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2022-08-03 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1190
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.5%
in alpha space · 41.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5302+0.46%4.55+0.90%0.0110✓0.75920k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.546786+0.27%0.5454+0.02%0.0075✓1.14335k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066334+0.20%0.067353+1.74%0.0256✓1.171.7M2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero157.11157.4186+0.20%159.25+1.36%0.0213✓1.101.2M2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001707+0.19%0.001657-2.76%0.0207✗1.039,4962022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008204+0.17%0.00822+0.37%0.0099✓0.901.6M2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9795.1215+0.16%96.34+1.44%0.0274✓1.6610.2M2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.94+0.15%64.38+4.09%0.0497✓1.251.5M2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.062067+0.11%0.0731+17.90%0.1701✓0.74159k2022-08-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.025027+0.11%0.0249-0.40%0.0002✓0.5545k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,845.42+0.09%22,623.94-0.88%0.0009✗1.00427.9M2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067855+0.08%0.068981+1.74%0.0225✓0.69364k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326935+0.07%0.3361+2.88%0.0376✓1.138.1M2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1393+0.07%1.1502+1.03%0.0188✓1.0547k2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.686476+0.07%0.727+5.98%0.0704✓1.47106k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.394441+0.06%0.40433+2.56%0.0353✓1.19118k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.086146+0.05%0.0854-0.81%0.0015✓1.15128k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.155272+0.05%0.1561+0.58%0.0162✓1.23102k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.440097+0.04%0.4388-0.25%0.0101✓1.48278k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0305+0.02%10.035+0.07%0.0102✓1.102.0M2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.744134+0.02%0.738-0.81%0.0025✓1.22895k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003142+0.02%0.003069-2.29%0.0146✗0.991.0M2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017682+0.01%0.01758-0.57%0.0015✓0.82207k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.841.8401+0.01%2.6+41.30%0.3570✓1.28430k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash48.7748.7706+0.00%49.4+1.29%0.0225✓1.10574k2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.6996-0.00%134.34+0.48%0.0154✗1.204.5M2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.246081-0.01%0.2485+0.98%0.0206✗1.22110k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009759-0.01%0.00979+0.31%0.0110✗0.885.0M2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006697-0.01%0.0067+0.03%0.0049✗0.5239k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,840.30-0.02%22,495.20-1.53%0.0066✓0.9814k2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.309254-0.02%0.31338+1.32%0.0232✗1.13398k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0139-0.02%5-0.30%0.0013✓0.17219k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045789-0.02%0.0482+5.24%0.0628✗1.309,0132022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.7659-0.02%59.65+3.24%0.0423✗1.1513.7M2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4585-0.02%1.502+2.95%0.0417✗1.40675k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.110872-0.03%0.1096-1.17%0.0005✓1.25505k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114155-0.03%0.113921-0.23%0.0067✗0.997.0M2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.145-0.03%17.32+0.99%0.0223✗1.37116k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,618.33-0.03%1,608.16-0.66%0.0050✗1.28404.0M2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.40206-0.03%0.4162+3.48%0.0462✗1.32127k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003730.003729-0.04%0.00377+1.07%0.0225✗1.29551k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.766634-0.05%0.799+4.17%0.0503✗1.02377k2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058669-0.05%0.0616+4.94%0.0614✗1.43350k2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.5295-0.05%38.82+0.70%0.0196✗1.3781.8M2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011824-0.05%0.00001185+0.17%0.0133✗1.25986k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058267-0.06%0.0593+1.72%0.0299✗1.39167k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043424-0.06%0.04386+0.94%0.0183✗0.942,3002022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.959413-0.06%0.99245+3.38%0.0453✗1.30532k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.49e-7-0.06%3.56e-7+2.01%0.0293✗0.99170k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.117917-0.07%0.1202+1.86%0.0313✗1.372.9M2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.317951-0.08%0.329+3.39%0.0441✗1.1377k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.73942-0.08%0.74+0.00%0.0060✗0.5983k2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.08%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0082✗0.846.4M2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.31974-0.08%0.3306+3.31%0.0437✗1.173.5M2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048299-0.09%0.0491+1.57%0.0243✗0.8915k2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.789265-0.09%0.782-1.01%0.0014✗1.20225k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.097108-0.09%0.0975+0.31%0.0147✗1.206,5342022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006202-0.10%0.006146-1.00%0.0017✓0.848,9962022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.128674-0.10%0.1269-1.48%0.0051✓1.004,9522022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1737-0.10%2.1899