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2022-08-04 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2098
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 82.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.6333-14.85%1.195-37.70%0.0531✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6219.511-9.76%17.13-20.77%0.0191✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0141.6142-9.55%30.98-32.67%0.0555✓1.82266k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.829,708.01-8.82%9,785.94-8.09%0.1954✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.3723-8.76%1.951-24.96%0.0296✓1.26448k2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05050.960268-8.59%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.4171-8.51%7.65-16.85%0.0868✓1.39334k2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9925.7225-8.10%19.02-32.05%0.1234✓1.36946k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0265-7.77%0.86852-21.96%0.0218✓1.1111k2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.0787-7.69%1.543-31.48%0.1154✓1.39172k2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7495.8259-7.63%93.83-9.55%0.1091✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.032385-7.39%0.02059-41.12%0.2632✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.517242-7.30%0.412-26.16%0.0770✓1.1414k2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.728598-7.30%0.519-33.97%0.1477✓1.463,1392022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.832.3409-7.07%32.23-7.39%0.1813✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.152794-6.95%0.1379-16.02%0.0607✓1.24518k2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.175815-6.91%0.15784-16.43%0.1964✗2.311,1512022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.020903-6.88%0.020633-8.09%0.1138✗0.9611k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18542.9682-6.82%2.2636-28.94%0.0654✓1.5612k2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.847588-6.76%0.678-25.41%0.0088✓1.76496k2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.9102-6.73%2.25-27.88%0.0577✓1.52211k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1907-6.39%9.31+6.40%0.1922✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000092991-6.31%0.00026115+163.12%1.3010✗2.04516k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3238-6.30%2.26-8.87%0.1137✗1.08507k2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.1622-6.22%7.3234+117.18%0.9569✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5428-6.20%2.941-22.13%0.0430✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002054-6.18%0.001655-24.39%0.0843✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.046103-6.10%0.04477-8.82%0.0872✗0.8915k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4376.9882-6.03%4.756-36.05%0.1570✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.958698-5.94%0.8416-17.43%0.0952✗1.71241k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.047288-5.82%0.043496-13.37%0.0738✗1.2035k2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.162958-5.75%0.1258-27.24%0.0981✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.5534-5.73%4.96+2.69%0.1777✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2531-5.68%1.0729-19.25%0.0411✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.342298-5.65%0.29127-19.72%0.0101✓1.3013k2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.7575-5.64%2.976-25.26%0.1205✓0.86922k2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2761-5.62%5.78+3.40%0.1718✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14162.9663-5.58%7.5278+139.62%1.0318✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.3278-5.57%6.305-28.51%0.0951✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8614.9886-5.49%14.03-11.54%0.1188✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03390.977244-5.48%1.1337+9.65%0.2996✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.433158-5.23%0.3754-17.87%0.0427✓0.7668k2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1079-5.18%1.68-24.43%0.0599✓1.27626k2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.076724-5.16%0.06279-22.39%0.0049✓1.49871k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.206334-5.13%0.1524-29.93%0.1311✓1.311,5612022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.6352-5.09%4.492+17.28%0.3029✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.286765-5.04%0.2308-23.58%0.0706✓1.11300k2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.2608-5.04%6.85+23.65%0.3417✗0.59873k2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.398647-4.98%0.36179-13.77%0.0844✗1.38583k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.239668-4.97%0.2228-11.66%0.0798✗1.16768k2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.668-4.96%1.319-24.84%0.0467✓1.43341k2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.5848-4.95%6.499-18.56%0.0060✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.6545-4.93%4.797+24.79%0.3489✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.549342-4.89%0.3093-46.45%0.3935✓1.38234k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.633654-4.84%0.54122-18.72%0.0411✓1.5188k2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.553153-4.84%0.5434-6.52%0.1380✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.081984-4.84%0.07135-17.18%0.0405✓1.3629k2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1555-4.82%1.014-16.47%0.0452✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3599.866-4.76%12.627+21.89%0.4250✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3327-4.74%1.159-17.16%0.0281✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008574-4.73%0.00798-11.33%0.0965✗1.28387k2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.540987-4.71%0.4418-22.18%0.0560✓1.1146k2