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2022-08-03 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1610
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.0%
in alpha space · 81.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.6639-16.51%1.234-38.08%0.0341✓1.972.4M2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.739.3681-12.69%7.59-29.26%0.0246✓1.38334k2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9819.8023-9.91%17.08-22.29%0.0337✓0.852.2M2022-09-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03720.946764-8.72%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.049,807.51-8.56%10,076.20-6.05%0.2185✗1.424.4M2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6425.4305-7.99%19.34-30.03%0.0913✓1.36773k2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0187-7.86%0.87122-21.20%0.0077✓1.1111k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.021327-7.50%0.020785-9.85%0.1038✗0.9611k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum105.1897.3212-7.47%92.78-11.79%0.0853✗0.994.2M2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.034724-7.38%0.02024-46.01%0.3463✓1.4413.9M2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.722625-7.36%0.479-38.59%0.2156✓1.453,6872022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0633.458-7.22%32.45-10.01%0.1582✗1.409.4M2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.0859-7.13%1.534-31.70%0.1212✓1.38177k2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.147684-7.00%0.1381-13.04%0.0998✗1.24508k2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.842531-6.90%0.6722-25.72%0.0118✓1.77513k2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.482363-6.70%0.423-18.18%0.0230✓1.1513k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.175625-6.60%0.15905-15.42%0.2120✗2.311,1512022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.3077-6.57%2.25-8.91%0.1196✗1.08398k2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.558.9257-6.54%9.58+0.31%0.1361✗0.491.7M2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000093691-6.28%0.00024148+141.55%1.2207✗2.04536k2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.0322-6.19%5.99-6.84%0.0750✗0.611.4M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.045352-6.18%0.04476-7.41%0.1061✗0.8915k2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.1558-6.01%7.5477+124.79%0.9914✗0.891.3M2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.4872-6.01%3.028-18.38%0.0928✗1.745.0M2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.942829-5.97%0.889-11.34%0.1719✗1.72211k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002123-5.85%0.001603-28.91%0.1465✓1.001.5M2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.5796-5.79%2.2074-19.38%0.0544✓1.5612k2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.077-5.77%7.9584+143.72%1.0527✗0.761.1M2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.7892-5.73%4.95-2.56%0.1272✗0.701.3M2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.046505-5.65%0.044071-10.59%0.1072✗1.2035k2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum35.333.3184-5.61%31.7-10.20%0.2083✗1.92251k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.5178-5.61%13.76-16.30%0.0688✗1.412.3M2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.6875-5.57%2.96-24.20%0.1046✓0.86922k2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.7706-5.54%4.706-34.35%0.1307✓1.7312.2M2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.4158-5.51%6.406-28.08%0.0861✓1.399.8M2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.263-5.32%1.0939-18.00%0.0575✗1.506.4M2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.6609-5.30%2.19-22.06%0.0092✓1.52198k2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.161801-5.27%0.1232-27.87%0.1085✓1.223.5M2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.301745-5.20%0.2313-27.33%0.1166✓1.11294k2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.331452-5.09%0.29376-15.88%0.0549✗1.3113k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.5960.565908-5.05%0.5541-7.03%0.1379✗1.181.5M2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.083385-4.93%0.07182-18.12%0.0341✓1.3629k2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.442686-4.93%0.3771-19.01%0.0576✓0.7668k2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.5359-4.88%6.91+18.73%0.3012✗0.59873k2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.386418-4.80%0.35346-12.92%0.0964✗1.38583k2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.077312-4.80%0.06497-20.00%0.0260✓1.49786k2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.6443-4.75%4.612+20.54%0.3144✗0.591.9M2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4483-4.72%1.48-2.63%0.0626✗0.30221k2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.7929-4.65%4.42+11.11%0.2463✗0.691.5M2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.237934-4.64%0.2233-10.50%0.0932✗1.17768k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.971225-4.58%1.1047+8.54%0.2831✗1.151.1M2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.298-4.49%1.181-13.10%0.0773✗1.282.5M2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.197795-4.45%0.1524-26.38%0.0853✓1.311,6972022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6149-4.39%1.31-22.44%0.0170✓1.43341k2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7201-4.39%1.76-2.17%0.1083✗0.64189k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039492-4.38%0.035-15.25%0.0441✓1.2376k2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.5236-4.29%6.292-19.96%0.0146✓1.227.0M2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.517947-4.28%0.3186-41.12%0.2974✓1.40222k2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.7314-4.27%12.614+24.09%0.4416✗1.3514.4M2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.052293-4.23%0.0438-19.78%0.0052✓1.28284k2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