+0.64%0.0181✗1.2032k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.144648-0.11%0.1392-3.87%0.0300✓0.953.6M2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.23085-0.11%0.2263-2.08%0.0069✓1.4789k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042394-0.11%0.00004294+1.18%0.0230✗1.161.9M2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.0683-0.11%29.14+0.14%0.0109✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0166-0.12%1.0339+1.58%0.0270✗1.151.1M2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9605-0.12%2.982+0.61%0.0171✗1.11597k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.134737-0.12%0.1347-0.15%0.0110✗1.2761k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055663-0.12%0.054264-2.63%0.0203✓0.5824k2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.199653-0.12%0.1995-0.20%0.0116✗1.401,1742022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.604-0.12%14.6359+0.09%0.0123✗1.1563k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.023-0.13%1.0151-0.90%0.0006✓0.9460k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.259464-0.13%0.2606+0.31%0.0142✗1.1265k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5978-0.13%1.7+6.25%0.0737✗1.32122k2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.473741-0.14%0.5677+19.67%0.1909✗1.1246k2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31160.2259-0.14%60.269-0.07%0.0081✗0.83330k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.068103-0.14%0.0667-2.20%0.0125✓0.94229k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.02127-0.14%0.02113-0.80%0.0024✗1.02159k2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.464945-0.15%0.45707-1.84%0.0103✓0.7668k2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.405314-0.15%0.41954+3.36%0.0467✗1.38583k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.2737-0.15%7.364+1.08%0.0234✗1.2518.3M2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration61.3161.2131-0.16%61.12-0.31%0.0089✗1.17379k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.01576-0.16%0.015595-1.20%0.0026✓0.892.1M2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004553-0.16%0.00454-0.44%0.0088✗1.31112k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115808-0.17%0.1168+0.69%0.0180✗1.07370k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8438-0.17%2.9175+2.42%0.0343✗0.981.2M2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4709-0.17%2.415-2.42%0.0150✓0.89110k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2568-0.17%1.297+3.02%0.0425✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.33142-0.17%0.333+0.30%0.0139✗1.041.1M2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7174-0.18%1.8249+6.07%0.0719✗1.27530k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7331-0.18%3.1854+16.34%0.1670✗1.5612k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058392-0.18%0.063+7.69%0.0873✗1.28799k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4698-0.18%4.616+3.08%0.0372✗0.561.3M2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.162735-0.19%0.16-1.86%0.0034✓1.53212k2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.6549-0.19%56+0.43%0.0185✗1.3934k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.1451-0.20%10.359+1.91%0.0329✗1.3514.4M2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.335213-0.20%0.340211+1.29%0.0260✗1.271.1M2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.499882-0.20%0.4997-0.24%0.0103✗1.2041.9M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3562-0.20%1.399+2.94%0.0424✗1.282.5M2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.212564-0.20%0.218+2.35%0.0386✗1.51786k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260664-0.21%0.2611-0.04%0.0018✓0.0129k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019907-0.21%0.020525+2.89%0.0343✗0.42165k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6854-0.21%1.755+3.91%0.0531✗1.43341k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.46630.46529-0.22%0.4737+1.59%0.0289✗1.24892k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.5289-0.22%8.75-8.38%0.0810✓0.491.7M2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.170417-0.22%0.1729+1.23%0.0253✗1.223.5M2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001084-0.23%0.001089+0.19%0.0152✗1.241.3M2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.031197-0.23%0.03231+3.33%0.0460✗1.2314k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049175-0.23%0.05021+1.86%0.0314✗1.2035k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1623-0.24%3.09-2.52%0.0188✓0.49102k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.78e-7-0.25%9.50e-7-3.06%0.0198✓1.0025k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.158403-0.25%0.1642+3.40%0.0469✗1.24508k2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041196-0.25%0.0421+1.94%0.0325✗1.2376k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248863-0.26%0.2522+1.08%0.0236✗1.17768k2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.348325-0.26%0.36281+3.89%0.0523✗1.3113k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.647322-0.26%0.66591+2.61%0.0417✗1.5188k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.602027-0.26%0.5965-1.18%0.0009✓1.14690k2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.9799-0.26%23.37+1.43%0.0308✗1.5827.5M2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9675-0.26%3.83-3.72%0.0291✓0.691.5M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.7913-0.27%11.07+2.31%0.0361✗1.20259k2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.631305-0.27%0.686+8.37%0.0955✗1.4088k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.24-0.27%2.252+0.27%0.0176✗1.38177k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4261-0.27%1.47+2.80%0.0428✗1.411.1M2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.054449-0.28%0.0537-1.65%0.0025✓1.28284k