0.5836+7.00%0.0310✓1.14333k2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00166+0.20%0.001677+1.21%0.0213✗1.039,0682022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.25159.4823+0.15%161.87+1.65%0.0187✗1.111.2M2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067434+0.12%0.069799+3.63%0.0011✓1.171.7M2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008229+0.11%0.00843+2.55%0.0033✗0.901.6M2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.4257+0.09%103.27+7.19%0.0184✓1.6610.2M2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085449+0.06%0.0907+6.21%0.0248✓1.15126k2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.4131+0.05%69.15+7.41%0.0331✓1.251.6M2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069014+0.05%0.069837+1.24%0.0092✗0.69345k2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,504.32+0.04%23,205.30+3.16%0.0009✓0.9813k2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,631.22+0.03%23,320.81+3.08%0.0003✗1.00427.9M2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1504+0.02%1.196+3.98%0.0070✓1.0543k2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003069+0.00%0.003213+4.69%0.0158✓0.991.0M2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.01758-0.00%0.01819+3.47%0.0092✗0.82193k2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.33608-0.01%0.3589+6.78%0.0314✗1.138.2M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.43877-0.01%0.4587+4.54%0.0004✓1.48278k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.156087-0.01%0.164+5.06%0.0121✗1.23107k2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0341-0.01%10.44+4.04%0.0062✗1.102.0M2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006699-0.02%0.006749+0.73%0.0081✓0.5140k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.404222-0.03%0.42676+5.55%0.0181✗1.19107k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.737792-0.03%0.753+2.03%0.0164✓1.21968k2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.248396-0.04%0.2612+5.11%0.0132✗1.22101k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009785-0.05%0.0103+5.21%0.0245✗0.885.1M2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,607.30-0.05%1,736.79+8.00%0.0388✗1.28407.7M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9972-0.06%4.9519-0.96%0.0144✓0.17219k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.2554-0.06%141.93+5.65%0.0192✗1.204.6M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.11384-0.07%0.118541+4.06%0.0104✗0.996.9M2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.726424-0.08%0.758+4.26%0.0021✓1.47121k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006141-0.08%0.006334+3.06%0.0052✗0.857,1222022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.00001184-0.09%0.00001212+2.28%0.0144✓1.25951k2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739357-0.09%0.74+0.00%0.0173✓0.6079k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.5978-0.09%62.49+4.76%0.0124✗1.1513.6M2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.313105-0.09%0.32566+3.92%0.0052✗1.12396k2022-08-05
DASHDashDash49.449.3565-0.09%52.4+6.07%0.0266✗1.10574k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109503-0.09%0.1139+3.92%0.0013✗1.25505k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003770.003767-0.09%0.00385+2.12%0.0174✓1.30551k2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.56e-7-0.09%3.48e-7-2.33%0.0525✓0.99164k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.126777-0.10%0.1296+2.13%0.0082✓1.004,7012022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.781-0.10%40.54+4.43%0.0029✗1.3781.1M2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.3025-0.10%18.43+6.41%0.0212✗1.38116k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.798145-0.11%0.833+4.26%0.0118✗1.02377k2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054205-0.11%0.055256+1.83%0.0016✗0.5825k2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.226051-0.11%0.2419+6.89%0.0233✗1.4787k2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.049045-0.11%0.05101+3.89%0.0124✗0.8915k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.04381-0.11%0.04533+3.35%0.0056✗0.942,0262022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.19927-0.12%0.2201+10.33%0.0570✗1.401,2762022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.12%9.80e-7+2.08%0.0036✓0.846.4M2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.5002-0.12%1.6+6.52%0.0220✗1.40594k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.781044-0.12%0.848+8.44%0.0457✗1.20225k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059227-0.12%0.061+2.87%0.0128✓1.39172k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.139026-0.12%0.1507+8.26%0.0519✗0.953.6M2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.120047-0.13%0.131+8.99%0.0457✗1.372.9M2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0138-0.13%1.0527+3.70%0.0091✗0.9460k2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4118-0.13%2.47+2.28%0.0032✓0.89110k2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7371-0.15%8.9+1.71%0.0037✗0.491.8M2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021098-0.15%0.02241+6.06%0.0296✗1.02159k2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061505-0.15%0.0624+1.30%0.0289✓1.43350k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066597-0.15%0.0689+3.30%0.0055✗0.94183k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048124-0.16%0.0495+2.70%0.0113✓1.307,5232022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9772-0.16%3.047+2.18%0.0108✓1.12591k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260177-0.16%0.2713+4.11%0.0081✗1.1165k2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159739-0