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.137897-4.70%0.2171+50.03%0.5963✗1.08907k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.418221-4.69%0.3659-16.61%0.0609✗1.48278k2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.040141-4.65%0.0354-15.91%0.0355✓1.2376k2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.051219-4.62%0.0443-17.50%0.0233✓1.28284k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7516.9475-4.52%15.21-14.31%0.0637✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5097-4.45%1.49-5.70%0.0260✓0.30242k2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.3534-4.35%18.9-19.13%0.0401✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.134-4.33%0.9676-18.37%0.0442✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.019638-4.32%0.026685+30.01%0.3619✗0.42167k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.8822-4.31%1.482-24.66%0.0534✓1.41266k2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.081763-4.27%0.07801-8.66%0.0113✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.4189-4.27%13.804+199.05%1.2131✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2417-4.26%0.9295-28.33%0.1262✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.092.9585-4.26%1.93-37.54%0.3622✓0.49109k2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.765081-4.25%0.688-13.89%0.0280✓1.02377k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.9379-4.23%6.609+28.18%0.3607✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.794-4.17%3.1511-20.41%0.0429✓1.0945k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.129085-4.17%0.1211-10.10%0.1032✗1.2761k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.060405-4.12%0.0485-23.02%0.0508✓1.28802k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.479229-4.10%0.4804-3.86%0.1606✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.030989-4.09%0.03443+6.56%0.2673✗1.2314k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.74-4.08%1.771-2.37%0.1007✗0.63206k2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.81214-4.00%0.669-20.92%0.0349✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.0759-3.91%6.861-6.83%0.1337✗1.2516.9M2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.751677-3.88%0.671-14.19%0.0449✗1.20225k2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.7801-3.85%6.507-19.59%0.0413✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000041291-3.84%0.00004471+4.12%0.2316✗1.161.9M2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26957.9546-3.84%52.516-12.86%0.0111✓0.83321k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.42e-7-3.82%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0887✗0.99164k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.082149-3.81%0.0572-33.02%0.2108✓1.15126k2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4144-3.78%1.1328-22.94%0.0366✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.074024-3.78%0.06648-13.58%0.0112✓0.739772022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.209766-3.78%0.17-22.02%0.0113✓1.51782k2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.66016-3.77%0.52-24.20%0.0549✓1.4088k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.0851-3.75%0.8243-26.88%0.0947✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.31668-3.74%0.3208-2.49%0.1611✗1.1377k2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.6576-3.73%10.12-8.58%0.1061✗1.20263k2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.042231-3.71%0.03762-14.23%0.0080✓0.942,0262022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.6081-3.64%6.87+18.04%0.2919✗0.68746k2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011419-3.64%0.0000123+3.80%0.2383✗1.25951k2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.401314-3.58%0.354-14.94%0.0475✗1.31127k2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.00105-3.56%0.001326+21.79%0.3965✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5654.0119-3.55%47.89-14.48%0.0626✗1.3935k2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.390226-3.49%0.33497-17.15%0.0039✓1.19107k2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6339-3.45%2.045-25.04%0.0650✓1.4349k2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.002964-3.43%0.002948-3.94%0.1250✗0.991.0M2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.116079-3.43%0.1018-15.31%0.0490✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5075-3.41%1.881-27.54%0.0569✓1.75109k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.192702-3.41%0.1738-12.88%0.0805✗1.401,2762022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.1432-3.37%12.6808-13.36%0.0418✗1.1558k2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6433-3.34%1.29-24.12%0.0686✓1.32122k2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.112908-3.33%0.1012-13.36%0.0320✓1.08370k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.122787-3.24%0.102-19.62%0.0544✓1.004,7012022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.070948-3.21%0.0608-17.05%0.0088✓1.111.1M2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.064604-3.14%0.0578-13.34%0.0123✓0.94183k2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.252451-3.13%0.2386-8.44%0.0900✗1.1165k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1217-3.11%1.7905-18.24%0.0119✓1.2032k2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.240921-3.05%0.2102-15.41%0.0243✓1.22101k2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.30395-3.01%0.35+11.69%0.2889✗1.12396k2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.05269-2.90%0.042307-22.03%0.1432✓0.5825k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004408-2.90%0.00397-12.56%0.0671✗1.31112k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.070997-2.88%0.119+62.79%0.6124✗0.73159k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