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9807-0.28%8.092+1.11%0.0246✗1.2211.0M2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.902411-0.29%0.909+0.44%0.0229✗1.77513k2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.9667-0.29%5.156+3.51%0.0421✗0.532.2M2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.087453-0.29%0.08615-1.78%0.0029✓1.3629k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8871-0.30%3.9592+1.55%0.0280✗1.0945k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206388-0.30%0.2175+5.07%0.0640✗1.311,6972022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.8371-0.30%7.98+1.51%0.0289✗1.227.0M2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.08-0.31%1.1273+4.05%0.0550✗1.371.4M2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008652-0.33%0.009+3.69%0.0508✗1.28375k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6861-0.33%2.728+1.22%0.0281✗1.4349k2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.5960.594031-0.33%0.5813-2.47%0.0112✓1.181.5M2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.892-0.33%3.982+1.97%0.0304✗0.86922k2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.97-0.33%5.82-2.84%0.0194✓0.68725k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.133351-0.34%0.1447+8.15%0.0913✗1.09779k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9901-0.34%2.223+11.32%0.1219✗1.27626k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6627-0.35%2.596-2.84%0.0098✓1.75109k2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.078005-0.35%0.07693-1.72%0.0074✓0.731,0202022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.109-0.36%17.75+3.38%0.0483✗1.311.3M2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1017-0.36%1.1129+0.66%0.0199✗1.1111k2022-08-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002247-0.36%0.002189-2.93%0.0172✓1.001.5M2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3292-0.36%1.3286-0.40%0.0128✗1.506.4M2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0305-0.37%1.1853+14.60%0.1477✗0.883.9M2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum35.335.1698-0.37%46.01+30.34%0.2857✗1.92251k2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.2532-0.37%3.1416-3.79%0.0282✓0.761.1M2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.812954-0.37%0.846+3.68%0.0552✗1.744.8M2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.51503-0.38%0.558+7.93%0.0903✗1.1513k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000099583-0.39%0.00009925-0.72%0.0147✗2.04536k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.08766-0.40%0.08541-2.95%0.0237✓0.261.1M2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0159-0.40%1.967-2.82%0.0121✓1.41255k2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1205-0.40%1.214+7.91%0.0859✗0.651.8M2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5139-0.40%1.58+3.95%0.0454✗0.30221k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.037339-0.40%0.03497-6.72%0.0528✓1.4413.9M2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022962-0.41%0.022448-2.64%0.0141✓0.9611k2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0329-0.41%1.0505+1.28%0.0262✗1.0513k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8101-0.42%3.844+0.47%0.0141✗0.591.9M2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7983-0.42%3.12+11.03%0.1222✗1.52198k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.03067-0.42%0.03038-1.36%0.0020✓1.301,3502022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum105.18104.7351-0.42%103.74-1.37%0.0008✓0.994.2M2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4026-0.43%6.43+0.00%0.0166✗1.391.2M2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.187238-0.43%0.18887+0.44%0.0292✗2.311,1512022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.791-0.45%1.814+0.83%0.0184✗0.64189k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0568-0.46%4.83-4.92%0.0397✓0.701.3M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7928-0.47%5.54-4.81%0.0394✓0.59873k2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.99791-0.48%1.0192+1.65%0.0363✗1.72211k2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6919-0.49%3.777+1.81%0.0382✗1.745.0M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3981-0.50%5.59-13.06%0.1296✓0.611.4M2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.776119-0.50%0.786+0.77%0.0255✗1.453,6872022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.1319-0.50%7.437+3.75%0.0572✗1.7312.2M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.8601-0.53%8.819-0.99%0.0076✗1.399.8M2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.8636-0.53%21.62-1.64%0.0037✓0.852.2M2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.3493-0.55%15.86-3.53%0.0179✓1.412.3M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.3386-0.57%3.3721+0.43%0.0178✗0.891.3M2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080742-0.58%0.0809-0.38%0.0151✗1.49786k2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.537431-0.68%0.5776+6.75%0.0845✗1.40222k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.4479-0.70%27.99+1.27%0.0316✗1.36773k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0303-0.70%8.092+0.06%0.0169✗1.042.4M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.316054-0.71%0.302-5.12%0.0357✓1.11294k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,647.67-0.72%10,646.82-0.73%0.0125✗1.424.4M2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076652-0.84%0.0733-5.17%0.0349✓1.11952k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4492-0.84%2.48+0.40%0.0220✗1.08398k2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.6709-1.08%34.8-3.49%0.0123✓1.409.4M2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.9605-1.63%1.918-3.76%0.0045✓1.972.4M2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.4867-2.27%9.2-14.26%0.1187✓1.38334k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.