.16%0.17777+11.11%0.0604✗1.53212k2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.0919-0.16%30.76+5.56%0.0270✗0.9510.0M2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097336-0.17%0.1005+3.08%0.0045✓1.207,1482022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072977-0.17%0.0739+1.09%0.0095✓0.73159k2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.330041-0.17%0.3403+2.93%0.0047✓1.173.5M2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.1659-0.17%62.05+2.96%0.0056✗0.83321k2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.6108-0.17%15.3166+4.65%0.0124✗1.1558k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.456284-0.17%0.47865+4.72%0.0247✗0.7668k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.990714-0.17%1.0756+8.38%0.0428✗1.30532k2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.328419-0.18%0.4379+33.10%0.2535✗1.1377k2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1861-0.18%2.3513+7.37%0.0365✗1.2032k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.415463-0.18%0.438+5.24%0.0129✗1.31127k2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0321-0.18%1.0748+3.96%0.0057✗1.151.0M2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134457-0.18%0.1383+2.67%0.0104✓1.2761k2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042862-0.18%0.00004553+6.03%0.0253✗1.161.9M2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.35-0.19%7.878+6.98%0.0314✗1.2516.9M2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004531-0.19%0.0047+3.52%0.0031✓1.31112k2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015565-0.19%0.016324+4.67%0.0205✗0.892.1M2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.41871-0.20%0.42795+2.00%0.0200✓1.38583k2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.33234-0.20%0.337+1.20%0.0176✓1.041.1M2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.9982-0.20%63.5+3.89%0.0046✗1.17379k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116542-0.22%0.1255+7.45%0.0414✗1.08370k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.47370.472613-0.23%0.4918+3.82%0.0022✓1.24808k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.042003-0.23%0.0451+7.13%0.0340✗1.2376k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.339396-0.24%0.358859+5.48%0.0173✗1.271.0M2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.865-0.24%61.31+9.48%0.0508✗1.3935k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8207-0.24%3.946+3.03%0.0112✗0.691.5M2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.3336-0.25%10.966+5.86%0.0183✗1.3513.7M2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3956-0.25%1.432+2.36%0.0129✓1.282.6M2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0824-0.25%3.17+2.59%0.0131✗0.49109k2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020474-0.25%0.020288-1.15%0.0219✓0.42167k2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.498439-0.25%0.5176+3.58%0.0012✓1.2040.5M2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001086-0.26%0.001125+3.36%0.0020✓1.241.3M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6956-0.26%1.77+4.12%0.0029✗1.32122k2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.085923-0.26%0.0866+0.52%0.0335✓1.3629k2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8199-0.27%1.8665+2.28%0.0132✓1.27530k2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.6034-0.27%4.72+2.25%0.0079✗0.561.4M2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.594852-0.28%0.6718+12.62%0.0870✗1.14690k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2934-0.28%1.35+4.09%0.0052✗1.241.1M2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.050210.05007-0.28%0.052815+5.19%0.0171✗1.2035k2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.21739-0.28%0.228+4.59%0.0018✓1.51782k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053549-0.28%0.0559+4.10%0.0041✗1.28284k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.172411-0.28%0.1844+6.65%0.0302✗1.223.5M2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.251477-0.29%0.2623+4.00%0.0069✗1.16768k2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.361765-0.29%0.3677+1.35%0.0233✓1.3013k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7499-0.29%1.831+4.33%0.0019✓1.43341k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062818-0.29%0.0674+6.98%0.0315✗1.28802k2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.163715-0.30%0.1787+8.83%0.0499✗1.24518k2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.3005-0.30%24.97+6.85%0.0213✗1.5826.1M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.906173-0.31%0.939+3.30%0.0179✓1.76496k2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030283-0.32%0.03111+2.40%0.0126✓1.301,4012022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.47e-7-0.32%9.90e-7+4.21%0.0141✗1.0025k2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.58130.579425-0.32%0.5908+1.63%0.0165✓1.181.8M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.8011-0.33%6.06+4.12%0.0231✗0.68746k2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4651-0.33%1.51+2.72%0.0126✓1.411.2M2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1748-0.33%3.1425-1.35%0.0576✓1.5612k2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9687-0.33%4.154+4.32%0.0197✗0.86922k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032201-0.34%0.03358+3.93%0.0046✗1.2314k2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022372-0.34%0.023038+2.63%0.0001✓0.9611k2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5708-0.34%5.69+1.79%0.0026✓0.611.4M2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1308-0.35%3.2379+3.07%0.0105✗0.761.1M2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.663574-0.35%0.69514