.460199-2.85%0.361-23.79%0.0798✓1.24808k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.106481-2.85%0.0949-13.41%0.0498✗1.25505k2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1259.3912-2.83%48.81-20.14%0.0419✓1.17379k2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4598-2.81%1.7051+13.52%0.3392✗1.40594k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.8996-2.76%2.744-7.98%0.0920✗1.12591k2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.580052-2.76%0.5007-16.06%0.0031✓1.14690k2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.253918-2.75%0.1834-29.76%0.3238✓0.0129k2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.059906-2.75%0.0556-9.74%0.1134✗1.43350k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8237.7572-2.74%31.12-19.84%0.0136✓1.3781.1M2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.135392-2.74%0.1363-2.08%0.1314✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.331178-2.66%0.292785-13.94%0.0438✗1.271.0M2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009531-2.64%0.00869-11.24%0.0235✓0.885.1M2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.155777-2.64%0.13707-14.33%0.0738✗1.53212k2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017117-2.63%0.01336-24.00%0.1398✓0.82193k2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,567.05-2.56%1,557.70-3.14%0.1619✗1.28407.7M2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.4035-2.53%26.2-10.09%0.0441✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.057811-2.51%0.05-15.68%0.0383✗1.39172k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3216.8878-2.50%15.52-10.39%0.0975✗1.38116k2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.111153-2.43%0.105238-7.62%0.0757✗0.996.9M2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.968456-2.42%0.78775-20.63%0.0358✓1.30532k2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7811-2.40%1.5227-16.56%0.0100✓1.27530k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.27e-7-2.39%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0677✗1.0025k2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3578-2.37%4.026+66.71%0.6523✗0.89110k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.85-2.31%4.8007+64.55%0.6505✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.325508-2.25%0.269-19.22%0.0541✓1.041.1M2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.328566-2.24%0.303-9.85%0.0678✗1.138.2M2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.04713-2.22%0.0358-25.73%0.1038✓1.307,5232022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.323578-2.12%0.2804-15.18%0.0101✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.932-1.98%7.29-9.91%0.0760✗1.2211.0M2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3105-1.86%4.84-24.73%0.0825✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006033-1.83%0.005893-4.11%0.0880✗0.857,1222022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.996616-1.83%0.885648-12.76%0.0058✓0.9460k2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.222275-1.78%0.212-6.32%0.1455✗1.4787k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02076-1.75%0.02203+4.26%0.1929✗1.02159k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25156.4649-1.75%154.44-3.02%0.1327✗1.111.2M2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.448.5609-1.70%46.77-5.32%0.1066✗1.10574k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003706-1.69%0.00311-17.51%0.0051✓1.30551k2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.44e-7-1.65%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0398✗0.846.4M2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015343-1.62%0.013081-16.12%0.0420✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3494.867-1.53%87.18-9.51%0.1332✗1.6610.2M2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.728999-1.49%0.73-1.35%0.0801✗0.6079k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,167.56-1.46%19,875.80-11.64%0.0198✗0.9813k2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.8946-1.40%9.192-8.40%0.0716✗1.102.0M2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006608-1.37%0.006407-4.37%0.0367✗0.5140k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.029979-1.32%0.02472-18.63%0.0216✓1.301,4012022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,341.80-1.25%19,835.47-12.33%0.0125✗1.00427.9M2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001637-1.19%0.001499-9.54%0.0476✗1.039,0682022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.066687-0.99%0.062675-6.94%0.0921✗1.171.7M2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.7604-0.96%62.7-2.61%0.1476✗1.251.6M2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096611-0.91%0.0824-15.49%0.0008✓1.207,1482022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068401-0.84%0.06311-8.51%0.0109✗0.69345k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.732552-0.74%1.037+40.51%0.5071✗1.21968k2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155-0.70%0.1418-9.16%0.0727✗1.23107k2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.144-0.54%1.0572-8.08%0.0593✗1.0543k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008179-0.50%0.00602-26.76%0.1877✓0.901.6M2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.723428-0.49%0.527-27.51%0.1232✓1.47121k2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.5649-0.14%60.19+0.91%0.1623✗1.1513.6M2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.545529+0.02%0.4583-15.97%0.0248✗1.14333k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.9385+0.45%117.83-12.29%0.0220✓1.204.6M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0658+1.32%5.1775+3.55%0.0448✓0.17219k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.6136+1.40%4.2494-6.61%0.0160✓0.75920k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.