.421644-4.15%0.3489-20.69%0.0092✓1.48278k2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0387-4.14%1.98-37.54%0.3620✓0.49102k2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.783033-4.04%0.668-18.14%0.0750✗1.744.8M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019146-4.03%0.025779+29.22%0.3542✗0.42165k2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.082709-3.94%0.057-33.80%0.2176✓1.15128k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9447-3.92%1.488-26.48%0.0780✓1.41255k2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.62409-3.84%0.53972-16.84%0.0579✗1.5188k2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3065-3.83%14.875+232.18%1.3155✗0.561.3M2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.7905-3.82%6.365+27.79%0.3552✗0.532.2M2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.074348-3.82%0.0619-19.92%0.0346✓1.11952k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.1731-3.76%18.87-18.10%0.0513✗1.5827.5M2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9226-3.72%1.701-14.82%0.0484✗1.27626k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.5433-3.65%14.03-18.29%0.0110✓1.311.3M2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03430.996556-3.65%0.9679-6.42%0.0887✗0.883.9M2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.36e-7-3.63%8.64e-7+147.55%1.0762✗0.99170k2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008366-3.62%0.00814-6.22%0.1446✗1.28375k2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0846-3.59%1.008-10.40%0.0144✓0.651.8M2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.084862-3.58%0.0801-8.99%0.0226✓0.261.1M2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.214-3.58%0.93-26.13%0.0993✓1.241.2M2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.483016-3.57%0.4544-9.28%0.1006✗1.2041.9M2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.841.7752-3.52%1.965+6.79%0.2732✗1.28430k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.7802-3.50%7.11+18.70%0.2983✗0.68725k2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.075557-3.48%0.0671-14.28%0.0203✓0.731,0202022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.0364-3.41%6.93-4.87%0.1530✗1.2518.3M2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.041968-3.41%0.03809-12.34%0.0295✓0.942,3002022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.740951-3.40%0.713-7.04%0.0982✗1.02377k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.00105-3.39%0.001355+24.69%0.4217✗1.241.3M2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.8145-3.37%5.831-27.90%0.1524✓1.042.4M2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31158.3163-3.31%53.741-10.89%0.0304✓0.83330k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030249-3.26%0.03437+9.91%0.2936✗1.2314k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003039-3.26%0.002989-4.84%0.1163✗0.991.0M2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.12461-3.25%0.1-22.36%0.0861✓1.004,9522022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.193406-3.25%0.1768-11.56%0.0981✗1.401,1742022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7653.9669-3.22%45.81-17.84%0.0231✓1.3934k2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011458-3.15%0.00001218+2.96%0.2288✗1.25986k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0494-3.14%0.829-23.48%0.0512✓1.371.4M2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.130675-3.13%0.1218-9.71%0.1004✗1.2761k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.765605-3.09%0.657-16.84%0.0085✓1.20225k2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.253175-3.07%0.1972-24.50%0.2483✓0.0129k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066116-3.06%0.0568-16.72%0.0256✓0.94229k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.20654-3.03%0.168-21.13%0.0032✓1.51786k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.129747-3.03%0.2187+63.45%0.6680✗1.09779k2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.4955-3.00%10.18-5.91%0.1307✗1.20259k2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3874-2.98%1.1131-22.16%0.0307✓1.411.1M2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.056771-2.96%0.0486-16.92%0.0172✓1.28799k2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.5933-2.95%1.899-28.93%0.0760✓1.75109k2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.7839-2.94%3.1377-19.52%0.0414✓1.0945k2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041209-2.90%0.00004622+8.91%0.2702✗1.161.9M2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.252407-2.85%0.2409-7.27%0.1034✗1.1265k2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.615303-2.80%0.508-19.75%0.0035✓1.4088k2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054195-2.76%0.043204-22.48%0.1486✓0.5824k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.383369-2.75%0.33413-15.24%0.0227✓1.19118k2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.224-2.72%12.8342-12.23%0.0517✗1.1563k2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.060313-2.72%0.1196+92.90%0.7836✗0.74159k2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6234-2.66%2.034-24.53%0.0624✓1.4349k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.114871-2.65%0.103-12.71%0.0753✗1.372.9M2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.461975-2.62%0.436-8.09%0.0928✗1.1246k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.158838-2.58%0.13722-15.84%0.0601✗1.53212k2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017234-2.52%0.01324-25.11%0.1528✓0.82207k2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.239977-2.49%0.2088-15.16%0.0252✓1.22110k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.00445-2.42%0.00396-13.16%0.0592✗1.31112k2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.310608-2.39%0.3031-4.75%0.1273✗1.1377k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.113276-2.35%0.1007-13.19%0.0267✗1.07370k