+4.39%0.0006✓1.5188k2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.9072-0.35%3.0096+3.16%0.0049✗0.981.2M2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0634-0.35%8.81+8.87%0.0515✗1.2211.0M2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.244-0.35%2.333+3.60%0.0032✓1.39172k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5868-0.36%2.752+6.01%0.0088✗1.75109k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073039-0.36%0.0745+1.64%0.0138✓1.111.1M2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9448-0.36%4.0794+3.04%0.0006✓1.0945k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9509-0.36%8.382+5.04%0.0158✗1.227.0M2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1372-0.37%5.341+3.59%0.0229✗0.532.4M2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.076649-0.37%0.07814+1.57%0.0029✓0.739772022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9597-0.37%2.025+2.95%0.0101✓1.41266k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1087-0.38%1.1532+3.62%0.0058✗1.1111k2022-08-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002181-0.38%0.002227+1.74%0.0093✓1.001.4M2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7177-0.38%2.845+4.29%0.0024✓1.4349k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3235-0.38%1.4417+8.51%0.0402✗1.495.6M2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5739-0.38%1.58+0.00%0.0052✓0.30242k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260091-0.39%0.2615+0.15%0.0051✗0.0129k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.842709-0.39%0.875+3.43%0.0152✓1.744.6M2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098857-0.40%0.00010097+1.73%0.0408✓2.04516k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.0262-0.40%12.03+8.67%0.0507✗1.20263k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034831-0.40%0.03628+3.75%0.0030✓1.4413.9M2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1228-0.40%1.1864+5.24%0.0136✗1.371.4M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0463-0.40%1.0569+0.61%0.0217✓1.0513k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.216621-0.40%0.2306+6.02%0.0229✗1.311,5612022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.3195-0.41%107.26+3.39%0.0074✗0.994.2M2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5173-0.41%5.7+2.89%0.0146✗0.59873k2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8097-0.42%5.02+3.93%0.0215✗0.701.3M2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8277-0.42%3.911+1.74%0.0038✓0.581.9M2022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085037-0.44%0.08643+1.19%0.0080✗0.271.1M2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.6716-0.44%18.43+3.83%0.0024✓1.311.3M2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.00896-0.44%0.00904+0.44%0.0299✓1.28387k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4011-0.45%6.65+3.42%0.0040✓1.391.2M2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.682834-0.46%0.708+3.21%0.0062✓1.4088k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7859-0.47%17.22+8.58%0.0443✗1.412.5M2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8054-0.48%3.073+69.40%0.5127✗0.63206k2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7768-0.48%8.972+1.73%0.0202✓1.399.9M2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.555306-0.48%0.57+2.15%0.0086✓1.1414k2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.187932-0.50%0.19602+3.79%0.0280✓2.311,1512022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.5085-0.52%21.35-1.25%0.0330✓0.842.4M2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2077-0.52%1.159-4.53%0.0609✓0.651.9M2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7572-0.52%4.061+7.52%0.0249✗1.745.0M2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.211-0.54%2.195-1.26%0.0458✓1.27626k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.0136-0.55%0.9869-3.17%0.0787✓1.71241k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3962-0.55%7.573+1.83%0.0289✓1.7313.1M2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.080449-0.56%0.08336+3.04%0.0095✓1.49871k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.143873-0.57%0.1459+0.83%0.0189✓1.08907k2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.1462-0.58%10.63+15.54%0.1083✗1.39334k2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.781335-0.59%0.824+4.83%0.0090✗1.463,1392022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3513-0.62%3.4602+2.61%0.0050✓0.891.4M2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1777-0.64%1.1895+0.35%0.0165✓0.874.1M2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.1-0.64%3.17+1.60%0.0237✓1.52211k2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4637-0.66%2.51+1.21%0.0140✓1.08507k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.300008-0.66%0.3054+1.13%0.0160✓1.11300k2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.7971-0.69%32.59+16.43%0.1179✗1.36946k2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0323-0.74%8.341+3.08%0.0060✓1.042.5M2022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.573321-0.74%0.5694-1.42%0.0486✓1.38234k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,565.54-0.76%12,281.30+15.35%0.1073✗1.424.5M2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.4564-0.99%38.27+9.97%0.0624✗1.4011.4M2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.898-1.04%1.946+1.46%0.0349✓1.972.8M2022-08-05
METISMetisEthereum46.0145.4105-1.30%47.65+3.56%0.0071✓1.82266k2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.560212-1.32%0.5966+5.09%0.0291✗1.1146k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative2.62.555-1.73%2.732+5.08%0.0287✗1.26448k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.