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,581.24-2.32%1,575.69-2.66%0.1681✗1.28404.0M2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.302153-2.31%0.34352+11.06%0.2799✗1.13398k2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.141471-2.30%0.1352-6.63%0.0820✗0.953.6M2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5644-2.22%1.31-18.13%0.0001✓1.32122k2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1288-2.17%1.788-17.83%0.0130✓1.2032k2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.393488-2.17%0.3535-12.11%0.0697✗1.32127k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.7164-2.16%31.24-18.96%0.0046✓1.3781.8M2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9001-2.16%2.743-7.46%0.0941✗1.11597k2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.590737-2.13%0.4979-17.51%0.0177✓1.14690k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.0095-2.12%47.83-21.99%0.0692✓1.17379k2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4236-2.08%3.82+54.34%0.5749✗0.89110k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.057548-1.96%0.0558-4.94%0.1610✗1.43350k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.329344-1.95%0.292616-12.88%0.0525✗1.271.1M2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.5342-1.94%26.31-9.59%0.0464✗0.9510.8M2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.108747-1.94%0.0931-16.05%0.0131✓1.25505k2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.325705-1.90%0.27-18.67%0.0481✓1.041.1M2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.112099-1.83%0.104596-8.40%0.0638✗0.997.0M2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.46630.457987-1.78%0.3635-22.05%0.0643✓1.24892k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009592-1.72%0.00875-10.35%0.0265✗0.885.0M2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.8603-1.69%15.53-9.45%0.1023✗1.37116k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8014-1.65%5.1574+81.06%0.7423✗0.981.2M2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.944333-1.63%0.77622-19.14%0.0214✓1.30532k2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.64e-7-1.61%8.90e-7-9.18%0.0543✗1.0025k2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.227385-1.61%0.2219-3.98%0.1732✗1.4789k2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.436-1.57%1.798+23.24%0.4128✗1.40675k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.321877-1.48%0.3024-7.44%0.0888✗1.138.1M2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020996-1.43%0.02248+5.54%0.2048✗1.02159k2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006122-1.39%0.005767-7.11%0.0533✗0.848,9962022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3424-1.36%4.86-24.42%0.0795✓1.391.2M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030382-1.36%0.0246-20.13%0.0361✓1.301,3502022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.315948-1.27%0.281-12.19%0.0395✗1.173.5M2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero157.11155.1748-1.23%153.67-2.19%0.1386✗1.101.2M2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0119-1.21%0.876412-14.44%0.0176✓0.9460k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003730.003685-1.20%0.00313-16.09%0.0107✓1.29551k2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057643-1.13%0.0499-14.41%0.0429✗1.39167k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7011-1.12%1.4907-13.35%0.0385✗1.27530k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,596.69-1.08%20,019.30-12.37%0.0106✓0.9814k2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006627-1.06%0.006468-3.43%0.0451✗0.5239k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015627-1.00%0.01333-15.55%0.0387✓0.892.1M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.740.733485-0.88%0.72-2.70%0.0614✗0.5983k2022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.9409-0.87%9.161-8.65%0.0668✗1.102.0M2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.00169-0.82%0.001528-10.33%0.0380✗1.039,4962022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.3316-0.67%88.39-6.93%0.1575✗1.6610.2M2022-09-02
DASHDashDash48.7748.4634-0.63%45.69-6.32%0.0884✗1.10574k2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.54e-7-0.61%8.90e-7-7.29%0.0429✗0.846.4M2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9544-0.61%7.3-8.78%0.0782✗1.2211.0M2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,689.90-0.59%19,953.74-12.58%0.0059✗1.00427.9M2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045607-0.42%0.0367-19.87%0.0423✓1.309,0132022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.096801-0.41%0.0821-15.53%0.0028✓1.206,5342022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067543-0.38%0.062628-7.63%0.0166✗0.69364k2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065967-0.35%0.061662-6.86%0.0900✗1.171.7M2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.743184-0.11%1.084+45.70%0.5410✗1.22895k2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.155328+0.08%0.141-9.15%0.0687✓1.23102k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.14+0.14%1.0393-8.71%0.0487✓1.0547k2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.9975+0.24%60.36-2.41%0.1414✓1.251.5M2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7858.0866+0.53%61.02+5.61%0.2045✓1.1513.7M2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008237+0.58%0.00602-26.50%0.1923✗0.901.6M2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.692353+0.93%0.538-21.57%0.0540✗1.47106k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.551451+1.13%0.466-14.54%0.0158✗1.14335k2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7135.2104+1.13%116.4-12.94%0.0113✓1.204.5M2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0866+1.43%5.402+7.71%0.0832✓0.17219k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.50944.6034+2.08%4.2655-5.41%0.0241✓0.75920k2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.